Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Post-processing Methods


Description:

Climate and weather models must span a global domain, necessitating a coarse spatial grid; however, most applications of those models need data at highly local spatial scales. In addition, these models have biases that preclude their direct application for some uses. Because of these mismatches, many different approaches have been developed to make climate and weather model output more useful and usable for hydrologic purposes. Statistical and dynamical downscaling and post-processing methods – and hybrid methods – allow these model outputs to better resolve features such as mountains, coastal boundaries and other hydroclimatic features. In addition, careful evaluation of their historical skill in current climate, statistical reliability for weather forecasts, and diagnosis of their representation of future changes are critical, and bias correction may be necessary for their application. Finally, understanding gained through applications of downscaled products provides key feedback between users and developers of the models and methods.  We invite presentations on the development of downscaling models and datasets, post-processing and bias correction techniques, evaluations of different methods, and applications of downscaled products.

Submitters:  Naomi Goldenson, Seattle, WA; Mimi R. Hughes, ESRL/Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO; Ethan D. Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Rachel R. McCrary, RAL, NCAR, Fort Collins, CO and Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA


Papers:
Developing Customized Downscaled Climate Projections for the Long-Term Management of the Edwards Aquifer System under a Warming Climate
Adrienne Wootten, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. Basagaoglu, P. Bertetti, D. Chakraborty, C. Sharma, M. Samimi, and A. Mirchi

A Statewide, Weather-Regime based Stochastic Weather Generator for California
Nasser Najibi, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. Weyant, A. J. Perez, W. Arnold, A. Schwarz, A. Gershunov, R. Maendly, and S. Steinschneider

Evaluation of Statistical Downscaling Methods for Regional Precipitation Over CONUS Using a K-Means Weather Typing Algorithm
Nicholas D. Lybarger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. D. Gutmann, S. Hartke, T. Eidhammer, S. McGinnis, A. J. Newman, and A. W. Wood

Multi-model ensemble of precipitation changes of the Pearl River Basin and its impact to the water resources
Mengfei He, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China; and Y. Chen

Leveraging Internal Variability to Assess Regional Vulnerability to Atmospheric Rivers Using a High-Resolution Atmospheric Simulation
Ethan D. Gutmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Harrell, M. Warner, A. W. Wood, N. Mizukami, A. Smith, W. R. Currier, T. Eidhammer, B. Kruyt, and C. D. Frans

Intercomparison of Regional Reanalysis Datasets over Italy and Hydrological Applications for the Electro-energy System
Francesca Viterbo, RSE S.p.A., Milano, Italy; and F. Cavalleri, R. Bonanno, S. Sperati, and M. Lacavalla

Learning data fusion and atmospheric forcing corrections using a physics-informed, differentiable hydrologic model
Kamlesh Arun Sawadekar, The Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and C. Shen and Y. Song

Precipitation hazards viewed through "grey swan" tropical cyclones simulated by 3km Earth system models
Colin M. Zarzycki, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. N. DeCiampa

Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023