Just about every year there is one major first pulse of snowmelt runoff (streamflow) that marks the transition from winter to spring in high elevation, snowmelt driven watersheds in the western United States. As a index, we have used the record of relatively pristine streamflow at the Merced River, Happy Isles in Yosemite National Park to identify this transition for each year beginning in 1916. Two factors are prominent in determining the timing of the spring runnoff pulse: (1) it is delayed with greater seasonal accumulation of snow pack in the Yosemite region, and (2) the runoff pulse is triggered by a regional weather fluctuation that establishes a warm high pressure ridge over the California region during the spring (mid-March to Mid-May) period. Thus, the pulse involves both seasonal climate variability vis a vis the character of winter/spring water delivery to the western mountains and synoptic conditions associated with abrupt spring warming. Inspection of an extensive array of stream gage records over the western states finds that a simultaneous pulse occurs over a broad collection of high-elevation streams in the region. In this paper, we explore the predictability of the onset of these spring regional warmings, which often are marked by development of high pressure ridge over much of the western United States