Session 16B Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Decision Making: Hurdles, Progress, and Lessons Learned II

Thursday, 1 February 2024: 4:30 PM-6:00 PM
340 (The Baltimore Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the Presidential Conference )
Chair:
David Paul Keeney
Cochairs:
Miles Yaw, Bureau of Reclamation, Water Resources Engineering and Management, Denver, CO; Devan Mahadevan, Bureau of Reclamation, Water Resources Engineering and Management, Denver, CO and Kent Walker, Bureau of Reclamation, Water Resources Engineering and Management, Denver, CO

Although it is widely agreed that climate change is a severe global issue, the high level of uncertainty in global climate models may make it challenging for decision-makers to act with useful information. Making educated decisions requires quantifying the science and uncertainty to assist and advise federal agencies and/or major infrastructure owners (dams, bridges, levees, etc), especially as it relates to extreme precipitation events. Key to making informed decisions is estimating and developing reliable projections of potential changes in excessive precipitation, runoff, snowmelt, and other hydrologic drivers close to dams.

This session is predicated on the hypothesis that by using cutting-edge data science-based approaches, decision-makers may overcome the biases and other shortcomings of global climate model projections and obtain relevant information.

This session intends to provide decision-makers and experts on climate change with methodology and technical advice so they may use the available global climate models to make climate change informed decisions regarding extremes in water resources.

Submitters: David Paul Keeney, Water Resources Engineering and Management, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; Miles Yaw, Tennessee Valley Authority, Knoxville, TN; Devan Mahadevan, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC, DC and Kent Walker, Water Resources Engineering and Management, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO

Papers:
4:30 PM
16B.1
Changes in the Climate System Dominate Year-to-Year Variability in Flooding Across the Globe
Gabriele Villarini, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and H. Kim, C. Wasko, and Y. Tramblay

4:45 PM
16B.2
Identifying extreme weather conditions over the CONUS in the mid-21st century by analyzing the NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 downscale dataset
Mengye Chen, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang, J. Melillo, C. J. Vorosmarty, and Y. Hong

5:00 PM
16B.3
Challenges and successes with incorporating CMIP6 climate data into EPA’s CREAT
Geneva Marie Ely Gray, EPA, DC, DC; and J. S. Fries, N. D. B. Keyes, A. Ramming, A. Furneaux, and C. Baranowski

5:15 PM
16B.4
The Nexus Between Convective Allowing Modeling and Outreach in Facilitating Decision Making for High Impact Events in the North American Monsoon.
Eyad H. Atallah, UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA, Tucson, AZ; Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. L. Castro, D. Girone, and T. Maio

5:30 PM
16B.5
Enhancing the Accessibility, Applicability, and Interactions of Satellite-Informed Hydrologic Projections Under Climate and Forest Changes for Water Managers
Kristen M. Whitney, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and E. R. Vivoni, D. D. White, Z. Wang, R. Quay, M. I. Mahmoud, and N. P. Templeton

5:45 PM
16B.6
Supporting At-Risk Aquatic Species Management with Hydrologic Projections
Catherine Anna Nikiel, ORISE/USGS Research Program Participant with the Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, Raleigh, NC; and J. LaFontaine

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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