4.1 Climate Change and Storm Surge Vulnerability of Coastal Installations at Risk.

Monday, 29 January 2024: 4:30 PM
343 (The Baltimore Convention Center)
Sergey V. Vinogradov, Binera Inc, Rockville, MD

Handout (1.4 MB)

Coastal regions are currently experiencing heightened threats due to rising sea levels and shifts in global climate patterns, a trend that is anticipated to intensify over the long term. Meeting the needs of governmental bodies, public sectors, and private enterprises, there exists a pressing requirement to comprehensively investigate, evaluate, and effectively manage the persistent risks of coastal flooding associated with storm surges, sea level rise, pluvial and fluvial flooding. To tackle these challenges, a practical approach to evaluating storm surge inundation risks has been developed. This methodology offers an integrated assessment of potential flood risk in areas of interest. Physical modeling framework includes simulation of synthetic storms and deployment of hydrodynamic models designed to maintain consistency with anticipated future climate conditions and oceanic states. Publicly available and site-specific data provide a foundation for a risk assessment methodology designed to transform the outcomes of inundation models into statistically significant projections of anticipated financial and operational consequences. The comprehensive methodology and its applications are demonstrated by case studies spanning various geographical locations.
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