Session Future of ensemble/probabilistic forecasting, decision support, or forecast verification/evaluation.


Description:

This proposed session will focus on the future of ensemble/probabilistic forecasting, decision support, or forecast verification/evaluation.


Papers:
Advances in Freezing Rain Accumulation Verification, Reporting Practices, Communication, and Governance
Eric M. Guillot, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Perfater, M. Muccilli, and A. Lamers

An Update on Recent Development with the National Blend of Models
Steven L. Levine, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. E. Rudack, R. James, E. Engle, S. Scallion, C. Buxton, A. Schnapp, S. Perfater, G. Manikin, W. Yan, B. Haynes, and G. G. Leone

Methods of ensemble forecasting of rainfall variability in tropical West Africa
Athul Rasheeda Satheesh, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Knippertz, A. H. Fink, E. Walz, and T. Gneiting

19 April 2023 severe weather event: How NSSL research can contribute to probabilistic IDSS
Kodi L. Berry, NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. E. Reinhart, P. C. Burke, M. A. Wagner, A. Gerard, L. J. Hopper Jr., P. Heinselman, and E. Rasmussen

Data-driven one-day probabilistic forecasts of precipitation occurrence and amount for northern tropical Africa
Eva Walz, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies, Heidelberg, Baden-Wuerrtemberg, Germany; and G. Köhler, A. H. Fink, P. Knippertz, and T. Gneiting

Analysis of summer heavy rainfall pattern types in East Asia of the Korean Integrated Model (KIM)
Ju Heon Kim, Pukyong National University (PKNU), Busan, South Korea, 48, South korea; and J. H. Sim, H. R. Kim, and B. M. Kim

Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023