Session 6B Weather Forecasts and Climate Prediction with Lead Times from Intraseasonal to Interannual (Parallel with Sessions 6a and 6c)

Monday, 5 April 1999: 8:30 AM-11:30 AM
Host: Sixth International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography
Organizer:
Wasyl Drosdowsky, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic.

Papers:
8:30 AM
6B.1
Seasonal forecasting at ECMWF
D.L.T. Anderson, ECMWF, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and M. A. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, J. Segschneider, T. Stockdale, J. Vialard, and F. Vitard

8:45 AM
6B.2
Sensitivity of Southern Hemisphere and Global Numerical Weather Prediction to Reanalysis Uncertainty
Gonzalo Miguez-Macho, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Paegle

9:00 AM
6B.3
Assessment of the 1998-99 southern Africa summer rains
Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CDC, Washington, DC; and G. D. Bell

9:15 AM
6B.4
Operational applications of ensemble prediction in the Southern Hemisphere
M. Steven Tracton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth

9:45 AM
6B.6
Seasonal forecasting potential of maize yield in southern Africa
Richard Washington, University of Oxford, Oxford, England; and R. V. Martin and T. E. Downing

10:00 AM
6B.7
Downscaling GCM simulations to rainfall and stream flow
Willem A. Landman, South African Weather Bureau, Pretoria, South Africa; and S. J. Mason, P. D. Tyson, and W. J. Tennant

10:15 AM
6B.8
Eta model forecasts over South America with improved land-surface processes representation
Sin Chan Chou, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and J. F. Bustamante, J. L. Gomes, and J. R. Rozante

10:30 AM
6B.9
Climate Variability in Southeastern South America Related to ENSO. A Numerical Study
Gabriel Cazes, IMFIA-Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay; and G. Pisciottano

10:45 AM
6B.10
The Regional Spectral Model Performance over the South America during the Niño Year (1997/1998)
José A. Vergara, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile; and R. Schmitz

11:00 AM
6B.11
ENSO Drought Onset Prediction in Northeast Brazil Using Satellite Recorded Index
William T. Liu, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and R. I. Negrón-Juárez

11:15 AM
6B.6a
Morning Coffee Break

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner