17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Program Chairs: Sharanya J. Majumdar , Univ. of Miami/RSMAS ; Kenneth Carey , Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc. ; Robert Atlas , NOAA/AOML

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 5 January 2013

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2013


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

Sunday, 6 January 2013

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration for Short Course and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (Austin Convention Center)

Monday, 7 January 2013

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Registration Continues Through January 9
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Plenary Session
13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today's Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today; the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Sixth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Special Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts; the 10th Conference on Space Weather; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 11th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the Robert A. Duce Symposium; the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health )
8:30 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Dr. Louis Uccellini and Co-Chairs Troy Kimmel/Ken Carey will introduce Texas and Local Representatives)
8:35 AM
Warm Welcome to Austin!

8:45 AM
Introduction of Guest Speakers (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

8:50 AM
"Predicting Weather and Climate: Scientific Progress and Future Opportunities" Dr. Alan Thorpe, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
9:10 AM
"River/Rainfall Forecast Fusion Cells" Major General Michael Walsh, US Army Corps of Engineers
9:30 AM
"Cloudy with the Chance of Insight" Dr. Tony Hey, Microsoft Research
9:50 AM
"Where Citizens are Looking" Dr. Nigel Snoad, Google Crisis Response
10:10 AM
Audience Question and Answer (moderated by Dr. William (Bill) Hooke)
10:25 AM
Closing Remarks (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Ballroom D Foyer (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 1
Role of atmospheric and oceanic observations in analyses and forecasts
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Robert Atlas, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL
11:00 AM
1.1
Impact of Various Observing Systems on NWP—Outcomes of the 5th WMO workshop
Erik Andersson, ECMWF, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and C. Cardinali, J. Eyre, R. Gelaro, L. P. Riishojgaard, F. Rabier, and Y. Sato
11:30 AM
1.3
An eddy-resolving ocean reanalysis using the 1/12° global HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model and the Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation scheme
E. Joseph Metzger, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and R. A. Allard, R. Broome, D. S. Franklin, O. M. Smedstad, and A. J. Wallcraft

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 2
Atmospheric and Oceanic Observations, and their Assimilation. a: Ocean
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Ross N. Hoffman, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL
1:30 PM
2.1
1:45 PM
2.2
Implementing glider observation strategies for Navy ocean observing systems
Charlie N. Barron, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and L. F. Smedstad, G. Peggion, J. M. Dastugue, and E. F. Coelho
2:00 PM
2.3
Conditional Predictability in Assimilation: Ocean Frontogenesis Filaments
Gregg A. Jacobs, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. Spence, B. Bartels, and F. L. Bub
2:15 PM
2.4
Estimating atmospheric forcing errors in ocean data assimilation using the representer method
Hans E. Ngodock, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and M. J. Carrier

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 4
Ocean, Atmosphere, Hydrosphere, and Land Surface Interaction in the Coastal Environment (Joint with the Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography and Climatology (SMOC) Committee)—Part I
Location: Room 18B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Frank Aikman, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD; Philip E. Ardanuy, Raytheon Intelligence and Information Systems, Silver Spring, MD
2:00 PM
TJ4.3
Assessing Lagrangian coherent structures and uncertainties using RELO ensemble system in the Gulf of Mexico
Mozheng Wei, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and G. Jacobs, C. Rowley, C. Barron, P. Hogan, and P. spence
2:15 PM
TJ4.4
Inundation Analysis Using GIS and Hydrodynamic Modeling
Sergey Reid, Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi, TX; and P. Tissot and D. Williams

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Poster Session
POSTER: Atmospheric and Oceanic Observations, and their Assimilation; Data Assimilation Techniques
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Organizer: Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
216
Assimilating cloud water path as a function of WRF cloud microphysics option
Thomas A. Jones, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud, P. Minnis, and R. Palikonda

217
Forecast error estimation in the NRL relocatable ocean ensemble forecast system
Clark David Rowley, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and M. Wei, E. F. Coelho, and P. Spence

Handout (1.2 MB)

218
Radar Data Assimilation for a Heavy Rainfall Case over the Korean Peninsula Using an Adjoint Sensitivity-based Data Assimilation Method
Yonghan Choi, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and G. H. Lim and D. K. Lee

220
Assimilation of fire perimeter data into the fire spread model SFIRE coupled with the WRF model
Volodymyr Y. Kondratenko, University of Colorado, Denver, CO; and J. D. Beezley, J. Mandel, and A. Kochanski

Handout (496.2 kB)

222
Thermodynamic Observations of the Destructive June 2012 Derecho
Charlie Liu, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and L. Blanchette, J. Bosse, L. Cooper Jr., A. C. Czarnetzki, B. B. Demoz, M. Nelson, E. Novakovskaia, A. L. Reehorst, C. Sloop, D. Stillman, and R. Ware

223
Impact of GPS Zenith Total Delay assimilation on the Rainfall Forecast over the Korean Peninsula
Hataek Kwon, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and E. Lee, Y. Kim, and Y. J. Kim

224
Sensitivity to Data in High Resolution Data Assimilation for the Dallas Urban Testbed
Keith A. Brewster, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Brotzge, F. H. Carr, K. W. Thomas, and Y. Wang
Manuscript (1.4 MB)

Handout (632.8 kB)

225
The Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART): New Capabilities for Analysis and Forecasting of Earth System Components
Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Hoar, N. Collins, K. Raeder, G. Romine, H. Liu, A. Karspeck, J. Berner, T. Matsuo, J. Kay, Y. Zhang, R. Rosolem, M. Vertenstein, T. Craig, and J. Edwards

226
Assimilation of Surface Meteorological Observations in COAMPS® NAVDAS
Daniel P. Tyndall, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. M. Pauley, N. Baker, and C. M. Amerault

227
Application of the Navy Coastal Ocean Model 4DVAR for ocean data assimilation in the Okinawa Trough region
Matthew J. Carrier, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and H. E. Ngodock and S. Smith

228
230
NRL Ocean Surface Estimates of Turbulent Flux Parameters
Jackie C. May, QinetiQ, Stennis Space Center, MS; and N. Van de Voorde and C. D. Rowley

231
Retrieval of Infrared Land Surface Emissivity and their Impacts on Satellite Data Assimilation
Jeon-Ho Kang, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and M. S. Suh and Y. J. Kim

232
Fine-scale Radar Observations of West Texas Drylines and Embedded Misocyclones from Spring of 2012
Paul F. Prososki, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss and A. E. Reinhart

Handout (2.7 MB)

233
Using Dual Polarimetric Radar to Assess Prescribed and Wildland Fire Intensity in Florida
Sean Luchs, Florida Forest Service, Tallahassee, FL; and J. Pendergrast
Manuscript (1.8 MB)

Handout (3.2 MB)

234
Temperature Profiles and Lapse Rate Climatology in Altostratus and Nimbostratus Clouds
Shengpeng Yang, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and C. Da

237
Ground Based Stereo Cameras to measure Cloud Level Wind Fields
John N. Porter, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI

238
Towards improved corrections for radiation-related biases in radiosonde observations
Bomin Sun, NOAA/NESDIST/STAR & IMSG, Suitland, MD; and T. Reale, S. R. Schroeder, D. J. Seidel, and B. A. Ballish

Poster 240 has been moved. New paper number TJ25.1A.

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 3
Atmospheric and Oceanic Observations, and their Assimilation. b: Atmosphere
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
4:00 PM
3.1
4:15 PM
3.2
Integration of Wide-Band, Nanoresolution Barometers into the CASA DFW Urban Demonstration Network
David L. Pepyne, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and J. A. Brotzge, B. Philips, and M. Zink

4:45 PM
3.4
Investigating the Vertical Variability of Tropospheric Water Vapor with GPS
Panagiotis Vergados, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and A. J. Mannucci and C. O. Ao

4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 11
Earth Observation Systems and Applications for Public Health Models and Decisions
Location: Room 6B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Moderators: John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS), Bethesda, MD; Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD
4:00 PM
TJ11.1
4:15 PM
TJ11.2
4:30 PM
TJ11.3
NASA Earth Observations for Health and Air Quality Applications
John A. Haynes, NASA, Washington, DC; and S. M. Estes
5:00 PM
TJ11.5
Modeling malaria risk in the Peruvian Amazon
Benjamin F. Zaitchik, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and B. J. Feingold, P. Z. Vasquez, A. S. Davila, C. A. Antonio, and W. K. Y. Pan
5:15 PM
TJ11.6
Use of MODIS Satellite Data to Evaluate Juniperus spp. Pollen Phenology to Support a Pollen Dispersal Model, PREAM, to Support Public Health Allergy Alerts
Jeffrey C. Luvall, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Sprigg, E. Levetin, A. Huete, S. Nickovic, A. Prasad, G. Pejanovic, A. Vukovic, P. Van de Water, A. M. Budge, W. Hudspeth, H. Krapfl, B. Toth, A. Zelicoff, O. Myers, L. Bunderson, G. Ponce-Campos, T. M. Crimmins, M. Menache, and M. Vujadinovic

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 4A
Data Assimilation Techniques. a: Variational Techniques
Location: Room 9B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Thomas Auligné, NCAR, BOULDER, Colorado, CO
8:45 AM
4A.2
Development of GSI-based WRF 4D-Var system
Xin Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Y. Huang
9:00 AM
4A.3
9:15 AM
4A.4
9:30 AM
4A.5
Modeling of the Background Error Statistics
Gael Descombes, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado, CO; and T. Auligné and Y. Michel
Recording files available
Session 4B
Field Experiments, Including the Relevance to Numerical Weather Prediction
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Bill Proenza, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX
8:45 AM
4B.1A
Further Enhancement of Data Collection Capabilities of the NOAA Aircraft Operations Center WP-3D and G-IV Reconnaissance and Research Aircraft
Richard G. Henning, NOAA Aircraft Operations Center, Lakeland, FL; and J. Parrish, A. B. Damiano, P. Flaherty, J. Williams, I. Sears, N. Morgan, L. Miller, and N. Nangia
9:15 AM
4B.3
Tropical Cyclone Data Impact Studies from T-PARC
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. H. Langland, P. M. Pauley, and C. S. Velden
9:30 AM
4B.4
StickNet Observations of Buoyancy and Baroclinity within Select VORTEX2 Storms
Christopher C. Weiss, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and D. C. Dowell, P. S. Skinner, and A. E. Reinhart
9:45 AM
4B.5
Multifunction Demonstration of the CASA Polarimetric, X-band, Phased-Array, Flat Panel Radar
Robert Palumbo, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and K. Wood, E. Knapp, D. McLaughlin, and D. Pepyne

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 5
Data Assimilation Techniques. b: Hybrid Techniques
Location: Room 9B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
11:00 AM
5.1
11:15 AM
5.2
Development of an EnKF/hybrid data assimilation system for mesoscale application with the Rapid Refresh
Ming Hu, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell, S. S. Weygandt, Y. Pan, K. Zhu, S. G. Benjamin, J. S. Whitaker, and C. Alexander
11:30 AM
5.3
Recent development and research on GSI based hybrid ensemble-variational data assimilation system for GFS
Xuguang Wang, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. Lei, J. Whitaker, and D. Kleist
11:45 AM
5.4
Hybrid 4DVAR and nonlinear ensemble Kalman smoother methods
Jan Mandel, University of Colorado, Denver, CO; and S. Gratton and E. Bergou

Handout (206.4 kB)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Advances in Land Data Assimilation Part I
Location: Room 10A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Chairs: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC and Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD
1:30 PM
J1.1
Assimilation of GlobSnow snow water equivalent in the Canadian Land Data Assimilation System
Stéphane Bélair, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and C. Derksen, B. Bilodeau, M. Carrera, S. Dyck, D. charpentier, N. Gauthier, and L. Wang

1:45 PM
J1.2
2:15 PM
J1.4
Evaluation of Multi-Model Simulated Products in NLDAS-2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, IMSG, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, D. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, and D. P. Lettenmaier
2:30 PM
J1.5
Evaluation of New and Upgraded Land-Surface Models in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)
David M. Mocko, SAIC at NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, Y. Xia, M. B. Ek, and J. Dong

2:45 PM
J1.6
China Land Soil Moisture EnKF Data Assimilation Based on Satellite Remote Sensing Data
Chunxiang Shi, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and Z. Xie, X. Tian, M. Liang, and X. Yang
Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Lidar Data Observations and Assimilation
Location: Room 18C (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Mike Newchurch, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Lorenza Cooper Jr., Howard Univ., Washington, DC
1:30 PM
J3.1
Analysis of a Low Level Jet System with GLOW lidar observations, numerical simulations and data assimilation
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Li, B. Demoz, and B. Gentry
1:45 PM
J3.2
Lidar Applications For Wind Energy Studies
Jeff Freedman, AWS TruePower LLC, Albany, NY; and J. M. Wilczak, M. Boquet, P. Beaucage, J. B. Olson, M. Filippelli, E. G. Osler, and T. Paff
2:00 PM
J3.3
Remote Sensing of Boundary Layer Thermodynamics and Wind
Marta Nelson, Radiometrics, Boulder, CO; and L. Thobois, L. Sauvage, and R. Ware
Recording files available
Session 6
Data Assimilation Techniques. c: Ensemble Kalman Filters
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM
6.1
An Empirical Localization of Surface Observations
Lili Lei, University of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson
1:45 PM
6.2
Spatial Structure of the Ensemble Weights in the LETKF and Its Insights
Takemasa Miyoshi, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. Kondo, S. C. Yang, and E. Kalnay
2:00 PM
6.3
Self-optimization of Model Parameters with the LETKF: from Idealized Experiments to a Real-world Application
Juan J. Ruiz, University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and T. Miyoshi, M. Kunii, and M. Pulido
2:15 PM
6.4
Validation and Evaluation of the NCAR 4D-REKF ensemble data assimilation and forecasting system
Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Pan, Y. Wu, A. Bourgeois, J. Knievel, S. Swerdlin, J. Pace, F. W. Gallagher III, and S. F. Halvorson

2:45 PM
An Approach for Addressing Non-Gaussian Error in Microphysical Parameterization by Marcus Van Lier-Walqui
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 25
Observing Strategies, Platforms, and Impacts on Analysis and Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones, Tropical Waves, and Tropical Rainfall Part I
Location: Room 4ABC (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Chair: Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Unviersity of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
1:30 PM
TJ25.1A
Initial Condition Sensitivity and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Development and Intensification
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, J. R. Moskaitis, P. A. Reinecke, and C. A. Reynolds
1:45 PM
TJ25.2
Impact of Ocean Observations on Hurricane Irene Intensity Forecasts
Greg Seroka, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and S. Glenn, O. Schofield, J. Kohut, H. Roarty, J. Kerfoot, L. Bowers, M. Crowley, L. Palamara, and R. Dunk
2:30 PM
TJ25.5
Creating a consistent climatology of tropical cyclone structure as observed by satellite microwave sensors
Joshua Cossuth, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and S. Yang, K. Richardson, M. Surratt, J. Solbrig, and J. Hawkins
2:45 PM
TJ25.6
Adopting Model Uncertainties for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
Rosimar Rios-Berrios, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and T. Vukicevic

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 7
Data Assimilation Techniques. d: New Developments and Applications
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO
CoChair: Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA, Boulder, CO
3:30 PM
7.1
4:00 PM
7.3
Stable Estimation of Observation Error Covariance Matrix by Bayesian Method
Genta Ueno, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan

4:30 PM
7.5
The representer method: theory and applications to ocean data assimilation
Hans E. Ngodock, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and M. J. Carrier

5:00 PM
7.7
Forward sensitivity based approach to Lagrangian data assimilation
Rafal Jabrzemski, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Lakshmivarahan
5:15 PM
7.8

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Duce Symposium Banquet
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Advances in Land Data Assimilation Part II
Location: Room 10A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Chair: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD
8:30 AM
J2.1
9:15 AM
J2.4
Where does the irrigation water go? An estimate of the contribution of irrigation to precipitation using MERRA
Jiangfeng Wei, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and P. A. Dirmeyer, D. Wisser, M. Bosilovich, and D. Mocko
9:30 AM
J2.5
Assimilation of remotely sensed hydrological datasets in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)
Sujay V. Kumar, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, D. Mocko, M. B. Ek, and Y. Xia

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Observations and observing strategies in tropical cyclones
Location: Room 9B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts )
Chair: Heather Archambault, NPS, Monterey, CA
8:30 AM
J4.1
Observations of C-band brightness temperatures and ocean surface wind speed and rain rate from the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD) during GRIP and HS3
Timothy L. Miller, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and M. W. James, J. B. Roberts, W. L. Jones, S. Biswas, C. S. Ruf, E. Uhlhorn, R. Atlas, P. G. Black, and C. M. Albers
8:45 AM
J4.2
9:15 AM
J4.4
Verifying Regional Tropical Cyclone Model Forecasts using Synthetic Satellite Imagery
David A. Zelinsky, Systems Research Group, Inc., Colorado Springs, CO, and National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL
9:30 AM
J4.5
9:45 AM
J4.6
Adaptive sampling with unmanned aircraft in Rankine vortices
Doug Koch, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. DeVries, D. Paley, and S. J. Majumdar
Recording files available
Session 8
Numerical Experiments Involving Observations. a: Treatment of Observations
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Tomislava Vukicevic, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM
8.1
Optimising the number of GNSS Radio Occultation measurements for Numerical Weather Prediction
Florian Harnisch, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and S. B. Healy, P. Bauer, and S. English
9:00 AM
8.3
Utilization of Satellite Observations for Improving Cloud Simulation in WRF
Arastoo Pour Biazar, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. T. McNider, Y. H. Park, B. Dornblaser, K. Doty, and M. Khan
9:15 AM
8.4
Developing a Statistical Thermodynamic Profiling Retrieval for the AERI
William Gregory Blumberg, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. M. Klein and D. D. Turner
9:30 AM
8.5
Objective and Forecaster Evaluation of Current NWS Mesoscale Surface Analysis Techniques with the Ensemble Kalman Filter
Brian C. Ancell, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. F. Mass, L. K. Cook, and B. R. Colman
9:45 AM
8.6
An Analysis of VAD Radar Wind Impact on the NCEP GFS Slow Speed Bias
Bradley A. Ballish, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and D. L. Carlis, V. K. Kumar, J. C. Alpert, S. Liu, and Y. Ling

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 36
Observing Strategies, Platforms, and Impacts on Analysis and Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones, Tropical Waves, and Tropical Rainfall Part II
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts )
Chair: Michael J. Brennan, NHC, Miami, FL
10:30 AM
TJ36.1
11:00 AM
TJ36.3
The DOTSTAR Observations in Improving Tropical Cyclones Forecast using Ensemble-based Data Assimilation
Baoguo Xie, IBM Research, Beijing, China; and M. Zhang, H. Wang, W. Yin, and J. Dong

12:00 PM
Tropical Cyclone Intrinsic Variability and Predictability by Greg Hakim
12:15 PM
Jun Li Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 9
Numerical Experiments Involving Observations. b: Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs)
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: John Manobianco, Mano Nanotechnologies, Inc., Guilderland, NY
1:30 PM
9.1
Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Research on Convective Storms at the National Weather Center
Steven Koch, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud, M. Xue, L. J. Wicker, N. Yussouf, R. A. Sobash, and C. K. Potvin
1:45 PM
9.2
Effective Assimilation of Global Precipitation: Simulation Experiments
Guo-Yuan Lien, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. Kalnay and T. Miyoshi
2:15 PM
9.4
Development and Validation of Observing System Simulation Experiments at the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office
Ronald M. Errico, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Yang, N. Prive, K. S. Tai, R. Todling, M. Sienkiewicz, and J. Guo

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 18
Assimilation of Satellite Observations to Improve Numerical Predictions in Global and Regional Models
Location: Ballroom G (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Michael L. Jamilkowski, Raytheon Intelligence and Information Systems, Greenbelt, MD; Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:30 PM
TJ18.1
Suomi NPP VIIRS Day Night Band (DNB) applications
Jeffrey Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Lee, J. Solbrig, S. D. Miller, M. L. Surratt, K. A. Richardson, R. L. Bankert, and A. P. Kuciauskas
2:00 PM
TJ18.2A
Operational Assimilation of Aerosol Optical Depth from NPP VIIRS in a Global Aerosol Model
Edward J. Hyer, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Zhang, J. S. Reid, W. R. Sessions, C. A. Curtis, and D. L. Westphal
2:15 PM
TJ18.4
Uses of Satellite Data for Hurricane Modeling and Coastal Precipitation Forecasts
Fuzhong Weng, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and C. Da, B. Zhang, and Z. Qin
2:30 PM
An Approach for Addressing Non-Gaussian Error in Microphysical parameterization by Marcus Van Lier-Walqui

