Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 23 April 2006
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
Monday, 24 April 2006
	7:00 AM, Monday Conference Registration continues Through Friday 28 April
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Monday, Big Sur Session 1A Special Session: Results from the NASA TCSP Experiment
Chairperson: S. D. Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL
8:00 AM 1A.1 Overview of the Field Phase of the NASA Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes (TCSP) Experiment   Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and E. Zipser, G. M. Heymsfield, R. Kakar, J. Halverson, R. Rogers, and M. Black 8:15 AM 1A.2 The Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX): A NOAA multi-year field program for improving tropical cyclone intensity forecasting   Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, R. E. Hood, J. B. Halverson, E. J. Zipser, and G. M. Heymsfield 8:30 AM 1A.3 Tropical cyclogenesis observations from the NASA Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes Experiment   Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and S. A. Braun 8:45 AM 1A.4 Simulation of tropical cyclones from the NASA Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes Experiment   Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. T. Montgomery 9:00 AM 1A.5 Precipitation Analysis of Passive Microwave Data from the Advanced Microwave Precipitation Radiometer during the Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes Experiment   Frank J. LaFontaine, Raytheon Information Solutions/NSSTC, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil and R. E. Hood 9:15 AM 1A.6 Investigations of a convective burst in intensifying tropical storm Gert during TCSP   J. B. Halverson, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. A. Hennon, G. M. Heymsfield, M. Black, and R. Rogers 9:30 AM 1A.7 Intense Convective Burst Observed From Hurricane Emily (2005) During TCSP   Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. R. Belcher, L. Li, L. Tian, and J. B. Halverson 9:45 AM 1A.8 Assimilation of satellite and in situ observations during TCSP for understanding tropical cyclone intensification   Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 1-3 Session 1B Tropical Cyclone Structure I
Chairperson: Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
8:00 AM 1B.2 Potential vorticity rings and eye subsidence   Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. K. Taft, C. M. Rozoff, B. D. McNoldy, J. P. Kossin, and S. R. Fulton 8:15 AM 1B.3 Interactions between simulated tropical cyclones and an environment with a variable coriolis parameter   Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and W. M. Frank 8:30 AM 1B.4 Phase space-based evaluation of numerical forecasts of cyclone structure evolution   Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ, University Park, PA; and J. M. Arnott and F. Chiaromonte 8:45 AM 1B.5 Energetics of idealized hurricane-like vortices   Young C. Kwon, Penn State Univ, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank 9:00 AM 1B.6 Formation of the Hurricane Eye   Jonathan Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 9:15 AM 1B.7 A Study of Current Data Sets for Outer Wind Radii   Adam Moyer, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans 9:30 AM 1B.8 Objective identification of annular hurricanes using GOES and reanalysis data   Thomas A. Cram, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. A. Knaff, M. M. DeMaria, and J. P. Kossin
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Regency Grand Ballroom Session 1C Tropical Cyclones and Climate I - Theory and Modeling
Chairperson: James Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
8:00 AM 1C.1 The 80 cyclones myth   William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and G. S. Young 8:15 AM 1C.2 Interannual to Multidecadal variability of vertical shear in the tropics: Relationship with tropical cyclone activity   Anantha R. Aiyyer, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft   1C.3 PAPER WITHDRAWN   8:30 AM 1C.4 Tropical cyclone climatology in a global warming climate as simulated in a 20km–mesh global atmospheric model   Kazuyoshi Oouchi, AESTO/MRI, Yokohama, Japan; and J. Yoshimura, H. Yoshimura, R. Mizuta, S. Kusunoki, and A. Noda 8:45 AM 1C.5 Objective detection of tropical cyclones in climate models   Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and M. Fiorino, C. W. Landsea, and K. McInnes 9:00 AM 1C.6 Available potential energy sources in hurricanes and climate   Olivier Pauluis, New York Univ., New York, NY 9:15 AM 1C.7 Hurricane-ocean interactions during warm climates   Robert Korty, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 9:30 AM 1C.8 Could hurricanes form from random convection in a warmer world?   David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin and K. A. Emanuel
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 4-6 Session 1D Intraseasonal Variability I
Chairperson: Gary Barnes, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
8:00 AM 1D.1 The initiation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation   Pallav K. Ray, MPO/RSMAS, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL 8:15 AM 1D.2 Simulations of linear responses to Madden-Julian oscillation heatings   Zhe Feng, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and P. T. Haertel 8:30 AM 1D.3 Potential Vorticity Aspects of the MJO   Matthew T. Masarik, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert 8:45 AM 1D.4 A New Multiscale Model for the Madden–Julian Oscillation   Andrew Majda, New York Univ., New York, NY; and J. Biello 9:00 AM 1D.5 The role of meridional momentum flux in the IPEDS multiscale models of the Madden-Julian oscillation   Joseph A. Biello, University if California, Davis, Davis, CA; and A. J. Majda 9:15 AM 1D.6 Evaluating theories of convectively-coupled equatorial waves using observations of 2-day waves   Patrick T. Haertel, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and Z. Feng 9:30 AM 1D.7 The MJO problem in GCMs: What are the missing physics?   Jialin Lin, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO 9:45 AM 1D.8 Impact of explicit atmosphere–ocean coupling on tropical intraseasonal ocillations   Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR, Boulder, CO
	10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Cypress Session 2A The 2005 Atlantic season
Chairperson: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
