| Sunday, 17 January 2010 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration |
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| 9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday Annual Meeting Registration Begins |
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| 12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday Weatherfest |
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| 3:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, B314 First-Time Attendee Briefing |
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| 5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Sunday, B314 Annual Meeting Review and Fellows Awards |
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| 6:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Exhibit Hall B2 Fellows Reception |
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| Monday, 18 January 2010 |
| 7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday Registration Open |
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| 9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 and 2 Presidential Forum |
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| 10:30 AM-11:00 AM, Monday Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday Lunch Break |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B2 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B1 Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception |
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| Tuesday, 19 January 2010 |
| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B2 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B1 Exhibits Open |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday, B208 Kuettner Symposium Luncheon |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall) |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, B204 Session 1 Applications of Artificial Intelligence Methods to Problems in Environmental Science: Part I |
Chair: Michael B. Richman, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 1.1 | Development of neural network convection parameterizations for climate models using CRM simulations and ARM data Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, NCEP/NWS/NOAA and SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Fox-Rabinovitz, P. Rasch, Y. Kogan, and A. Belochitski |
| 2:00 PM | 1.2 | Data assimilation through machine learning methods
Recorded presentation Robin C. Gilbert, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. B. Richman, L. M. Leslie, and X. Wang |
| 2:15 PM | 1.3 | Linear and nonlinear postprocessing of ensemble forecasts
Recorded presentation Ranran Wang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Marzban |
| 2:30 PM | 1.4 | Improving snowfall accumulation predictions by post-processing ensemble forecasts with an Artificial Neural Network
Recorded presentation Tyler C. McCandless, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt and G. Young |
| 2:45 PM | 1.5 | Optimization of neural network performances by means of exogenous input variables for the forecast of ozone pollutant in Rome urban area
Recorded presentation Armando Pelliccioni, ISPESL, Monteporzio Catone, Italy; and F. Pungi, S. Lucidi, and V. La Torre |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B1 Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall |
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| 3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, B308 Joint Session 1 Applications of Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Air Pollution Problems (Joint between the 16th Conference on Air Pollution Meteorology and the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science) |
Cochairs: Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; Michael J. Brown, LANL, Los Alamos, NM
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| 3:30 PM | J1.1 | Evaluation of sensor placement techniques
Recorded presentation Ian H. Griffiths, RiskAware Ltd, Bristol, United Kingdom; and I. Bush |
| 3:45 PM | J1.2 | Comparative investigation of source term estimation algorithms using FUSION field trial 2007 data
Recorded presentation Nathan Platt, Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, VA; and D. Deriggi |
| 4:00 PM | J1.3 | Using regression-based source detection algorithm for source location with FFT-07 data
Recorded presentation Randolph J. Evans, ENSCO, Inc., Melbourne, FL; and S. E. Masters and M. A. Kienzle |
| 4:15 PM | J1.4 | Source Term Characterization of FFT07 Data using a Genetic Algorithm
Recorded presentation Luna M. Rodriguez, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt, G. Young, A. J. Annunzio, and K. J. Long |
| 4:30 PM | J1.5 | Combined Methods from Entity and Field Frameworks to Determine the Source Characteristics of a Contaminant
Recorded presentation Andrew J. Annunzio, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt, G. Young, and L. M. Rodriguez |
| 4:45 PM | J1.6 | A forensic approach to source location applied to FFT-07 data
Recorded presentation Shawn Rottmann, ENSCO, Melbourne, FL; and A. Siegel |
| 5:00 PM | J1.7 | Machine Learning for the Source Detection of Atmospheric Emissions Guido Cervone, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and P. Franzese |
| 5:15 PM | J1.8 | Real-time fusion of sensor data to achieve improved situational awareness
Recorded presentation Ian H. Griffiths, RiskAware Ltd, Bristol, United Kingdom; and M. Bull and L. Carrivick |
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| Wednesday, 20 January 2010 |
| 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, B204 Session 2 Applications of Artificial Intelligence Methods to Problems in Environmental Science: Part II |
Chair: Philippe E. Tissot, Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX
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| 8:30 AM | 2.1 | Optimization of neural net training using patterns selected by cluster analysis: a case-study of ozone prediction level
Recorded presentation Armando Pelliccioni Sr., ISPESL, Monteporzio Catone, Italy; and R. Cotroneo and F. Pungì |
| 8:45 AM | 2.2 | Visualize, analyze and mine satellite imagery using GLIDER software tool
Recorded presentation Rahul Ramachandran, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and S. Graves, T. Berendes, M. Maskey, C. Chidambaram, S. A. Christopher, P. Hogan, T. Gaskins, and M. Smith |
| 9:00 AM | 2.3 | Design and validation of a neural network system for forecasting and monitoring fog events in the UAE using SEVIRI-MSG data Abdulla Bushahab, Emirates Institution for Advanced Science & Technology, Dubai, United Arab Emirates; and H. Ghedira, K. Mubarak, A. Dawood, and H. Al Ahmad |
| 9:15 AM | 2.4 | Prediction of skew surge by a fuzzy decision tree
Recorded presentation Samantha J. Royston, University of Bristol / Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory, Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom; and K. Horsburgh and J. Lawry |
| 9:30 AM | 2.5 | Analyzing the effects of low level boundaries on tornadogenesis through spatiotemporal relational data mining
Recorded presentation David John Gagne II, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. A. Supinie, A. McGovern, J. B. Basara, and R. A. Brown |
| 9:45 AM | 2.6 | Capturing relationships between coherent structures and convectively-induced turbulence using Spatiotemporal Relational Random Forests
Recorded presentation Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and T. A. Supinie, A. McGovern, and J. K. Williams |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, B204 Session 3 Third Annual AMS Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Contest: Methods and Results |
Chair: Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 10:30 AM | 3.1 | The Third Annual Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Competition
Recorded presentation Stephen Sullivan, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Pocernich and J. Abernethy |
| 10:45 AM | 3.2 | Probabilistic Turbulence Prediction using Random Forests
Recorded presentation Zhengzheng Li, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. A. Supinie |
| 11:00 AM | 3.3 | Predicting Turbulence Using a Neural Network
Recorded presentation Valliappa Lakshmanan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 11:15 AM | 3.4 | Turbulence Probability using Principal Component Analysis and Support Vector Machine Approaches
Recorded presentation Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. B. Richman |
| 11:30 AM | 3.5 | Statistical Turbulence Prediction
Recorded presentation Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., Penn State University, University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt |
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| 11:00 AM-6:30 PM, Wednesday Exhibits Open |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall) |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B2 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B2 Joint Poster Session Applications of Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Air Pollution Problems (Joint between the 16th Conference on Air Pollution Meteorology and the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science) |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B2 Poster Session Applications of Artificial Intelligence Methods to Problems in Environmental Science |
| | 453 | Ranking severe weather outbreaks using a multivariate index Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and C. A. Doswell |
| | 454 | Using support vector machines to predict the type and relative severity of severe weather outbreaks Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and M. B. Richman, L. M. Leslie, and C. A. Doswell |
| | 455 | Using a K-Means clustering and watershed segmentation algorithm to automatically classify convective storm types Angelyn G. Kolodziej, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan |
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| 4:00 PM-5:45 PM, Wednesday, B204 Joint Session 11 Probabilistic Forecasting for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) (Joint between the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, and the Presidential Forum) |
Cochairs: John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
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| 4:00 PM | J11.1 | A proposed framework for estimating and reducing hourly-updated forecast uncertainty products for aviation applications in NextGen
Recorded presentation Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. DiMego |
| 4:15 PM | J11.2 | Advances in the Collaborative Storm Prediction for Aviation (CoSPA)
Recorded presentation J. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, M. Steiner, D. Albo, S. Dettling, W. Dupree, D. Morse, H. Iskenderian, T. Xiaofeng, M. Wolfson, C. Reiche, S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and C. Alexander |
| 4:30 PM | J11.3 | Probabilistic forecasting of ceiling and visibility at CONUS terminals: Development progress
Recorded presentation Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Lambi, J. Cowie, G. Wiener, R. Bateman, and J. Black |
| 4:45 PM | J11.4 | Using a genetic algorithm to estimate source term parameters of volcanic ash clouds
Recorded presentation Kerrie J. Long, Penn State University, State College, PA; and D. Truesdell and S. E. Haupt |
| 5:00 PM | J11.5 | Techniques for providing probabilistic forecasts of turbulence for NextGen
Recorded presentation Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams |
| 5:15 PM | J11.6 | Regionalized probabilistic turbulence forecasting using machine learning with in-situ data
Recorded presentation Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams |
| 5:30 PM | J11.7 | A probabilistic global turbulence nowcast and forecast system
Recorded presentation John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Kessinger, R. D. Sharman, W. F. Feltz, and A. Wimmers |
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| 5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B1 Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) |
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| 7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1-4 AMS Annual Awards Banquet |
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| Thursday, 21 January 2010 |
| 7:30 AM-8:30 AM, Thursday, B208 Washington Symposium Breakfast |
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| 9:45 AM-1:30 PM, Thursday Exhibits Open |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall B2 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, B305 Joint Session 10 Verification of Probabilistic Forecasts (Joint between the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, and the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science) |
Cochairs: Bjarne Hansen, EC, Dorval, QC Canada; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Valliappa Lakshmanan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 11:00 AM | J10.1A | A comparison between raw ensemble output, Bayesian model averaging and logistic regression using ECMWF ensemble precipitation reforecasts Maurice J. Schmeits, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and C. J. Kok |
|  | J10.1 | The three dimensions of prediction and service Philip Chadwick, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada |
| 11:15 AM | J10.2 | Determining Optimal Thresholds for Inland Locations of Tropical Cyclone Incremental Wind Speed Probabilities to Support the Provision of Expressions of Uncertainty within Text Forecast Products
Recorded presentation Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria and D. W. Sharp |
| 11:30 AM | J10.3 | Verification of aviation turbulence detection, nowcast, and forecast products
Recorded presentation John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Pocernich, R. D. Sharman, and J. Abernethy |
| 11:45 AM | J10.4 | Evaluation of a probabilistic convective nowcast for CoSPA
Recorded presentation D. Ahijevych, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, S. Dettling, H. Cai, and M. Steiner |
| 12:00 PM | J10.5 | Choosing a scoring rule for verification of forecast probability distributions: Continuous ranked probability score or ignorance score?
Recorded presentation Jonathan R. Moskaitis, National Research Council, Monterey, CA |
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| 12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday, B206 Presidential Town Hall Meeting: Dr. Jane Lubchenco’s Plenary Luncheon (Cash and Carry lunch available outside of the meeting room) |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer |
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| 5:00 PM-5:05 PM, Thursday AMS 90th Annual Meeting Adjourns |
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