* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
Ed Olenic, NCEP

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 10 January 2009
	7:30 AM-10:00 AM, Saturday Student Conference Badge Pick-up Only
Sunday, 11 January 2009
	7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday Annual Meeting Registration Begins
	12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, Northballroom A Weatherfest
	3:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, Room 130 First-Time Attendee Briefing
	5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Sunday, Room 130 Annual Meeting Review and Fellows Awards
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Hall 5 Fellows Reception
Monday, 12 January 2009
	7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday Registration Open
	8:30 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, Ballroom ABC Presidential Forum
	10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
	10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Room 129A Session 1A Year of Tropical Convection
Chairs: Duane E. Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; Mitch Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
10:45 AM 1A.1 Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC): A Joint WWRP and WCRP Activity to Address the Challenges of Multi-Scale Organized Convection   Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. W. Moncrieff 11:00 AM 1A.2 Convective organization and the Year of Tropical Convection (YoTC)   Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Waliser 11:15 AM 1A.3 The role of continental-scale landmass in monsoons—A GCM investigation   Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 11:30 AM 1A.4 Mesoscale organization of equatorial waves   George Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. N. Tulich 11:45 AM 1A.5 On the low-level moisture preconditioning of the Madden-Julian Oscillation   Baijun Tian, UCniv. of California, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, X. Xie, W. T. Liu, and E. J. Fetzer
	10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Room 129B Session 1B Role of land cover in climate and climate change
CoChair: Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC Chair: Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
10:45 AM 1B.1 Development of the Shrub Submodel for the Community Land Model-Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (CLM-DGVM)   Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng and M. Barlage 11:00 AM 1B.2 Climate, land use and urbanization: a case study in Xinjiang, China   Zhuoting Wu, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ; and H. Zhang, C. Krause, and N. Cobb 11:15 AM 1B.3 Climate change, cities, and the urban heat island   Mark McCarthy, UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and M. Best, R. Betts, and M. Hendry 11:30 AM 1B.4 Impact of land cover change on climatic variables in Central America   Vani Starry Manoharan, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. Welch, D. K. Ray, R. O. Lawton, T. L. Sever, D. Irwin, and R. Griffin 11:45 AM 1B.5 Land use change and temperature trends   Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. C. Peterson
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday, Room 132A Tim Oke Symp Luncheon
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, Room 129A Session 2 Year of Tropical Convection - II
Chairs: Duane E. Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; Mitch Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM P1.3 Resolution dependency of tropical convection in Goddard Cumulus Ensemble model   Ildae Choi, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and W. K. Tao and I. S. Kang 2.1 Lesson Learned from T-PARC 2008 over the western Pacific   Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 1:45 PM 2.2 Interaction of Convection and SST in the Formation and Disappearance of Double ITCZs in the NCAR CCSM3   Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and X. Song 2:00 PM 2.3 Extended-Range Predictions of Madden-Julian Oscillations with the Goddard Multi-scale Modeling System   Bo-Wen Shen, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao, J. D. Chern, C. Peters-Lidard, and J. L. Li 2:15 PM 2.4 On the importance of macrophysics and microphysics for precipitation in warm clouds - satellite observations and simple continuous collection modeling results   Terence L. Kubar, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and R. Wood and D. L. Hartmann
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 5 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 5 Poster Session 1 Year of Tropical Convection - posters
Chair: Duane E. Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA
P1.1 A comparison of the representation of cumulus convection in a global hydrostatic model and a limited-area non-hydrostatic model   Kengo Miyamoto, AESTO/JMA, Tokyo, Japan; and S. Kanada and M. Sugi   P1.2 Activities on the Field Experiments of Precipitation System around the East China Sea from 2006 to 2008   Dong-In Lee, Pukyong National University, Pusan, South Korea; and M. Jang, G. J. Seo, D. S. Kim, M. Kang, S. M. Jang, M. Kim, H. Uyeda, K. Tsuboki, M. Oue, and C. You
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 5 Poster Session 2 Role of land cover - posters
P2.1 Climate trends and urbanization   Benedicte Dousset, Hawaii Institute of Geophysics and Planetology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI   P2.2 Effects of soil wetness, plant litter, and under-canopy atmospheric stability on ground evaporation in the Community Land Model (CLM3.5)   Koichi Sakaguchi, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ ; and X. Zeng   P2.3 Assessing the influence of land development patterns on regional climate using regional circulation models   Guillermo A. Baigorria, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and D. W. Shin, J. W. Jones, J. L. Hernandez, and J. J. O'Brien   P2.4 MRI new land surface model HAL and the impacts on global climate   Masahiro Hosaka, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan   P2.5 Characterization of the Urban Heat Island at Buenos Aires city   Mariana Barrucand, CONICET, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and I. Camilloni and M. Rusticucci
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Room 121A Joint Session 9 Climate and Policy: From Local to Global (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research and the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Juliane Fry, Reed College, Portland, OR; Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Ryan M. Meyer, Consortium for Science, Policy, and Outcomes; Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
