Program: 38th Conference on Hydrology (104th AMS Annual Meeting)

Program Chairs: Timothy M. Lahmers , NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (NASA-GSFC) ; Jing Tao , Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory ; Kyle R. Knipper , USDA

Reviewers: Jason A. Otkin ; Maya Robinson , NOAA ; Joshua K. Roundy ; Molly Woloszyn , Applied Weather Associates ; Petrus Oevelen , George Mason University ; Timothy L. Schneider ; Sarah A. Tessendorf ; Thomas E. Adams III ; Chandana Gangodagamage , NASA Goddard Space Flight Center ; Sudershan Gangrade , ORNL ; Ganesh R Ghimire ; Shih-Chieh Kao , Texas A&M University ; Mario Morales-Hernández , ORNL ; Heather Grams ; Forrest M. Hoffman ; Sujay V. Kumar, PhD , GSFC ; Koushan Mohammadi , University of Connecticut ; Kenneth E. Kunkel , NCEI ; Kelly M. Mahoney ; John W. Nielsen-Gammon ; Daniel Feldman , LBNL ; Ethan D. Gutmann ; Mimi R. Abel , NOAA ; Jordan I. Christian , University of North Dakota ; Mike Hobbins ; Andrew J. Hoell , NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory ; Hailan Wang , GMAO ; Jennifer D. Watts , Woodwell Climate Research Center ; David Paul Keeney ; Miles Yaw , Bureau of Reclamation ; Devan Mahadevan , Bureau of Reclamation ; Kent Walker , Bureau of Reclamation ; Clara S. Draper ; Andrew M Fox ; Wanshu Nie , GSFC ; Michael B. Ek , NCAR ; Craig R. Ferguson , SUNY University at Albany, NY ; Randal D. Koster , NASA ; Yongkang Xue ; Viviana Maggioni , George Mason University ; Andrew J. Newman ; Youcun Qi , Applied Weather Associates ; Zhe Zhang , Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Huiling Yuan , Nanjing University ; Yu Zhang , The University of Texas at Arlington ; Kuolin Hsu , University of California, Irvine ; Janice L. Bytheway ; Haonan Chen , Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) ; Ryan Gonzalez , Colorado State University ; Eunsang Cho ; Elias Deeb , Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab ; Carrie Vuyovich , GSFC ; Melissa Wrzesien , NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/University of Maryland ; Martha C. Anderson , ARS ; Nicolas E. Bambach , UC Davis ; William Kustas , USDA ; Yun Yang , ARS ; Naomi Goldenson ; Rachel R. McCrary ; David Curtis ; Ranjan Muttiah, PhD , City of Fort Worth, Stormwater Management ; Jing Tao , Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory ; Sarah Marie Trojniak ; Neil Hindley , University of Bath

« Collapse View

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Tuesday, 23 January 2024

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 January 2024

Virtual Poster Slam Session #2

Hosts: (Joint between the Virtual Posters; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; and the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface )

Cochairs: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah; Suzana J. Camargo, PhD, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University; Kyle R. Knipper, USDA; Stephanie J. Avey

V18

37CVC Wildfires and Greenhouse Gases across the Southwestern USA

Nolan Tai, Troy High School, Fullerton, CA; and X. Jiang and Y. Yung

V19

37CVC Are the Extreme Marine Heatwave Events in the Central-eastern Tropical Pacific Predictable 30–60 Days in Advance by NUIST CFS1.1 Model?

Lin Lin, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China

Handout (3.2 MB)

V20

37CVC Teleconnections Link to Summer Heat Extremes in the South-Central U.S.: Insights from CMIP5 and CMIP6 Simulations

Jung Hee Ryu, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Gangneung, South korea; Gangneung-Wonju National University, Gangneung-si, Gangwon-do, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. L. Kang

V22

37CVC Short-term Dependence Between the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Pacific-North-American (PNA) Indices and its Connection to Predictability and Standard Flow Indices

Justin McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Flatau and J. D. Doyle

V21

37CVC Deep Learning Base Heatwave and Tropical Night Prediction Model Using Local Ensemble Prediction System

V23

37CVC Assessing the Impact of the Recent Warming in the East China Sea on a Torrential Rain Event in Northern Kyushu (Japan) in Early July 2017

Atsuyoshi Manda, Mie University, Tsu, Mie, Japan; and S. Iizuka, H. Nakamura, and T. Miyasaka

V24

37CVC The Effect of Human Emissions on the Level of Atmospheric CO2

Edwin X Berry, Ed Berry LLC, Bigfork, MT

V24A

37CVC Future Contribution of African Easterly Waves to Precipitation Extreme Events in CMIP6

Tomviezibe Cephas Dombo, Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi, New Delhi, DL, India; Nigerian Meteorological Agency, Abuja, Abuja, Nigeria; and K. M. AchutaRao and S. Sukumaran

V25

38HYDRO The Effect of Greenhouse Gas Induced Warming on the Impact of El Niño and La Niña Events on Precipitation Extremes

Qiaohong Sun, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and F. W. Zwiers and X. ZHANG

V26

38HYDRO Recent Developments of the 200-Member West-WRF Near Real-Time Forecast Ensemble

Daniel F. Steinhoff, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California San Diego, San Diego, CA; and B. Kawzenuk, M. Simpson, N. R. Mascioli, M. Ghazvinian, PhD, A. Sengupta, L. Delle Monache, R. Weihs, C. Papadopoulos, and M. M. Ralph

V27

38HYDRO Understanding the Sensitivity of Different Drought Indices to Soil Moisture Variations in Africa

Aolin Jia, Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology, Belvaux, ESCH-SUR-ALZETTE, Luxembourg; and T. Hu and K. Mallick

V27A

38HYDRO Landsat Imagery Shows a Recent Accelerating Rate of Increase in Land Evapotranspiration.

Hadi Jaafar, PhD, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon; and L. Sujud

V27B

38HYDRO Use of Machine Learned Mutual Information Between Drought Factors Influencing the USDM

Michael Shaw, NOAA, Manchester; NOAA, Asheville, NC; and S. Ansari, D. M. Mocko, S. Yatheendradas, and J. Fain

Manuscript (54.8 kB)

Handout (726.5 kB)

V27C

38HYDRO Estimating 3-m Evapotranspiration Using Planet, OpenET, and Machine Learning Techniques

Rui Gao, PhD, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS; and Y. Yang, K. Knipper, M. Mar Alsina, L. A. Sanchez, F. Melton, H. Nieto, N. E. Bambach, F. Gao, J. Alfieri, M. C. Anderson, W. Kustas, L. E. Hipps, and A. Torres-Rua

V28

24SMOI Fog Structure and Stability at Sable Island in July 2022

Clive Edgar Dorman, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and D. Koračin and G. Gašparac

V29

24SMOI The Kavaratti Project: Meteorology Over the Lakshadweep Sea For Climate Simulation

NARAYANAN M KOMERATH, Taksha Institute, Hampton, VA; Taksha Institute, Hampton, VA; and S. Meti, R. Ramachandran, and R. Deepak

V30

24SMOI Infrasonic Detection of Tornadoes Using Interferometric Beamforming

Christopher Francis Sterpka, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Smyrna, GA

V31

24SMOI Winds over DC

William Pendergrass, ATDD, OAK RIDGE, TN; and N. Lichiheb, A. Stein, S. Baidar, and W. A. Brewer

V31A

24SMOI Particulate Matter in the American Southwest: Detection and Analysis of Dust Storms Using Surface Measurements and Ground-Based LIDAR

Joscelyne Guzman-Gonzalez, NCAS-M II, EL PASO, TX

V32

28IOAS NWP-Based Evaluation of Radiosonde Network and AMDAR Data in China

JIAN XIA GUO, CMA Meteorological Observation Center, BEIJING, 11, China

V32A

2FUTURE Implementing, Strengthening and Sustaining Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems in Caribbean Small Island Developing States

Stephanie Gallasch, M.A., WMO, Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; and R. Martinez Guingla

V32AB

2FUTURE Application of XGBoost to Site-specific Weather Forecast in Australia

Mengmeng Han, BoM, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; and T. Leeuwenburg and B. Murphy

Sunday, 28 January 2024

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

Presidential Forum: Climate Science as Service to Society

Location: Ballroom III/ IV (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the Convergence Science: Indigenous Weather, Water and Climate Knowledge Systems, Practices and Communities; the Town Hall Meetings; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Presidential Conference; the Daniel Keyser Symposium; the Kuo-Nan Liou Symposium; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

Moderator: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT

Panelists: Bob Inglis, republicEn.org; Monica P. Medina, Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS)

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

AMS Career Resource & Graduate School Fair

Location: Hall D (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the 23rd Annual Student Conference; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Daniel Keyser Symposium; the Kuo-Nan Liou Symposium; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

Annual Meeting Welcome Reception

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the 23rd Annual Student Conference; the Convergence Science: Indigenous Weather, Water and Climate Knowledge Systems, Practices and Communities; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Daniel Keyser Symposium; the Kuo-Nan Liou Symposium; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

Monday, 29 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Session 1A

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Andrew J. Newman

Cochairs: Viviana Maggioni, George Mason University; Youcun Qi, Applied Weather Associates; Zhe Zhang, Chinese Academy of Sciences

8:30 AM

1A.1

Satellite Observations of Precipitation - the Link between Products and Processes

Christian D. Kummerow, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

8:45 AM

1A.2

Global Diurnal Rain Types in 3-D

Courtney J. Schumacher, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and A. Funk

9:00 AM

1A.3

Retrieving latent heating profiles from GOES for precipitation forecasts (Invited)

Yoonjin Lee, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and K. Hillburn

9:15 AM

1A.4

A Satellite-Based Analysis of Precipitation Temporal Trends and Spatial Patterns in Ghana

Malihe Nasibi, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and V. Maggioni, I. Dollan, W. Amponsah, and E. Nikolopoulos

9:30 AM

1A.5

Development of a fine-scale North American precipitation analysis for retrospective and operational applications

Fadji Zaouna Maina, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, PhD, D. M. Mocko, E. M. Kemp, C. Collins, and J. M. Beck

9:45 AM

Discussion

Jing Tao,

J1B

Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Post-processing Methods

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Naomi Goldenson

Cochairs: Mimi R. Abel, NOAA; Ethan D. Gutmann; Rachel R. McCrary; Daniel Feldman, LBNL

8:30 AM

J1B.1

When science colors outside the lines: Incorporating uncertain future extreme precipitation projections into conventional engineering for high-hazard infrastructure (Invited)

Kelly M. Mahoney, NOAA, BOULDER, CO; and B. McCormick and J. Lukas

8:45 AM

J1B.2

Developing Customized Downscaled Climate Projections for the Long-Term Management of the Edwards Aquifer System under a Warming Climate

Adrienne Wootten, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. Basagaoglu, P. Bertetti, D. Chakraborty, C. Sharma, M. Samimi, and A. Mirchi

9:00 AM

J1B.3

A Statewide, Weather-Regime based Stochastic Weather Generator for California

Nasser Najibi, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. Weyant, A. J. Perez, W. Arnold, A. Schwarz, A. Gershunov, R. Maendly, and S. Steinschneider

9:15 AM

J1B.4

Evaluation of Statistical Downscaling Methods for Regional Precipitation Over CONUS Using a K-Means Weather Typing Algorithm

Nicholas D. Lybarger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. D. Gutmann, S. Hartke, T. Eidhammer, S. McGinnis, A. J. Newman, and A. W. Wood

9:30 AM

J1B.5

Intercomparison of Regional Reanalysis Datasets over Italy and Hydrological Applications for the Electro-energy System

Francesca Viterbo, RSE S.p.A., Milano, Italy; and F. Cavalleri, R. Bonanno, S. Sperati, and M. Lacavalla

9:45 AM

J1B.6

Precipitation hazards viewed through "grey swan" tropical cyclones simulated by 3km Earth system models (Invited)

Colin M. Zarzycki, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. N. DeCiampa

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Coffee Break [Main Terrace (BCC), Camden Lobby (BCC), Hall E (BCC)]

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Session 2A

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Andrew J. Newman, NCAR

Cochairs: Viviana Maggioni, George Mason University; Youcun Qi, Applied Weather Associates; Zhe Zhang, Chinese Academy of Sciences

10:45 AM

2A.1

Challenges in Identifying Hydrometeorologically Homogenous Regions for use in Hydrologic Modeling with Uncertainty, Leveraging Forty Years of the Analysis of Record for Calibration (AORC) Dataset

Alyssa Hendricks Dietrich, Dewberry, Fairfax, VA; and S. Lawler, G. S. Karlovits, D. Wright, and B. Fitzgerald

11:00 AM

2A.2

Assessing the Spatial Variability of Radar-Rainfall Uncertainty in Streamflow Prediction

Nicolas Velasquez, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and W. F. Krajewski

11:15 AM

2A.3

The Use of Bulk Zdr to Mitigate Biases in MRMS Specific Attenuation Based QPE

Stephen B. Cocks, CIWRO, Univ. of Oklahoma, and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. Tang, J. Zhang, and K. Howard

11:30 AM

2A.4

How do the Convective and Microphysical Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation over the Pearl River Delta at Monsoon Coast Vary with Increasing Rainfall Extremity?

Yali Luo, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology (NUIST), Nanjing, 32, China; and Y. Gao, M. Li, C. Wu, and J. Qiu

11:45 AM

2A.5

Land-Ocean Contrast of Precipitation Processes in the E3SM Multiscale Modeling Framework with 2-D vs 3-D Cloud Resolving Configurations

Wei-Ching Hsu, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and G. J. Kooperman and W. Hannah

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics )

Chair: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing University

Cochairs: Yu Zhang, The University of Texas at Arlington; Kuolin Hsu, University of California, Irvine

10:45 AM

2B.1

Quantify and Evaluate the Forecast Uncertainty from Global Ensemble Forecast System (invited)

Yuejian Zhu, EMC, College Park, MD

11:00 AM

2B.2

The Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service - Overview and Future Development

Mark A. Fresch, NWS, Silver Spring, MD

11:15 AM

2B.3

How many members are necessary to reduce errors in ensemble spread in hydrometeorological forecasts?