10:30 AM 2A.1 Highlights of the unusually active 2005 Atlantic hurricane season-- A YEAR OF BREAKING RECORDS   Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and L. A. Avila 10:45 AM 2A.2 Precursor climate aspects of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season   Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and G. D. Bell and R. J. Pasch 11:00 AM 2A.3 On the record 2005 hurricane season   Greg J. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster 11:15 AM 2A.4 A comparison of the tropical disturbances that spawned Hurricanes Dennis, Emily, Katrina   Arlene Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO 11:30 AM 2A.5 Evaluation of WRF-ARW high-resolution tropical storm forecasts in 2005 season   Wei Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Davis, J. Klemp, G. Holland, and M. DeMaria 11:45 AM 2A.6 Katrina, Rita and Wilma: Met Office model forecasts   Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and G. Greed
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 1-3 Session 2B Tropical Cyclone Structure II
Chairperson: William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA
10:30 AM 2B.1 Tropical cyclone inner core energetics and its relation to storm structural changes   Katherine S. Maclay, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 10:45 AM 2B.2 THREE-DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURES OF TROPICAL CYCLONES OBSERVED BY MULTIPLE RADARS   Qingyun Zhao, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, California; and Y. Jin 11:00 AM 2B.3 Modeled secondary eyewall and spiral band dynamics   Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery 11:15 AM 2B.4 Evaluation of WindSat ocean vector wind retrievals in tropical cyclones   Ian S. Adams, Microwave Remote Sensing Consultants, Naval Research Lab; and Z. Jelenak, C. C. Hennon, and W. L. Jones 11:30 AM 2B.5 Performance evaluation of rain-corrected scatterometer winds in tropical cyclones   Deborah K. Smith, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and K. Hilburn and F. J. Wentz 11:45 AM 2B.6 Analyzing Tropical Cyclone Rain Shields According to Storm Size   Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Regency Grand Ballroom Session 2C Tropical Cyclones and Climate II - Extracting Signals from the Data
Chairperson: Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA
10:30 AM 2C.1 On the importance of reviewing historical tropical cyclone intensities   Bruce A. Harper, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Australia; and J. Callaghan 10:45 AM 2C.2 Deconvolution of natural internal variability and trends in the SST signal for the analysis of the increase of hurricane intensity   Paula A. Agudelo, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster, J. A. Curry, and G. J. Holland 11:00 AM 2C.3 On the variability of tropical cyclones and category shifts   L. J. Pietrafesa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and T. Karl, D. A. Dickey, L. Xie, T. Yan, S. Bao, and M. Peng 11:15 AM 2C.4 Annual Analyses of Basin and Hemispheric Tropical Cyclones Indices   David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. H. Lawrimore, B. Gleason, and T. W. R. Wallis 11:30 AM 2C.5 The Lengthiest Tropical Cyclone (TC) Record in the World: Analysis of Typhoon Occurrences Since 700 AD and its Relation with Atlantic Hurricane Occurrences, Global Temperature and Solar Activity   Jorge Sanchez-Sesma, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnologia del Agua, Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico 11:45 AM 2C.6 The Impact of Climate Change on Northwest Atlantic Extratropical Hurricanes and Winter Storms   William Perrie, Bedford Insitute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and J. Jiang and Z. Long
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 4-6 Session 2D Intraseasonal Variability II
Chairperson: Chidong Zhang, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:30 AM 2D.1 New modeling evidence of the MJO influence on ENSO   Javier Zavala-Garay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang 10:45 AM 2D.2 Seasonal dependence of the MJO-ENSO relationship   Harry Hendon, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and M. Wheeler and C. Zhang 11:00 AM 2D.3 Intraseasonal Kelvin waves and their relation with El Nino development   Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO 11:15 AM 2D.4 Adjustment of the remote tropical climate system to El Niño conditions   Benjamin R. Lintner, Unversity of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. C. H. Chiang 11:30 AM 2D.5 The role of equatorial Rossby waves in westerly wind bursts   Paul E. Roundy, NOAA/CIRES Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis 11:45 AM 2D.6 Interaction of the South Asian and West African monsoons on intraseasonal to multidecadal timescales   Dan C. Collins, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and P. J. Webster
	12:00 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Big Sur Session 3A Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones I
Chairperson: Sarah Jones, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany
1:30 PM 3A.1 Global temperature redistribution by recurving tropical cyclones: A wildcard in midlatitude winter forecasting   Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 1:45 PM 3A.2 The extratropical transitions of eastern Pacific Hurricane Lester (1992) and Atlantic Hurricane Andrew (1992): A comparison   Michael Dickinson, Accurate Environmental Forecasting Inc., Narragansett, RI; and L. F. Bosart and K. L. Corbosiero 2:00 PM 3A.3 Forecasting Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclone Intensification via Projection Pursuit   Oguz Demirci, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 2:15 PM 3A.4 Supertyphoon Dale (1996): A remarkable storm from birth through extratropical transition to explosive reintensification that impacted the tropics, midlatitudes and the Arctic   Eric P. Kelsey, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart 2:30 PM 3A.5 The impact of extratropical transition on the downstream flow: idealised modelling study   Michael Riemer, Universität Karlsruhe, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany 2:45 PM 3A.6 Hurricanes Ivan, Jeanne, Karl (2004) and mid-latitude trough interactions   Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. S. Peng, C. A. Reynolds, and R. H. Langland
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 1-3 Session 3B Tropical Cyclone Intensity I
Chairperson: Paul D. Reasor, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
