Session 12B |
| Tropical cyclone track forecasting I (Parallel with Sessions 12A and 12C) |
| Organizer: Les Carr, NPS, Monterey, CA
|
| 8:00 AM | 12B.1 | Evaluation of Dynamical Track Predictions for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific: Extensions to Other Years and Dynamical Models George M. Dunnavan, NPS, Monterey, CA; and L. E. Carr, R. L. Elsberry, and M. A. Boothe |
| 8:15 AM | 12B.2 | THE OPERATIONAL PREDICTION SYSTEM FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK IN EAST CHINA SEA AND ITS IMPROVEMENT RESEARCH Xu Yiming, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China |
| 8:30 AM | 12B.3 | Performance of the Typhoon Forecast System of the Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan K.-N. Huang, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. -. C. Yeh, D. S. Chen, and M. S. Peng |
| 8:45 AM | 12B.4 | A review of the UK Met. Office global model tropical cyclone forecasting performance 1990–2000 Julian T. Heming, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom |
| 9:00 AM | 12B.5 | Evaluation of dynamical track predictions for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic during 1995–98 David S. Brown, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. A. Boothe, L. E. Carr, and R. L. Elsberry |
| 9:15 AM | 12B.6 | Comparison of the performance of the GFDL hurricane model, using the AVN, UKMET and NOGAPS analysis Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. T. Heming and R. Stocker |
| 9:30 AM | 12B.7 | An Analysis of the Track and Intensity Errors of Operational Global and Regional Models Timothy P. Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, NWS/NCEP, and SAIC, Princeton, NJ; and R. E. Tuleya and S. J. Lord |
| 9:45 AM | 12B.8 | Geographic distribution of hurricane model track forecast errors Jeremy T. Pennington, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen |