Session 13B African Climate Change and Variability I

Thursday, 1 February 2024: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
350 (The Baltimore Convention Center)
Host: 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs:
Ross D. Dixon; Akintomide Akinsanola, University of Illinois Chicago, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Chicago, IL; Aissatou Faye Jr.; Kerry H. Cook and Edward K. Vizy

Climate change and variability has a major impact on the African continent, contributing to food insecurity, displacement of populations, and stress on water resources. In this session, we invite contributions on all aspects of African climate, including work emphasizing physical processes and climate theory, modern and proxy observations of climate, and numerical modeling studies of past, present, and future African climates. Intraseasonal to decadal prediction is of particular interest. Papers which connect African climate change and variability to human health, food and water security, and socio-economic development are also welcome.

Papers:
8:30 AM
13B.1
Quantifying Uncertainty in Simulations of the West African Monsoon with the Use of Surrogate Models
Matthias Fischer, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Knippertz, R. van der Linden, A. Lemburg, G. Pante, C. Proppe, and J. H. Marsham

8:45 AM
13B.2
What Will a West African Extreme Rainfall Event Look like By 2100?
Beth J. Woodhams, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Baden-Württemberg, Germany; and P. Knippertz and A. H. Fink

9:00 AM
13B.3
West African Summer Monsoon Onset Variability and Prediction
William Agyakwah, NOAA, College Park, MD; and Z. T. Segele, E. B. Bekele, and W. M. Thiaw

9:15 AM
13B.4
Understanding the Zonal Variability in CMIP6 Projections of Sahelian Precipitation
Emmanuel Ogwuche Audu, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and R. D. Dixon and I. Diallo

9:30 AM
13B.5
Synchronization of the Recent East African Long Rains Decline and Northwestern Asian Warming
Samson M. Hagos, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and P. L. Ma, S. W. Lubis, M.Sc, Ph.D.,, K. Balaguru, P. Shi, O. Garuba, and L. R. Leung

9:45 AM
13B.6
The Mechanisms Controlling the Rainy Season Transition Period in the Southern Congo Basin
Sarah Worden, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and R. Fu

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