Michael A. Brunke, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng, W. D. Scheftic, L. Delle Monache, M. Simpson, and D. F. Steinhoff

11:30 AM

2B.4

Impacts of Combining Various Types of Perturbation Methods on Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting of Precipitation during SCMREX

Xubin Zhang, Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou, China

11:45 AM

2B.5

Convective-scale ensemble forecasts of the heavy precipitation of Typhoon Lekima (2019) in Zhejiang Province

Huiling Yuan, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 32, China; and F. Xu

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Session 3A

Urban Hydrology, Flood Hazards and Risks

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Ranjan Muttiah, PhD, City of Fort Worth, Stormwater Management

CoChair: David Curtis

1:45 PM

3A.1

A Data-Driven Framework for Studying Urban Rainfall Modification

Arya Chavoshi, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and D. Niyogi

2:00 PM

3A.2

Exploring Urban Precipitation Anomalies: The Influence of Local Climate and Urban Development

Xinxin Sui, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang, J. M. Shepherd, and D. Niyogi

2:15 PM

3A.3

Urban Flood Forecasting by Coupled River Basin-Urban Hydrological Modeling and Data Driven Approaches

Weitian Chen, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, Guangdong, China; and H. Wu, L. Jiang, Y. Hu, and Z. Huang

2:30 PM

3A.4

Small Scale Variability in Warm Season Precipitation Around Louisville, KY

Jason A. Naylor, Univ. of Louisville, Louisville, KY; and I. Kingsberry

2:45 PM

3A.5

Why Do Flood Warning Systems Work When They Should? (or not)

David C. Curtis, WEST Consultants, Folsom, CA

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application II (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology and the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics)

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing University

Cochairs: Yu Zhang, The University of Texas at Arlington; Kuolin Hsu, University of California, Irvine

1:45 PM

3B.1

Skills of Ensemble Hydrologic Forecasts and Potential Use in Guiding Reservoir Operations: Lessons from Central Texas Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operation Pilot

Yanjun Gan, PhD, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; and Y. Zhang, A. Philpott, K. Lander, F. Bell, and N. Fernando

2:00 PM

3B.2

Short Term Drought Prediction Based on Stable States Between the Land and the Atmosphere

Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and P. Makhasana, J. A. Santanello Jr., and P. Lawston Parker

2:15 PM

3B.3

Analysis of the Characteristics of the Low-level Jets in the MiddleReaches of the Yangtze River during the Mei-yu Season

chunguang cui Sr., Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration，Wuhan, Wuhan, Hubei, China

2:30 PM

3B.4

Interactions of Stream Water with Atmospheric Water and Groundwater in Herring Run, Baltimore, Maryland

Yi Liu, Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD

2:45 PM

3B.5

Symbiotic Relationship between Mei-Yu Rainfall and the Morphology of Mei-Yu Front

Xiaokang Wang, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, 42, China

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the Convergence Science: Indigenous Weather, Water and Climate Knowledge Systems, Practices and Communities; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Daniel Keyser Symposium; the Kuo-Nan Liou Symposium; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Andrew J. Newman

Cochairs: Viviana Maggioni, George Mason University; Youcun Qi, Applied Weather Associates; Zhe Zhang, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Investigating Changes in Historical and Future Rainfall Patterns Using Climate Model Simulations

Ridwana Binte Sharif, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and V. Maggioni and I. J. Dollan

Handout (1.8 MB)

A cloud-based High-Resolution Multi-Source Precipitation Product Over CONUS

Keyhan Gavahi, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, The University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and H. Moradkhani

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics )

Chair: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing University

Cochairs: Yu Zhang, The University of Texas at Arlington; Kuolin Hsu, University of California, Irvine

A Study on the Enhancement Mechanism of the Eastward Moving Convective Clouds over the Tibetan Plateau and their Enhancement in the Secondary Terrain

wang xiaofang, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration，Wuhan, Wuhan, Hubei, China

Vertical Structures of Raindrop Size Distributions over Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River during Meiyu Period in 2020

Bin Wang, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, Wuhan, Hubei, China; and L. Zhou, Z. Fu, and G. Xu

Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Post-processing Methods - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Naomi Goldenson

Cochairs: Mimi R. Abel, NOAA; Ethan D. Gutmann; Rachel R. McCrary; Daniel Feldman, LBNL

Evaluation of Multivariate Downscaling of GEOS S2S Meteorological Forecasts Using Climate Regionalization for the Amazon

Prakrut Kansara, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik

Multi-model ensemble of precipitation changes of the Pearl River Basin and its impact to the water resources

Mengfei He, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China; and Y. Chen

Leveraging Internal Variability to Assess Regional Vulnerability to Atmospheric Rivers Using a High-Resolution Atmospheric Simulation

Ethan D. Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Harrell, M. Warner, A. W. Wood, N. Mizukami, A. Smith, W. R. Currier, T. Eidhammer, B. Kruyt, and C. D. Frans

The Fall 2023 Interagency Workshop on Assessing U.S. Regional Climate Data for Decision Making

Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and H. Lee, F. Lipschultz, T. Spero, and P. Ullrich

Handout (6.1 MB)

Urban Hydrology, Flood Hazards and Risks - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Ranjan Muttiah, PhD, City of Fort Worth, Stormwater Management

CoChair: David Curtis

Integration of Urban Local Realtime Flood and Extreme Weather Warning Systems with All Hazards Warning

Ranjan Muttiah, PhD, Stormwater Management, Transportation Public Works, City of Fort Worth, Texas, Fort Worth, TX; Stormwater Management, City of Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX

Detecting Water Features over Diverse Land Surfaces Using Uncrewed Aerial System (UAS) Imagery and the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)

Jamie L. Dyer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and L. Hathcock, H. Kamba, and R. Moorhead

Handout (2.1 MB)

The role of the groundwater to the Chesapeake Bay Storm Surge Modeling

Meng Xia, University of Maryland Eastern Shore, Princess Anne, MD; and F. Pourreza, B. Sahoo, and R. M. Maxwell

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Andrew J. Newman

Cochairs: Viviana Maggioni, George Mason University; Youcun Qi, Applied Weather Associates; Zhe Zhang, Chinese Academy of Sciences

E18

Generation and Validation of High Resolution QPEs in the Pigeon River Basin

Dylan James Major, Univ. of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and D. K. Miller, O. Prat, B. R. Nelson, V. Petkovic, M. Arulraj, and R. Ferraro

E19

Learning data fusion and atmospheric forcing corrections using a physics-informed, differentiable hydrologic model

Kamlesh Arun Sawadekar, The Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and Y. Song and C. Shen

E20

Characteristics and Causes of“21.7” Extreme Rainstorm in Northern Henan Province

Aifang Su, Henan Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Zhengzhou, China

E21

Quantitative Precipitation Nowcasting using PySteps and S-Band dual-pol Weather Radar for Squall Lines in Southern Brazil

Leonardo Calvetti, Universidade Federal de Pelotas, Pelotas, RS, Brazil; Universidade Federal de Pelotas, Pelotas, RS, Brazil; and K. Andrzejewski, C. Beneti, T. M. Buriol, and E. Brignol

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing University

Cochairs: Yu Zhang, The University of Texas at Arlington; Kuolin Hsu, University of California, Irvine

E22

Improving National Water Model ensemble streamflow predictions using post-processed precipitation forecasts

Diana Rose Stovern, ESRL, Boulder, CO; and N. Acharya, M. R. Abel, K. M. Mahoney, R. Cifelli, W. R. Currier, and M. Scheuerer

E23

Study on Hydrological and Rainfall Characteristics and Circulation Anomalies in Autumn Flood Season of HanJiang River in 2021

Xu Ming, CIMMS, Wuhan, Hubei Province, HuBei, China

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Session 4

Horton Lecture

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Timothy M. Lahmers, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (NASA-GSFC)

Cochairs: Jing Tao, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory; Kyle Knipper

4:30 PM

4.1

Deciphering Reservoir Dynamics: From Hydrology to Water Resources Management

Huilin Gao, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Exhibit Hall Opening Reception

Location: Hall F/ Swing (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the Agency Updates; the Convergence Science: Indigenous Weather, Water and Climate Knowledge Systems, Practices and Communities; the Town Hall Meetings; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Presidential Conference; the Daniel Keyser Symposium; the Kuo-Nan Liou Symposium; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

ESWN Reception

Location: Pratt Street Ale House

7:30 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

38th Conference on Hydrology Social

Location: Pickersgill (Hilton Baltimore Inner Harbor)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Coriolis (LGBTQ+ and Allies) Reception

Location: Pisces (Hyatt Regency Baltimore)

Tuesday, 30 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

J5A

Extreme Precipitation I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chairs: Kelly M. Mahoney; John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University

Cochairs: Kenneth E. Kunkel, NCEI; Sarah M. Trojniak, NOAA

8:30 AM

J5A.1

Climate Informed NOAA Precipitation Frequency Atlas of the United States (Invited)

SANDRA PAVLOVIC, NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; and F. Salas, F. L. Ogden, E. P. Clark, M. St. Laurent, C. Trypaluk, D. Unruh, A. Jordan, and R. S. S. Mantripragada

8:45 AM

J5A.2

NOAA Atlas 15: Updated Extreme Precipitation-Frequency Estimation Methodology in a Non-Stationary Climate

Debbie Martin, RTI International, Broomfield, CO

9:00 AM

J5A.3

Scientific Challenges for NOAA Atlas 15 Projections of Heavy Rainfall Design Values

Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC

9:15 AM

J5A.4

Assessing the Value of Higher-Frequency Modeled Precipitation Data for Quantifying Risk from Changes in Extreme Precipitation

Tanya Spero, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; U.S. EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and A. M. Jalowska, G. Gray, J. H. Bowden, M. S. Mallard, J. Willison, and G. E. Tierney

9:30 AM

J5A.5

A Comparison of Downscaling Methods to Create Future Precipitation Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves for Resilient Transportation within North Carolina

Jared H. Bowden, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and K. E. Kunkel, G. M. Lackmann, K. Dello, K. E. Hollinger, A. M. Sinning, T. Spero, A. M. Jalowska, G. M. E. Gray, M. S. Mallard, and M. Lauffer

9:45 AM

J5A.6

Detection and Estimation of Extreme, Short-Duration, Small-Area Rainfall

James Anderson Smith, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and M. L. Baeck, A. V. Ryzhkov, and J. Hu

J5B

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Yongkang Xue

Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA; Michael B. Ek, NCAR

8:30 AM

J5B.1

The SMOPS Blended Soil Moisture Climate Data Record

Jifu Yin, NOAA, College Park, MD; and X. Zhan, J. Liu, H. Meng, and R. Ferraro

8:45 AM

J5B.2

A strong role of shallow soil moisture in land-atmosphere coupling

Andrew Feldman, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and T. R. Holmes, K. A. Cawse-Nicholson, R. D. Koster, W. T. Crow, and B. Poulter

9:00 AM

J5B.3

Thermodynamic constraints on the sensitivity of boundary layer clouds to land surface flux partitioning

Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and F. M. Hay-Chapman, J. Simon, and N. Chaney

Handout (2.3 MB)

9:15 AM

J5B.4

Evaluating Land-Atmosphere processes in a developmental version of the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS) coupled to a National Water Model (NWM) configuration of WRF-Hydro during warm season convective events

Jason M. English, CIRES/NOAA GSL, Boulder, CO; and D. Rosen, D. J. Gochis, A. R. Siems-Anderson, T. T. Ladwig, R. Cabell, and C. R. Alexander

9:30 AM

J5B.5

Land Atmosphere Coupling Strength and its Impact on Precipitation during North American Summer

Madhusmita Swain, University at Albany, Albany, NY; SUNY Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. R. Ferguson and D. Fitzjarrald

9:45 AM

J5B.6

Hydrometeorological Drivers of Summertime Temperature Variability Over Western US Land Surfaces

Lily Zhang, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. R. Vargas Zeppetello and D. S. Battisti

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Coffee Break [Main Terrace (BCC), Camden Lobby (BCC), Hall E (BCC), Hall F (BCC)]

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Session 7A

Data-Driven Methods for Hydrological Modeling, Prediction, and Uncertainty Estimation

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chairs: Sujay V. Kumar, PhD, GSFC; Forrest M. Hoffman

CoChair: Koushan Mohammadi, University of Connecticut

1:45 PM

7A.1

An approach towards including watershed traits in machine learning models for predictions in unmonitored basins (INVITED)

Charuleka Varadharajan, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and J. D. Willard, F. Ciulla, H. Weierbach, A. R. Lima, N. Bouskill, E. Brodie, and V. Kumar

2:00 PM

7A.2

New knowledge discovery through coevolution of machine learning and process-based modelling (INVITED)

Saman Razavi, Australian National University and University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and K. Li

2:15 PM

7A.3

Combining physical process and deep learning models for reliable precipitation nowcasts

Shangshang Yang, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, 32, China; and H. Yuan

2:30 PM

7A.4

Integrating data-driven methods with a complex hydrodynamic modelling system to assess sensitivity, uncertainty, and forecast performance

Nathan Michael Barber, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. Mejia and S. J. Greybush

2:45 PM

7A.5

Detection of Extreme Streamflow Reoccurrence Patterns over the Southeast United States

Krzysztof Raczynski, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS; and J. Dyer

J7B

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions II

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Yongkang Xue

Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA; Michael B. Ek, NCAR; Craig R. Ferguson, SUNY University at Albany, NY

1:45 PM

J7B.1

Enhancing Noah-MP model representation of fire impacts on land surface conditions

Cenlin He, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Abolafia-Rosenzweig, F. Chen, A. Dugger, and D. J. Gochis

2:00 PM

J7B.2

Effect of Urbanization on the Hydroclimate and Deep Convection in the Southern Great Plain and Northeastern US

Xin Zhou, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and F. Letson, P. Crippa, M. Bukovsky, and S. C. Pryor

2:15 PM

J7B.3

Expansion or shrinking of Sahara Desert and frozen lands in the Arctic and Tibetan Plateau

Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Liu

2:30 PM

J7B.4

Comparing Mechanistic Patterns of Terrestrial Hydroclimatic Change in Global Models and Reanalysis Data

Kirsten L. Findell, GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and S. Duan and S. Fueglistaler

2:45 PM

J7B.5

Subgrid surface heterogeneity and land-atmosphere interactions: a hierarchy of parameterizations for global climate models

Finley Miles Hay-Chapman, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer, M. D. Fowler, T. Waterman, and N. Chaney

Handout (2.5 MB)

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing [Hall E (BCC) & Hall F (BCC)]

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the Convergence Science: Indigenous Weather, Water and Climate Knowledge Systems, Practices and Communities; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

Extreme Precipitation I - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Kelly M. Mahoney

Cochairs: Kenneth E. Kunkel, NCEI; John W. Nielsen-Gammon; Sarah M. Trojniak, NOAA

289

Understanding New England Riverine Flooding: A Hydroclimatic Perspective

Lindsay Lawrence, Northeastern University, Nahant, MA

290

An Analysis of Excessive Rainfall Events and Suwannee River Streamflow Response

Nicole Casamassina Rockwell, NWS, Peachtree City, GA

291

A High-Resolution Numerical Simulation of the "7.19" Extraordinary Heavy Rainfall in Henan Province Under Topographic Effect

Han Li, Henan Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Zhengzhou, China

292

Influences of Large-scale and Meso-scale Circulation Patterns on Warm Season Precipitation in South China

Wenbin Chen, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 32, China; Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and H. Yuan

293

Analyzing the Performance of Different Parameter Settings with the Ensemble Nowcasting of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation

Steven Rearden, NWC REU, Norman, OK; and S. M. Martinaitis, J. Anthony, and D. Meyer

Handout (1.2 MB)

294

Multi-storm analysis of satellite precipitation informed streamflow for landfalling tropical cyclones.

Alka Tiwari, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Cherkauer, W. W. Tung, F. D. Marks Jr., ScD, and D. Niyogi

295

A multi-radar perspective on the stratiform precipitation region of landfalling hurricane Ian (2022)

Aimee Dixon, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and N. S. BRAUER and P. Kirstetter

Handout (4.5 MB)

296

High resolution precipitation forecast using WRF model during super storm Ida over the New York City metropolitan area

Jorge Humberto Bravo Mendez, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and M. Temimi and M. Abdelkader

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Yongkang Xue

Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA; Michael B. Ek, NCAR; Craig R. Ferguson, SUNY University at Albany, NY

297

Riding the Waves of Climate Change: Unveiling the Connection Between Rising Sea Levels and Precipitation

Chandler Michael Pruett, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; NASA, Hampton, VA

298

INFERRING SURFACE FLUX PARTITIONING OVER LAND FROM AN EVOLVING ATMOSPHERIC BOUNDARY LAYER

Briah Davis, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer

299

Analysis of the SMAP Daily Soil Moisture Time Series through Power Spectrum-Adjustment Method Utilizing Additional Datasets

Nazanin Tavakoli, GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY, Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer

Manuscript (50.9 kB)

Handout (3.0 MB)

300

Land-Atmosphere Coupling Simulation and Its Role in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction

Yuna Lim, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, Riverdale, MD; GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Molod, R. D. Koster, and J. A. Santanello Jr.