1:30 PM 3B.1 The Intensity of Wind Gust Underneath Areas of Deep Eyewall Convection in Hurricanes Katrina and Dennis at Landfall   Richard G. Henning, 46th Weather Squadron, Eglin AFB, FL 1:45 PM 3B.2 Phenomenological analysis of forces in hurricane dynamics   Robert A. Dickerson, Independent Engineering Consultant, Zephyr Cove, Nevada 2:00 PM 3B.3 Effects of Baroclinicity and Different Initial Asymmetries on Vortex Axisymmetrization   Jiayi Peng, Internatinal Pacific Research Center,SOEST,University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng and T. Li 2:15 PM 3B.4 A transfer function model to predict hurricane intensity   Nazario D. Ramirez, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and J. M. Castro 2:30 PM 3B.5 A fresh look at tropical cyclone pressure-wind relationships using recent reconnaissance based "best-track" data (1998-2005)   Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and J. L. Franklin and C. Landsea 2:45 PM 3B.6 A device to control sea surface temperature and effects on hurricane intensity   Philip W. Kithil, Atmocean division of Advanced Safety Concepts, Inc., Santa Fe, NM
	1:30 PM-2:45 PM, Monday, Regency Grand Ballroom Session 3C Air-Sea Interaction I
Chairperson: Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:30 PM 3C.1 The Effect of the Ocean Eddy on Tropical Cyclone Intensity   Chia-Ying Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C.-C. Wu 1:45 PM 3C.2 Super cyclone boosters in the northwest Pacific Ocean   I.-I. Lin, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C.-C. Wu and I.-F. Pun 2:00 PM 3C.3 Loop Current Interactions to Hurricanes Isidore and Lili   Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn 2:15 PM 3C.4 Influence of the Loop Current ocean heat content on hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma   Benjamin Jaimes, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, E. Uhlhorn, T. M. Cook, J. Brewster, G. R. Halliwell, Jr., and P. G. Black 2:30 PM 3C.6 Improving Ocean State Initialization in Coupled Tropical Cyclone Forecast Models   George R. Halliwell, Jr., Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, E. W. Uhlhorn, S. D. Jacob, and O. M. Smedstad
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 4-6 Session 3D Intraseasonal Variability III
Chairperson: Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ., New York, NY
1:30 PM 3D.1 Buoy and Satellite Observations of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Variability in the Tropical Northeast Pacific   Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and S. K. Esbensen 1:45 PM 3D.2 Temporal clustering of tropical cyclone occurrence on intraseasonal time scales   Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA 2:00 PM 3D.3 A composite study of sub-monthly circulation features over East Asian monsoon area during late summer   Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H.-H. Hsu 2:15 PM 3D.4 Summer intraseasonal variability forecasting: Analysis of a serial numerical experiment and evaluation of slow manifold modeling   Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and H.-M. Kim 2:30 PM 3D.5 Simulation of the northward propagation of the 30-60 day oscillation by ECHAM T42 and T106   Chih-Hua Tsou, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y.-C. Chen and C.-T. Chen 2:45 PM 3D.6 Scale Selection for Tropical Bi-weekly and Intraseasonal Oscillations   Tim Li, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and C. Zhou
	3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Big Sur Session 4A Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones II
Chairperson: Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM 4A.1 Characteristics of North Atlantic subtropical storms   Mark P. Guishard, Penn State University, University Park, PA 3:45 PM 4A.2 Numerical modeling of Atlantic hurricanes moving into the middle latitudes   Chris Fogarty, Dalhousie University, MSC and Canadian Hurricane Centre, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and R. Greatbatch and H. Ritchie 4:00 PM 4A.3 Dynamical structures and precipitation distributions of transitioning tropical cyclones in Eastern Canada, 1979-2004   Shawn M. Milrad, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. Atallah and J. R. Gyakum 4:15 PM 4A.4 The importance of resolved microphysics to reintensification during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones   Brian J. Gaudet, Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and E. A. Ritchie 4:30 PM 4A.5 Sensitivity of ensemble forecasts of extratropical transition to initial perturbations targeted on the tropical cyclone   Doris Anwender, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and M. Leutbecher, S. Jones, and P. Harr 4:45 PM 4A.6 Dynamics of the wind field expansion with extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones   Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 5:00 PM 4A.7 Initial condition sensitivities for Western Pacific extratropical transition events   Ryan D. Torn, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 5:15 PM 4A.8 Evolution and global impacts of a diabatically-generated warm pool: Hurricane Katrina (2005)   Ron McTaggart-Cowan, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, J. R. Gyakum, and E. Atallah
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 1-3 Session 4B Tropical Cyclone Intensity II
Chairperson: Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO
3:30 PM 4B.1 Tropical Cyclone Response to Time Depandant, Axially Symmetric Heating   Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL 3:45 PM 4B.2 The role of the ocean in convective burst initiation: implications for tropical cyclone intensification   Paula Ann Hennon, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. B. Halverson 4:00 PM 4B.3 Inner Core Structure and Intensity Change in Hurricane Isabel (2003)   Peter J. Kozich, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen 4:15 PM 4B.4 The Impact of Multi-Satellite Data on the Initialization and Simulation of Hurricane Lili's (2002) Rapid Weakening Phase   Xiaoyan Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Q. Xiao and P. J. Fitzpatrick 4:30 PM 4B.5 Upgrades to the UW-CIMSS AMSU-based tropical cyclone intensity algorithm   Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden 4:45 PM 4B.6 The evolution of low-wavenumber vorticity during rapid intensification: A dual-Doppler analysis   Matthew D. Eastin, Central College, Pella, IA; and P. D. Reasor, D. S. Nolan, F. D. Marks, Jr., and J. F. Gamache 5:00 PM 4B.7 An Evaluation of the Microphysics Fields of Hurricane Dennis (2005) at Different Stages of Its Lifecycle   Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, P. Willis, R. Black, A. Heymsfield, A. Bansemer, and G. Heymsfield 5:15 PM 4B.8 The rapid intensification of Hurricane Guillermo (1997) as viewed with GPS dropwindsondes   Matthew Sitkowski, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and K. Dolling and G. Barnes
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Monday, Regency Grand Ballroom Session 4C Tropical Cyclones and Climate III - Trends
Chairperson: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO
3:30 PM 4C.1 Global warming and hurricanes   William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 3:45 PM 4C.2 Environmental Influences on Tropical Cyclone Variability and Trends   Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA 3:59 PM Paper 4C.3 moved to poster session 5. New Paper number P5.25   4:00 PM 4C.4 Trends in large-scale circulations and thermodynamic structures in the tropics derived from atmospheric reanalyses and climate change experiments   Junichi Tsutsui, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Japan; and H. L. Tanaka 4:15 PM 4C.5 Increasing Atlantic hurricane activity in prospect from global warming   Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. Lea 4:30 PM 4C.6 Leading Tropical Mode Associated with Increased Atlantic Hurricane Activity since 1995   Gerry Bell, NOAA/NWS/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Chelliah 4:45 PM 4C.7 Twentieth-century warming of the tropical Atlantic Main Development Region: a model-based assessment   Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Regency Grand BR 4-6 Session 4D Africa Weather and Climate
Chairperson: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
3:30 PM 4D.1 Easterly wave diagnostics   Gareth J. Berry, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and T. Hewson 3:45 PM 4D.2 The role of Kelvin wave activity on convection and rainfall over tropical Africa   Ademe Mekonnen, SUNY, Albany, NY 4:00 PM 4D.3 Subseasonal rainfall variability in the tropical eastern Atlantic-West African region   Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Adler 4:15 PM 4D.4 African aerosol and precipitation in the Atlantic ITCZ   Xiaoyu Liu, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang 4:30 PM 4D.5 Recent rainfall trends across tropical West Africa: Observations and potential causes   Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink 4:45 PM 4D.6 Robust response of Sahel precipitation to late 20th century forcings: natural or anthropogenic?   Michela Biasutti, LDEO, Palisades, NY; and A. Giannini 5:00 PM 4D.7 Tropical climate variations and their impacts on circulation and precipitation in the Northwest Indian Ocean - Northeast Africa - Southwest Asia region   Damon C. Vorhees, NPS, Monterey, CA; and T. Murphree and K. D. Pfeiffer 5:15 PM 4D.8 Diagnosis of African Easterly Wave Structure and Development using Quasi-Geostrophic Potential Vorticity   Daniel R. Chavas, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan
	5:30 PM, Monday Ice Breaker Reception (Peninsula Restaurant Terrace)
Tuesday, 25 April 2006
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday, Regency Grand BR 4-6 Session 5A RIsk Management
Chairperson: Sytske K. Kimball, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
8:00 AM 5A.1 How NWS Impact Statements Were Used to Communicate Imminent Danger from Severe Hurricanes   Barry S. Goldsmith, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL 8:15 AM 5A.2 Information forecasting for hurricane preparation   Eva Regnier, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. Harr 8:30 AM 5A.3 Hurricane Katrina's wind field: Synthesizing wind observations to construct an analysis of record   Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL 8:45 AM 5A.4 Event Response Activities for the Near-Real Time Assessment of Financial Losses in Landfalling Hurricanes   Richard Dixon, Risk Management Solutions, Inc., Newark, CA; and A. Boissonnade, T. Krebs, and A. O'Shay 9:00 AM 5A.5 Providing short-fused warnings for the onset of extreme hurricane winds—a final opportunity to minimize casualties   Scott M. Spratt, NOAA/NWSFO, Melbourne, FL; and B. C. Hagemeyer and D. L. Jacobs 9:15 AM 5A.6 Stochastic modeling of tropical cyclone track data   Jonas Rumpf, University of Ulm, Ulm, Germany; and E. Rauch, V. Schmidt, and H. Weindl 9:30 AM 5A.7 Gust factors in hurricane and non-hurricane conditions   Craig Miller, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada 9:45 AM 5A.8 Correlation of topographic speed-up factors and building damage ratios for Hurricane Fabian in Bermuda   Kimberly J. Mueller, Risk Management Solutions, Inc., Newark, CA; and C. Miller, K. Beatty, and A. Boissonnade
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Regency Grand Ballroom Session 5B Tropical Cyclone Database
Chairperson: Greg J. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:00 AM 5B.1 The Atlantic basin hurricane database re-analysis for the decades of the 1910s, 1920s, and 1930s   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and S. E. Feuer, D. A. Glenn, W. Bredemeyer, M. Chenoweth, R. Ellis, J. F. Gamache, C. J. Mock, R. Perez, J. D. Sims, and L. Woolcock 8:15 AM 5B.2 The Reasons for a Reanalysis of the Typhoons Intensity in the western North Pacific   Karl Hoarau, Cergy-Pontoise University, Cergy-Pontoise, France; and L. Chalonge and J. -. P. Hoarau 8:30 AM 5B.3 The urgent need for a re-analysis of western North Pacific tropical cyclones   Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam; and C. P. Guard 8:45 AM 5B.4 The tropical storms mailing list   William Thorson, Privacy NETWorks, Fort Collins, CO 9:00 AM 5B.5 Reanalysis of West Pacific tropical cyclone intensity 1966-1987   John A. Knaff, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. R. Sampson 9:15 AM 5B.6 The re-analysis of Hurricane Connie August 12, 1955 and Ione September 19,1955   Hugh D. Cobb, III, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL 9:30 AM 5B.7 Re-Analysis of the Great New England Hurricane of 1938   Donna Strahan, UNC Charlotte, Charlotte, NC   5B.8 PAPER WITHDRAWN
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Big Sur Session 5C Air-Sea Interaction II
Chairperson: Lynn K. (Nick) Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
