Session 5 Forecast Evaluation and Use of Probabilistic Forecasts for Energy Applications & Solar Resource Assessment

Tuesday, 14 January 2025: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
217 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs:
Jeffrey Gawrych, Vaisala and Maxfield E Green, MA, Tomorrow.io, Data Science, Fort Collins, CO

Papers:
8:30 AM
5.1
Lies, Damn Lies, and an Unethical Measure of Renewable Energy Predictability: The Case of Wind Energy Forecasting in Ireland
Kevin F Forbes, Energy and Environmental Data Science, Malahide, D, Ireland

8:45 AM
5.2
Using Probabilistic Energy Production Forecasts to Dynamically Estimate Forecast Accuracy
Benjamin Toms, Climavision, Louisville, KY; and J. Antic and J. Cahill

9:00 AM
5.3
Evaluating NOAA’s HRRR v4 and RRFS v1 models as forecasters of day-ahead solar irradiance: Skill, spread, and steps forward
Jonah K Shaw, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Larson and D. D. Turner

9:15 AM
5.4
Improving the National Solar Radiation Data Base using PSM v4
Manajit Sengupta, Ph.D., National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and Y. K. Xie, A. Habte, B. N. Benton, P. Edwards, G. Maclaurin, M. J. Foster, and A. Heidinger

9:30 AM
5.5
The Influence of Cloud Cover on the Reliability of Satellite-Based Solar Resource Data
Yu-Konsta Xie, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, GOLDEN, CO

9:45 AM
5.6
The National Climate Database (NCDB) Version 1: Development, Evaluation, and Data Release
Jaemo Yang, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and M. Sengupta, Ph.D., A. Habte, Y. Xie, M. Bailey, D. Nychka, and S. Bandyopadhyay

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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