4:00 PM J9.1 Climate change and New York City's energy sector: evaluation of vulnerabilities, impacts and adaptation strategies   Stephen A. Hammer, Columbia University, New York, NY; and L. Parshall 4:15 PM J9.2 CCAP Urban Leaders Adaptation Initiative: Climate Resilient Local Governments   Josh Foster, Center for Clean Air Policy, Washington, DC; and S. Winkelman 4:30 PM J9.3 Applied science at the local government level—climate change science for planning professionals   Scott Shuford, UNCA, Asheville, NC; and G. Voos, J. Fox, M. McGuirk, S. K. LeDuc, and E. Shea 4:45 PM J9.4 Federal trial on California AB1493–CO2 emissions: Perspectives from the losing side   John Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL   J9.5 has been moved. New paper number 5.2A (4Policy)   5:00 PM J9.5A Politics, values, and decision making in US climate science   Ryan M. Meyer, Consortium for Science, Policy, and Outcomes; Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 5:15 PM J9.6 The Complexities of International Climate Policy   Marilyn Averill, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Room 129A Session 3 Global climate modeling: new frontiers
Chair: Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
4:00 PM 3.1 UK-HiGEM: A new high resolution coupled climate model   Len Shaffrey, NCAS-Climate, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. L. Vidale and J. Slingo 4:15 PM 3.2 Assessing the diurnal cycle of precipitation in a prototype multi-scale climate model   Michael S. Pritchard, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville and J. O. Roads 3.3 PAPER WITHDRAWN   4:30 PM 3.3A Simulating the effects of climate change on parameters for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin   George L. Limpert, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. L. Perrin and A. R. Lupo 4:45 PM 3.4 Climate change projections with observation-based interannual variability   David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 5:00 PM 3.5 New Metrics for Evaluation of Cloud Simulations in Climate Models   Hui Su, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. H. Jiang, G. L. Stephens, A. Gettelman, and X. Huang 5:15 PM 3.6 Can melting Greenland Ice Sheet cool global climate   Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl and W. Han
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Hall 4 Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception
Tuesday, 13 January 2009
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Room 127BC Joint Session 1 Advances in Atmospheric Reanalysis—I (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Hydrology and the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Chair: Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD
8:30 AM J1.1 The evolution of tropical easterly waves across Central America and Mexico: Comparisons of historical radiosonde measurements with reanalyses   Yolande Serra, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. N. Kiladis 8:45 AM J1.2 Dynamically-downscaled global reanalyses to resolve mesoscale variability in precipitation statistics and their association with large scale circulations   James O. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. L. Rife, J. A. Grim, and A. Monaghan 9:00 AM J1.3 Winter season forecast experiments with the NCEP coupled forecast system (CFS) using different land models and different initial land states   Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and J. Meng 9:15 AM J1.4 Comparison of ERA-Interim and ERA-40 reanalyses with observations over river basins   Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and M. Koehler and Y. Zhang 9:30 AM J1.5 Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) global water and energy budgets   Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and F. R. Robertson and J. Chen
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Room 129A Session 4 Monsoons
Chair: Rosana Nieto-Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
8:30 AM 4.1 Comparisons of Cloud Water Content between CloudSat Estimates and ECMWF Analyses over Asian Monsoon Region and Tibet   Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, C. P. Woods, H. H. Hsu, C. H. Wu, J. Y. Yu, W. W. Tung, Y. C. Wang, A. M. Tompkins, and M. Köhler 8:45 AM 4.2 On the Predictability of Summer Monsoon Depressions over South Asia   Yi-Chi Wang, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung 9:00 AM 4.3 Seasonal variations of snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau and ultimate effects on the East Asian summer monsoon   Li Xu, George Mason University, Calverton, MD 9:15 AM 4.4 The relation between the Tibetan snow in spring and the East Asia summer monsoon circulation in 2003: A modling study   Song You Hong, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and K. H. Seol 9:30 AM 4.5 Vertical Cloud Water Structures of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Variability Based on CloudSat Observations   Xianan Jiang, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, J. L. Li, and C. P. Woods
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Hall 5 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (See poster listing in Monday's program)
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Hall 5 Poster Session 3 Global dynamics and prediction - posters
P3.1 Comparisons of Satellites Liquid Water Estimates with ECMWF and GMAO Analyses, 20th Century IPCC AR4 Climate Simulations, and GCM Simulations   Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, C. P. Woods, J. Teixeira, J. Bacmeister, J. D. Chern, B. W. Shen, and A. M. Tompkins   P3.2 Progress in Reconstructing 20th Century Oceanic Precipitation   Phillip A. Arkin, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and T. M. Smith and M. R. P. Sapiano   P3.3 Additive effect of two solar forcing mechanisms and influences on tropical Pacific climate   Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Arblaster, F. Sassi, and K. Matthes   P3.4 Variance Scaling of Temperature and Water Vapor from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder and Cloud Water Content from CloudSat   Brian H. Kahn, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. Teixeira and E. J. Fetzer   P3.5 Future change in Northern Hemisphere wintertime atmospheric blocking simulated by a 20-km mesh atmospheric global circulation model   Mio Matsueda, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and R. Mizuta and S. Kusunoki   P3.6 has been moved. New paper 7A.4A     P3.7 Global shortwave aerosol radiative effect over land from Terra and Aqua   Thomas A. Jones, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and S. A. Christopher   P3.8 Modeling the ability of the atmosphere to regain an equilibrium state following carbon dioxide-induced forcing   Brittany L. Perrin, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and G. L. Limpert and A. R. Lupo   P3.9 has been moved. New paper 3.3A     P3.10 Eastern Australian Dust Storm Variability: Result of Multidecadal Pacific Climate System Forcing with Climate Change Implications   Peter J. Lamb, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma; and L. M. Leslie, R. P. Timmer, and M. S. Speer   P3.12 Diurnal cycle of surface radiation budget and regional climate   Pamela E. Mlynczak, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and P. W. Stackhouse P3.11 PAPER WITHDRAWN     P3.13 A GCM-based analysis of circulation controls on del18O in the southwest Yukon, Canada: implications for climate reconstructions in the region   Robert Field, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and G. W. K. Moore and G. Holdsworth   P3.14 Seasonal prediction with CCSM3.0: general skill assessment and impact of land surface initialization   James L. Kinter III, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. Paolino, D. M. Straus, B. P. Kirtman, and D. Min   P3.15 Large scale variability in the Arctic cloud and radiative climatology   Neil Barton, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. E. Veron   P3.16 Ensuring Consistency Between NWS National and Local 3 Month Temperature Outlooks   Marina M. Timofeyeva, UCAR, Boulder, CO and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Hollingshead and D. A. Unger   P3.17 SCALE AND STABILITY ANALYSIS OF SELECTED ATMOSPHERIC BLOCKING EVENTS   Athar Hussain, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Hall 5 Poster Session 4 Tropical cyclones and monsoons - posters
P4.1 Decadal Change in the Relationship between East Asian-Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon System and ENSO in the Mid-1990s   So-Young Yim, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and J. G. Jhun and S. W. Yeh   P4.2 Effects of duyrnal cycles on the simulated precipitation associated with Asian summer monsoon circulation   Song You Hong, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and M. Kanamitsu and J. E. Kim   P4.3 Structure and evolution of the North American monsoon in Arizona: observational and modeling study   Dorothea Ivanova, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott, AZ; and C. N. James and P. Grey   P4.4 Simulations of present-day tropical cyclone climatology and their temporal variability associated with ENSO with a 20-km-mesh high-resolution AGCM   Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and J. Yoshimura and B. Wang P4.5 The Precipitation Climatology for the Eyewalls of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones at Landfall   Maher Amin Haddad, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Greensboro, NC   P4.6 The impact of tropical cyclone size on North Atlantic ACE and PDI   Angela M. Fritz, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. I. Belanger and J. A. Curry   P4.7 Assessing tropical cyclone contribution to annual global rainfall   Christopher L. Williams, SOARS/UCAR, Atlanta, GA; and F. D. Marks   P4.8 Modeling hurricane hazard in the United States using regression trees   Roshanak Nateghi, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and S. M. Quiring and S. D. Guikema
	11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday Exhibits Open
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 127BC Joint Session 4 Advances in Atmospheric Reanalysis—II (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Hydrology and the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Chair: Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD
11:00 AM J4.1 The interrelationships among water and energy parameters in reanalyses   Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich 11:15 AM J4.2 Atmospheric water cycle component interactions in the NCEP North American Regional Reanalysis   A.C. Ruane, NASA/GISS and Oak Ridge Associated Universities, New York, NY 11:30 AM J4.3 The Multi-Source Analysis of Precipitation (MSAP)   Phillip A. Arkin, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. R. P. Sapiano and T. M. Smith 11:45 AM J4.4 The Twentieth Century reanalysis project   Gilbert P. Compo, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and J. Whitaker and P. D. Sardeshmukh
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 129A Session 5 Monsoons - II
Chair: Rosana Nieto-Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
11:00 AM 5.1 Analyzing occurrences and vertical structures of hydrometeors over the Asian summer monsoon regions and the Tibetan Plateau region using CloudSat/CALIPSO data   Yali Luo, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, , China; and R. Zhang and H. Wang 11:15 AM 5.2 Mechanisms for temporal and spatial variations of South America Monsoon Onset gleaned from TRMM observations of convective structure   Thomas M. Rickenbach, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and R. Nieto-Ferreira, S. W. Nesbitt, and D. Herdies 11:30 AM 5.3 Radar observations of convective system variability and interaction with African easterly waves in the West African Sahel region   Rosana Nieto-Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and T. M. Rickenbach, N. Guy, and E. R. Williams 11:45 AM 5.4 Mechanisms of increasing North Indian Ocean and the Indian subcontinent precipitation after major El Nino events   Hyo Seok Park, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA; and J. C. H. Chiang, B. R. Lintner, and G. J. Zhang
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 129B Joint Panel Discussion 2 Climate services (Joint between the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research)
Panelists: Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather Inc., State College, PA; Eric Barron, NCAR, Boulder, CO; James Buizer, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; Anton F. Haffer, NOAA/NWSFO, Phoenix, AZ Moderator: Eileen Shea, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Honolulu, HI
Topic: Special Challenges for Climate Services to Cities in a Changing Climate.
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 126A Joint Session 7 Climate Variability in Coastal Zones (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes and the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC ; Darko Koracin, DRI, Reno, NV
1:30 PM J7.1 Variations in Large-Scale Circulation Affecting Extreme Hurricane-Generated Waves and Surges in the Gulf of Mexico   Donald T. Resio, ERDC, Vicksburg, MS; and E. A. Orelup and D. H. Levinson 2:00 PM J7.2 Impact of Land Cover Land Use Changes on a Sea Breeze Dominated Climate in the Tropics   Daniel E. Comarazamy, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and J. E. Gonzalez and E. Harmsen 2:15 PM J7.3 Coastal process research in Alaska   David E. Atkinson, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK 2:45 PM J7.4 Detecting the impacts of climate change on precipitation extremes for southern coastal Alaska   David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. C. Kruk
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 129A Session 6 Global dynamics and processes
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, Univ. of California Davis, Davis, CA
1:30 PM 6.1 Stochastic processes in climate modeling: from Lorenz to the El-Nińo recharge oscillator and beyond   Michael Ghil, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. D. Chekroun and E. Simonnet 1:45 PM 6.2 Evaluating the physics of climate models using satellite observations and high-resolution models: the GCSS/WGNE Pacific Cross-section Intercomparison (GPCI)   Joao Teixeira, JPL, Pasadena, CA 2:00 PM 6.3 Observed Relationships between Global Precipitation and Surface Temperature on Inter-annual and Longer Time Scales   Robert F. Adler, ESSIC, University of Maryland, College Park and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Gu and G. J. Huffman 2:15 PM 6.4 Water vapor variability on daily to decadal timescales   T. H. Vonder Haar, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Forsythe 2:30 PM 6.5 Sensitivity of Global Warming Prediction to Surface Latent Heat Flux: Relative Humidity Feedback   Jian (Tony) Ma, AGU, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie and I. Richter
	3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Hall 4 Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
	3:30 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday, Room 129A Session 7A Global dynamics and processes - II
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, Univ. of California Davis, Davis, CA
3:30 PM 7A.1 Decadal variability in surface solar irradiance observed in the NASA/GEWEX Surface Radiation Budget data set   Laura M. Hinkelman, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. W. Stackhouse, S. J. Cox, and T. Zhang 3:45 PM 7A.2 Characterizing warm-ENSO variability in the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective   Andrew M. Chiodi, NOAA/PMEL/JISAO, Seattle, WA; and D. E. Harrison 4:00 PM 7A.3 Dynamical Self-Organization Processes for NAO   Hongli Ren, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin and J. S. Kug 4:15 PM 7A.4A Impact of the Arctic Oscillation on ENSO-precipitation teleconnections across the eastern USA   Dagmar Budikova, Illinois State University, Normal, IL 7A.4 The Influence of ENSO on the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events in South America   Alice M. Grimm, Federal University of Parana, Curitiba, Parana, Brazil; and R. G. Tedeschi 4:30 PM 7A.5 Observed and simulated influence of rainy-region SST on the tropical upper tropospheric humidity (UTH)   Hui-Wen Chuang, Univerisity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and X. Huang 4:45 PM 7A.6 Variability in Meridional Overturning Circulation and Thermohaline Structure Detected From Argo/GTSPP/MOODS/OSCAR Data   Peter C. Chu, NPS, Monterey, CA; and L. C. Sun and C. Fan 5:00 PM 7A.7 The ENSO signal in stratospheric temperatures from radiosonde observations   Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD 5:15 PM 7A.8 Relationship between sea Ice, land surface temperature, and vegetation in the Arctic coastal zone   Uma Bhatt, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and D. Walker, M. Raynolds, and J. Comiso 5:30 PM 7A.9 SCALE AND STABILITY ANALYSIS OF AN UNUSUALLY PROLONGED AND A MODERATELY EXTREME BLOCKING EVENT LEADING TO HEAT WAVE IN GULF OF ALASKA DURING AUGUST 2004   Athar Hussain, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, Room 129B Session 7B Tropical cyclones
Chair: Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
3:30 PM 7B.1 An overview of the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) project   Michael C. Kruk, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and K. Knapp, D. Levinson, H. Diamond, and J. P. Kossin 3:45 PM 7B.2 The Atlantic basin hurricane database re-analysis for the decades of the 1920s and 1930s   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL 4:00 PM 7B.3 The dynamic warm pool: A new paradigm for understanding the role of the tropics in the global heat balance   Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos 4:15 PM 7B.4 Evolution of the tropical dynamical warm pool and modulation of the intensity and numbers of tropical cyclones   Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster 4:30 PM 7B.5 Impact of global warming on tropical cyclone structure change with a 20km-mesh high-resolution global model   Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and A. Kitoh 4:45 PM 7B.6 Modulation of tropical cyclones by natural modes of large-scale climate variability   Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo and M. C. Wheeler 5:00 PM 7B.7 Aircraft measurement of the probability distribution of precipitation rate and liquid water content in the hurricane: measurement and model criteria for prescription of a variable moisture climate   Robert A. Black, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. Hallett 5:15 PM 7B.8 Variability of tornadoes induced by U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones   James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, J. A. Curry, and B. A. Miller
Wednesday, 14 January 2009
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, Room 125A Joint Session 2 Applications of artificial learning techniques in climate variability, especially as it relates to the urban environment (Joint between the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the Seventh Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences)
Cochairs: William W. Hsieh, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC Canada; Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
8:30 AM J2.1 (Invited Speaker) Using Neural Networks in Numerical Climate and Weather Forecast Systems   Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, NCEP/NWS/NOAA (SAIC), Camp Springs, MD 8:45 AM J2.2 Fast neural network emulations of long wave radiation for the NCEP Climate Forecast System Model: seasonal prediction and climate simulation   Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, NCEP/NWS/NOAA (SAIC), Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Fox-Rabinovitz, S. J. Lord, Y. T. Hou, and A. A. Belochitski 9:00 AM J2.3 Major Influences of Circulation Patterns on Temperatures in the Italian Side of the Greater Alpine Region: an Investigation via Neural Network Modeling   Antonello Pasini, CNR, Rome, Italy; and R. Langone 9:15 AM J2.4 Statistical seasonal prediction of extreme precipitation in winter over Canada   Zhen Zeng, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. Shabbar 9:30 AM J2.5 Post-processing GCM forecasts of seasonal extreme climate using machine learning methods   Joel Finnis, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh, Z. Zeng, A. Shabbar, W. Merryfield, and H. Lin
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, Room 129A Session 8A Prediction of climate on seasonal to decadal timescales
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
8:30 AM 8A.1 A filtered model of convectively coupled waves associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation   Alex Omar Gonzalez, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. Schubert and M. T. Masarik 8:45 AM 8A.2 Role of stochastic forcing in ENSO variability in a coupled GCM   Atul Kapur, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang and J. Zavala-Garay 9:00 AM 8A.3 Characterizing the Space-Time Modes of Instability Propagation at the Global Scale in a 16-year GCM Simulation   Kun Tao, Duke University, Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros 9:15 AM 8A.4 Do extratropical stormtracks substantially feed back on the response to ENSO ?   Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin 9:30 AM 8A.5 El Nińo signal in American midwest precipitation   Cécile Penland, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Matrosova 9:45 AM 8A.6 A multi-model comparison of low-level circulation and precipitation variability in U.S. CLIVAR idealized SST experiments   Scott Weaver, NOAA Climate Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Schubert and H. Wang
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, Room 129B Session 8B Observed changes in climate
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM 8B.1 Removing ENSO-related variations from the climate record   Gilbert P. Compo, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO ; and P. D. Sardeshmukh 8:45 AM 8B.2 Is climate change inducing a more volatile climate?   Peter Dailey, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and G. Zuba and I. M. Dima 9:00 AM 8B.3 The response of the equatorial Pacific Ocean to global warming   Kristopher B. Karnauskas, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and R. Seager, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir, and M. Cane 9:15 AM 8B.4 North Atlantic warming: Patterns of long-term trend and multidecadal variability   Igor Polyakov, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and V. Alexeev, U. Bhatt, E. Polyakova, and X. Zhang 9:30 AM 8B.5 Spatial and temporal trends in Arctic temperature climate data records   Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO 8B.6 Long-term variability of the East Asian summer precipitation   Jong-Ghap Jhun, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and B. K. Moon and M. Kwon 9:45 AM 8B.6A Homogenizing the Russian Federation upper air climate record by adjusting radiosonde temperatures and dew points for instrument changes   Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX
	10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Room 129A Session 9A Prediction of climate on seasonal to decadal timescales - II
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
10:30 AM 9A.1 Can large scale climate controls help predict seasonal tornado activity?   Brittany L. Perrin, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and K. Hughes and A. R. Lupo 10:45 AM 9A.2 Predictibility of seasonal and interannual variability from the long term trend: Defining the climate state   Dan C. Collins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. A. Unger and E. A. O'Lenic 11:00 AM 9A.3 NAEFS/GEFS extended forecast   Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, D. Hou, M. Peńa, Q. Zhang, and J. Gottschalck 11:15 AM 9A.4 Seasonal prediction with CCSM3.0: Role and dynamics of circulation regimes   David M. Straus, George Mason University, Beltsville, MD; and D. Paolino 11:30 AM 9A.5 Decadal predictability of North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures   Grant Branstator, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng 11:45 AM 9A.6 North pacific gyre oscillation synchronizes climate fluctuations in the eastern and western north pacific   Lina I. Ceballos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo, N. Schneider, and C. D. Hoyos
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Room 129B Session 9B Observed changes in climate - II
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
10:30 AM 9B.1 Snowfall changes in California's Sierra Nevada Mountains   John Christy, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. J. Hnilo 10:45 AM 9B.2 A Practical Guide for Detecting Abrupt Changes in Time Series   Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO 11:00 AM 9B.3 On improving NOAA's climate normals: an introduction to ‘optimal normals' of temperature   Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. S. Vose 11:15 AM 9B.4 Inferring Significance of Trend and Adaptive Detrending of Complex Climate Time Series   Wen-Wen Tung, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and J. Gao and J. Hu 11:30 AM 9B.5 False spring occurrence over the southeastern United States, 1901 – 2007   Garrett P. Marino, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA; and D. Kaiser 11:45 AM 9B.6 Observed and Modeled Surface-based Temperature Inversions in Alaska: Trends and Variability   Stefanie M. Bourne, Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and U. S. Bhatt, J. Zhang, and R. Thoman
	11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Wednesday Exhibits Open
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 121A Joint Panel Discussion 3 Developing a National Climate Service (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research and the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Panelists: Chet Koblinsky, NOAA CPO, Silver Spring, MD; Jonathan Overpeck, University of Arizona; Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; Kelly Redmond, Western Regional Climate Center, Reno, NV Moderator: Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR
1:30 PM Moderator Overview   Phillip A. Pasteris, Global Water Resources, Portland, OR
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 129A Joint Session 3 Distributed Earth Science Information Systems (Joint between the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 25th Conference on International Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)
Cochairs: Nancy Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; Kenneth Carey, Noblis, Falls Church, VA
J3.1 An Advanced Next Generation Archival and Distribution System for Global Atmospheric Science Research   Nancy A. Ritchey, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and J. M. Kusterer 1:30 PM J3.2 A distributed information and architecture system for integrating operational data and product providers into the Global Earth Observing System of Systems (GEOSS)   Ronald P. Lowther, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Bellevue, NE; and M. Brill, B. Puetz, and M. Mayorga 1:45 PM J3.3 Compression and Relay Management System as Applied to Gridded FX-Net, and an Update on Wavelet Compression   Jebb Q. Stewart, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and N. Wang, E. Polster, and S. Schranz 2:00 PM J3.4 Online Visualization and Analysis of Global Half-hourly Pixel-Resolution Infrared Dataset   Zhong Liu, George Mason University/CEOSR, Fairfax, VA and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga, G. G. Leptoukh, and A. V. Mehta
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 129B Session 10 Prediction of climate on seasonal to decadal timescales - III
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM 10.1 Decadal Climate Information for Water Management Applications   Kathy Jacobs, Arizona Water Institute, Tucson, AZ; and L. Goddard 1:45 PM 10.2 A comparison of high frequency climate of the 20th century IPCC model runs to observations   Justin J. Hnilo, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Christy 2:00 PM 10.3 Seasonal prediction of Southeast Indian Ocean tropical cyclone activity   Kevin H. Goebbert, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie and M. B. Richman 2:15 PM 10.4 Improving Seasonal Predictions of Climate Variability and Water Availability at the Catchment Scale   Matthew B. Switanek, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. A. Troch and C. L. Castro
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 5 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 5 Poster Session 5 Climate trends and extremes
P5.1 Climate change in the sub-antarctic: an illustration from Heard Island   Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia   P5.2 Comparison of precipitation change estimates across the U.S. - Canadian border   Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight and D. R. Easterling   P5.3 Trends in the variability of daily high temperatures in the Southeast   Walter Martin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and T. Hoffman, C. Helm, and C. Fugle   P5.4 has been moved to new paper 8B.6A     P5.5 Variations and trends in extreme cold airmasses over northern North America   Isaac E. Hankes, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. E. Walsh   P5.6 Perspectives on temperature trends and variability from the first U.S. climate reference network stations   Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. H. Lawrimore   P5.7 Analysis of expected change of extreme climate indices in the Carpathian basin by 2071-2100   Rita Pongrácz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy and P. Szabó   P5.8 Changes in freezing rain patterns in the South Central United States   Timothy A. Bonin, National Weather Center Research Experience for Undergraduates, Valparaiso, IN; and D. S. Arndt   P5.9 Tornado frequency and its large-scale environments over Ontario, Canada   Zuohao Cao, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and H. Cai   P5.10 An examination of the long-term variability of frost-free season in the Contiguous United States   Jose Maliekal, The College at Brockport, Brockport, NY; and N. Damyanov   P5.11 The exponential increase in anthropogenic atmospheric carbon dioxide and its relation to human population growth   David J. Hofmann, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Hall 5 Poster Session 6 Seasonal-interannual variability
P6.1 Surface energy budget and boundary layer cloud development over the United States Mid-Atlantic region   Cassie A. Stearns, Howard University, Beltsville, MD; and E. L. Joseph, J. D. Fuentes, M. L. Robjhon, G. A. Davis, M. Adam, and T. Dejene   P6.2 Climatic Variability and Its Trend Over Different Regions of Bangladesh   Mohammad Shohrab Hossain Sarker, vrije Universiteit Brussel Belgium, London, United Kingdom   P6.3 Northward propagation of the subseasonal variability over the eastern Pacific warm pool   Xianan Jiang, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser   P6.4 A climatology of apparent temperature   Peter A. Browning, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and B. P. Walawender   P6.5 Seasonal variation of the atmospheric component of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation   Catrin M. Mills, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. E. Walsh   P6.6 Diurnal and seasonal wind variability for selected stations in central and northern california climate regions   Charles J. Fisk, Naval Base Ventura County, Point Mugu, CA
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 126A Joint Session 5 Geographic Effects on Urban Weather and Climate (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, the Timothy R. Oke Symposium, the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research, the Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment, the 23rd Conference on Hydrology, and the Fourth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data)
Chair: William T. Thompson, NRL, Monterey, CA
4:00 PM J5.1 Assessing sea breeze and heat island interactions using coastal-urban mesoscale ensembles   Teddy R. Holt, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Pullen 4:30 PM J5.2 Urban effects on Sea Breeze Circulation over Huston, TX   Kazuyuki Ota, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair, W. A. Petersen, L. D. Carey, and T. E. Nobis 4:45 PM J5.3 Variable impacts and differential response to flash flooding in the Paso del Norte metroplex (El Paso, Texas, USA / Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, Mexico)   Thomas E. Gill, University of Texas, El Paso, TX; and T. W. Collins and D. J. Novlan 5:00 PM J5.4 Modeling and forecasting lee side spillover precipitation resulting in major flooding in an urban valley location   Michael L. Kaplan, DRI, Reno, NV; and P. J. Marzette, C. S. Adaniya, K. C. King, and S. J. Underwood 5:15 PM J5.5 The evolution of lake-effect clouds and snow across Lake Michigan   Faye E. Barthold, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and D. A. R. Kristovich
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 129A Session 11A Climate Change Science Program Report 3.3
Chair: Klaus Wolter, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM 11A.1 CCSP 3.3: why weather and climate extremes matter   Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. M. Anderson, S. Cohen, M. Cortez-Vazquez, R. J. Murnane, C. Parmesan, D. Phillips, R. Pulwarty, and J. M. R. Stone 4:15 PM 11A.2 CCSP 3.3: observed changes in weather and climate extremes   Kenneth Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and P. Bromirski, H. E. Brooks, T. Cavazos, A. V. Douglas, D. R. Easterling, K. A. Emanuel, P. Y. Groisman, G. J. Holland, T. Knutson, J. P. Kossin, P. Komar, D. Levinson, and R. Smith 4:30 PM 11A.3 CCSP 3.3: Causes of Observed Changes in Extremes and Projections of Future Changes   William J. Gutowski Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and G. Hegerl, G. J. Holland, T. R. Knutson, L. O. Mearns, R. J. Stouffer, P. J. Webster, M. F. Wehner, and F. W. Zwiers 4:45 PM 11A.4 CCSP3.3: Measures to improve our understanding of weather and climate extremes   David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. Cohen, W. J. Gutowski, G. J. Holland, K. E. Kunkel, R. S. Pulwarty, and M. F. Wehner
	4:15 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Room 129B Session 11B Seasonal-interannual variability - I
Chair: Juliane Fry, Reed College, Portland, OR
4:15 PM 11B.1 Dry and wet periods in the Northwestern Maghreb for present day and future climate conditions   Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and M. Christoph, K. Born, and H. Paeth 4:30 PM 11B.2 The climate of 2008 in historical perspective   Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and K. Gleason, K. Shein, A. Sanchez-Lugo, M. J. Brewer, and E. Godfrey 5:00 PM 11B.3 The 2007/08 La Nina Cycle: Evolution and Prediction   Yan Xue, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and B. Huang, W. Wang, A. Kumar, P. Pegion, and M. LHeureux 5:15 PM 11B.4 Seasonal climate variability resulting from extreme Arctic ridging during a major reconfiguration of the North Pacific atmospheric circulation from late November to early December 2007   Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart 5:30 PM 11B.5 A new and improved Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI)   Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and M. Timlin
	5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday, Hall 4 Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
	7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday, Northballroom AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 15 January 2009
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, Room 129B Session 12B Climate and weather extremes
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM 12B.1 Characteristics of the top ten snowstorms at first order stations in the U.S   Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. Changnon 8:45 AM 12B.2 The frequency distribution of daily precipitation over the United States   Emily J. Becker, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. H. Berbery and R. W. Higgins 9:00 AM 12B.3 Seasonal and regional variations of U.S. trends in extreme precipitation frequency   Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and M. A. Palecki, R. Smith, L. Ensor, and D. R. Easterling 9:15 AM 12B.4 Signal detectability in extreme precipitation changes assessed from twentieth century climate simulations   Seung-Ki Min, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and X. Zhang, F. W. Zwiers, P. Friederichs, and A. Hense 9:30 AM 12B.5 Diagnosing the synoptic influences driving changes in climate extremes over southern Australia during the last century   Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia
	8:45 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, Room 129A Session 12A Seasonal-interannual variability II
Chair: Klaus Wolter, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
12A.1 Observed Responses of Global Precipitation and Surface Temperature to ENSO   Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler, G. J. Huffman, J. J. Wang, and D. T. Bolvin 8:45 AM 12A.2 Assessing climate model simulations of storm track variability   Xiaoming Xia, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and E. K. M. Chang 9:00 AM 12A.3 Interannual variability of the west coast cyclone landfall and its influence on the western U.S. winter precipitation   Yi Deng, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. Myoung 9:15 AM 12A.4 Climatology of warm season precipitating storms in the southern Great Plains   Donna F. Tucker, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and X. Li 9:30 AM 12A.5 Long-term variations in intensity and location of the African Easterly Jet   Amin K. Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL ; and S. Nicholson
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Hall 5 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (See poster listing in Wednesday's program)
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Hall 5 Poster Session 7 Regional climate modeling
P7.1 Characteristics of extreme rainfall in downscaled climate model data over the Northeastern United States   Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. DeGaetano   P7.2 Sensitivity of the mid-21st century cold season hydroclimate in California to global warming: An RCM projection based on NCAR CCSM3 projection and SRES-A1B emission scenarios   Jinwon Kim, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Chao, A. Eldering, R. Fovell, A. Hall, Q. Li, K. N. Liou, J. C. McWilliams, D. E. Waliser, and S. Kapnick   P7.3 The effects of aerosol on regional climate   Hui Du, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and B. Weare   P7.4 Changes in summertime precipitation over the US due to climate change as simulated by the WRF model   Melissa S. Bukovsky, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly   P7.5 Simulating high elevation snowpack: The impact of snow albedo and multi-layer snow treatment   Jinwon Kim, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and D. E. Waliser, Y. Xue, A. Hall, K. N. Liou, S. Kapnick, and F. De Sale   P7.6 CCSM/WRF Regional climate simulations of extreme hydrologic events in Central America   Alex C. Ruane, NASA/GISS and Oak Ridge Associated Universities, New York, NY; and C. Rosenzweig and R. M. Horton   P7.7 Lessons and pitfalls in archiving large datasets -- the NARCCAP experience   Seth A. McGinnis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. O. Mearns and L. R. McDaniel   P7.8 Large-scale environmental characteristics of severe weather environments in the NARCCAP simulations of current and future climate   James Correia Jr., PNNL, Richland, WA ; and R. Leung