2:45 PM
Preparation for Assimilating GCOM-W Soil Moisture in NCEP GFS by Xiwu Zhan

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session
Advances in Land Data Assimilation Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Chair: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD
505
Soil Moisture Assimilation of Space-Based L-Band Passive Data for SMOS and SMAP cal-val Field Campaigns over Canada
Stephane Belair, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and M. Carrera, S. Dyck, B. Bilodeau, N. Gauthier, and M. Abrahamowicz

506
The Effect of Revised Soil and Vegetation Properties on Simulated GEOS-5 Land Surface Hydrology
Gabriëlle J.M. De Lannoy, KULeuven, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle, R. D. Koster, and S. Mahanama

507
A study of biomass allocation schemes in A Land Surface Model
Qiudan Dai, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Wang

508
Globally estimating root mean square errors in remotely sensed soil moisture
Clara Draper, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle, R. de Jeu, V. Naeimi, R. Parinussa, and W. Wagner

509
Assimilation of Microwave Brightness Temperature in a Land Data Assimilation System with Multi-Observation Operators
Zhenghui Xie, LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and B. Jia, X. Tian, J. Liu, and C. Shi

Handout (1.0 MB)

510
Dual Assimilation of Microwave and Thermal-Infrared Satellite Observations of Soil Moisture into NLDAS for Improved Drought Monitoring
Christopher Hain, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL; and M. C. Anderson, W. T. Crow, X. Zhan, and J. Mecikalski

511
Assimilation of Satellite Soil Moisture Data Products in the NCEP Global Forecast System
Weizhong Zheng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and X. Zhan, M. Ek, J. Liu, J. Meng, J. Dong, and H. Wei

512
Assimilating Remotely Sensed Satellite Derived Data with Land Surface Model Derived Data: Diagnosing and Reconciling Differences
Rosalyn F. MacCracken, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and P. Houser, E. Wood, J. Sheffield, D. Lettenmaier, R. T. Pinker, C. D. Kummerow, M. Pan, H. Gao, A. Sahoo, and J. Bytheway

513
Development of Genetic Algorithm based Hidden Markov Model for Root Zone Soil Moisture Predictions
Yongchul Shin, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and B. P. Mohanty and A. Ines

515
Using small watershed real-time streamflow gaging stations coupled with watershed modeling systems as real-time spatial precipitation networks
Zachary M. Easton, Virginia Tech, Painter, VA; and M. T. Walter, T. S. Steenhuis, S. D. Solomon, C. MacAlister, M. Z. Fuka, and D. R. Fuka


Poster Session
POSTER: Accelerating the Transition from Research to Operations on Use of Assimilated Data
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Organizer: Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
Poster 618 has been moved. New paper number is 4B.1A

619
Toward a Global Air-Ocean-Wave-Ice Prediction Capability
Richard Allard, NRL, Stennis Space CENTER, MS; and T. J. Campbell, D. A. Hebert, P. Posey, E. J. Metzger, M. W. Phelps, W. E. Rogers, O. M. Smedstad, and A. J. Wallcraft

620
Configuration Testing of GSI within an Operational Environment
Kathryn M. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Zhou, M. Hu, and H. shao

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 10
Numerical Experiments Involving Observations. c: Influence of Observations on Forecasts
Location: Room 9B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Takemasa Miyoshi, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
4:00 PM
10.1
4:30 PM
10.3
Ensemble-based observation impact estimates using the NCEP/GFS
Yoichiro Ota, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and J. C. Derber, E. Kalnay, and T. Miyoshi
4:45 PM
10.4
5:15 PM
10.6