301

Soil Moisture-Latent Heat Flux Coupling in Climate Modeling: Insights and Implications from the Offline Land Model

Daisuke Tokuda, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer

302

Principle Component Analysis as a Tool for Detection of Land-Atmosphere Freeback Regimes Using Flux Site Observations

Sungyoon Kim, COLA, Fiarfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer

Manuscript (143.2 kB)

Handout (1.3 MB)

303

Trends in Satellite-Derived Vegetation Roughness Length for Momentum over the Conterminous U.S.

Jordan S. Borak, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and M. F. Jasinski, ScD and N. Tangdamrongsub

304

Climate Model Biases in Rain-on-Snow Days Across the Central United States

Ross D. Dixon, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and T. Roy and Z. Suriano

305

The Response of Precipitation to Initial Soil Moisture over the Tibetan Plateau: Respective Effects of Boundary Layer Vertical Heat and Vapor Diffusions

Feimin Zhang, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 62, China; and C. Wang and L. Zhao

Manuscript (15.9 kB)

Handout (4.4 MB)

306

Describing the Structure and Evolution of the Entrainment Zone Throughout the Morning and Evening Transitions Using LES

Tessa Elaine Rosenberger, Cleveland State University, Cleveland, OH; Cleveland State University, Cleveland, OH; and T. Heus, D. D. Turner, T. J. Wagner, S. He, and J. M. Simonson

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Extreme Precipitation - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Kelly M. Mahoney

Cochairs: Kenneth E. Kunkel, NCEI; John W. Nielsen-Gammon; Sarah M. Trojniak, NOAA

E53

Modelling the Extreme July 2023 Hudson Valley Precipitation Event

Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and A. Praino and M. Tewari

E54

The Role Antecedent Conditions and Large Precipitation Events Play for Major Flooding Episodes on the Prairie Pothole Region of the Dakotas/Northern Great Plains

E55

Predictability of a Succession of Three Extreme Precipitation Regimes (EPRs) in eastern North America in February 2019

Yeechian Low, McGill Univ., Montreal, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum

Handout (2.5 MB)

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Yongkang Xue

Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA; Michael B. Ek, NCAR; Craig R. Ferguson, SUNY University at Albany, NY

E56

Anthropogenic Aerosols Weaken Land–Atmosphere Coupling over North China

Jiangfeng Wei, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and B. Lu

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Extreme Precipitation II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chairs: Kelly M. Mahoney; Sarah M. Trojniak, NOAA

Cochairs: Kenneth E. Kunkel, NCEI; John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University

4:30 PM

8A.1

An Overview of the Dynamical Processes and Thermodynamic Drivers that Contributed to the Onset of Highly Impactful Heavy Rains in California during Winter 2022–2023

Lance F. Bosart, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and T. C. Leicht and A. K. Mitchell

4:45 PM

8A.2

The Extraordinary Period of Atmospheric River Activity During December 2022 – January 2023 in California: Impacts and Climatological Perspectives

Christopher Castellano, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and S. M. Bartlett, J. M. Cordeira, K. Guirguis, C. W. Hecht, T. Y. HSU, J. F. Kalansky, B. Kawzenuk, D. L. Nash, J. J. Rutz, Z. Zhang, and X. Zou

5:00 PM

8A.3

Diagnosing Rainfall Variability Within A Series of Atmospheric Rivers over Northern California in February 2017

Parker Malek, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and P. C. Loikith

5:15 PM

8A.4

Atmospheric River Analysis and Forecast System (AR-AFS): Improving Forecasts of Atmospheric Rivers on the US West Coast

Keqin Wu, EMC, College Park, MD; and X. Wu, V. S. Tallapragada, and M. M. Ralph

5:30 PM

8A.5

Using an Ensemble Prediction System to Evaluate the Factors Influencing the Stationary Behavior of a Landfalling Atmospheric River over Central California

Ivan Leonel Fontanez, SUNY, Aguas Buenas, PR; Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

5:45 PM

8A.6

Updating Probable Maximum Precipitation Procedures for Oregon

David Curtis, WEST Consultants, Folsom, CA; and L. Cunha, C. Yu, B. Choat, J. M. Cordeira, S. M. Bartlett, K. Mills, and T. Janicek

J8B

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions III

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chair: Yongkang Xue

Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA; Michael B. Ek, NCAR; Craig R. Ferguson, SUNY University at Albany, NY

4:30 PM

J8B.1

Key Underlying Dynamics of Ocean-Land-Air Interactions during the Landfall of TS Bill (2015)

Jinwoong Yoo, Univ. of Maryland, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD; NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. A. Santanello Jr.

4:45 PM

J8B.2

Sensitivity of Weather Forecasts to Soil Moisture Perturbations in Coastal Regions

Kevin A. Biernat, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and P. M. Finocchio and J. D. Doyle

5:00 PM

J8B.3

Modifying a Land Surface Model to Improve the Subseasonal Forecasting of Hydrological Variables

Randal D. Koster, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Lim, Y. Zeng, E. Lee, Q. Liu, S. Schubert, and A. Molod

5:15 PM

J8B.4

Identifying the Mechanism of Interaction Between Soil Moisture State and Summertime MCS Initiations in Weakly-Forced Synoptic Environments Using Convective-Permitting Simulations

Rachel Gaal, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. L. Kinter, P. A. Dirmeyer, and B. Singh

5:30 PM

J8B.5

Using WRF Simulations to Analyze Processes Linking Soil Moisture Paradigms and Convective Initiation in the Central and Southern Great Plains of the United States

Joshua Caleb Steiner, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and T. W. Ford and S. M. Quiring

5:45 PM

J8B.6

Assessing the Sensitivity of Atmospheric Convective Updrafts to Subgrid Land Surface Heterogeneity in CESM2

Meg Devlan Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Herrington, R. B. Neale, T. Waterman, D. M. Lawrence, F. M. Hay-Chapman, P. A. Dirmeyer, J. T. Bacmeister, and N. Chaney

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Exhibit Hall Reception

Location: Hall F/ Swing (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Session 9A

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chairs: Timothy M. Lahmers, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (NASA-GSFC); Joshua K. Roundy; Molly Woloszyn, Applied Weather Associates

Cochairs: Maya Robinson, NOAA; Jason A Otkin; Jing Tao, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

8:30 AM

9A.1

Environmental and Agricultural Impacts of Water Scarcity and Drought: How to Reconcile Human and Environmental Needs (Core Science Keynote)

Paolo D'Odorico, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA

9:00 AM

9A.2

Forecasting Hydrological Drought Onset, Duration, and Intensity in the Colorado River Basin and Across the Conterminous United States Using Machine Learning Models

John C Hammond, USGS, Catonsville, MD; and A. Archer, G. Cook, J. A. Diaz, P. Goodling, S. D. Hamshaw, A. Heldmyer, R. McShane, B. Pulver, R. Sando, C. Simeone, E. Smith, L. Staub, W. D. Watkins, E. White, M. Wieczorek, K. Wnuk, and J. A. Zwart

9:15 AM

9A.3

A proposed approach to quantify drought recovery time and its influencing factors in Yangtze River Basin of China

Qian Zhu, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Q. Wei

9:30 AM

9A.4

Synoptic Scale Conditions and Land-Atmosphere Interactions During the Western U.S. Drought of 2021 and 2022

Michael John Pye, The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

9:45 AM

9A.5

Changes in global drought propagation driven by anthropogenic land surface transformations

Sujay V. Kumar, PhD, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Konapala, W. Nie, and A. Getirana

Session 9C

Remote Sensing of Precipitation at Regional, Continental, and Global Scales: Estimation, Evaluation, and Applications I

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Janice L. Bytheway

Cochairs: Haonan Chen, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA); Ryan Gonzalez, Colorado State University

8:30 AM

9C.1

NEXRAD Supplemental Lower Elevation Angle Impacts on MRMS Product Mosaics

Stephen B. Cocks, CIWRO, Univ. of Oklahoma, and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. Tang, J. Anthony, and A. P. Osborne

8:45 AM

9C.2

Utilizing a Supplemental High-Resolution Weather Radar Network for Improved Quantitative Precipitation Estimates in the United States

Linda Maynard, Climavision, Louisville, KY; Climavision, Louisville, KY; and K. Grempler, J. van Doore, and L. Maynard

9:00 AM

9C.3

Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics and Evaporation Processes using Vertically Pointing Doppler Radars during the LIAISE Field Campaign

Joan Bech, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; and A. Garcia-Benadí, M. Udina, F. Polls, E. Peinó Jr., M. Balagué, A. Paci, and B. Boudevillain

9:15 AM

9C.4

Global Snowfall as Revealed by IMERG V07

Jackson Tan, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. Milani and G. J. Huffman

9:30 AM

9C.5

A NASA IMPACTS-based investigation of uncertainties in the GPM combined algorithm estimates of winter precipitation

Mircea Grecu, Morgan State University, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Heymsfield and S. D. Nicholls

9:45 AM

9C.6

Machine Learning-Based Enhancement of the NESDIS Snowfall Rate Product for Orographic Snow (Invited)

Huan Meng, NOAA/NESDIS/Center for Satellite Applications and Research, College Park, MD; and S. Shi, Y. Fan, J. Dong, and R. Ferraro

J9B

Extreme Precipitation III

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chairs: Kenneth E. Kunkel, NCEI; John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University

Cochairs: Kelly M. Mahoney; Sarah M. Trojniak, NOAA

8:30 AM

J9B.1

The NOAA Precipitation Prediction Grand Challenge: Strategy and Ongoing Activities to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall

David R. Novak, NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD

8:45 AM

J9B.2

Investigation of Ensemble-Based Nowcasting for Predicting Excessive Rainfall within the MRMS System

Steven M. Martinaitis, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO) and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Anthony, D. Meyer, and S. Rearden

9:00 AM

J9B.3

Hatched: The struggle of communicating Intensity with the WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook

James Correia Jr., CIRES, Boulder, CO; NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; and S. M. Trojniak, W. M. Bartolini, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

9:15 AM

J9B.4

Using Average Recurrence Intervals to Identify Intensity Risk in the Day 1 Time-period

Sarah Marie Trojniak, CIRES-CIESRDS @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., W. M. Bartolini, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

9:30 AM

J9B.5

Analysis of HREF Summertime Extreme precipitation forecasts over three years

Janice L. Bytheway, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and D. R. Stovern, K. M. Mahoney, S. M. Trojniak, and J. Correia Jr.

9:45 AM

J9B.6

A Climatology of Qualitative Precipitation Forecast Errors for Mesoscale Convective Systems in the High Resolution Ensemble Forecast

Anna Carolyn Duhachek, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and K. J. Franz

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Coffee Break [Main Terrace (BCC), Camden Lobby (BCC), Hall E (BCC), Hall F (BCC)]

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the Convergence Science: Indigenous Weather, Water and Climate Knowledge Systems, Practices and Communities; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Presidential Conference; the Daniel Keyser Symposium; the Kuo-Nan Liou Symposium; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Session 10A

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the Presidential Conference )

Chair: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory

Cochairs: Mike Hobbins; Hailan Wang, GMAO; Jason A Otkin; Jordan I. Christian, University of Oklahoma

10:45 AM

10A.1

Accelerating Resilience to Flash Drought through Dialogue Between Researchers and Practitioners: 2nd National Flash Drought Workshop

Molly Woloszyn, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and M. Skumanich, S. Reeves, J. Lisonbee, and M. Muth

Handout (7.5 MB)

11:00 AM

10A.2

The Drought Dilemma: Understanding Rapid Drought Development and its Potential Impacts to U.S. Winter Wheat Agriculture in the Southern Great Plains

Benjamin Jacob Fellman, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, and M. R. Tye

11:15 AM

10A.3

Impact of Vegetation Assimilation on Flash Drought Characteristics Across the Continental United States

Ali Fallahmaraghi, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow, L. Agel, J. Kim, J. S. Mankin, D. M. Mocko, and C. B. Skinner

11:30 AM

10A.4

Spatio-temporal characteristics and driving factors of flash drought recovery: From the perspective of soil moisture and GPP changes

Qian Zhu, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and H. Wang

11:45 AM

10A.5

Advancing Flash Drought Understanding through the Soil Moisture Volatility Index (SMVI)

Mahmoud Osman, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik

Session 10B

The Multifaceted Role of Evapotranspiration: Impacts on Ecosystems, Agriculture, Drought Monitoring, and Climate I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Kyle R. Knipper, USDA

Cochairs: Nicolas E. Bambach, UC Davis; Martha C. Anderson, ARS; William Kustas, USDA; Yun Yang, ARS

10:45 AM

10B.1

Hydrosat: Daily, field-scale, global evapotranspiration from space

Joshua Fisher, Hydrosat, Washington, DC; Hydrosat, Inc., Washington, DC; and W. Bastiaanssen and S. Soenen

11:00 AM

10B.2

Droughts aggravate impacts on post-fire evapotranspiration recovery in the Western U.S.

Shahryar K Ahmad, NASA GSFC, Lanham, MD; and T. R. Holmes, S. V. Kumar, PhD, T. M. Lahmers, P. W. Liu, W. Nie, A. Getirana, C. R. Hain, and F. Melton

11:15 AM

10B.3

Impacts of Plant-Physiological Forcing on Humidity Driven Extreme Heat

Ashley Ellen Cornish, MS, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and G. J. Kooperman, A. J. Grundstein, and C. B. Skinner

11:30 AM

10B.4

Field-Scale assessment of Water Use change over the Lower Mississippi Alluvial Plain

Yun Yang, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and W. Duan, M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, C. R. Hain, R. Gao, PhD, and F. Melton

11:45 AM

10B.5

Data Fusion and Mining Techniques to Map Water Use and Drought across Spatial Scales (Invited)

Christopher Hain, NASA MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and M. C. Anderson, Y. Yang, and V. Mishra

Session 10C

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management I

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Ganesh R Ghimire

Cochairs: Sudershan Gangrade, ORNL; Shih-Chieh Kao, Texas A&M University; Mario Morales-Hernández, ORNL; Thomas E. Adams III; Chandana Gangodagamage, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

10:45 AM

10C.1

Advancing Flash Flood Forecasting Capabilities in West Africa with Machine Learning and Satellite Observations

Efthymios Nikolopoulos, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and A. Ali, W. Amponsah, G. Anagnostopoulos, A. Aravamudan, J. J. Gourley, V. Maggioni, M. Nasibi, V. Robledo, H. Vergara, and X. Zhang

11:00 AM

10C.2

Operational Hydrology with NOAA’s National Water Model: Current Capabilities and Future Enhancements

Brian Cosgrove, NWS Office of Water Prediction, Silver Spring, MD; NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and E. P. Clark, A. Dugger, T. C. Flowers, D. J. Gochis, T. M. Graziano, and F. L. Ogden

11:15 AM

10C.3

Actionable Intelligence from the National Water Center Products and National Water Model Visualization Services: Kentucky Flood Event July 2022

Joseph E. Cebulko, NOAA/NWS/OWP/NWC/WPOD, Tuscaloosa, AL; and K. Van Werkhoven

11:30 AM

10C.4

A High Resolution Global Pluvial Flood Model for Predicting Physical Risk in a Changing Climate

Elizabeth Perry, Jupiter Intelligence, New York, NY; and C. J. McNicholas, Ph.D.

