Session 11A Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate II

Wednesday, 31 January 2024: 1:45 PM-3:00 PM
318/319 (The Baltimore Convention Center)
Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Chair:
Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO
Cochairs:
Mike Hobbins; Hailan Wang, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; Jason A. Otkin and Jordan I. Christian, University of North Dakota

Flash drought, characterized by its unusually rapid intensification, has garnered increasing attention in the physical science and impacts communities in recent years due to its compounding and cascading physical causes and socioeconomic effects. We invite submissions that advance our ability to monitor, understand, and predict the complex interactions between terrestrial, atmospheric, and oceanic processes that can be used to anticipate the effects and improve early warning of flash droughts in our changing climate. We also invite submissions that further our understanding of anthropogenic effects on flash drought and our understanding of the linkages between flash drought and impacts on energy, food, health, and water security.

Submitters: Andrew J. Hoell, NOAA/Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; Mike Hobbins, NOAA-Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; Hailan Wang, CPC, College Park, MD; Jason A Otkin, Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Space Science and Engineering Center, Madison, WI and Jordan I. Christian, School of Meteorology, Univ. of Oklahoma, NORMAN, OK

Papers:
1:45 PM
11A.2
Soil-based Flash Drought Identification and Prediction
Guiling Wang, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and K. Mohammadi

2:00 PM
11A.1
Sensitivity of Flash Drought Prediction Based on Inter- and Intra-Annual Modes of Variability to Drought Index and Region
Emma L. Scott, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, NC; and R. D. Leeper and D. A. Coates

2:15 PM
11A.3
Teleconnections and Drivers of Regional Flash Droughts in the United States
Daniel Mesheske, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. M. Grace, J. I. Christian, and J. B. Basara

2:30 PM
11A.4
Flash Drought Occurrence in the Coastal Carolinas Could Increase in the Future.
Kaitlin Karaffa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Larson and K. Dello

2:45 PM
11A.5
Evaluation of Flash Drought Identification with Machine Learning Techniques, Part 3: Global Perspectives
Stuart Galen Edris, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, J. C. Furtado, A. McGovern, and X. Xiao

Handout (11.2 MB)

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