4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 43
Accelerating the Transition from Research to Operations on Use of Assimilated Data Part 1
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Chair: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD
4:00 PM
TJ43.1
The Developmental Testbed Center: Update on Data Assimilation System Testing and Community Support
Hui Shao, NCAR/NOAA, College Park, MD; and M. Hu, K. M. Newman, C. Zhou, and D. Stark
4:30 PM
TJ43.3
Testing and evaluation of GSI-Hybrid 3DVAR for basin scale HWRF
Chunhua Zhou, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Shao, B. J. Etherton, and L. Bernardet
5:00 PM
TJ43.5
An Integrated Marine Arctic Prediction System for METAREAs
Harold Ritchie, EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and M. Buehner, T. Carrieres, S. Desjardins, L. Fillion, E. Lopes, P. Pellerin, G. Smith, and G. Garric
5:30 PM
TJ43.7
Progress and Strategies of the Joint OSSE at NOAA and JCSDA
Michiko Masutani, EMC, College Park, MD; and J. S. Woollen, S. P. F. Casey, and L. P. Riishojgaard

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


93rd AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)

Thursday, 10 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 11
Assimilation of Observations for Severe Weather and Hurricanes. a: Methodologies for Tropical Cyclones
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA
8:30 AM
11.1
Hybrid variational/ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation with HWRF
Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and H. Winterbottom and M. Tong
9:00 AM
11.3
Assimilating HDOB Data in COAMPS-TCTM and NOGAPS
Daniel P. Tyndall, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. M. Pauley, N. Baker, A. McEachen, H. M. Holbach, K. D. Sashegyi, and C. M. Amerault
9:15 AM
11.4
Improve tropical cyclone forecasts with hyperspectral infrared sounder data
Pei Wang, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Li, T. J. Schmit, and J. Li
9:30 AM
11.5
A Reduced-Order Observation Operator for TRMM/TMI based on Canonical Correlation Analysis
Jeffrey L. Steward, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Z. Haddad, S. M. Hristova-Veleva, and T. Vukicevic

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 46
Accelerating the Transition from Research to Operations on Use of Assimilated Data 2
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Chair: Patrick J. Hogan, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS
CoChair: Allen Huang, CIMSS, Madison, WI
11:00 AM
TJ46.1
11:15 AM
TJ46.2
11:30 AM
TJ46.3
Tests of stochastic perturbation schemes in the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System
Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and P. Pegion and T. M. Hamill
11:45 AM
TJ46.4
Discussion of the U.S. Navy's Global Ocean Forecasting Capability
Patrick J. Hogan, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and E. J. Metzger, O. M. Smedstad, and A. J. Wallcraft

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 12
Assimilation of Observations for Severe Weather and Hurricanes. b: Tropical cyclone case evaluations
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: James Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA
2:00 PM
12.3
2:30 PM
12.5
Improving the spin-up of the regional EnKF for typhoon assimilation and forecast with the 2008 Typhoon Sinlaku
Shu-Chih Yang, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taoyuan County, Taiwan; and K. J. Lin, T. Miyoshi, and E. Kalnay
2:45 PM
12.6
Assimilation of QuikSCAT Observations for Typhoon Mindulle (2004)
Christina Holt, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and I. Szunyogh, S. M. Leidner, R. Hoffman, and G. Gyarmati

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Levels 3 and 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 13
Assimilation of Observations for Severe Weather and Hurricanes. c: Convective systems and rainfall
Location: Room 9C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Xuguang Wang, School of Meteorology, Norman, OK
3:30 PM
13.1
A realtime wrf-dart mesoscale analysis for explicit convective forecasts
Glen Romine, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder, J. Anderson, C. S. Schwartz, and M. Weisman
4:00 PM
13.3
EnKF Data Assimilation Experiments of the 18 May 2010 Dumas, Texas Supercell Observed by VORTEX2
Patrick S. Skinner, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss, L. J. Wicker, and C. K. Potvin
4:45 PM
13.6
Evaluating the impact of the COSMIC-RO bending angle data on predicting the heavy precipitation episode during SoWMEX-IOP8
Shu-Chih Yang, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taoyuan County, Taiwan; and S. Y. Chen, C. S. Chen, and C. Huang

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


AMS 93rd Annual Meeting Adjourns