11:45 AM

10C.5

A Global Flood Inundation Database (GloFID)

Chandana Gangodagamage, OeilSat LLC GSFC/UMD, Hanover, MD; and R. M. Tshimanga, S. Lamont, K. Matta, S. Venukanthan, and S. Mahanama

J10A

Transitioning Next Generation Water Resources Models to Operations I

Location: 320 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; and the 38th Conference on Hydrology )

Cochairs: David R. Vallee, Northeast River Forecast Center; John J. Pereira

10:45 AM

J10A.1

Improving Operational Hydrologic Prediction Using Mosaiced Model Formulations with the Next Generation Water Resources Modeling Framework

Keith Jennings, Lynker, Boulder, CO; NOAA-NWS Office of Water Prediction, Tuscaloosa, AL; and R. McDaniel, L. Cunha, J. Garrett, S. Peckham, A. W. Wood, G. Evenson, W. Wu, A. Jan, P. La Follette, M. Williamson, N. J. Frazier, N. Mizukami, F. L. Ogden, and T. C. Flowers

11:00 AM

J10A.2

NextGen Water Resources Modeling Framework: An Overview of the Model Agnostic Approach to Integrating and Coupling Model Runtime Applications.

Nels J Frazier, NOAA affiliate, Office of Water Prediction, Lynker, Laramie, WY; Lynker, Boulder, CO; NOAA-NWS Office of Water Prediction, Tuscaloosa, AL; and M. Williamson, D. W. Johnson, J. Singh-Mohudpur, P. Miller, S. Cui, R. Bartel, and C. O. Tubbs

11:15 AM

J10A.3

The NOAA Next Generation Water Resource Modeling Framework Hydrofabric

J Michael Johnson, NOAA-Affiliate, Lynker, Fort Collins, CO; and A. Modesari Rad, T. C. Flowers, and F. L. Ogden

11:30 AM

J10A.4

Automating and Simplifying NextGen Framework Model Development and Optimization with the Distributed Model On Demand Platform

Robert Bartel, NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; Lynker, Leesburg, VA; and T. C. Flowers, N. Frazier, A. Raney, C. O. Tubbs, and M. Williamson

11:45 AM

J10A.5

Developing Formulation and Parameter Regionalization Capabilities for the Next Generation Water Resources Modeling Framework

Yuqiong Liu, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; LEN Technologies, Oak Hill, VA; and X. Feng, N. Frazier, J. A. Ducker, M. Williamson, M. Johnson, B. A. Cosgrove, T. C. Flowers, and F. L. Ogden

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Session 11A

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory

Cochairs: Mike Hobbins; Hailan Wang, GMAO; Jason A. Otkin; Jordan I. Christian, University of North Dakota

1:45 PM

11A.2

Soil-based Flash Drought Identification and Prediction

Guiling Wang, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and K. Mohammadi

2:00 PM

11A.1

Sensitivity of Flash Drought Prediction Based on Inter- and Intra-Annual Modes of Variability to Drought Index and Region

Emma L. Scott, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, NC; and R. D. Leeper and D. A. Coates

2:15 PM

11A.3

Teleconnections and Drivers of Regional Flash Droughts in the United States

Daniel Mesheske, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. M. Grace, J. I. Christian, and J. B. Basara

2:30 PM

11A.4

Flash Drought Occurrence in the Coastal Carolinas Could Increase in the Future.

Kaitlin Karaffa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Larson and K. Dello

2:45 PM

11A.5

Evaluation of Flash Drought Identification with Machine Learning Techniques, Part 3: Global Perspectives

Stuart Galen Edris, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, J. C. Furtado, A. McGovern, and X. Xiao

Handout (11.2 MB)

Session 11B

The Multifaceted Role of Evapotranspiration: Impacts on Ecosystems, Agriculture, Drought Monitoring, and Climate II

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Kyle R. Knipper, USDA

Cochairs: Nicolas E. Bambach, UC Davis; Martha C. Anderson, ARS; William Kustas, USDA; Yun Yang, ARS

1:45 PM

11B.1

Drone-Based Ultra-High-Resolution Evapotranspiration Estimation using Synchronized Thermal and Multispectral Sensors and the HSEB Model

Lara Sujud, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon; and H. Jaafar, PhD

2:00 PM

11B.2

Evaluation of Evaporative Stress Index Response in US Cropland and Grazingland Areas

Richard Jay Cirone, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, Y. Yang, and H. Zhao

2:15 PM

11B.3

Estimating fine-scale transpiration from UAV-based thermal imagery and atmospheric profiles

Bryn Morgan, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and K. Caylor

2:30 PM

11B.4

Field and Numerical Investigation of Models for Flux Partitioning of Water Vapor and Carbon Dioxide Surface Fluxes

Elie Bou-Zeid, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and E. Zahn, K. Ghannam, M. Chamecki, A. F. Moene, S. Good, and W. Kustas

2:45 PM

11B.5

Observations from Leaf and Canopy to Field, Landscape and Regional Scales for Understanding Soil-Plant-Atmosphere Exchange Processes Influencing Evapotranspiration in Vineyards

William P. Kustas, ARS, BELTSVILLE, MD; and K. Knipper, M. Mar Alsina, N. E. Bambach, A. McElrone, J. Prueger, J. G. Alfieri, M. Roby, N. Bhattarai, M. C. Anderson, A. Torres-Rua, H. Nieto, F. Gao, L. E. Hipps, L. McKee, S. Castro, N. Agam, W. T. Crow, V. Burchard-Levine, Y. Jin, and N. Dokoozlian

Session 11C

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management II

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Thomas E. Adams III

Cochairs: Chandana Gangodagamage, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Ganesh R Ghimire; Sudershan Gangrade, ORNL; Shih-Chieh Kao, Texas A&M University; Mario Morales-Hernández, ORNL

1:45 PM

11C.1

How Flood-y Was It? Developing a Climatological, Cloud-Based Portal to Monitor Floods in Real Time

Jared J. Rennie, CCM, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and K. Wodzicki and R. Muralidharan

2:00 PM

11C.2

Improving Hurricane-induced Flood Forecasts using Coupled Hydro-Meteorological Models

Md Murad Hossain Khondaker, University of Houston, Houston, TX; and M. Momen

2:15 PM

11C.3

Flash Flood Monitoring and Forecasting at the Global Scale: Possible?

Huan Wu, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, 44, China; and Y. Hu, Z. Huang, R. F. Adler, G. Gu, L. Alfieri, C. Li, and L. Jiang

2:30 PM

11C.4

Advancing a High-Resolution Historical Flood Inundation Reanalysis for the Conterminous United States

Ganesh R Ghimire, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and S. Gangrade, S. C. Kao, M. Morales-Hernández, and M. Kelleher

2:45 PM

11C.5

From Prototype to Operational Decision Support Services - Five Years of Coastal Total Water Level Forecasting in Eastern Region of the National Weather Service

Laurie G. Hogan, NOAA, Bohemia, NY; National Weather Service, Bohemia, NY

Handout (2.1 MB)

J11A

Transitioning Next Generation Water Resources Models to Operations II

Location: 320 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; and the 38th Conference on Hydrology )

Cochairs: David R. Vallee, Northeast River Forecast Center; Brian Cosgrove

1:45 PM

J11A.1

Improving NOAA's Water Tools Through Physically Motivated, Data-driven, and Hybrid Modeling Techniques

Mimi R. Abel, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and N. Acharya, W. R. Currier, M. Hobbins, D. L. Jackson, E. STHAPIT, and R. Cifelli

2:00 PM

J11A.2

Anthropogenic Impacts on Future Hydrological Processes in the Village Creek Watershed: Implications for Water Resources Management under Climate Change

Abi N. Giglou, Univ. of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL; Sustainable Smart Cities Research Center, Birmingham, AL; Sustainable Smart Cities Research Center, Univ. of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL; and R. Nazari and M. Karimi

2:15 PM

J11A.3

Land Cycling for Improving Short-Range Weather Prediction

Soyoung Ha, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Sun

2:30 PM

J11A.4

Quantitating the Summer Moisture Sources over Northwest of China and Its Annual Variations in Dry and Wet years

Bin Zhu, PhD, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and H. Liao and P. Qian

2:45 PM

J11A.5

Spatial and Temporal Variability and Trends of Extreme Precipitation in the Mississippi River Basin, USA

Atanas DOMMO, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. Aloysius, A. R. Lupo, and S. Hunt

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing [Hall E (BCC) & Hall F (BCC)]

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Joshua K. Roundy

Cochairs: Molly Woloszyn, Applied Weather Associates; Maya Robinson, NOAA; Jason A. Otkin

540

Improving Subseasonal Soil Moisture and Evaporative Stress Index Forecasts through Machine Learning: The Role of Initial Land State versus Dynamical Model Output

David Lorenz, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin and B. F. Zaitchik

541

Approaches Connecting the USDM to Drought Impacts in the United States

542

Improved guidance for calibration of deterministic watershed models at intermittent streamflow sites

Tong Wan, SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY; and C. N. Kroll, C. R. Ferguson, and R. Vogel

543

Anticipating the Impact of the Saharan Air Layer on the Puerto Rican Early Rainfall Season

Marcus Cameron Watkins, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and P. W. Miller and C. A. Ramseyer, PhD

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Ganesh R Ghimire

Cochairs: Sudershan Gangrade, ORNL; Shih-Chieh Kao, Texas A&M University; Mario Morales-Hernández, ORNL; Thomas E. Adams III; Chandana Gangodagamage, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

545

Selection and Use of Model Evaluation Metrics from Multi-decadal Hydrological Simulations to Support Operational Hydrological Forecasting

Jason A. Regina, NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; and R. Barton

546

Collaborative Innovations in Coastal Flood Forecasting: NWS Eastern Region's Total Water Level Program and Partnerships with the Modeling Community

Eric A. Allen, NWS Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, NY; and L. G. Hogan

Extreme Precipitation - Posters II

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Kelly M. Mahoney

Cochairs: Kenneth E. Kunkel, NCEI; John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University; Sarah M. Trojniak, NOAA

547

Examining the Timescales and Mechanisms of Flash Floods in Southern Guam

Owen Hugo Richardson, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH; and W. B. Aydlett

548

Extreme Hourly Rainfall Trends across five Hawaiian Islands

Maxime Gayte, Univ. of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and Y. F. Huang, Y. Tsang, P. S. Chu, T. Giambelluca, and H. Zhang

549

Climate Change Amplification of Short-Duration, High-Intensity Rainfall may Increase Postfire Debris-Flow Hazard in the Southwestern United States

Matthew A. Thomas, USGS, Golden, CO; and A. C. Michaelis, N. Oakley, J. W. Kean, and V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM

550

Emergent Relationship Between Extreme Precipitation and Temperature: E3SM Performance and the Impact of Spatial Resolution.

Faisal Mohammad Alvee, University of Connecticut., Storrs, CT; and G. Wang, X. Sun, L. R. Leung, and H. Hu

551

Mountains influence future changes in precipitation flashiness across the western US

Matthew Koszuta, PhD Candidate, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and N. T. Siler, D. Rupp, and L. R. Leung

Handout (20.2 MB)

552

Inland-Penetrating Atmospheric Rivers and Hydrometeorological Impacts in Colorado

Deanna L. Nash, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and J. J. Rutz, J. M. Cordeira, X. Zou, S. B. BATTULA, and M. M. Ralph

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory

Cochairs: Mike Hobbins; Hailan Wang, GMAO; Jason A Otkin; Jordan I. Christian, University of Oklahoma

553

Developing a new CPC long term and realtime land surface monitoring product

Li Xu, CPC, College Park, MD; ERT INC, Laurel, MD; and H. Wang, A. badger, S. Wu, P. Xie, W. Ebisuzaki, L. Zhang, M. J. Barlage, H. Wei, and B. Pugh

554

Prediction of Areas Susceptible to Flash Drought Development over the Contiguous United States

L. Gwen Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD

555

A Southeastern US Regional Flash Drought Review and Agriculture Impact Assessment

Shaelyn Grace Deal, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Oak Ridge, TN; and L. Ellenburg

556

The Influence of Land Cover Type and Soil Texture on Flash Drought Development

Lauren E. L. Lowman, Wake Forest Univ., Winston-Salem, NC; and J. I. Christian and E. Hunt

557A

A multivariate flash drought climatology based on the framework of the flash drought intensity index (FDII)

Yafang Zhong, CIMSS, Madison, WI; CIMSS, Madison, WI; Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin and T. W. Ford

558

Using Seasonal Evaporative Stress Across Europe to Identify Areas Primed for Flash Drought

Daniel Mesheske, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, and J. C. Furtado

Poster #557 is now Paper number 11A.1

Remote Sensing of Precipitation at Regional, Continental, and Global Scales: Estimation, Evaluation, and Applications - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Janice L. Bytheway

Cochairs: Haonan Chen, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA); Ryan Gonzalez, Colorado State University

559

Estimating Quantitative Precipitation from Convective Snow Using GOES/POES, NEXRAD, and Ground-Based Observations

Dandre Jarobi Tillman, NOAA, Dunmore, PA; and M. S. Kulie

Handout (1.5 MB)

560

Comparison of Monthly GPCPV3 Precipitation Estimates with PACRAIN Atoll Gauge Observations

David T. Bolvin, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; SSAI, Lanham, MD; and G. J. Huffman, A. Behrangi, R. F. Adler, E. J. Nelkin, and G. Gu

561

The Time Value of Low-Latency Passive Microwave and Radar Observations for Global Precipitation Nowcasting

Stephen J. Munchak, Tomorrow.io, Boston, MA; and F. Cannon and J. L'Heureux

562

Validation of IMERG V07 Precipitation using the GPM Validation Network

Daniel Christopher Watters, MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and P. N. Gatlin, D. T. Bolvin, G. J. Huffman, R. Joyce, P. Kirstetter, E. J. Nelkin, S. Ringerud, J. Tan, J. Wang, and D. B. Wolff

Handout (2.8 MB)

563

Satellite Precipitation Estimates of Heavy Rainfall Events at Daily and Sub-daily Scales Compared with a Dense Rain Gauge Network

Eric Peinó Jr., University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; and J. Bech, M. Udina, and F. Polls

564

Multi-scale Evaluation of Global Satellite Precipitation Products over Taiwan

Liping Wang, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and H. Chen, Z. Li, Y. Chen, C. R. Chen, and J. Q. Stewart

565

Improving Interpretation of A Deep Learning Model for Radar Rainfall Mapping

Haonan Chen, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

The Multifaceted Role of Evapotranspiration: Impacts on Ecosystems, Agriculture, Drought Monitoring, and Climate - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Kyle R. Knipper, USDA

Cochairs: Nicolas E. Bambach, UC Davis; Martha C. Anderson, ARS; William Kustas, USDA; Yun Yang, ARS

567

Evapotranspiration Estimation Using Multimodel Ensemble

Athira K V, Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India; and E. Rajasekaran, G. Boulet, R. Nigam, and B. K. Bhattacharya

Manuscript (94.4 kB)

Handout (2.2 MB)

569

Quantifying Observed and Modeled Evapotranspiration Uncertainty in California Woody Perennial Crops

Nicolas E. Bambach, Univ. of California Davis, Davis, CA; and K. Knipper, M. C. Anderson, W. P. Kustas, and Y. Yang

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Joshua K. Roundy

Cochairs: Molly Woloszyn, Applied Weather Associates; Maya Robinson, NOAA; Jason A Otkin

E80

Modernizing the NWS Drought Information Statement

Margaret M. Hurwitz, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and K. White and M. M. Timofeyeva-Livezey

E81

Soil Moisture Anomaly Detections Using SMOPS and Its Applications in Drought Monitoring

Lily Wanting Shen, Atholton High School, LAUREL, MD; and J. Liu

E82

The Uncertainty in Land-Atmosphere Coupling-based Drought Metrics due to Different Soil Moisture Products

Payal Ramniklal Makhasana, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and J. K. Roundy, J. A. Santanello Jr., and P. Lawston Parker

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Ganesh R Ghimire

Cochairs: Sudershan Gangrade, ORNL; Shih-Chieh Kao, Texas A&M University; Mario Morales-Hernández, ORNL; Thomas E. Adams III; Chandana Gangodagamage, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

E83

Atmospheric Flash Drought in the Caribbean

Craig Allen Ramseyer, PhD, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Univ., Blacksburg, VA; and P. W. Miller

E84

Can rainfall forecasts from global NWP model ensembles be used to detect areas at flash flood risk? Developing a rainfall-based flash flood forecasting system over a continuous global domain and up to medium range lead time.

E85

Advancing Urban Flood Predictions Using Weather Ensemble, Machine Learning and Uncertainty Quantification

Sanjib Sharma, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and Y. Bhattarai and R. Talchabhadel

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory

Cochairs: Mike Hobbins; Hailan Wang, GMAO; Jason A Otkin; Jordan I. Christian, University of Oklahoma

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Session 12A

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chairs: Maya Robinson, NOAA; Jason A Otkin

Cochairs: Joshua K. Roundy; Molly Woloszyn, Applied Weather Associates

4:30 PM

12A.1

Drought in Africa: diagnosing demand side drivers

Mike Hobbins, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and L. S. Harrison

4:45 PM

12A.2

Changes in hydrological extremes as revealed by GRACE/GRACE FO data

Bailing Li, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Rodell

5:00 PM

12A.3

Potential Predictability of Two-Year Droughts in the Missouri River Basin

Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. Robinson and X. W. Quan

5:15 PM

12A.4

Projection of Ecological Drought Under Climate Change in the Eastern United States

Catherine Anna Nikiel, ORISE/USGS Research Program Participant with the Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, Raleigh, NC

5:30 PM

12A.5

Evaluation of Drought Indices and Indicators for Ecological Drought in the Mid-Atlantic United States

Jacklynn K. Beck, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and S. M. Quiring

5:45 PM

12A.6

Communicating Ecological Drought Information using the EcoDri Framework

Hatim M. E. Geli, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM; New Mexico State Univ., Las Cruces, NM; and K. H. Smith, L. Prihodko, D. W. DuBois, PhD, C. Spackman, M. Gedefaw, I. Omar, M. Elshinawy, and A. H. Badawy

Session 12C

Remote Sensing of Precipitation at Regional, Continental, and Global Scales: Estimation, Evaluation, and Applications II

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Janice L. Bytheway

Cochairs: Haonan Chen, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA); Ryan Gonzalez, Colorado State University

4:30 PM

12C.1

Understanding the Uncertainty of Satellite Passive Microwave Precipitation Products (Invited)

Veljko Petkovic, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, Collage Park, MD; and M. Orescanin, P. Brown, M. Arulraj, C. D. Kummerow, R. Ferraro, and H. Meng

4:45 PM

12C.2

Case Study of Orographic Precipitation within Measurement Gaps of Satellite-based Precipitation Products

Aimee Dixon, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Derin

5:00 PM

12C.3

How do IMERG and GSMaP precipitation estimates perform in hydrological modeling: A global perspective

Zhijun Huang, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, 44, China; and H. Wu and W. Chen

5:15 PM

12C.4

Introducing Two New Gauge Enhanced Satellite Precipitation Datasets - CHIMES and CHIRPS-v3

Pete Peterson, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. C. Funk, G. J. Huffman, L. S. Harrison, M. Landsfeld, R. Saldivar, A. Sonnier, G. Husak, D. Pedreros, S. Peterson, W. Turner, E. Zhou, D. Hauzaree, A. H. Fink, M. Steinson, K. Payne, and P. A. Kucera

5:30 PM

12C.5

PrecipSRGAN: A Machine Learning Model for Satellite Precipitation Downscaling

Yongxin Liu, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and H. Chen and P. Xie

5:45 PM

12C.6

An investigation of remotely sensed precipitation products over Puerto Rico

Brian R. Nelson, NCDC, Asheville, NC; and O. Prat

J12B

Extreme Precipitation IV

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Chairs: Kenneth E. Kunkel, NCEI; Sarah M. Trojniak, NOAA

Cochairs: Kelly M. Mahoney; John W. Nielsen-Gammon

4:30 PM

J12B.1

The Largest United States Area-Averaged Precipitation Events

John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and A. C. Buley

4:45 PM

J12B.2

Contributions to Changes in Extreme Precipitation over the Northeast US in 25-km GFDL SPEAR

Bor-Ting Jong, NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, H. Murakami, and W. Cooke

5:00 PM

J12B.3

Characteristics and Cause of Changes in Mesoscale Convective Systems within a Convection Permitting Regional Climate Model

Brendan Wallace, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; ANL, Lemont, IL; and A. Haberlie, W. S. Ashley, V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, and A. C. Michaelis

5:15 PM

J12B.4

The Past Shapes the Future: 1936 Flood

Nikki Becker, NWS, Gray, ME; and S. Jamison and J. Palmer

5:30 PM

J12B.5

How Does Climate Change Affect Precipitation for Contrasting Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Evolutions? A Case Study of Three Atlantic Hurricanes

Katherine E. Hollinger, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

5:45 PM

J12B.6

Orographic Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate: Hurricane Ivan (2004)

Amanda Marie Sinning, NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Awards Reception and Ceremony

Location: Ballroom III/ IV (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Networking and Events; the Convergence Science: Indigenous Weather, Water and Climate Knowledge Systems, Practices and Communities; the 12th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Presidential Conference; the Daniel Keyser Symposium; the Kuo-Nan Liou Symposium; the 40th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 38th Conference on Hydrology; the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Education; the 28th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Surface; the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics; the 27th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the 26th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 26th Conference on Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology; the 24th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 24th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 22nd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 22nd History Symposium; the 21st Conference on Space Weather; the 20th Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 19th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 16th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 14th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 12th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 12th AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 12th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 10th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Ninth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Sixth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Fifth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Third Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Second Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the First Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms; the Polar Meteorology and Oceanography Special Symposium; the Forum on Climate Linked Economics; and the 20th Conference on Major Weather Impacts )

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Wednesday Night Live

Location: Key Ballroom Salon 1-8 (Hilton Baltimore Inner Harbor)

Thursday, 1 February 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Session 13A

Field and Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Hydrology and its Change in High-Altitude Complex Terrain

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Daniel Feldman, LBNL

Cochairs: Ethan D. Gutmann; Mimi R. Abel, NOAA

8:30 AM

13A.1

Multi-Modal Chemical Characterization of Brown Carbon in Atmosphere and Snowpack from the Colorado Rockies

Steven Sharpe, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. S. Siemens, F. Rivera-Adorno, J. M. Tomlin, N. N. Lata, Z. Cheng, E. Hulm, R. C. Moffet, S. China, and A. Laskin

8:45 AM

13A.2

What resolution snow model is needed for accurate streamflow timing and volume simulation?

William Ryan Currier, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Pflug, N. Sun, A. K. D. Pfohl, M. R. Abel, and R. Cifelli

9:00 AM

13A.3

Evaluation of wintertime precipitation estimates and forecasts in the Mountains of Colorado

Janice L. Bytheway, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and W. R. Currier, M. R. Abel, K. M. Mahoney, and R. Cifelli

9:15 AM

13A.4

Warm Season Precipitation Estimation and Analysis in the Colorado East River Basin during SPLASH and SAIL field experiments

Sounak Kumar Biswas, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. L. Bytheway, K. M. Mahoney, R. Cifelli, and V. Chandrasekar

9:30 AM

13A.5

Improving the Performance of an Advanced Land Surface Model for Simulating Hydrology of Ecuadorian Amazon subbasins

Manuel Benjamin Narvaez, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Pichincha, Ecuador; and F. L. Benitez, H. Paltan, T. Osborne, P. Kansara, A. Araujo, B. F. Zaitchik, W. Pan, and C. Mena

Handout (3.9 MB)

9:45 AM

13A.6

Observing High Altitude Hydrologic Processes Using Space-Based Lidar: Lessons Learned from ICESat-2

Michael Francis Jasinski, ScD, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and J. D. Stoll, D. W. Hancock, J. Nattala, J. W. Robbins, T. Neumann, and C. C. Carabajal

Session 13B

An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations, and Prediction of Water Availability

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Timothy L. Schneider

Cochairs: Sarah A. Tessendorf; Petrus Oevelen, George Mason University

8:30 AM

13B.1

Integrated Ground, Sub-Orbital, and Orbital Land-Atmosphere Feedback Observatories to Advance Understanding of Agriculture-Climate Interactions in the U.S.

Craig R. Ferguson, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and V. G. Wulfmeyer, P. A. Dirmeyer, M. H. Cosh, J. D. Lundquist, L. F. Bosart, C. N. Kroll, P. J. van Oevelen, J. D. Wood, D. Fitzjarrald, A. Schreiner-McGraw, Y. Zhang, D. D. Turner, M. B. Ek, A. French, and G. Abramowitz

8:45 AM

13B.2

Effects of lateral groundwater flow on hydrologic extremes

Timothy M. Lahmers, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Getirana, W. Nie, F. Z. Maina, S. K. Ahmad, and S. V. Kumar, PhD

9:00 AM

13B.3

A Global River Routing Model based on Hydraulic Geometry and Hydrologic Catchments for Earth System Models

Yujin Zeng, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and R. D. Koster and R. H. Reichle

9:15 AM

13B.4

Re-calibration of Hydrologic Models at the Middle Atlantic RFC: Anticipated Improvements in Low Flow and Seasonal Forecasting

David Murray IV, NWS, State College, PA; and T. Madsen, A. Macfarlane, and S. Reed, Ph.D.

9:30 AM

13B.5

Evapotranspiration and Recharge Mapping Using Land Integrated Data Assimilation (LIDA-2) System and Quantifying Their Dependencies on Land/Atmosphere Variables

Asif Mahmood, The George Washington University, Washington, DC; and L. Farhadi

9:45 AM

13B.6

Using soil moisture remote sensing to assess systematic biases impacting long-term streamflow forecasts

Wade T. Crow, USDA, Beltsville, MD

Session 13C

High-Latitude Water and Carbon Cycles in a Warming World

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Jing Tao, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

CoChair: Jennifer D. Watts, Woodwell Climate Research Center

8:30 AM

13C.1

Boreal-Arctic wetland methane emissions under arctic warming and greening (Invited)

Qing Zhu, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Madison, WI; and K. Yuan

8:45 AM

13C.2

Balancing Atmospheric Top-Down Carbon Estimates with High-Resolution Bottom-Up Scaling of Fluxes from Heterogeneous Tundra, Wetlands, and Waterbodies

Sarah Ludwig, LDEO, Palisades, NY; and L. Schiferl and R. Commane

9:00 AM

13C.3

WetCH₄: Machine learning-based Upscaling of Wetland Methane Fluxes at High Latitudes

Qing Ying, PhD, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD; and Z. Zhang, J. Watts, K. Arndt, A. Virkkala, B. Poulter, L. M. Bruhwiler, L. Schiferl, Y. Oh, B. M. Rogers, S. M. Natali, C. D. Elder, H. L. Sullivan, and O. Peltola

9:15 AM

13C.4

Modeling Climate Sensitivity of Biogeochemistry at Two Ponds in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, AK

Andrew Mullen, Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA; Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA; and K. Gurbanov, J. Hung, S. M. Natali, and E. Jafarov

Handout (2.9 MB)

9:30 AM

13C.5

A case study synthesis of observed and simulated Arctic tundra and boreal biogenic methane fluxes in Alaska and northwest Canada

Luke Schiferl, LDEO, Palisades, NY; and S. Reault, H. Webb, A. Chatterjee, R. Commane, M. Farina, E. Hoy, B. Poulter, J. Watts, Q. Ying, PhD, and Z. Zhang

9:45 AM

13C.6

Permafrost Discovery Gateway: Exploring hydrological changes through big geospatial data (Invited)

Anna Liljedahl, Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA; and I. Nitze, C. Witharana, E. Manos, M. Jones, W. Li, K. McHenry, A. Perera, J. Cohen, T. Nicholson, L. Marini, and R. Thiessen-Bock

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Exhibit Hall Breakfast

Location: Hall F/ Swing (The Baltimore Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Impacts of Hydrological Extremes on Marginalized Communities

Location: Holiday 4 (Hilton Baltimore Inner Harbor)

Hosts: (Joint between the Town Hall Meetings; the Presidential Conference; and the 38th Conference on Hydrology )

Organizer: Alka Tiwari

CoChair: Meg Devlan Fowler

Panelists: Marccus Hendricks, Stormwater Infrastructure Resilience and Justice (SIRJ) Lab; Lara Fowler, Penn State; Dev Niyogi, University of Texas at Austin

Facilitators: Kelly M. Mahoney; Alka Tiwari

12:15 PM

Panel Discussion

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Session 15A

Snow Hydrology in a Changing Environment via Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Eunsang Cho

Cochairs: Melissa Wrzesien, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/University of Maryland; Carrie Vuyovich, GSFC; Elias Deeb, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab

1:45 PM

15A.1

Global snow water equivalent observations from space

Ana Paula Barros, Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and P. Siqueira, M. Durand, C. Vuyovich, B. Osmanoglu, L. Tsang, E. J. Kim, P. Houser, D. Hall, H. P. Marshall, M. Kurum, S. V. Kumar, PhD, J. johnson, M. Perrine, M. Raleigh, J. Garrison, and M. Goldstein

2:00 PM

15A.2

Deriving Snow Depth from ICESat-2 Lidar Multiple Scattering Measurements: Understanding the Performance

Brandon Oren Mitchell, University of Arizona, TUCSON, AZ; and X. Zeng, Y. Hu, X. Lu, K. H. Stamnes, Y. Huang, C. Weimer, and J. Lee

2:15 PM

15A.3

Quantifying the Impact of Dynamic Lapse Regimes on Snow Simulations

Kristen M. Whitney, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, PhD, J. Bolten, J. M. Pflug, F. Z. Maina, C. R. Hain, and D. M. Mocko

2:30 PM

15A.4

Multi-physics Data Assimilation Framework for Remotely Sensed Snowpacks to Improve Water Prediction

Prabhakar Shrestha, UIUC, Urbana, IL; and S. Singh and A. P. Barros

2:45 PM

15A.5

Comparing multisensor optical-radar approaches for snow water equivalent retrievals

Jack Tarricone, GSFC, Washington, DC; NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and K. Rittger, H. P. Marshall, A. Nolin, R. Palomaki, and C. Vuyovich

Session 15B

Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Decision Making: Hurdles, Progress, and Lessons Learned I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: David Paul Keeney

Cochairs: Devan Mahadevan, Bureau of Reclamation; Kent Walker, Bureau of Reclamation

1:45 PM

15B.1

Climate Adaptation: Pragmatic Advances in the Face of Deep Uncertainty (Invited)

Casey Brown, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, MA

15B.2

Precipitation-Frequency Applied Research and Development for the United States Army Corps of Engineers Dam and Levee Safety Program

2:00 PM

15B.3

Leveraging innovations in hydrologic sciences: deploying actionable information using USACE Civil Works tools

Ariane Pinson, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), Albuquerque, NM

2:30 PM

15B.4

Incorporating Climate Change into the Reclamation Safety of Dams Flood Risk Assessments

Timothy Clarkin, M.S., P.E., U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. P. Keeney, A. Stone, and K. Walker

2:45 PM

15B.5

Incorporating Climate Change into the Precipitation-Frequency Curve at Taylor Park Dam

Kevin Thielen, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. P. Keeney, D. Loney, and A. E. Fitts

Session 15C

Land Data Assimilation for Improved Model Output I

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Clara S. Draper

Cochairs: Sujay V. Kumar, PhD, GSFC; Andrew Fox; Wanshu Nie, GSFC

1:45 PM

15C.1

Towards Ensemble Land Data Assimilation at ECMWF

Ewan Mark Pinnington, ECMWF, Reading, RDG, United kingdom; and P. de Rosnay, P. Weston, D. Fairbairn, C. Herbert, E. Holm, S. Lang, M. Leutbecher, S. J. Lock, G. Arduini, and G. Balsamo

2:00 PM

15C.2

Assimilation of SMAP Observations Over Land Improves the Simulation and Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Idai

Jana Kolassa, NASA GSFC / GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; SSAI, Lanham, MD; GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Ganeshan, E. McGrath-Spangler, O. Reale, and R. H. Reichle

2:15 PM

15C.3

Soil Moisture and Brightness Temperature Assimilation for GEOS Reanalysis

Andrew M Fox, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Q. Liu and R. H. Reichle

2:30 PM

15C.4

A soil moisture and soil temperature analysis for NOAA's GFSv17/GDAS global NWP system.

Clara S. Draper, NOAA PSL, Boulder, CO; and J. Whitaker, M. J. Barlage, D. T. Kleist, and C. R. Martin

2:45 PM

15C.5

Advances in Operational Near Real-Time SMAP Soil Moisture Retrieval Processing

Armaghan Abed-Elmdoust, PhD, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD; and M. Navari, S. V. Kumar, PhD, J. W. Wegiel, P. W. Liu, R. Bindlish, and Y. kwon

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations, and Prediction of Water Availability - ePosters (Thursday)

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Timothy L. Schneider

Cochairs: Sarah A. Tessendorf; Petrus Oevelen, George Mason University

E97

Improved sub-seasonal river water availability forecasts for southeast Asia

Eunjee Lee, UMBC / NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. D. Koster, Y. Lim, M. E. Arias, J. Kolassa, Q. Liu, T. D. Dang, S. R. Phy, and M. Laverde

High-latitude Water and Carbon Cycles in a Warming World - ePosters (Thursday)

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Jing Tao, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

CoChair: Jennifer D. Watts, Woodwell Climate Research Center

E98

Snow-to-Rain Shifts Modulate CO₂ Emissions From pan-Arctic Permafrost Regions

Jing Tao, ; and Q. Zhu, W. Riley, and R. Neumann

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations, and Prediction of Water Availability - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Timothy L. Schneider

Cochairs: Sarah A. Tessendorf; Petrus Oevelen, George Mason University

816

A New GEWEX Regional Hydroclimate Project for the Contiguous United States

Timothy L. Schneider, NCAR, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Van Oevelen, S. A. Tessendorf, J. B. Basara, M. G. Bosilovich, D. Feldman, C. R. Ferguson, A. Gettelman, C. He, M. R. Abel, C. Kirchhoff, R. R. McCrary, S. W. Nesbitt, D. Tachera, and N. P. Thomas

817

The GEWEX Regional HydroClimate Projects and International Research Collaboration Relevant to the Contiguous United States

Petrus (Peter) J. van Oevelen, George Mason University, Lyons, CO; and T. L. Schneider, S. A. Tessendorf, and A. Nazemi

818

Assessing and Comparing Long-term Precipitation Trends Worldwide

Grace Mazaleski, The University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and J. Scheff

819

An Upgraded FLDAS-Forecast System for Continental Africa and the Middle East for Food Insecurity Early Warning

Abheera Hazra, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD; GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; UMD-ESSIC/NAS-GSFC, Columbia, MD; and K. Slinski, W. Anderson, A. McNally, D. P. Sarmiento, K. R. Arsenault, S. Shukla, A. Getirana, and S. V. Kumar, PhD

Field and Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Hydrology and its Change in High-altitude Complex Terrain - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Daniel Feldman, LBNL

Cochairs: Ethan D. Gutmann; Mimi R. Abel, NOAA

820

Spatio-Temporal Heterogeneity in Snow and Glacier-Melt Runoff: Implications for Water Management in the Western Himalayas Transboundary Chenab River basin

Tejal Sudhir Shirsat, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and A. V. Kulkarni, A. Momblanch, E. W. Boyer, and C. A. Scott

821

Particle Imaging on a Budget: Observations and Lessons Learned from OSCRE Deployments at SAIL and SPLASH

Aaron D. Kennedy, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND

822

Summary of and Selected Highlights from the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) Field Campaign

Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and A. C. Aiken, PhD, V. Chandrasekar, S. M. Collis, J. M. Creamean, G. de Boer, J. Deems, P. J. DeMott, J. Fan, A. N. Flores, D. J. Gochis, M. A. Grover, T. C. J. Hill, A. L. Hodshire, E. Hulm, C. Hume, F. Junyent, A. D. Kennedy, M. Kumjian, E. J. T. Levin, J. D. Lundquist, J. R. O'Brien, M. Raleigh, J. Reithel, A. Rhoades, K. Rittger, W. Rudisill, Z. Sherman, E. Siirila-Woodburn, S. M. Skiles, J. Smith, R. C. Sullivan, A. Theisen, M. Tuftedal, A. Varble, PhD, A. Wiedlea, S. Wielandt, K. Williams, and Z. Xu

Handout (10.3 MB)

High-latitude Water and Carbon Cycles in a Warming World - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Jing Tao, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

CoChair: Jennifer D. Watts, Woodwell Climate Research Center

823

Understanding the Interannual Variability and Trend of Boreal Arctic Wetland Methane Emissions Using an Observation-Driven and Long-Term Upscaling Dataset

824

Quantifying Methane Emissions in High-Latitude North America: A Geostatistical Inverse Modeling Approach Using Multi-Source Atmospheric Measurements

Hanyu Liu, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and V. Yadav, D. Huntzinger, R. Chang, C. E. Miller, C. Sweeney, and S. M. Miller

Land Data Assimilation for Improved Model Output - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Clara S. Draper

Cochairs: Sujay V. Kumar, PhD, GSFC; Andrew Fox; Wanshu Nie, GSFC

825

Multivariate Satellite Data Assimilation to Improve Yield Estimates in Deep South, USA

Xiaoliang Han, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, The University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and K. Gavahi and H. Moradkhani

Data-driven Assimilation and Prediction of Complex Nonlinear Dynamics with Novel Quantum Mechanical Framework for Koopman Operators

826

Incorporating River Ice into Flood Inundation Mapping from NOAA's National Water Model

Catherine Fitzpatrick, NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; and S. M. Carter, K. Curry, and C. Krewson

827

Utilizing Improved Model Validation Techniques to Reevaluate the Sensitivity of Monthly Temperature Predictions to Multiple Sources of Soil Moisture Data

Zack Leasor, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and S. M. Quiring and C. Zhao

828

Representing Soil Moisture Spatial Distribution by Assimilating Satellite-based Soil Moisture Data into a Land Surface Model

Sheng-Lun Tai, PNNL, Richland, WA; and B. J. Gaudet, Z. Yang, K. Sakaguchi, L. K. Berg, C. Kaul, and J. D. Fast

Handout (10.1 MB)

Snow Hydrology in a Changing Environment via Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Eunsang Cho

Cochairs: Melissa Wrzesien, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/University of Maryland; Carrie Vuyovich, GSFC; Elias Deeb, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab

829

Using Data Assimilation to Extend Snow Observations From a Snow-Focused Satellite into Forested Grid Cells

Justin M Pflug, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Wrzesien, S. V. Kumar, PhD, E. Cho, K. R. Arsenault, P. Houser, and C. Vuyovich

830

SWE Retrieval Performance from X and Ku-Band Airborne SAR During SnowEx 2017

Edward J. Kim, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. H. Kang, F. Borah, and L. Tsang

831

Snow Drought and Water Availability - A Multi-Source Data Assessment

Pouya Moghaddasi, The University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; The University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and K. Gavahi and H. Moradkhani

832

Using spaceborne lidar for snow depth retrievals: Best practices and recommendations for future studies

Zachary Fair, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Annapolis, MD; and C. Vuyovich, T. Neumann, J. M. Pflug, D. Shean, E. Enderlin, K. Zikan, and J. D. Lundquist

833

Hypothetical experiment to test new snow observing strategy

Carrie Vuyovich, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and E. Cho, M. Wrzesien, S. V. Kumar, PhD, and E. D. Gutmann

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Session 16A

Snow Hydrology in a Changing Environment via Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Eunsang Cho

Cochairs: Melissa Wrzesien, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/University of Maryland; Carrie Vuyovich, GSFC; Elias Deeb, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab

4:30 PM

16A.1

Using Long-Short Term Memory Network to Estimate Snow Water Equivalent in Sierra Nevada

ENGELA STHAPIT, NOAA, Superior, CO; and W. R. Currier, M. R. Abel, and R. Cifelli

4:45 PM

16A.2

Using fixed GPR for Monitoring Flows of Liquid Water through Snowpacks ans Assessing LWC Measurement Capabilities

Mathis Goujon, GEOTOP Université du Québec à Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada

5:00 PM

16A.3

Beyond Snow Depth: Assimilating Measured Albedo and Vegetation Height In Operational iSnobal Modeling

Mark Robertson, M3 Works, Boise, ID; and M. Johnson and M. Sandusky

5:15 PM

16A.4

Improvements in Daily Snow-Depth Analysis from Updated Methods and Spatial Statistics

Thomas Michael Smith, NOAA, Asheville, NC; NESDIS, College Park, MD; and C. Kongoli

5:30 PM

16A.5

Assessment of Methods for Mapping Snow Albedo from MODIS

Karl Rittger, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Palomaki, N. Bair, M. Raleigh, S. Lenard, J. Dozier, S. M. Skiles, M. J. Brodzik, M. Serreze, and T. Painter

5:45 PM

16A.6

Enhancing snow depth characterization through passive microwave radiometry

Goutam Konapala, NASA, Shallotte, NC; GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; GEST, baltimore, MD; and S. V. Kumar, PhD, C. Vuyovich, and B. Forman

Session 16B

Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Decision Making: Hurdles, Progress, and Lessons Learned II

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the Presidential Conference )

Chair: David Paul Keeney

Cochairs: Miles Yaw, Bureau of Reclamation; Devan Mahadevan, Bureau of Reclamation; Kent Walker, Bureau of Reclamation

4:30 PM

16B.1

Changes in the Climate System Dominate Year-to-Year Variability in Flooding Across the Globe

Gabriele Villarini, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and H. Kim, C. Wasko, and Y. Tramblay

4:45 PM

16B.2

Identifying extreme weather conditions over the CONUS in the mid-21st century by analyzing the NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 downscale dataset

Mengye Chen, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang, J. Melillo, C. J. Vorosmarty, and Y. Hong

5:00 PM

16B.3

Challenges and successes with incorporating CMIP6 climate data into EPA’s CREAT

Geneva Marie Ely Gray, EPA, DC, DC; and J. S. Fries, N. D. B. Keyes, A. Ramming, A. Furneaux, and C. Baranowski

5:15 PM

16B.4

The Nexus Between Convective Allowing Modeling and Outreach in Facilitating Decision Making for High Impact Events in the North American Monsoon.

Eyad H. Atallah, UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA, Tucson, AZ; Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. L. Castro, D. Girone, and T. Maio

5:30 PM

16B.5

Enhancing the Accessibility, Applicability, and Interactions of Satellite-Informed Hydrologic Projections Under Climate and Forest Changes for Water Managers

Kristen M. Whitney, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and E. R. Vivoni, D. D. White, Z. Wang, R. Quay, M. I. Mahmoud, and N. P. Templeton

5:45 PM

16B.6

Supporting At-Risk Aquatic Species Management with Hydrologic Projections

Catherine Anna Nikiel, ORISE/USGS Research Program Participant with the Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, Raleigh, NC; and J. LaFontaine

Session 16C

Land Data Assimilation for Improved Model Output II

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology

Chair: Clara S. Draper

Cochairs: Sujay V. Kumar, PhD, GSFC; Andrew Fox; Wanshu Nie, GSFC

4:30 PM

16C.1

Irrigation estimation through backscatter data assimilation with a buddy check approach

Louise Busschaert, KU Leuven, Heverlee, VBR, Belgium; and M. Bechtold, S. Modanesi, C. Massari, L. Brocca, and G. J. M. De Lannoy

Handout (2.9 MB)

4:45 PM

16C.2

A Land Data Assimilation System for Mapping of the Linkage between the Terrestrial Water, Energy and Carbon Cycles

Leila Farhadi, The George Washington University, Washington, DC; The George Washington University, Washington, DC

5:00 PM

16C.3

Joint Assimilation of Soil Moisture and Vegetation Satellite Retrievals into the Noah-MP Land Surface Model

Zdenko Heyvaert, KU Leuven, Heverlee, VBR, Belgium; TU Wien, Wien, Austria; and S. Scherrer, W. Dorigo, M. Bechtold, and G. J. M. De Lannoy

Handout (5.7 MB)

5:15 PM

16C.4

Evaluation and intercomparison of the effects of snow and soil moisture data assimilation in three LSMs from the Air Force's operational Global Hydro-Intelligence System

David M. Mocko, SAIC at NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. W. Wegiel, S. V. Kumar, PhD, E. M. Kemp, Y. Yoon, M. Navari, Y. Kwon, A. Abed-Elmdoust, PhD, A. Getirana, J. V. Geiger, and S. Wang

16C.5

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) Land Data Assimilation System v2 (FLDAS-2): Integrating modern datasets to improve hydrological modeling

5:30 PM

16C.6

Evapotranspiration Estimates from SSEBop using Synthetic Land Cover Data from the Continuous Change Detection and Classification Algorithm

Mikael Hiestand, USGS, Santa Barbara, CA; and G. Senay, H. Tollerud, and C. C. Funk

« Collapse View

» Expand View

Tuesday, 23 January 2024

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 January 2024

Virtual Poster Slam Session #2

Presentation from 38HYDRO, 37CVC, 24SMOI, and 28IOAS

Sunday, 28 January 2024

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

Presidential Forum: Climate Science as Service to Society

Location: Ballroom III/ IV (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Click here to view the recorded event.

Join us for a compelling fireside chat at the AMS 104th Annual Meeting’s Presidential Forum, exploring the multifaceted challenges and opportunities presented by climate change and emphasizing the importance of scientific advances, policy development, and public engagement.

Climate and environmental change are now altering our daily lives, and will dramatically affect our futures. Climate science is key to how we will all live in this changing environment, helping us understand what is happening and anticipate what is to come. But what can we do as scientists and professionals to ensure that our science is communicated and understood as a public service, and see that it is put to work to help build a solid future? Our 2024 AMS Presidential Forum will discuss how we can work to overcome significant barriers that limit the reach and impact of climate science, and of science-based responses to environmental change.

Moderated by distinguished and broadly recognized atmospheric scientist Dr. Kerry Emanuel, an expert on climate change and hurricane physics, a fireside chat will feature Monica Medina, President and CEO of the Wildlife Conservation Society, and Bob Inglis, Executive Director of RepublicEn.org. Both have fascinating stories to tell and are renowned for their broad and critical impact on advancing the societal response to climate change. AMS President Brad Colman will provide introductory comments.

Have a question during the event?

Ask via slido.com with code #3053080

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

AMS Career Resource & Graduate School Fair

Location: Hall D (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Sponsored by Campbell Scientific, AccuWeather, Millersville University Department of Earth Sciences, Oklahoma University: School of Meteorology/College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences

Annual Meeting Welcome Reception

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Monday, 29 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

The precipitation session focuses on precipitation observation and process understanding, modeling, estimation across spatiotemporal scales, advanced statistical techniques including artificial intelligence (AI)-based methods to produce, analyze, and/or visualize precipitation data, and applications of in-situ and remotely sensed precipitation products. Process understanding and observational development topics include, but are not limited to (1) precipitation processes and modeling in coupled or uncoupled model systems; (2) improved assimilation algorithms leveraging precipitation process understanding; (3) recent development pertaining to fusion and downscaling of precipitation products; while applications could include: (4) assimilation of precipitation and precipitation-related variables in weather or water models; (5) impact of uncertainties associated with precipitation observations on hydrologic design and modeling, (6) assessment of precipitation variability, across spatiotemporal scales.

Submitters: Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Viviana Maggioni, Fairfax, VA; Youcun Qi, IGSNRR, Norman, OK and Zhe Zhang, IGSNRR, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China

J1B

Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Post-processing Methods

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Climate and weather models must span a global domain, necessitating a coarse spatial grid; however, most applications of those models need data at highly local spatial scales. In addition, these models have biases that preclude their direct application for some uses. Because of these mismatches, many different approaches have been developed to make climate and weather model output more useful and usable for hydrologic purposes. Statistical and dynamical downscaling and post-processing methods – and hybrid methods – allow these model outputs to better resolve features such as mountains, coastal boundaries and other hydroclimatic features. In addition, careful evaluation of their historical skill in current climate, statistical reliability for weather forecasts, and diagnosis of their representation of future changes are critical, and bias correction may be necessary for their application. Finally, understanding gained through applications of downscaled products provides key feedback between users and developers of the models and methods. We invite presentations on the development of downscaling models and datasets, post-processing and bias correction techniques, evaluations of different methods, and applications of downscaled products.

Submitters: Naomi Goldenson, Seattle, WA; Mimi R. Hughes, ESRL/Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO; Ethan D. Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Rachel R. McCrary, RAL, NCAR, Fort Collins, CO and Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Coffee Break [Main Terrace (BCC), Camden Lobby (BCC), Hall E (BCC)]

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Viviana Maggioni, Fairfax, VA; Youcun Qi, IGSNRR, Norman, OK and Zhe Zhang, IGSNRR, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting is a comprehensive integration of physical modeling, probability and statistics, and numerical methods. Model ensembles, parameter optimization, data assimilation, and input data quality can all contribute to forecast uncertainties. Significant challenges exist in improving probabilistic forecasts and addressing associated uncertainties in hydrometeorological applications. This session solicits papers on theoretical, experimental, and applied studies focusing on ensemble forecasting and uncertainty analysis in both offline and coupled systems. The topics include but are not limited to:

Integrated ensemble methods to improve hydrometeorological forecasting.
Statistical postprocessing techniques to generate hydrometeorological data products. Machine learning methods and applications are highly encouraged.
Advanced optimization methods to calibrate parameters.
Uncertainties in forcing data, initial conditions, parameters, and model structure and components.
Verification methods to evaluate probabilistic forecasting.

Submitters: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China and Yu Zhang, Department of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Urban Hydrology, Flood Hazards and Risks

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Urban floods are flashy and can cause widespread damage due to the high concentration of population and development. Among mitigation strategies commonly used urban environments are: regulatory floodplain mapping, flood warning monitoring and notifications systems, and structural controls through capital improvement projects (CIP). Advanced storm forecasting, early flood detection, and timely communication of flood threat prior and during storm events are example ways in which a flood warning system can help reduce flood risk in urban communities. This topical session encourages cross-disciplinary collaboration between atmospheric scientists and urban hydrologists to discuss their experiences in the following areas:

Flood and rain forecasting in urban watersheds
Flood detection and measurement techniques
Design storms due to changing rainfall intensities
Vulnerability assessment of drainage assets
Real-time emergency notification and response
Regional approaches to flood monitoring and forecasting
Coastal flooding of urban areas
Lessons learned from past flooding

Submitters: Ranjan Muttiah, PhD, City of Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX; Transportation & Public Works, Stormwater Management, City of Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX and David Curtis, West Consultants, Sacramento, CA

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application II (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology and the 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics)

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Integrated ensemble methods to improve hydrometeorological forecasting.
Statistical postprocessing techniques to generate hydrometeorological data products. Machine learning methods and applications are highly encouraged.
Advanced optimization methods to calibrate parameters.
Uncertainties in forcing data, initial conditions, parameters, and model structure and components.
Verification methods to evaluate probabilistic forecasting.

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Viviana Maggioni, Fairfax, VA; Youcun Qi, IGSNRR, Norman, OK and Zhe Zhang, IGSNRR, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Integrated ensemble methods to improve hydrometeorological forecasting.
Statistical postprocessing techniques to generate hydrometeorological data products. Machine learning methods and applications are highly encouraged.
Advanced optimization methods to calibrate parameters.
Uncertainties in forcing data, initial conditions, parameters, and model structure and components.
Verification methods to evaluate probabilistic forecasting.

Submitters: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China and Yu Zhang, Department of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX

Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Post-processing Methods - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Urban Hydrology, Flood Hazards and Risks - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Flood and rain forecasting in urban watersheds
Flood detection and measurement techniques
Design storms due to changing rainfall intensities
Vulnerability assessment of drainage assets
Real-time emergency notification and response
Regional approaches to flood monitoring and forecasting
Coastal flooding of urban areas
Lessons learned from past flooding

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Viviana Maggioni, Fairfax, VA; Youcun Qi, IGSNRR, Norman, OK and Zhe Zhang, IGSNRR, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China

Probabilistic Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis: Theory and Application - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Integrated ensemble methods to improve hydrometeorological forecasting.
Statistical postprocessing techniques to generate hydrometeorological data products. Machine learning methods and applications are highly encouraged.
Advanced optimization methods to calibrate parameters.
Uncertainties in forcing data, initial conditions, parameters, and model structure and components.
Verification methods to evaluate probabilistic forecasting.

Submitters: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China and Yu Zhang, Department of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Horton Lecture

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Exhibit Hall Opening Reception

Location: Hall F/ Swing (The Baltimore Convention Center)

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

ESWN Reception

Location: Pratt Street Ale House

7:30 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

38th Conference on Hydrology Social

Location: Pickersgill (Hilton Baltimore Inner Harbor)

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Coriolis (LGBTQ+ and Allies) Reception

Location: Pisces (Hyatt Regency Baltimore)

The 15th annual Coriolis Reception will be held in the Pisces Room at the Hyatt Hotel on Monday, January 29, 2024 from 7:30-10:00PM EST. This reception provides opportunities to mentor, network, and connect with individuals who share common professional and personal interests. Students and professionals at all stages of their careers and their spouses or partners are encouraged to attend. Light refreshments and a cash bar will be provided.

Tuesday, 30 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

J5A

Extreme Precipitation I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

This session invites papers on all aspects of extreme precipitation, including atmospheric river (AR) events, convective storms, hurricanes, typhoons, extreme snowfall events, their relationship to floods, and hydrologic impacts. Possible topics include observations (e.g., rain gauge networks, ground-based radar, satellite retrievals, multi-sensor fusion, etc.), modeling, exploration of key physical processes, short-term and seasonal prediction, orographic and elevation-based relationships, climate change, and risk assessment. Papers exploring the causes and consequences of individual extreme precipitation events that cause floods or terminate droughts, details of the relationship between extreme precipitation and flooding, extreme snowfall accumulation and melt, as well as key factors that inform decisions around changing extreme precipitation and flood risk are particularly encouraged.

Submitters: Kelly M. Mahoney, Earth System Research Laboratories/ Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, BOULDER, CO; Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC and John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

J5B

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Land-atmosphere and land-ocean interactions play a key role in climate variability and change, as well as in climate/weather predictability across space and time. The land’s role in the Earth system – its impact on atmospheric and ocean climatology and variability across a broad range of timescales, ranging from hours to centuries, for past, present, and future climates – has been the subject of much recent exploratory research, and is essential for addressing the challenges of living in a changing environment. The meteorological, hydrological, biophysical, biogeochemical, and ecosystem processes, as well as the boundary-layer processes, that underlie the connections between surface and atmosphere are not yet fully understood. The scarcity of relevant observations, the complexity of the underlying processes and feedbacks, and the wide range of scales involved necessitate coordinated and increasingly interdisciplinary investigations. This session focuses on (1) understanding, analysis, prediction, and attribution of extreme hydroclimate events in the context of land-atmosphere and land-ocean interactions from meso-to-circumglobal and subseasonal to decadal scales; (2) the dynamic, physical, and biogeochemical mechanisms by which land processes (including those associated with large scale agriculture and land-use change) influence the Earth system on subseasonal to decadal time scales; (3) predictability associated with land initialization (i.e., soil moisture, soil temperature, vegetation, snow, and aerosol in snow, etc.) and land–atmosphere/ocean interactions from subseasonal to decadal time scales; and (4) application and analyses of large scale field campaign data, national and international observational networks (e.g., FLUXNET), satellite remote sensing (e.g., SMAP, OCO-2), and reanalysis for land model development and land-atmosphere and land-ocean interaction studies. This session will contribute to advance the land component in the earth system modeling and understanding its critical scientific role. We welcome papers addressing any of these topics.

Submitters: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; Randal D. Koster, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; Michael B. Ek, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Craig R. Ferguson, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Coffee Break [Main Terrace (BCC), Camden Lobby (BCC), Hall E (BCC), Hall F (BCC)]

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Data-Driven Methods for Hydrological Modeling, Prediction, and Uncertainty Estimation

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

This session highlights advances in the development and applications of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and deep learning (DL) in hydrological, hydrometeorological, and hydroclimatological analysis, modeling, and predictions across a wide range of scales in space (local-to-global) and time (hours-to-decades). This includes theoretical developments in physics-informed machine learning, knowledge guided deep learning, hydroinformatics, and their applications in areas related to hydrology and water resources. We also encourage papers on the application of AI/ML/DL in improving process-based hydrological and land surface models, uncertainty quantification, and hydrologically relevant climate downscaling. Papers describing current challenges for model developers and users are also welcome, with a special interest in highlighting needs and opportunities to address national and societal challenges for living in a changing environment.

Submitters: Guiling Wang, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; Sujay V. Kumar, Code 617 (HSL), GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; Forrest M. Hoffman, PhD, Earth System Science, Computational Earth Sciences Group, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN and Heather Grams, Element 84, Alexandria, VA

J7B

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions II

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing [Hall E (BCC) & Hall F (BCC)]

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Extreme Precipitation I - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Kelly M. Mahoney, Earth System Research Laboratories/ Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, BOULDER, CO; Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC and John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Extreme Precipitation - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Extreme Precipitation II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

J8B

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions III

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Exhibit Hall Reception

Location: Hall F/ Swing (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities, yet its environmental and economic consequences are among the most serious of all natural disasters. In the changing environment of a warming climate, drought is expected to increase in frequency, duration, and intensity at both regional and global scales, and this will result in increasing environmental security risk. Improving analysis and prediction of all drought types requires the use of multiple data sources, including in-situ and remote-sensing data, surface observations, and indicators of societal impact. Satellite hydrological variables and vegetation indices have contributed dramatically to our understanding of the mechanisms of drought occurrence and development, while facilitating the separation of the drought signal from normal hydrologic and vegetation conditions. Remotely sensed land observations are used to force or parameterize models, and the hydrological outputs provide the foundation for existing drought indicators. However, making significant improvements in monitoring and prediction will not only require advances in understanding drought mechanisms, but also of the societal impacts and how to better manage water resources. There are still many open scientific questions related to data fusion, integration of drought indicators, emerging social media data sources and the optimal combination of these data sets for providing insights to climate, environmental security, and societal changes with respect to drought events. Addressing these outstanding challenges related to drought monitoring and prediction directly aligns with this year’s AMS Meeting Theme of “Living in a Changing Environment.”

Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: current drought prediction science and skills at various lead times; advances in our understanding of the causes and characteristics of drought and impacts of land-atmosphere interactions, data analyses and numerical modeling; innovative management uses of drought science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers identifying and/or addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water and energy resources, environmental security, and the health and food security of human populations are also invited.

Submitters: Joshua K. Roundy, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; Molly Woloszyn; Maya Robinson, NOAA, Urbana, IL and Jason A. Otkin, CIMSS, Madison, WI

Remote Sensing of Precipitation at Regional, Continental, and Global Scales: Estimation, Evaluation, and Applications I

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Global and regional quantitative precipitation estimates (QPEs) are critical for understanding climate variability and hydrometeorological cycles, detecting natural disasters, improving flash flood and weather forecasts, and effectively managing the use of Earth's freshwater resources. However, obtaining accurate QPEs is a challenging task in many areas of the world due to sparse gauge networks, complex terrain, and global water cycle acceleration. Recent advances in radar and satellite remote sensing of precipitation are progressing rapidly, with the aims of providing accurate and high-resolution precipitation estimates, accurate flash flood forecasting, and understanding the causes and underlying processes of these natural hazards. This session invites high quality, original research contributions from radar and satellite meteorology and associated data sciences, including improved QPE retrievals from satellite and radar remote observations and novel methods to produce multi-sensor QPEs by merging multiple satellite/radar products and/or in-situ observations. Assessments of remotely sensed QPE product performance, as well as demonstrations of the applicability of remotely sensed QPEs for improved weather and hazards forecasting or understanding of hydrometeorological processes are also encouraged.

Submitters: Janice L. Bytheway, CIRES, Boulder, CO; Haonan Chen, Colorado State University and NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO and Ryan Gonzalez, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

J9B

Extreme Precipitation III

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Coffee Break [Main Terrace (BCC), Camden Lobby (BCC), Hall E (BCC), Hall F (BCC)]

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

10A

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Flash drought, characterized by its unusually rapid intensification, has garnered increasing attention in the physical science and impacts communities in recent years due to its compounding and cascading physical causes and socioeconomic effects. We invite submissions that advance our ability to monitor, understand, and predict the complex interactions between terrestrial, atmospheric, and oceanic processes that can be used to anticipate the effects and improve early warning of flash droughts in our changing climate. We also invite submissions that further our understanding of anthropogenic effects on flash drought and our understanding of the linkages between flash drought and impacts on energy, food, health, and water security.

Submitters: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA/Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; Mike Hobbins, NOAA-Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; Hailan Wang, CPC, College Park, MD; Jason A Otkin, Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Space Science and Engineering Center, Madison, WI and Jordan I. Christian, School of Meteorology, Univ. of Oklahoma, NORMAN, OK

10B

The Multifaceted Role of Evapotranspiration: Impacts on Ecosystems, Agriculture, Drought Monitoring, and Climate I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a fundamental process that influences a wide range of applications across scientific disciplines such as ecology, agriculture and meteorology. In ecology, ET is critical in regulating the water balance of ecosystems, affecting plant growth, carbon uptake, and nutrient cycling. Understanding ET patterns and dynamics is essential for predicting ecosystem response to changes in environmental conditions, such as climate or land use change. In agriculture, ET is critical for estimating crop water requirements and scheduling irrigation, helping to optimize crop yield and reduce water use in water limited regions. It can also indicate drought conditions, providing insights into water availability and potential crop stress. Ultimately, ET is critical for understanding the Earth’s energy balance and the role of the water cycle in regulating the climate system. By accurately modeling and monitoring ET, we can improve our ability to understand climate change impacts on water resources and ecosystems, while increasing the resiliency of these systems. Considering this, and in keeping with this year’s AMS theme of “Living in a Changing Environment”, we are seeking submissions related to novel approaches focusing on ET field to remote sensing monitoring and modeling. We encourage interdisciplinary ET studies aiming to explain, mitigate, and/or prevent disruptions or changes in ecosystems, agriculture, drought, or climate.