8:00 AM 5C.1 Thermodynamic structure of a hurricane's lower cloud and subcloud layers   Gary M. Barnes, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 8:15 AM 5C.2 The Effects of Sea Spray on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Using an Idealized Model   Jeffrey S. Gall, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and Y. C. Kwon and W. Frank 8:30 AM 5C.3 Numerical study on impacts of the wet land boundary layer fluxes on the sustention of typhoon Nina and its rainfall   Ying Li, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science, Beijing, China; and L. Chen   5C.4 PAPER WITHDRAWN   8:45 AM 5C.5 The Effect of Roll Vortices on Turbulent Fluxes in the Hurricane Boundary Layer   Jun Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Key Bisayne, FL; and W. M. Drennan, S. Lehner, K. B. Katsaros, and P. G. Black 9:00 AM 5C.6 Mechanical energy and vorticity balances within the OML under tropical cyclones   Eric W. Uhlhorn, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS/MPO, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay 9:15 AM 5C.7 Effects of Surface Waves and Upper Ocean on Hurricane Structure and Intensity in a Fully Coupled Model   Wei Zhao, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen 9:30 AM 5C.8 Numerical simulation of the interaction from an ocean/land/atmosphere coupled model. Part I: results from the ocean/atmosphere coupled model   Yihong Duan, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and X. Liang and R. Yu
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Regency Grand BR 1-3 Session 5D Monsoons I
Chairperson: John Molinari, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
8:00 AM 5D.1 Seasonality in the predictability of Indonesian monsoonal climate   Alessandra Giannini, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction/Columbia University, Palisades, NY 8:15 AM 5D.2 Seasonal transitions of zonally symmetric circulations   William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA   5D.3 PAPER WITHDRAWN   8:30 AM 5D.4 The first transition of the Asian summer monsoon, intraseasonal oscillation, and Taiwan Meiyu   Chih-wen Hung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and H.-H. Hsu 8:45 AM 5D.5 The relationship between ENSO and East Asian Monsoon revealed by Taiwan climate variations   Mong-Ming Lu, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan 9:00 AM 5D.6 Interaction between South China Sea monsoon and Indian monsoon   Rosbintarti Kartika Lestari, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University, Japan, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and T. Iwasaki 9:15 AM 5D.7 Relationship between Amazon and High Andes rainfall   Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook 9:30 AM 5D.8 Using information content of coupled climate model simulations to generate multimodel projections of monsoon variability   Viatcheslav V. Tatarskii, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and D. C. Collins and P. Webster
	10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-11:45 AM, Tuesday, Regency Grand BR 4-6 Session 6A Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones III
Chairperson: Jenni L. Evans, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
6A.1 PAPER WITHDRAWN   10:30 AM 6A.2 Detecting tropical cyclone structural change with the TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR), Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU) and Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (MPA)   Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and F. J. Turk, C. B. Blankenship, and J. D. Hawkins 10:45 AM 6A.3 A Study on the Extratropical Transition of Typhoon Xangsane (2000)   C-S. Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K.-C. Lu 11:00 AM 6A.4 Asymmetric structure and maintenance in Hurricane Juan   Weiqing Zhang, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and W. Perrie 11:15 AM 6A.5 Adjoint-derived forecast sensitivity study of hurricane track and extratropical transition   Michael C. Morgan, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 11:30 AM 6A.6 The overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Danny (1997)   Nick P. Bassill, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan
	10:30 AM-12:30 PM, Tuesday, Regency Grand Ballroom Session 6B Tropical Cyclone Structure III - Eyewall Dynamics
Chairperson: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
10:30 AM 6B.1 Tropical cyclone multiple eyewall configurations   Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston, T. F. Lee, F. J. Turk, K. Richardson, C. Sampson, J. Kent, and R. Wade 10:45 AM 6B.2 Vortex interactions and the barotropic aspects of concentric eyewall formation   H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and W. H. Schubert 11:00 AM 6B.3 Inner core convective asymmetries and vortex Rossby waves in Atlantic basin tropical cyclones   Kristen L. Corbosiero, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Black, A. R. Aiyyer, and J. Molinari 11:15 AM 6B.4 The dynamics of the eyewall evolution in a landfalling typhoon   Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and H.-J. Cheng 11:30 AM 6B.5 A new pathway to polygonal eyewalls and asymmetric eyewall contraction   Pedro J. Mulero, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin 11:45 AM 6B.6 Concentric eyewall simulated in a fully compressible, nonhydrostatic, multiply nested, movable mesh tropical cyclone model (TCM4)   Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 12:00 PM 6B.7 The formation of concentric eyewall in hurricane Floyd (1999)   M.K. Yau, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and Y. Chen and M. T. Montgomery   6B.8 PAPER WITHDRAWN
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Big Sur Session 6C Air-sea Interaction III
Chairperson: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR
10:30 AM 6C.1 Development of a coupled hurricane-wave-ocean model toward improving air-sea flux parameterization in high wind conditions   Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I.-J. Moon, B. Thomas, T. Hara, H. L. Tolman, and M. A. Bender 10:45 AM 6C.2 Evaluation of Upper Ocean Mixing Parameterizations for use in Coupled Models   S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. M. Le Vine, L. K. Shay, G. R. Halliwell, C. Lozano, and A. Mehra 11:00 AM 6C.3 Oceanic Heat Content Variability in Eastern Pacific Ocean   Jodi K. Brewster, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay 11:15 AM 6C.4 Using AXBTs to improve the performance of coupled hurricane-ocean models   Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis, E. W. Uhlhorn, and A. Falkovich 11:30 AM 6C.5 The Asymmetry of Coastal Water Level Response to Landfalling Hurricanes Simulated by A Three-Dimensional Storm Surge Model   Machuan Peng, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and L. Pietrafesa 11:45 AM 6C.6 Local and non-local response of the Straits of Florida to tropical cyclones during 1999-2005   Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern Univ., Dania Beach, FL; and R. E. Dodge, T. Gustafson, M. E. Luther, and R. H. Weisberg