	11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday Exhibits Open
	11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, Room 121A Joint Session 6 Urban Implications of Climate Change and Population Growth (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Policy and Socio—Economic Research, the 21st Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and the Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment)
Chair: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
11:00 AM J6.1 Impact of global climate change on central European cities   Wilhelm Kuttler, Univ. of Duisburg, Essen, Germany; and S. Weber 11:15 AM J6.2 Impacts of Rapid Development of Urban Environment on City Weather Services in the Shanghai Region   Xu Tang Sr., Shanghai Meteorological Regional Center, CMA, China, Shanghai, China 11:30 AM J6.3 Modeling global climate change in urban areas   Keith Oleson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Feddema, T. Jackson, G. Bonan, O. Wilhelmi, and J. Boehnert 11:45 AM J6.4 Climate Change Scenarios for the New York Metropolitan Region   Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA/GISS and the Columbia Earth Institute, New York, NY; and R. M. Horton 12:00 PM J6.5 Scales of perception: public awareness of neighborhood and regional temperature differences   Darren M. Ruddell, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and S. L. Harlan, S. Grossman-Clarke, and G. Chowell
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Room 129A Session 13A Regional climate modeling, especially with urban applications
Chair: Raymond Arritt, Iowa State, Ames, IA
11:00 AM 13A.1 Development of a high-resolution coupled regional climate model in the Atlantic sector for climate change studies   R. Saravanan, Texas A & M Univ., College Station, TX; and J. S. Hsieh, P. Chang, H. Seidel, and G. Creager 11:15 AM 13A.2 Improving regional climate change projections of temperature for Halifax, Nova Scotia via statistical downscaling   Lee Titus, Environment Canada/Dalhousie University, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and R. Greatbatch, I. Folkins, and J. Sheng 11:30 AM 13A.3 Regional climate model experiments for the Carpathian basin   Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongrácz, C. Torma, I. Pieczka, and A. Hunyady 11:45 AM 13A.4 Regional and decadal analysis of climate change induced extreme hydrometeorological stresses informs adaptation and mitigation policies   Auroop R. Ganguly, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and E. S. Parish, N. Singh, K. Steinhaeuser, D. J. Erickson, M. Branstetter, A. W. King, and E. J. Middleton
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Room 129B Session 13B Climate and weather extremes - II
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
11:00 AM 13B.1 Climate variability on intraseasonal time scales: Severe cold and record-breaking rains in Mexico and disruptive wild fires in California in late October 2007   Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira 11:15 AM 13B.2 Increasing trend of extreme rain events over Bangkok Metropolitan area   Sangchan Limjirakan, Environmental Research Institute, Chulalongkorn University, Pathumwan, Bangkok, Thailand; and A. Limsakul and T. Sriburi 13B.3 The Extreme Cold Anomaly over Southeast Asia in February 2008:   Chi-Cherng Hong, Department of Science Education, TMUE, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. Li 11:30 AM 13B.4 NOAA's National Climatic Data Center -- resources regarding climate and weather extremes   J. Neal Lott, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday, Room 131AB Hollingsworth Symp Luncheon
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
	1:30 PM-2:15 PM, Thursday, Room 129A Session 14 Regional climate modeling - II
Chair: Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA
1:30 PM 14.1 Surface and free-air lapse rates in the Cascade Mountains of Washington   Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. D. Lundquist and J. R. Minder 1:45 PM 14.2 Assessing the sensitivity of Western U.S. mountain snowfall to future climate temperature   John Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Jones 2:00 PM 14.3 Regional Climate Change Modeling in High Resolution for Central and Eastern Europe in Project CECILIA   Tomas Halenka, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech Republic; and M. Belda and J. Miksovsky 2:15 PM 14.4 Constraining future Projections for Temperature Extremes at local scale   Xuebin Zhang, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers
	2:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Room 129A Session 15 Regional modeling - NARCCAP
Chair: Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO
2:30 PM 15.1 The North American regional climate change assessment program (NARCCAP): overview of phase II results   Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO 2:45 PM 15.2 Assessing uncertainty in regional climate experiments   Stephan R. Sain, NCAR, Boulder, CO
	3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday, Hall 4 Coffee Break and Exhibit Hall Raffle
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday, Room 129A Session 16 Regional modeling - NARCCAP Part II
Chair: Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO
3:30 PM 16.1 ENSO precipitation skill in the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)   Raymond W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 3:45 PM 16.2 Simulations of regional, extreme monthly precipitation by the NARCCAP RCMs   William J. Gutowski Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and L. O. Mearns, R. Arritt, S. Biner, D. Caya, D. Flory, R. Jones, R. Laprise, R. Leung, W. Moufouma-Okia, A. Nunez, Y. Qian, J. Roads, L. Sloan, M. Snyder, and G. Takle 4:00 PM 16.3 Analysis of the NARCCAP WRF Simulations of Cold Season Extreme Precipitation Events   L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian 4:15 PM 16.4 Changes of Climate and Hydrological Cycle in the Upper Mississippi River Basin   Er Lu, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and E. S. Takle, M. Jha, and T. NARCCAP-Team 4:30 PM 16.5 Characteristics of Wind Speeds over the US from 1982-2004 as Simulated by Regional Climate Models   Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and S. C. Pryor, R. J. Barthelmie, T. Andersen, and T. NARCCAP-Team 4:45 PM 16.6 Dynamical Downscaling of Short-Term Climate Fluctuations   Ana M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
	5:15 PM-5:20 PM, Thursday AMS 89th Annual Meeting Adjourns

Browse the complete program of The 89th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting