104th AMS Annual Meeting: 38th Conference on Hydrology

17 Transitioning Next Generation Water Resources Models to Operations

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; and the 38th Conference on Hydrology )

Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

1:00 AM

Towards an Operational Precipitation Nowcasting Model with Memory-Efficient Bidirectional Transformers

Ji-Hoon Ha, KMA, Seogwipo-si, Jeju, South korea; and H. Lee, K. Park, J. Park, J. Yoo, and S. Hong

12:30 AM

Extending the NWMv3.0 Forcings Engine Capabilities into the NextGen Water Resource Modeling Framework

Jason Alexander Ducker, Lynker Technologies, Boulder, CO; NOAA-NWS Office of Water Prediction, Tuscaloosa, AL; and N. J. Frazier, M. Williamson, S. Cui, D. Johnson, Z. Zhang, C. Pham, R. Cabell, T. C. Flowers, and E. P. Clark

12:15 AM

Automating and Simplifying NextGen Framework Model Development and Optimization with the Distributed Model On Demand Platform

Robert Bartel, NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; Lynker, Leesburg, VA; and T. C. Flowers, N. Frazier, A. Raney, C. O. Tubbs, and M. Williamson

12:00 AM

Assessing the Performance of the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR)'s Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs) Over Florida During Different Sea Breeze Flow Regime Patterns

Megan Borowski, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL

12:45 AM

The NOAA Next Generation Water Resource Modeling Framework Hydrofabric

J Michael Johnson, NOAA-Affiliate, Lynker, Fort Collins, CO; and A. Modesari Rad, T. C. Flowers, and F. Ogden

Session

Advancements in Analysis and Prediction of Drought

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

A Global Evaluation of the Uncertainty in Land-Atmosphere Coupling-based Drought Metrics Due to Different Soil Moisture Products

Payal Ramniklal Makhasana, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and J. K. Roundy, J. A. Santanello Jr., and P. Lawston Parker

12:00 AM

Approaches Connecting the USDM to Drought Impacts in the United States

Rocky Bilotta, NCEI, Asheville, NC

12:00 AM

Changes in hydrological extremes as revealed by GRACE/GRACE FO data

Bailing Li, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Rodell

12:00 AM

Changes in global drought propagation driven by anthropogenic land surface transformations

Sujay V. Kumar, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Konapala, W. Nie, and A. Getirana

12:00 AM

Projection of Ecological Drought Under Climate Change in the Eastern United States

Catherine Anna Nikiel, ORISE/USGS Research Program Participant with the Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, Raleigh, NC

12:00 AM

Evaluation of Drought Indices and Indicators for Ecological Drought in the Mid-Atlantic United States

Jacklynn Kay Beck, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and S. M. Quiring

12:00 AM

Using Seasonal Evaporative Stress Across Europe to Identify Areas Primed for Flash Drought

Daniel F. Mesheske, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, and J. C. Furtado

12:00 AM

Anticipating the Impact of the Saharan Air Layer on the Puerto Rican Early Rainfall Season

Marcus Cameron Watkins, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and P. W. Miller and C. A. Ramseyer, PhD

Session

An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations and Prediction of Water Availability

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Re-calibration of Hydrologic Models at the Middle Atlantic RFC: Anticipated Improvements in Low Flow and Seasonal Forecasting

David Murray IV, NWS, State College, PA; and T. Madsen, A. Macfarlane, and S. Reed, Ph.D.

12:00 AM

A Global River Routing Model based on Hydraulic Geometry and Hydrologic Catchments for Earth System Models

Yujin Zeng, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and R. D. Koster and R. H. Reichle

12:00 AM

An Upgraded FLDAS-Forecast System for Continental Africa and the Middle East for Food Insecurity Early Warning

Abheera Hazra, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD; GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; UMD-ESSIC/NAS-GSFC, Columbia, MD; and K. Slinski, W. Anderson, A. McNally, D. P. Sarmiento, K. Arsenault, S. Shukla, A. Getirana, and S. V. Kumar

12:00 AM

The GEWEX Regional HydroClimate Projects and International Research Collaboration Relevant to the Contiguous United States

Petrus (Peter) J. van Oevelen, George Mason University, Lyons, CO; and T. L. Schneider, S. A. Tessendorf, and A. Nazemi

12:00 AM

Assessing and Comparing Long-term Precipitation Trends Worldwide

Grace Mazaleski, The University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and J. Scheff

12:00 AM

Evapotranspiration and Recharge Mapping Using Land Integrated Data Assimilation (LIDA-2) System and Quantifying Their Dependencies on Land/Atmosphere Variables

Asif Mahmood, The George Washington University, Washington, DC; and L. Farhadi

Session

Continental and Global Scale Flood Monitoring, Prediction, Analysis, and Management

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Operational Hydrology with NOAA’s National Water Model: Current Capabilities and Future Enhancements

Brian Cosgrove, NWS Office of Water Prediction, Silver Spring, MD; NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and E. P. Clark, A. Dugger, T. C. Flowers, D. J. Gochis, T. M. Graziano, and F. Ogden

12:00 AM

How Flood-y Was It? Developing a Climatological, Cloud-Based Portal to Monitor Floods in Real Time

Jared J. Rennie, CCM, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, NC; and K. Wodzicki and R. Muralidharan

12:00 AM

Selection and Use of Model Evaluation Metrics from Multi-decadal Hydrological Simulations to Support Operational Hydrological Forecasting

Jason A. Regina, NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; and R. Barton

12:00 AM

Flash Flood Monitoring and Forecasting at the Global Scale: Possible?

Huan Wu, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, 44, China; and Y. Hu, Z. Huang, R. F. Adler, G. Gu, L. Alfieri, C. Li, and L. Jiang

Session

Data-Driven Methods for Hydrological Modeling, Prediction, and Uncertainty Estimation

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

New knowledge discovery through coevolution of machine learning and process-based modelling

Saman Razavi, Australian National University and University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and K. Li

12:00 AM

Combining physical process and deep learning models for reliable precipitation nowcasts

Shangshang Yang, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, 32, China; and H. Yuan

12:00 AM

An approach towards including watershed traits in machine learning models for predictions in unmonitored basins

Charuleka Varadharajan, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and J. D. Willard, F. Ciulla, H. Weierbach, A. R. Lima, N. Bouskill, E. Brodie, and V. Kumar

Extreme Precipitation

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Scientific Challenges for NOAA Atlas 15 Projections of Heavy Rainfall Design Values

Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC

12:00 AM

Predictability of a Succession of Three Extreme Precipitation Regimes (EPRs) in eastern North America in February 2019

Yeechian Low, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum

12:00 AM

Emergent Relationship Between Extreme Precipitation and Temperature: E3SM Performance and the Impact of Spatial Resolution.

Faisal Mohammad Alvee, University of Connecticut., Storrs, CT; and G. Wang, X. Sun, L. R. Leung, and H. Hu

12:00 AM

Investigation of Ensemble-Based Nowcasting for Predicting Excessive Rainfall within the MRMS System

Steven M. Martinaitis, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO) and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Anthony, D. Meyer, and S. Rearden

12:00 AM

Using an Ensemble Prediction System to Evaluate the Factors Influencing the Stationary Behavior of a Landfalling Atmospheric River over Central California

Ivan Leonel Fontanez, SUNY, Aguas Buenas, PR; Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

12:00 AM

Contributions to Changes in Extreme Precipitation over the Northeast US in 25-km GFDL SPEAR

Bor-Ting Jong, NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, H. Murakami, and W. Cooke

12:00 AM

A High-Resolution Numerical Simulation of the "7.19" Extraordinary Heavy Rainfall in Henan Province Under Topographic Effect

Han Li, Henan Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Zhengzhou, China

12:00 AM

Influences of Large-scale and Meso-scale Circulation Patterns on Warm Season Precipitation in South China

Wenbin Chen, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 32, China; Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and H. Yuan

12:00 AM

An Analysis of Excessive Rainfall Events and Suwannee River Streamflow Response

Nicole Ashley Casamassina, NWS, Peachtree City, GA

12:00 AM

Multi-storm analysis of satellite informed streamflow for landfalling tropical cyclones.

Alka Tiwari, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Cherkauer, W. W. Tung, F. D. Marks Jr., ScD, and D. Niyogi

12:00 AM

How Does Climate Change Affect Precipitation for Contrasting Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Evolutions? A Case Study of Three Atlantic Hurricanes

Katy E. Hollinger, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

12:00 AM

Orographic Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate: Hurricane Ivan (2004)

Amanda Marie Sinning, NC State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

12:00 AM

Climate Change Amplification of Short-Duration, High-Intensity Rainfall may Increase Postfire Debris-Flow Hazard in the Southwestern United States

Matthew A. Thomas, USGS, Golden, CO; and A. C. Michaelis, N. Oakley, J. W. Kean, and V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM

12:00 AM

Using Average Recurrence Intervals to Identify Intensity Risk in the Day 1 Time-period

Sarah Marie Trojniak, CIRES-CIESRDS @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., W. M. Bartolini, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

12:00 AM

Characterizing High Intensity Precipitation Within Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers Along the West Coast of the United States

Parker Malek, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and P. C. Loikith

Session

Field and Remote Sensing Observations and Modeling of Hydrology and its Change in High-altitude Complex Terrain

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Observing High Altitude Hydrologic Processes Using Space-Based Lidar: Lessons Learned from ICESat-2

Michael Francis Jasinski, ScD, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and J. D. Stoll

12:00 AM

What resolution snow model is needed for accurate streamflow timing and volume simulation?

William Ryan Currier, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Pflug, N. Sun, A. K. D. Pfohl, M. R. Hughes, and R. Cifelli

Session

Flash Drought Monitoring, Predictability, and Impacts in a Changing Climate

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Developing a new CPC long term and realtime land surface monitoring product

Li Xu, CPC, College Park, MD; ERT INC, Laurel, MD; and H. Wang, A. badger, S. Wu, P. Xie, W. Ebisuzaki, L. Zhang, M. J. Barlage, H. Wei, and B. Pugh

12:00 AM

Prediction of Areas Susceptible to Flash Drought Development over the Contiguous United States

L. Gwen Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD

12:00 AM

A Southeastern US Regional Flash Drought Review and Agriculture Impact Assessment

Shaelyn Grace Deal, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Oak Ridge, TN; and L. Ellenburg

12:00 AM

Simulation of Flash Drought Characteristics Across the U.S. Shaped by Vegetation

Ali Fallahmaraghi, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow, L. Agel, J. Kim, J. Mankin, D. M. Mocko, and C. B. Skinner

12:00 AM

Spatio-temporal characteristics and driving factors of flash drought recovery: From the perspective of soil moisture and GPP changes

Qian Zhu, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and H. Wang

12:00 AM

A multivariate flash drought climatology based on the framework of the flash drought intensity index (FDII)

Yafang Zhong, CIMSS, Madison, WI; CIMSS, Madison, WI; Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin and T. W. Ford

12:00 AM

Evaluation of Flash Drought Identification with Machine Learning Techniques, Part 3: Global Perspectives

Stuart Galen Edris, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, Ph.D., J. C. Furtado, A. McGovern, and X. Xiao

12:00 AM

Teleconnections and Drivers of Regional Flash Droughts in the United States

Daniel F. Mesheske, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. M. Grace, J. I. Christian, and J. B. Basara

Session

High-latitude Water and Carbon Cycles in a Warming World

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Understanding the Interannual Variability and Trend of Boreal Arctic Wetland Methane Emissions Using an Observation-Driven and Long-Term Upscaling Dataset

Kunxiaojia Yuan, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and Q. Zhu, F. Li, G. McNicol, and M. Chen

Session

Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Decision Making: Hurdles, Progress, and Lessons Learned

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Incorporating Climate Change into Safety of Dams Flood Risk Assessments

Timothy Clarkin, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. P. Keeney, A. Stone, and K. Walker

12:00 AM

Precipitation-Frequency Applied Research and Development for the United States Army Corps of Engineers Dam and Levee Safety Program

Brian Skahill, US Army Corps of Engineers Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS; and H. Smith, B. Russell, and J. England

12:00 AM

Supporting At-Risk Aquatic Species Management with Hydrologic Projections

Catherine Anna Nikiel, ORISE/USGS Research Program Participant with the Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, Raleigh, NC; and J. LaFontaine

12:00 AM

Enhancing the Accessibility, Applicability, and Interactions of Satellite-Informed Hydrologic Projections Under Climate and Forest Changes for Water Managers

Kristen M. Whitney, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and E. R. Vivoni, D. D. White, Z. Wang, R. Quay, M. I. Mahmoud, and N. P. Templeton

Session

Land Data Assimilation for Improved Model Output

Host: 38th Conference on Hydrology
Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Multivariate Satellite Data Assimilation to Improve Yield Estimates in Deep South, USA

Xiaoliang Han, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, The University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and K. Gavahi and H. Moradkhani

12:00 AM

Towards Ensemble Land Data Assimilation at ECMWF

Ewan Mark Pinnington, ECMWF, Reading, RDG, United kingdom; and P. de Rosnay, P. Weston, D. Fairbairn, C. Herbert, E. Holm, S. Lang, M. Leutbecher, S. J. Lock, G. Arduini, and G. Balsamo

12:00 AM

Soil Moisture and Brightness Temperature Assimilation for GEOS Reanalysis

Andrew M Fox, GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Q. Liu and R. H. Reichle

12:00 AM

Assimilation of SMAP Observations Over Land Improves the Simulation and Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Idai

Jana Kolassa, NASA GSFC / GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; SSAI, Lanham, MD; GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Ganeshan, E. McGrath-Spangler, O. Reale, and R. H. Reichle

12:00 AM

A soil moisture and soil temperature analysis for NOAA's GFSv17/GDAS global NWP system.

Clara S. Draper, NOAA PSL, Boulder, CO; and J. Whitaker, M. J. Barlage, D. T. Kleist, and C. R. Martin

12:00 AM

Advances in Operational Near Real-Time SMAP Soil Moisture Retrieval Processing

Armaghan Abed-Elmdoust, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Navari, S. V. Kumar, J. W. Wegiel, P. W. Liu, R. Bindlish, and Y. kwon

12:00 AM

Irrigation estimation through backscatter data assimilation with a buddy check approach

Louise Busschaert, KU Leuven, Heverlee, VBR, Belgium; and M. Bechtold, S. Modanesi, C. Massari, L. Brocca, and G. J. M. De Lannoy

12:00 AM

Joint Assimilation of Soil Moisture and Vegetation Satellite Retrievals into the Noah-MP Land Surface Model

Zdenko Heyvaert, KU Leuven, Heverlee, VBR, Belgium; TU Wien, Wien, Austria; and S. Scherrer, W. Dorigo, M. Bechtold, and G. J. M. De Lannoy

Land-Atmosphere and Land-Ocean Interactions

Hosts: (Joint between the 38th Conference on Hydrology; and the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023

12:00 AM

Sensitivity of Weather Forecasts to Soil Moisture Perturbations in Coastal Regions

Kevin A. Biernat, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and P. M. Finocchio and J. D. Doyle

12:00 AM

Hydrometeorological Drivers of Summertime Temperature Variability Over Western US Land Surfaces

Lily N. Zhang, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. R. Vargas Zeppetello and D. S. Battisti

12:00 AM

The SMOPS Blended Soil Moisture Climate Data Record

Jifu Yin, NOAA, College Park, MD; and X. Zhan, J. Liu, H. Meng, and R. Ferraro

12:00 AM

Riding the Waves of Climate Change: Unveiling the Connection Between Rising Sea Levels and Precipitation

Chandler Michael Pruett, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; NASA, Hampton, VA

12:00 AM

INFERRING SURFACE FLUX PARTITIONING OVER LAND FROM AN EVOLVING ATMOSPHERIC BOUNDARY LAYER

Briah Davis, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer

12:00 AM

Analysis of the SMAP Daily Soil Moisture Time Series through Power Spectrum-Adjustment Method Utilizing Additional Datasets

Nazanin Tavakoli, GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY, Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer

12:00 AM

Land Atmosphere Coupling Strength and its Impact on Precipitation during North American Summer

Madhusmita Swain, University at Albany, Albany, NY; SUNY Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. R. Ferguson and D. Fitzjarrald

12:00 AM

Enhancing Noah-MP model representation of fire impacts on land surface conditions

Cenlin He, NCAR, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Abolafia-Rosenzweig, F. Chen, A. Dugger, and D. J. Gochis

12:00 AM

Key Underlying Dynamics of Ocean-Land-Air Interactions during the Landfall of TS Bill (2015)

Jinwoong Yoo, University of Maryland, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD; NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. A. Santanello Jr.

12:00 AM

Subgrid surface heterogeneity and land-atmosphere interactions: a hierarchy of parameterizations for global climate models

Finley Miles Hay-Chapman, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer, M. D. Fowler, T. Waterman, and N. Chaney

12:00 AM

Soil Moisture-Latent Heat Flux Coupling in Climate Modeling: Insights and Implications from the Offline Land Model

Daisuke Tokuda, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and P. A. Dirmeyer

Session

Session 38th Conference on Hydrology