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Regency Grand BR 1-3 Session 6D Monsoons II
Chairperson: Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
10:30 AM 6D.1 A new conceptual model for the meridional circulation of the West African monsoon   Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and P. Woodworth 10:45 AM 6D.2 The onset of the West African monsoon: A numerical study   Samson M. Hagos, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York; and K. H. Cook 11:00 AM 6D.3 The development of intense convective systems in West Africa in wet and dry years, 1998-2005   Karen I. Mohr, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft 11:15 AM 6D.4 Rainfall types and associated vertical stability-shear weather regimes during the 2002 West African monsoon season   Andreas H. Fink, University of Cologne, Köln, Germany; and V. Ermert and D. G. Vincent 11:30 AM 6D.5 Nocturnal Stratiform Cloudiness and the Structure of the Atmosphere during the West African Summer Monsoon   Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and S. Augustyn and A. H. Fink 11:45 AM 6D.6 An unusual dry-season precipitation event over West Africa: The role of an extratropical upper-level disturbance for the heat low and a surge in the monsoonal southwesterlies   Peter Knippertz, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and A. H. Fink
	12:00 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM, Tuesday Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 1 Precipitation/Storm Surge/Flooding
P1.1 Effect of convective entrainment/detrainment on simulation of tropical precipitation diurnal cycle: A regional model sensitivity study   Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and L. Zhou and K. Hamilton P1.2 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P1.3 Precipitation response to environmental forcing in tropical cyclones   Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, huntsville, AL P1.4 Validation of Satellite-based Rainfall Estimates for Severe Storms (Hurricanes & Tornados)   Nasim Nourozi, NOAA-CREST/CUNY, New York, NY; and S. Mahani and R. Khanbilvardi P1.5 Evaluation of Satellite-Based Estimates of Precipitation In the Yucatan Region During Hurricane Wilma   F. J. Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and G. J. Huffman, R. Joyce, C. Kidd, and R. Kuligowski P1.6 PAPER WITHDRAWN
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 10 Tropical Convection, Clouds, and Rainfall
P10.1 Bias correction of rainfall simulation in east asia using a statistical-dynamic method   Jung-Lien Chu, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C.-T. Chen P10.2 Consistency check of TRMM rainfall estimates using a radiative transfer model   Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Japan; and H. Sasaki and K. Okamoto P10.3 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P10.4 Melting-layer cloud observed over the tropical western Pacific   Kazuaki Yasunaga, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and K. Yoneyama, H. Kubota, H. Okamoto, A. Shimizu, H. Kumagai, M. Katsumata, N. Sugimoto, and I. Matsui P10.5 The suppression of deep convection in the southwest Caribbean   Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond and D. Martinez P10.6 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P10.7 The tropical warm pool international cloud experiment (TWP-ICE)   James H. Mather, PNNL, Richland, WA P10.8 Impacts of model resolution on the statistical behavior of simulated convection   Olivier Pauluis, New York Univ., New York, NY; and S. T. Garner P10.9 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P10.10 Synoptic variability of the tropical convection over Central Africa   Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD), Paris, France; and J.-P. Duvel P10.11 Diurnal variation of radar echoes and their possible role of preconditioning the atmospheric humidity   Tomoki Ushiyama, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and R. Shirooka, H. Kubota, T. Chuda, K. Yoneyama, M. Katsumata, H. Yamada, M. Fujita, N. Satoh, K. K. Reddy, and H. Uyeda P10.12 A global, 2-hourly atmospheric precipitable water dataset from ground-based GPS measurements for diurnal cycle studies   Junhong Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Zhang and A. Dai P10.13 The diurnal cycle and propagation of deep convective clouds in Africa   Arlene Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and V. Levizzani and R. E. Carbone
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 11 Ocean-Atmosphere
P11.1 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P11.2 Sea surface temperature signatures of oceanic internal waves in low winds   J. Tom Farrar, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA; and C. Zappa, R. Weller, and A. T. Jessup P11.3 Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Perturbations Associated with Intraseasonal Oscillations of the Tropical Convection   Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. Vialard P11.4 Interannual Variability of Surface heat fluxes and upper ocean under stratus cloud decks in Souteast Pacific   Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO P11.5 Idealized hotspot experiments with a general circulation model   Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and A. H. Sobel P11.6 Dynamics of the Indian Ocean response to atmospheric intraseasonal oscillations   Sara Vieira, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo and P. J. Webster
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 12 Marine Boundary Layer
P12.1 Air-sea fluxes in Hurricane Frances (2004) from dropsonde data and a coupled model   Mélicie Desflots, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and W. Zhao P12.2 Toward an Emperical Relationship for the Dynamical Reponse of the 26 C Isotherm to TC Speed and Intensity   Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and H. R. Winterbottom P12.3 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P12.4 Wind patterns in FNL and MM5 simulations during the EPIC2001 project   Julio C. Marin, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and D. Raymond and G. B. Raga P12.5 Frictional decoupling and the inertial oscillation in stable marine atmospheric boundary layers   Costas Helmis, Univ. of Athens, Athens, Greece; and Q. Wang, G. Sgouros, and S. Wang P12.6 The dynamics of the shallow circulation and its associated moisture transport   David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang P12.7 Two-way coupled mesoscale air-sea interaction in hurricane Frances (2004) and Katrina (2005)   Hao Jin, SAIC, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, R. M. Hodur, and Y. Jin
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 2 The North American Monsoon
P2.1 Intercomparison of Diurnal Variability of Rainfall Retrieved from PERSIANN-CCS and NAME NERN Gage Measurements in North American Monsoon (NAM) area   Jiangtao Cheng, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and Y. Hong, X. Gao, K.-L. Hsu, and S. Sorooshian P2.2 Diurnal cycle of sea surface winds and temperatures during the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment   Brian D. McNoldy, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and P. E. Ciesielski and R. H. Johnson P2.3 The contribution of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones to the warn season rainfall climatology of the southwestern United States   Kristen L. Corbosiero, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Dickinson and L. F. Bosart P2.4 The impact of tropical cyclone remnants on the rainfall of the North American southwest region   Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and D. Szenasi P2.5 On the Relationship Between Horizontal Organization of Precipitating Systems, Easterly Waves and Gulf Surges   Gustavo Pereira, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge P2.6 Interannual variability of near-coastal eastern Pacific tropical cyclones   David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and E. A. Ritchie, A. V. Douglas, and M. D. Lewis
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 3 Tropical Cyclone Genesis
P3.1 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P3.2 What is the trigger for tropical cyclogenesis?   David S. Nolan, Rosenstiel School, Miami, FL P3.3 A numerical study of near-equatorial genesis of Typhoon Vamei   Christopher R. S. Chambers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li P3.4 Tropical cyclone energy dispersion in a three-timension model: upper tropospheric influence   Xuyang Ge, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li P3.5 Kinetic energy efficiencies of idealized developing tropical cyclones   Daniel P. Stern, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan P3.6 roles of cloud physics in development of tropical cyclone   Masahiro Sawada, Tohoku university, sendai, miyagi, Japan; and T. Iwasaki and S. Weiming P3.7 The development of QuikSCAT-derived surface vorticity during tropical cyclogenesis   Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and P. D. Reasor and M. A. Bourassa P3.9 Cyclogenesis and Tropical Transition in decaying frontal zones   Michelle L. Stewart, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa P3.10 Coherent disturbances in the tropics: Climatology, vertical structure and relationship with tropical cyclones   Anantha R. Aiyyer, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Molinari P3.11 Hurricane genesis study using WRF   Nelsie A. Ramos, Howard University, Washington, DC
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 4 Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity
P4.1 Consensus Estimates of Tropical Cyclone Intensity using Integrated Multispectral (IR and MW) Satellite Observations   Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. C. Herndon, J. Kossin, J. Hawkins, and M. DeMaria P4.2 The intensification of cyclones from asymmetric heating revisited: energetics and weakly nonlinear effects   Yumin Moon, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan P4.3 The Influence of Multi-Level Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclones   Brian H. Tang, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel P4.4 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P4.5 A Recalculation of MPI Using Upper—Ocean Depth—Averaged temperatures: climatology and Case Studies   Michael C. Watson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart P4.6 The Operational Challenges of Forecasting TC Intensity Change in the Presence of Dry Air and Strong Vertical Shear   Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb P4.7 The impact of environmental dry air and shear on the intensity of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005) before landfall   Steven E. Feuer, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion, J. Kaplan, and S. B. Goldenberg P4.8 The role of environmental inertial stability in tropical cyclone intensification: Symmetric environment   Eric D. Rappin, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. C. Morgan and G. J. Tripoli P4.9 Nonlinear interaction of axisymmetric circulation and nonaxisymmetric disturbances in hurricanes   Zhao Yu, Sr., Tianjin Meteorological Institutation, Tianjin, China; and L. Xiaoying P4.10 Doppler radar investigations of the inner core of Typhoon Songda (2004): Polygonal/ elliptical eyewalls, eye contraction, and small-scale spiral bands   Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and W. Mashiko P4.11 Gravity wave-like structures observed in onshore typhoon boundary layer of Typhoon Kirogi (2000)   Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Irie P4.12 Tropical Cyclone Wind Characteristics for the Bangladesh Coast Using Monte Carlo Simulation   Tanveerul Islam, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson P4.13 Analysis and Detection of Tornadoes Associated with Hurricane Emily   Kurt M. Van Speybroeck, NWS, Brownsville, TX; and M. Martin, Jr., A. Partick, and J. Haro P4.14 Investigating the boundary layer wind structure in numerically simulated landfalling hurricanes   John Walker, University of South Alabama, Moble, AL; and S. K. Kimball P4.15 Shear-Induced Vertical Circulations in Tropical Cyclones   Da-Lin Zhang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and C. Q. Kieu P4.16 A cloud-resolving simulation of Typhoon Rusa (2002) : Polygonal eyewall and mesovortices structure   Wataru Mashiko, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan P4.17 Dynamic Characteristics of Typhoon Vortex Spiral Wave and Its Translation: A Diagnostic Analysis   Xiangde Xu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and S. Zhang, L. Chen, and F. Wei P4.18 What Sets a Hurricane's Radius of Maximum Wind?   Agnieszka A. S. Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis P4.19 Validation of QuikSCAT wind retrievals in hurricanes   Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and D. G. Long and F. J. Wentz P4.20 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P4.21 A study on the intensity change of typhoon Nakri (0208) - observation and GDAPS data analysis   Baek-Jo Kim, MRI, Seoul, South Korea; and K. Kang, C.-H. Cho, and H.-S. Chung P4.22 Effects of Landfall location and teh approach angle of a cyclone encountering a mesoscale mountain range   Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. C. Savage, III and C. M. Hill P4.23 A closer look at tropical cyclones in vertical shear flow: Diabatic heating and vortex resliency   Paul D. Reasor, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. D. Eastin and D. S. Nolan