Submitters: Kyle R. Knipper, Sustainable Agricultural Water Systems Unit, USDA-Agricultural Research Service, Davis, CA; Nicolas E. Bambach, Viticulture and Enology, Univ. of California Davis, Davis, CA; Martha C. Anderson, Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Beltsville, UT; William Kustas, Hydrology & Remote Sensing Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD and Yun Yang, Mississippi State Univ., Starkville, MS

10C

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management I

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

The increasing frequency and magnitude of hydrometeorological extremes are exacerbating the risks of global flood events on an unprecedented scale. Changing human-climate dynamics, in particular, present unique challenges for scientific communities to accurately monitor, analyze, forecast, predict, and manage large-scale flood events. Accurate and timely prediction of flood hazards is pivotal for decision-makers in developing flood mitigation, climate resilience, and disaster management strategies. Recent advances in science and technology have led to the development of improved monitoring systems and predictive models that can assimilate observational data into modeling frameworks providing significantly improved understanding and characterization of flood risks. The evolution of remote sensing technologies and monitoring networks, in conjunction with human feedback, are advancing the predictive capabilities, but challenges remain for large-scale floods. The session invites contributions including but not limited to, (1) the development of flood-monitoring and prediction tools (integrated atmospheric-hydrologic-hydrodynamic modeling, data assimilation, uncertainty quantification, machine learning), (2) the analysis of floods, and (3) lessons learned from managing floods from scientific and societal perspectives. Papers focusing on large-scale flood modeling efforts as well as continental and global scale hydrologic forecasting systems are of particular interest.

J10A

Transitioning Next Generation Water Resources Models to Operations I

Location: 320 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

This session seeks submissions on topics aimed at improving skill and effectiveness of water resources models and invites contributions from those making community advances in all aspects of this challenge.
Session Organizers: Trey Flowers, David Vallee, NOAA Office of Water Prediction

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

11A

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

11B

The Multifaceted Role of Evapotranspiration: Impacts on Ecosystems, Agriculture, Drought Monitoring, and Climate II

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

11C

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management II

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

J11A

Transitioning Next Generation Water Resources Models to Operations II

Location: 320 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing [Hall E (BCC) & Hall F (BCC)]

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Extreme Precipitation - Posters II

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Remote Sensing of Precipitation at Regional, Continental, and Global Scales: Estimation, Evaluation, and Applications - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

The Multifaceted Role of Evapotranspiration: Impacts on Ecosystems, Agriculture, Drought Monitoring, and Climate - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate - ePosters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

12A

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

12C

Remote Sensing of Precipitation at Regional, Continental, and Global Scales: Estimation, Evaluation, and Applications II

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

J12B

Extreme Precipitation IV

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Awards Reception and Ceremony

Location: Ballroom III/ IV (The Baltimore Convention Center)

AMS is pleased to recognize outstanding individuals and organizations of the weather, water, and climate community through its Awards and Honors program. Join us in congratulating the 2024 recipients at a reception in their honor on Wednesday, 31 January at 6:00 p.m., followed by the AMS Awards Ceremony at 6:30 p.m.

Click Here to watch the AMS Awards Ceremony!

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Wednesday Night Live

Location: Key Ballroom Salon 1-8 (Hilton Baltimore Inner Harbor)

Thursday, 1 February 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

13A

Field and Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Hydrology and its Change in High-Altitude Complex Terrain

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Mountain ranges worldwide are experiencing unprecedented changes in their hydrology, including timing and amount of water discharge, snowpack, precipitation amount and phase, radiation, aerosols, clouds, and land-cover characteristics. Together and separately, these changes are a result of some combination of atmospheric, surface, and subsurface processes and point to the need to for process studies, observations, and longitudinal and long-term analyses. They also highlight the need for investigations that are vertically integrated from the sub-surface through the atmosphere. Integrated mountainous hydrology requires extending atmospheric science investigations below the surface and conversely extending sub-surface and surface science investigations into the atmosphere.

Submissions are welcome that use observations ranging from the field scale, including the U.S. Department of Energy’s Surface Atmosphere Integrated field Laboratory (SAIL), NOAA’s Study of Precipitation, the Lower Atmosphere and Surface for Hydrometeorology (SPLASH), and/or NSF’s Sublimation of Snow (SOS) campaigns. Submissions are also welcome that use remote sensing to develop deeper scientific understanding and improved modeling of mountainous hydrology and its change, either for short- and medium-term forecasting or long-term projections. The use of vertically-integrated data and methods to gain insights into and make substantial progress on persistent challenges for predicting change in mountainous systems are particularly encouraged.

Submitters: Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; Ethan D. Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Mimi R. Hughes, ESRL/Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO

13B

An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations, and Prediction of Water Availability

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

The contiguous United States has water resource management challenges that are being exacerbated by a changing and growing population, climate change, land-use and landcover change, inadequate or aging infrastructure, and evolving socioeconomic drivers. These changes to water supply and demand dynamics impact policy setting and decision making at different governing and executive levels across the enterprise. To inform adaptive water management policies, best practices, and infrastructure development, advanced water monitoring and forecasting capabilities are needed. The focus of this session is to identify and address observational and modeling gaps in support of continental to global scale water resource monitoring and prediction, with a strong focus on the contiguous USA.

The session aims to bring the observational and modeling communities together to advance the state of the science and our predictive capabilities of water availability. As such, submissions are invited that explore co-design, inter- and transdisciplinary approaches to water cycle science that lead to a better understanding and quantification of water availability now and in the future. Of particular relevance are papers that explore ways to evaluate, improve and integrate existing surface observational networks across regional to continental scales, in the context of terrestrial-based and spaceborne remote sensing, and in support of Earth system modeling of the water-cycle, in order to better support regional, national and global operational weather and hydroclimate monitoring and modelling efforts. For example, approaches including observational verification, parameterization development, data assimilation, observing system design, and employing in situ observations to provide physical process constraints not currently possible/available from satellite observing systems, are welcome. Linking the socio-economic and physical sciences and demonstrating the added-value of new approaches in the context of water policy and operational management applications are also relevant. It is recognized that studies over more limited spatial and temporal scales do lead to an improved characterization of the water cycle at continental to global scales and at time periods encompassing climate, and such papers are also encouraged.

Submitters: Timothy L. Schneider; Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Petrus Oevelen, Atmospheric, Oceanic & Earth Sciences Department, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

13C

High-Latitude Water and Carbon Cycles in a Warming World

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

The Arctic is warming much faster than other regions on Earth. Recent amplified Arctic warming has exerted irreversible impacts on pan-Arctic terrestrial hydrology and the ecosystem. Specifically, the Arctic warming has deepened the active layer and caused permafrost to thaw, releasing a large amount of soil carbon into the atmosphere as greenhouse gases (e.g., CO2 and CH4), potentially accelerating climate warming. Meanwhile, the deepened active layer makes nutrients previously locked in permafrost soils available for microbial decomposition and accessible to plants, thus accelerating plant growth and sequestering more carbon from the atmosphere. In addition, permafrost, acting as an impermeable bottom boundary, inhibits downward water flux. Permafrost thaw then changes the lower boundary condition of soil water percolation, increasing subsurface drainage flux and thus altering soil moisture redistribution and water table. On the one hand, the changing water table alters anaerobic conditions and thus the ratio of CO2 to CH4 in total carbon emissions. On the other hand, the changing permafrost hydrology directly impacts the terrestrial lateral transport of water and carbon to the ocean. Thus, quantitatively characterizing water-carbon interactions across scales is critical to understanding the high-latitude water-carbon-climate feedback.

This session seeks contributions on high-latitude water and carbon cycles across spatial scales with various approaches, including modeling, remote sensing, and machine learning techniques. We particularly welcome papers that discuss the hydrological and hydro-biogeochemical impacts of climate warming on high-latitude permafrost regions.

Submitters: Jing Tao, LBNL, Berkeley, CA and Jennifer D. Watts, Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Exhibit Hall Breakfast

Location: Hall F/ Swing (The Baltimore Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Lunch Break

Location: The Baltimore Convention Center

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Impacts of Hydrological Extremes on Marginalized Communities

Location: Holiday 4 (Hilton Baltimore Inner Harbor)

The panel discussion will focus on the impacts of hydrometeorological extremes (e.g. droughts, floods, landslides, and hurricanes) on marginalized communities. These extremes have the potential to exacerbate existing social inequalities and vulnerabilities. Inequities in drinking water access, for example, have been observed between urban and rural areas as well as in many regions globally. Marginalized populations disproportionately inhabit hazard-prone areas and have limited access to coping mechanisms, making them more vulnerable and potentially decreasing their resilience. It is crucial for scientific practices to engage with these communities and consider the social processes that contribute to their vulnerability. Addressing hydrological extremes and their impacts on marginalized communities requires inclusive and equitable policies, disaggregated data, and a comprehensive understanding of the complex interactions between hydrological processes and social dynamics. The panelists will highlight recent or ongoing studies on hazard impacts across various societal or racial classes during extreme events. We are honored to have three distinguished panelists who will join us to share their insights on the impacts of hydrological extremes on marginalized communities. Our panelists encompass a diverse group of experts, including a former member of the White House Council on Environmental Quality, an attorney and mediator specializing in water resource-related laws, and an esteemed urban climate scientist who received the Helmut E. Landsberg Award last year.

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

15A

Snow Hydrology in a Changing Environment via Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation I

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Millions of people worldwide rely on snow accumulation and melt for water resources. However, assessing the volume of water contained in the snowpack and its spatial and temporal change can be difficult in a changing climate because snowpack is one of the fastest changing variables in hydrologic cycle. Without accurate and timely information about the snowpack, snow-dominant regions are particularly susceptible to flooding or drought, which may have broad reaching societal and economic implications on the security of the region. Accurate estimates of snow water equivalent (SWE), snow covered area (SCA), melt timing, and other properties of snow are critical in accurately predicting runoff response for water resource management and thus aspects of water, agriculture, energy, and societal stability. Remote sensing and modeling techniques provide methods for observing and detecting snow evolution, onset of snowmelt, and spatial extent. Existing and novel remote sensing techniques have been employed to observe snow characteristics. Local and regional snow and hydrologic models have shown the ability to estimate snow properties and snowmelt-driven streamflow. In-situ datasets that drive these models with meteorological inputs and modify the model through data assimilation techniques are critical in accurately portraying snow evolution. A single sensor, field measurement, or model likely cannot accurately represent all types of snow globally; instead, integrative approaches are needed for capturing a complete spatiotemporal understanding of snow conditions and relevant hydrological processes.

This session welcomes research on existing and novel methods of field measurements & campaigns; remote sensing via unpiloted aerial system, airborne, and satellite platforms; physics-based models; and data assimilation/analytics along with machine and deep learning for snow hydrology and relevant extreme events (e.g., floods, drought, and wildfire). Particularly, we encourage submissions that aim to overcome gaps in the current knowledge of snow observation and modeling and/or consider data merging environments for integration of in situ, remote sensing, and model data.

Submitters: Eunsang Cho, NASA GSFC & University of Maryland College Park, Newmarket, NH; Melissa Wrzesien, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; Carrie Vuyovich, Code 617 (HSL), NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD and Elias Deeb, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Fort Wainwright, AK

15B

Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Decision Making: Hurdles, Progress, and Lessons Learned I

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Although it is widely agreed that climate change is a severe global issue, the high level of uncertainty in global climate models may make it challenging for decision-makers to act with useful information. Making educated decisions requires quantifying the science and uncertainty to assist and advise federal agencies and/or major infrastructure owners (dams, bridges, levees, etc), especially as it relates to extreme precipitation events. Key to making informed decisions is estimating and developing reliable projections of potential changes in excessive precipitation, runoff, snowmelt, and other hydrologic drivers close to dams.

This session is predicated on the hypothesis that by using cutting-edge data science-based approaches, decision-makers may overcome the biases and other shortcomings of global climate model projections and obtain relevant information.

This session intends to provide decision-makers and experts on climate change with methodology and technical advice so they may use the available global climate models to make climate change informed decisions regarding extremes in water resources.

Submitters: David Paul Keeney, Water Resources Engineering and Management, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; Miles Yaw, Tennessee Valley Authority, Knoxville, TN; Devan Mahadevan, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC, DC and Kent Walker, Water Resources Engineering and Management, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO

15C

Land Data Assimilation for Improved Model Output I

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Accurate representation of land surface states is essential to obtaining useful weather, hydrological, and climate model forecasts. However, land surface models are subject to many errors, including from model parameters, mis-specified or missing physical processes, and meteorological forcings or other boundary conditions. These shortcomings can be addressed by land data assimilation, which merges in-situ or satellite-based observations with estimates from land surface models to produce a statistically optimal analysis.

Given on-going land surface model evolution and increasing availability of high-quality observations, land data assimilation has the potential to support Earth System predictions over a wide range of timescales. However, there are still only a limited number of examples of land data assimilation clearly improving forecast skills. This indicates that the community still needs to make considerable progress with coupled and off-line systems.

This session will highlight recent advances in land DA systems including: (i) the use of novel observations; (ii) data assimilation to target novel physical processes (iii) algorithm development; (iv) methodological developments in bias correction and forward operators; (v) incorporation into coupled land-atmosphere systems; and (vi) the use of data assimilation to evaluate and/or improve physical models. In addition, results from the application of LDASs and their impacts on numerical weather prediction, water resources, food security, and ecosystem management, are also strongly encouraged, as well as work involved in transitioning data assimilation from research into operations.

Submitters: Clara R. Draper, NOAA ESRL, Boulder, CO; Sujay V. Kumar, Code 617 (HSL), GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; Andrew Fox, NASA GSFC, Baltimore, MD and Wanshu Nie, Earth and Planetary Sciences, The Johns Hopkins Univ., Hanover, MD

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations, and Prediction of Water Availability - ePosters (Thursday)

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Timothy L. Schneider; Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Petrus Oevelen, Atmospheric, Oceanic & Earth Sciences Department, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

High-latitude Water and Carbon Cycles in a Warming World - ePosters (Thursday)

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Jing Tao, LBNL, Berkeley, CA and Jennifer D. Watts, Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Coffee Break & Formal Poster Viewing

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations, and Prediction of Water Availability - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Timothy L. Schneider; Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Petrus Oevelen, Atmospheric, Oceanic & Earth Sciences Department, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

Field and Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Hydrology and its Change in High-altitude Complex Terrain - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; Ethan D. Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Mimi R. Hughes, ESRL/Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO

High-latitude Water and Carbon Cycles in a Warming World - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Submitters: Jing Tao, LBNL, Berkeley, CA and Jennifer D. Watts, Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA

Land Data Assimilation for Improved Model Output - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

Snow Hydrology in a Changing Environment via Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation - Posters

Location: Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

16A

Snow Hydrology in a Changing Environment via Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation II

Location: 318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

16B

Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Decision Making: Hurdles, Progress, and Lessons Learned II

Location: 340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

16C

Land Data Assimilation for Improved Model Output II

Location: 339 (The Baltimore Convention Center)

» Expand View

Session 16C 38th Conference on Hydrology

Tuesday, 23 January 2024

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 January 2024

Sunday, 28 January 2024

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

Monday, 29 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

7:30 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Tuesday, 30 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Thursday, 1 February 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

3:00 PM-3:40 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 1 February 2024

Tuesday, 23 January 2024

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 January 2024

Sunday, 28 January 2024

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 28 January 2024

Monday, 29 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 29 January 2024

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

7:30 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 29 January 2024

Tuesday, 30 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

3:50 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 30 January 2024

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Wednesday, 31 January 2024