Extreme Precipitation


Description:

This session invites papers on all aspects of extreme precipitation, including atmospheric river (AR) events, convective storms, hurricanes, typhoons, extreme snowfall events, their relationship to floods, and hydrologic impacts. Possible topics include observations (e.g., rain gauge networks, ground-based radar, satellite retrievals, multi-sensor fusion, etc.), modeling, exploration of key physical processes, short-term and seasonal prediction, orographic and elevation-based relationships, climate change, and risk assessment. Papers exploring the causes and consequences of individual extreme precipitation events that cause floods or terminate droughts, details of the relationship between extreme precipitation and flooding, extreme snowfall accumulation and melt, as well as key factors that inform decisions around changing extreme precipitation and flood risk are particularly encouraged. 

Submitters:  Kelly M. Mahoney, Earth System Research Laboratories/ Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, BOULDER, CO; Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC and John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX


Papers:
Scientific Challenges for NOAA Atlas 15 Projections of Heavy Rainfall Design Values
Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC

Emergent Relationship Between Extreme Precipitation and Temperature: E3SM Performance and the Impact of Spatial Resolution.
Faisal Mohammad Alvee, University of Connecticut., Storrs, CT; and G. Wang, X. Sun, L. R. Leung, and H. Hu

Investigation of Ensemble-Based Nowcasting for Predicting Excessive Rainfall within the MRMS System
Steven M. Martinaitis, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO) and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Anthony, D. Meyer, and S. Rearden

Contributions to Changes in Extreme Precipitation over the Northeast US in 25-km GFDL SPEAR
Bor-Ting Jong, NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, H. Murakami, and W. Cooke

Influences of Large-scale and Meso-scale Circulation Patterns on Warm Season Precipitation in South China
Wenbin Chen, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 32, China; Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and H. Yuan

An Analysis of Excessive Rainfall Events and Suwannee River Streamflow Response
Nicole Ashley Casamassina, NWS, Peachtree City, GA

Multi-storm analysis of satellite informed streamflow for landfalling tropical cyclones.
Alka Tiwari, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Cherkauer, W. W. Tung, F. D. Marks Jr., ScD, and D. Niyogi

Orographic Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate: Hurricane Ivan (2004)
Amanda Marie Sinning, NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Climate Change Amplification of Short-Duration, High-Intensity Rainfall may Increase Postfire Debris-Flow Hazard in the Southwestern United States
Matthew A. Thomas, USGS, Golden, CO; and A. C. Michaelis, N. Oakley, J. W. Kean, and V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM

Using Average Recurrence Intervals to Identify Intensity Risk in the Day 1 Time-period
Sarah Marie Trojniak, CIRES-CIESRDS @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., W. M. Bartolini, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023