15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology (Expanded View)

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Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 31 July 2011
5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Satellite Registration
Registration Opens
 
Monday, 1 August 2011
7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday, Satellite Registration
Registration continues throughout the conference
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday
Coffee Break
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 1 Turbulence and Wind Shear, Part 1
Cochairs: Robert D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Warren Fellner, FAA
10:30 AM1.1Simulations of radial cloud bands resulting in turbulence at the outer edge of an MCS anvil  
S. B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and R. Fovell
10:45 AM1.2A Numerical Study on Convectively Induced Turbulence (CIT) Encounter above a Dissipating Deep Convection  
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun
11:00 AM1.3Meteorological conditions contributing the crash of a Boeing 737 at Denver International Airport  
T. L. Keller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. D. Hall, L. B. Cornman, and R. D. Sharman
11:15 AM1.4Numerical simulations of a cold-season turbulence outbreak  
S. B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and T. P. Lane
11:30 AM1.5Integration of Real-time In Situ Turbulence Reports into Airline Flight Operations  
Tammy J. Farrar, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; and W. Watts, C. M. Amaral, G. Blackburn, C. A. West, and H. M. Eichenbaum
11:45 AM1.6Latest aviation applications of LIDAR at the Hong Kong International Airport  
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday, Marquis Salon 1&2/Century Pavilion
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 2 Turbulence and Windshear, Part 2
Cochairs: Warren Fellner, FAA, Washington, DC; R. D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM2.1Measuring in-cloud turbulence: the NEXRAD Turbulence Detection Algorithm  
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and G. Meymaris, J. A. Craig, G. E. Blackburn, W. Deierling, and F. McDonough
1:45 PM2.2A new Scanning Doppler Laser Radar for measuring Wind Shears and Wake Vortices near Airports  
Ludovic Thobois, LEOSPHERE, Orsay, France; and L. Sauvage
2:00 PM2.3The relationship of in-cloud convective turbulence to total lightning  
Wiebke Deierling, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Williams, C. J. Kessinger, R. D. Sharman, and M. Steiner
2:15 PM2.4A case study of missed approach of aircraft due to tailwind associated with thunderstorms  
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and S. M. Tse
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Marquis Salon 3
Poster Session Posters for Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Part 1
 Impact of buildings on the low level airflow at the airport – example of hangars  
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and L. Li
 Surface level wind gusts and turbulence in the Alcantara Launch Center - Brazil  
Edson Marciotto, Instituto of Aeronautics and Space, São José dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil; and G. Fisch
 Thunderstorm and Lightning Nowcasting at Redstone Test Center  
Eric Nelson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Kessinger, W. Deierling, N. Oien, L. LaChapelle, D. Schmit, E. Diaz, and R. Gazda
 “Hour-by-Month” Climograms as an Aviation Weather visual planning and decison-aid tool  
Charles J. Fisk, Naval Base Ventura County, Point Mugu, CA
 Weather support to aviation's Golden Triangle  
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and C. A. West and B. A. ,. Smith
 Evaluation of Upper-Level Turbulence Diagnostics Performance Using the Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) System and Pilot Reports (PIREPs) over East Asia  
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun, R. D. Sharman, and T. L. Keller
 Evaluation of a modified clear air turbulence (CAT) forecast index based on deformation, vertical shear, and divergence tendency  
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA-Retired, Granby, CT; and J. Knox, S. Silberberg, and E. N. Wilson
 The meteorological part in the european project DELICAT - DEmonstration of LIdar based Clear Air Turbulence  
Christine Le Bot, Météo France, Toulouse, France; and J. Kopek and A. Crespin
 
4:00 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 3 Turbulence and Wind Shear, Part 3
Cochairs: Warren Fellner, FAA, Washington, DC; R. D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM3.1Development of JMA's new turbulence index  
Atsushi Kudo, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan
4:15 PM3.2Performance of the Ellrod-Knox and Lighthill-Ford-Knox clear air turbulence algorithms at the Aviation Weather Center  
John A. Knox, University Of Georgia, Athens, GA; and G. P. Ellrod, S. Silberberg, and E. Wilson
4:30 PM3.3The SLAT (index) as an indicator of vertical propagating mountain waves using WRF 15km data, and its potential as a turbulence forecast product  
David L. Keller, AFWA, Omaha, NE
4:45 PM3.4Semi-empirical methods for the prediction of mountain wave turbulence  
R. D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Keller
5:00 PM3.5Near-surface forecast challenges at the Air Force Weather Agency  
James R. McCormick, UCAR, Offutt AFB, NE
 
