J1B Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Post-processing Methods

Monday, 29 January 2024: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs:
Mimi R. Abel, NOAA, ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; Ethan D. Gutmann; Rachel R. McCrary and Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Climate and Ecosystems Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA

Climate and weather models must span a global domain, necessitating a coarse spatial grid; however, most applications of those models need data at highly local spatial scales. In addition, these models have biases that preclude their direct application for some uses. Because of these mismatches, many different approaches have been developed to make climate and weather model output more useful and usable for hydrologic purposes. Statistical and dynamical downscaling and post-processing methods – and hybrid methods – allow these model outputs to better resolve features such as mountains, coastal boundaries and other hydroclimatic features. In addition, careful evaluation of their historical skill in current climate, statistical reliability for weather forecasts, and diagnosis of their representation of future changes are critical, and bias correction may be necessary for their application. Finally, understanding gained through applications of downscaled products provides key feedback between users and developers of the models and methods.  We invite presentations on the development of downscaling models and datasets, post-processing and bias correction techniques, evaluations of different methods, and applications of downscaled products.

Submitters:  Naomi Goldenson, Seattle, WA; Mimi R. Hughes, ESRL/Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO; Ethan D. Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Rachel R. McCrary, RAL, NCAR, Fort Collins, CO and Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA

Papers:
8:45 AM
J1B.2
Developing Customized Downscaled Climate Projections for the Long-Term Management of the Edwards Aquifer System under a Warming Climate
Adrienne Wootten, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. Basagaoglu, P. Bertetti, D. Chakraborty, C. Sharma, M. Samimi, and A. Mirchi

9:00 AM
J1B.3
A Statewide, Weather-Regime based Stochastic Weather Generator for California
Nasser Najibi, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. Weyant, A. J. Perez, W. Arnold, A. Schwarz, A. Gershunov, R. Maendly, and S. Steinschneider

9:15 AM
J1B.4
Evaluation of Statistical Downscaling Methods for Regional Precipitation Over CONUS Using a K-Means Weather Typing Algorithm
Nicholas D. Lybarger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. D. Gutmann, S. Hartke, T. Eidhammer, S. McGinnis, A. J. Newman, and A. W. Wood

9:30 AM
J1B.5
Intercomparison of Regional Reanalysis Datasets over Italy and Hydrological Applications for the Electro-energy System
Francesca Viterbo, RSE S.p.A., Milano, Italy; and F. Cavalleri, R. Bonanno, S. Sperati, and M. Lacavalla

9:45 AM
J1B.6
Precipitation hazards viewed through "grey swan" tropical cyclones simulated by 3km Earth system models (Invited)
Colin M. Zarzycki, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. N. DeCiampa

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