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 5 Tropical Cyclone Modeling and Prediction
P5.1 Application of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit products to NOGAPS hurricane initialization   Bing Fu, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li, M. S. Peng, T. Zhu, F. Weng, Sr., and T. F. Hogan P5.2 Impact of satellite observations and forecast model improvements on tropical cyclone track forecasts   James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Hogan P5.3 An internal tropical cyclone tracker for numerical models   Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin P5.4 The sensitivity of hurricane simulations to the distribution of vertical levels   F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball P5.5 Improving Hurricane Visualization   Henry R. Winterbottom, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou and G. Erlebacher P5.6 Evaluation of a tropical cyclone tracker for operational use with the COAMPS© regional model   Jeff Lerner, FNMOC, Monterey, CA; and A. Hergert and C. Dickerman P5.7 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P5.8 A recent history of the GFDN Tropical Cyclone Forecast Model   Carey L. Dickerman, FNMOC, Monterey, CA; and C. Dickerman P5.9 Test of a mesoscale model over the south west Indian ocean for cyclones analysis and prediction   Samuel Westrelin, Météo-France, Sainte Clotilde, La Réunion, France; and F. Ghislain, L. Berre, and J.-M. Willemet P5.10 Assessment of the Doppler Radar for Airport Weather (DRAW) system in Japan as a research tool for studying typhoon   Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan P5.11 Two cases illustrating limitations in forecasting tropical cyclones   Philippe Caroff, Météo-France, La Réunion, France; and A.-C. Fontan P5.12 Improvements in integrated satellite reconnaissance tropical cyclone fix accuracy   Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Tiyan, Guam; and T. P. Hendricks, J. A. Gibbs, and M. A. Lander P5.13 Hurricane Relocation in Global Ensemble Forecast System   Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord, N. Surgi, Y. Zhu, R. Wobus, Z. Toth, and T. Marchok P5.14 The Sensitivity of WRF Simulations of Hurricane Ivan to Choice of Cumulus Parameterization   Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann P5.15 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P5.16 Prediction of trends of tropical storms in the North Atlantic basin   Nazario D. Ramirez, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and J. M. Castro, J. Gonzalez, and M. Angeles P5.17 Assimilating Rain-Affected Microwave Radiances Withing Tropical Cyclones Using the COAMPS Adjoint Model   Clark M. Amerault, NRL, Monterey, CA P5.18 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P5.19 A Comparison of Tropical Cyclone Hydrometeor Profiles from TRMM, Airborne Radar, and High-resolution simulations   Robert Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Black, F. Marks, K. Valde, and S. S. Chen P5.20 Spatial and temporal variability of North Atlantic hurricane tracks   Tingzhuang Yan, Dept. of Marine. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, L. J. Pietrafesa, and T. R. Karl P5.21 Application of stochastic and deterministic modeling to hurricane wind risk assessment   Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and S. Ravela, E. Vivant, and C. Risi P5.22 Graphical mapping of tropical cyclone forecast wind probabilities worldwide   Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and P. Yuen P5.23 Seasonal prediction of typhoon activity in the Northwest Pacific basin   Adam S. Lea, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders P5.24 Temporal Variance of Typhoon Disasters in Recent Six Centuries in Shanghai and Preventing ,Mitigating Strategies   Ming Xu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and Q. Yang, Y. Duan, and M. Ying P5.25 Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Storms (Hurricanes)   Rouzbeh Nazari, NOAA-CREST, College (CCNY) at the City University of New York (CUNY), New York, NY; and S. Mahani and R. Khanbilvardi
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 6 Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones
P6.1 The extratropical transition of Tropical Storm Ophelia (2005): Summary of forecasts and meteorological observations   Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada P6.2 Medium-range to seasonal precursor conditions to higher latitude landfalls of extratropically transitioning hurricanes   Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart P6.3 Using ERA40 in Cyclone Phase Space to refine the classification of historical tropical storms   Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart P6.4 ERA40 and SSMI precipitation composites for cyclone phase space evolutions of extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones   Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. N. Maue P6.5 Warm seclusion cyclone climatology   Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart P6.6 ET frontal/surface wind evolution observed by QuikSCAT   Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL P6.7 Predictability associated with the downstream impacts of the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones   Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. Anwender and S. Jones P6.8 Structural changes of low level wind field of tropical cyclones in idealised extratropical transition scenarios   Michael Riemer, Universität Karlsruhe, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Hofheinz and S. C. Jones P6.9 Forecasting and Adaptive Observing Issues in Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones   David E. Kofron, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson and S. J. Majumdar P6.10 Synoptic Composites of the Extratropical Transition Lifecycle of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Factors Determining Post-Transition Evolution   Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. L. Evans and C. Evans
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Monterey Grand Ballroom Poster Session 7 The 2005 Atlantic Season
P7.1 Summary