Tuesday, 2 August 2011
8:45 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 4 Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 1
Cochairs: John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
8:45 AM4.1Validation of a convective storm detection algorithm using a satellite-based object tracking methodology  
Daniel C. Hartung, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Sieglaff, L. M. Cronce, and W. F. Feltz
9:00 AM4.2Short-Term Storm Forecasting from Blending Satellite-Based Extrapolation Forecasts with NWP Model Outputs over the Gulf of Mexico  
Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Kessinger, N. Rehak, J. Pinto, D. Megenhardt, D. Albo, M. Steiner, R. L. Bankert, and J. Hawkins
9:15 AM4.3Improved convective initiation forecasting in the Gulf of Mexico region through enhanced uses of NASA satellite assets and artificial intelligence  
John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and J. Williams, P. Tissot, W. G. Collins, D. A. Ahijevych, C. P. Jewett, and N. Bledsoe
9:30 AM4.4Gridded Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) guidance for aviation forecasting  
Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn
9:45 AM4.5Update on CoSPA Storm Forecasts  
Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. Pinto, M. Wolfson, S. G. Benjamin, M. Steiner, S. S. Weygandt, C. Alexander, W. J. Dupree, J. K. Williams, J. R. Mecikalski, W. F. Feltz, K. Bedka, D. Morse, X. Tao, D. A. Ahijevych, C. Reiche, T. Langlois, K. L. Haas, L. J. Bickmeier, P. M. Lamey, J. M. Pelagatti, and D. D. Moradi
 
10:00 AM-10:45 AM, Tuesday
Coffee Break
 
10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 5 Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 2
Cochairs: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
10:45 AM5.1An operational implementation of GTG-based turbulence forecasting  
Todd A. Hutchinson, WSI Corporation, Andover, MA; and C. Meyer
11:00 AM5.2Evaluation of cold-season precipitation forecasts generated by the hourly updated 3-km High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR)  
Kyoko Ikeda, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, R. M. Rasmussen, J. O. Pinto, and C. Alexander
11:15 AM5.3Toward understanding how well skill scores represent the utility of convective storm forecasts to aviation planners  
Cody L. Phillips, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, H. Cai, and M. Steiner
11:30 AM5.4Evaluation of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) implementation version of the Rapid Refresh and its skill in providing short-term guidance for aviation hazards  
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, C. R. Alexander, S. G. Benjamin, G. S. Manikin, J. M. Brown, H. Lin, J. B. Olson, and P. Hofmann
11:45 AM5.5Improvement and testing of WRF physics options for application to Rapid Refresh and High Resolution Rapid Refresh  
John M. Brown, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, G. A. Grell, D. C. Dowell, S. Benjamin, C. R. Alexander, E. P. James, S. S. Weygandt, M. Hu, P. Hofmann, and H. Lin
 
12:00 PM-2:30 PM, Tuesday, Marquis Salon 1&2/Century Pavilion
Lunch Break
 
2:30 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 6 General Topics in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Part 1
Cochairs: Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
2:30 PM6.1Aviation Weather Research Management Planning  
Thomas MacPhail, FAA, Washington, DC; and S. Abelman
2:45 PM6.2"The FAA's Aviation Weather Research Program: Successes, Status, & Future Direction"  
Steve Abelman, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; and W. Fellner
3:00 PM6.3Addressing aviation procedures in response to accidental radiological hazard releases  
Cynthia Abelman, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
3:15 PM6.4The use of aviation system performance metrics and measures in qualitative forecast evaluation  
Matthew Lorentson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
 
3:30 PM-4:00 PM, Tuesday
Coffee Break
 
4:00 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 7 General Topics in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Part 2
Cochairs: Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
4:00 PM7.1Automated jet streams on significant weather high level charts at WAFC Washington  
JoAnn Becker, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO; and D. Bright, R. Douglass, L. Hinson, W. Hirt, S. Silberberg, and M. Strahan
4:15 PM7.2Advancements in GOES-R imager aviation weather decision support research  
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. Bedka, J. R. Mecikalski, M. J. Pavolonis, B. Pierce, K. L. Pryor, W. L. Smith Jr., and A. Wimmers
4:30 PM7.3Radar-data assimilation into the Rapid Refresh (RR) and High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) models toward improved convective guidance for aviation  
David C. Dowell, NOAA_ESRL, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, M. Hu, S. S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, E. P. James, P. Hofmann, H. Lin, and J. M. Brown
4:45 PM7.4Assessing the effectiveness of an education and training module for general aviation pilots on the use of NEXRAD-based products in the cockpit  
Erin A. Roberts, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and J. M. Lanicci and E. Blickensderfer
 
Wednesday, 3 August 2011
9:00 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 8 Probabilistic Forecasting for ARAM
Chair: John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
9:00 AM8.1The use of statistical relationships to produce probabilistic nowcasts of storms  
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and D. A. Ahijevych, C. P. Kalb, C. L. Phillips, J. O. Pinto, and M. Steiner
9:15 AM8.2Probabilistic thunderstorm guidance from the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model: evaluation and evolution of a prototype system  
Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. Alexander, S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and P. Hofmann
9:30 AM8.3Probabilistic forecasting of ceiling and visibility: Skill improvement through blending of rapid refresh, LAMP and regression  
Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Lambi, R. Bateman, and J. Cowie
9:45 AM8.4Introduction to NCEP's time lagged north american rapid refresh ensemble forecast system (NARRE-TL)  
Binbin Zhou, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, G. Manikin, and G. DiMego
 
10:00 AM-10:45 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break
 
10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 9 Range, Aerospace, and Environmental Meteorology
Cochairs: Edward H. Teets, Jr., NASA, Edwards, CA; Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL
10:45 AM9.1The Impact of Triboelectrification on the Ares I-X Launch and Considerations for Other Launch Vehicles  
Katherine A. Winters, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL
11:00 AM9.2The NCAR Short-term Lightning Alert System  
Wiebke Deierling, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Kessinger, D. L. Megenhardt, and M. Steiner
11:15 AM9.3Can turbulence information improve contrail susceptibility forecasts?  
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and R. D. Sharman, D. P. Duda, D. B. Johnson, and P. Minnis
11:30 AM9.4A MODIS-based contrail climatology of coverage and cloud properties  
David P. Duda, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and K. Khlopenkov, S. T. Bedka, T. L. Chee, and P. Minnis
11:45 AM9.5Quality Control Algorithms and Proposed Integration Process for Wind Profilers Used by Launch Vehicle Systems  
Ryan K. Decker, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. E. Barbre Jr.
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday, Marquis Salon 1&2/Century Pavilion
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 10 The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), Part 1
Cochairs: Cynthia Abelman, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC
1:30 PM10.1Enhancing digital services for aviation  
Cammye Sims, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. A. ,. Smith and M. P. Murphy
1:45 PM10.2TAFs in the NextGen Era  
James Harry Hartman III, FAA, Washington, DC; and C. Sims and S. Walden
2:00 PM10.3A Performance Assessment of the National Ceiling and Visibility Analysis Product  
Andrew Loughe, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and B. Pettegrew, J. K. Henderson, J. E. Hart, S. Madine, and J. L. Mahoney
2:15 PM10.4Wiggle Room Metrics for Evaluating the Impact of Weather on Jet Routes  
Jimmy Krozel, Metron Aviation, Inc, Dulles, VA; and M. Ganji, S. Yang, J. S. B. Mitchell, and V. Polishchuk
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Marquis Salon 3
Poster Session Posters for Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Part 2
 Field study of the performance of ceilometers  
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China
 Field study of the performance of visibility sensors  
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China
 Global satellite images for aviation operations  
Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and J. H. Block
 Understanding of the formation mechanism of sea fog through numerical simulation using a Single Column Model coupled with WRF  
Chang Ki Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. S. Yum
 Validation and forecast exercises using the SATCAST 0-1 hour convective initiation nowcasting algorithm at UAHuntsville  
John Walker, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski and C. P. Jewett
 Development of Satellite-based Significant Convection Nowcasting Product in Support of Air Traffic Flow Management in Hong Kong  
Ping Cheung, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. C. Lam and T. K. H. Ng
 Application of Multi-platform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis in Aerodrome Wind Forecasting during the Passage of Tropical Cyclones  
Ping Cheung, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. C. Lam and Y. L. Chan
 National Weather Service Central Region service enhancements  
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. P. Walawender and J. A. Zeltwanger
 
4:00 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 11 The Next Generation Air Transportation System, Part 2
Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Cynthia Abelman, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
4:00 PM11.4Prototyping insights – A web coverage service designed for a consolidated NEXRAD and TDWR service for NextGen weather  
Keith Bourke, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL
4:15 PM11.3Determining FAA Mid-Term Aviation Weather Requirements for Traffic Flow Management - the Transition to NextGen  
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and F. Bayne, S. Stepney, R. C. Showalter, J. May, J. Tauss, and L. Leonard
4:30 PM11.2Classification of Weather Translation Models for NextGen  
Jimmy Krozel, Metron Aviation, Inc, Dulles, VA; and R. Kicinger and M. Andrews
4:45 PM11.1Beyond the 2011 Rapid Refresh: Hourly Updated Numerical Weather Prediction Guidance from NOAA for Aviation from 2012-2020  
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, and G. DiMego
 
Thursday, 4 August 2011
9:00 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 12 In-flight Icing
Cochairs: Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC
9:00 AM12.1Evaluation of ensemble icing probability forecasts in the NCEP SREF and VSREF systems  
Binbin Zhou, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and G. DiMego and R. Sallee
9:15 AM12.2“Severe Icing: Urgent PIREP!” Severe Icing Across the United States from 2002-2010: Relationship to icing type, terrain, altitude, aircraft type, and climate  
Elizabeth Austin, WeatherExtreme Ltd., Fallbrook, CA; and P. B. Williams, S. N. Goates, and A. Austin
9:30 AM12.3The FAA's In-flight Icing Research Program: Status and Future  
Imani Jeffries, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; and S. Walden
9:45 AM12.4Icing Beyond Plain Vanilla  
Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 
10:00 AM-10:45 AM, Thursday
Coffee Break
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 13 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 1
Cochairs: Steve Abelman, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc., Falls Church, VA
10:30 AM13.1An Object-Based Approach for Identifying and Evaluating Convective Initiation  
Steven A. Lack, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. S. Wandishin and J. L. Mahoney
10:45 AM13.2Evolution of the high resolution rapid refresh (HRRR) model and its role in convective weather guidance for air-traffic management  
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, E. P. James, P. Hofmann, D. C. Dowell, M. Hu, J. M. Brown, and J. B. Olson
11:00 AM13.3Improvements in the summer 2011 version of blending used in CoSPA  
James O. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. P. Kalb, S. Dettling, D. Albo, M. Steiner, and J. A. Grim
11:15 AM13.4Implementing relevant performance measures for traffic flow management  
Cynthia Abelman, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
11:30 AM13.5PMTIP: A New Direction in Partnerships for Aviation Performance Metrics  
David J. Aihoshi, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada
11:45 AM13.6Enhancements in convective weather forecasting for NAS Traffic Flow Management (TFM)  
Jennifer A. Colavito, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; and S. McGettigan, M. Robinson, J. L. Mahoney, and M. Phaneuf
 
12:00 PM-2:30 PM, Thursday, Marquis Salon 1&2/Century Pavilion
Lunch Break
 
2:30 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday, Imperial Suite ABC
Session 14 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 2
Cochairs: James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc., Falls Church, VA; Steve Abelman, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC
2:30 PM14.1Quality Assessment Techniques for Evaluating Convective Weather Products used for Air Traffic Management Strategic Planning  
Steven A. Lack, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Layne, S. Madine, M. A. Petty, and J. L. Mahoney
2:45 PM14.2Weather impacts and routing services in support of airspace management operations  
David I. Knapp, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and J. Johnson and D. Sauter
3:00 PM14.3Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Weather Evaluation Team (WET) convective weather forecast process in support of traffic flow management  
Tom Lloyd, JetBlue Airways Corp., Forest Hills, NY; and K. L. Johnston, T. H. Fahey III, M. Fronzak, T. Harder, J. Huhn, L. Larkin, D. Meyer, M. P. Murphy, and J. Sarver
3:15 PM14.4Traffic Flow Management Weather Requirements Working Group (TRWG)  
Cynthia Abelman, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. L. Adolphson and K. L. Johnston
 

Browse the complete program of The 14th Conference on Mesoscale Processes/15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology (1-4 August 2011)