24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
    

Session 12B

 Tropical cyclone track forecasting I (Parallel with Sessions 12A and 12C)
 Organizer: Les Carr, NPS, Monterey, CA
8:00 AM12B.1Evaluation of Dynamical Track Predictions for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific: Extensions to Other Years and Dynamical Models  
George M. Dunnavan, NPS, Monterey, CA; and L. E. Carr, R. L. Elsberry, and M. A. Boothe
8:15 AM12B.2THE OPERATIONAL PREDICTION SYSTEM FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK IN EAST CHINA SEA AND ITS IMPROVEMENT RESEARCH  
Xu Yiming, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China
8:30 AM12B.3Performance of the Typhoon Forecast System of the Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan  
K.-N. Huang, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. -. C. Yeh, D. S. Chen, and M. S. Peng
8:45 AM12B.4A review of the UK Met. Office global model tropical cyclone forecasting performance 1990–2000  
Julian T. Heming, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom
9:00 AM12B.5Evaluation of dynamical track predictions for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic during 1995–98  
David S. Brown, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. A. Boothe, L. E. Carr, and R. L. Elsberry
9:15 AM12B.6Comparison of the performance of the GFDL hurricane model, using the AVN, UKMET and NOGAPS analysis  
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. T. Heming and R. Stocker
9:30 AM12B.7An Analysis of the Track and Intensity Errors of Operational Global and Regional Models  
Timothy P. Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, NWS/NCEP, and SAIC, Princeton, NJ; and R. E. Tuleya and S. J. Lord
9:45 AM12B.8Geographic distribution of hurricane model track forecast errors  
Jeremy T. Pennington, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Friday, 26 May 2000: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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