Session 3B Atmospheric River Reconnaissance: Observations, Science Advances, and Impact on Forecasts and Downstream Decision-Making: Part I

Monday, 13 January 2025: 1:45 PM-3:00 PM
341 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O)
Submitters:
Anna M. Wilson; Vijay S. Tallapragada, NWS, NCEP/EMC/MDAB, College Park, MD; F. Martin Ralph, NOAA NWS NCEP EMC, College Park, MD; Jason Cordeira, UC San Diego Scripps Oceanography and Stephen Anthony Mango
Cochairs:
Vijay S. Tallapragada, NWS, NCEP/EMC/MDAB, College Park, MD and Anna M. Wilson

Airborne reconnaissance flights in and around atmospheric rivers (ARs) over the North Pacific are conducted annually from November – March, within the framework of a Research and Operations Partnership. Atmospheric river reconnaissance (AR Recon) includes multiple aircraft outfitted to make direct and remote measurements of the storms, alongside observations of the ocean surface and mixed layer. A variety of different innovative technologies are regularly explored. Much of these datasets are operationally assimilated into numerical weather prediction systems. These missions are resulting in significant improvements to West Coast and global forecasts and supporting decision making information needs. They also provide significant opportunities for research into all aspects of ARs.
This session will highlight results from work using AR Recon observations, including data assimilation techniques, model diagnostics, data impact, and physical process studies. We seek contributions that also highlight the applications of AR Recon informed forecasts on decision making, and explore strategies for expanding the scale and utility of these observations in coming years.

Conveners: Anna M. Wilson, F.Martin Ralph, Vijay Tallapragada, Jason Cordeira

Papers:
1:45 PM
3B.1
Atmospheric Rivers in the Northwestern Pacific: Source Regions and Observation Impact
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, R. Stone, and M. G. Fearon

Handout (7.5 MB)

2:15 PM
3B.3
Using Google Earth as a Flight Planning Tool for Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Flights
Shawn C Roj, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and B. Kawzenuk, A. M. Wilson, S. M. Bartlett, J. Ludtke, K. Hurley, and F. M. Ralph

2:30 PM
3B.4
A Climatology of Forecast Sensitivity for Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers along the US West Coast
Ryan D. Torn, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and J. Cordeira and F. M. Ralph

2:45 PM
3B.5
Observations and Model Verification of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in Western Washington during early December 2023
Jason M. Cordeira, UCSD Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and A. M. Wilson, C. Castellano, E. Knappe, R. Weihs, D. Axisa, and M. M. Ralph

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner