Session 11 Probability and Verification for High Impact Weather Events II

Wednesday, 31 January 2024: 1:45 PM-3:00 PM
302/303 (The Baltimore Convention Center)
Host: 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics
Cochairs:
Jacob T. Radford and Christina P. Kalb, NCAR, RAL, Boulder, CO

Papers:
1:45 PM
11.1
Estimating the probability of hail in Canada using a lightning proxy
Dominique Brunet, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and J. Brimelow

2:00 PM
11.2
An Evaluation of Medium-Range Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts of Progressive Derechos
Bruno Ribeiro, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and S. J. Weiss and L. F. Bosart

2:15 PM
11.3
Verification of Probabilistic Temperature Forecasts in the NWS Graphical Forecast Editor (GFE)
Leslie R. Colin, NWS, Boise, ID

2:30 PM
11.4
How skillful are high-resolution ensemble means in capturing warm-season extreme precipitation events?
Diana Rose Stovern, ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Bytheway, K. M. Mahoney, S. M. Trojniak, J. Correia Jr., B. J. Moore, and M. R. Abel

2:45 PM
11.5
A preliminary dive into the climatology of the High Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) heavy rainfall probabilities
Sarah Marie Trojniak, CIRES-CIESRDS @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., J. L. Bytheway, D. R. Stovern, and K. M. Mahoney

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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