Topic: Numbers to People: Connecting Numerical Weather Predictions and Societal Applications (105th AMS Annual Meeting)

Monday, 13 January 2025: 1:45 PM-3:00 PM

206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )

Cochairs:

Edward C. Wolff IV, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign and Chris White

This session will explore how recent changes in numerical weather prediction type, methodology, or even visual displays of information apply to society. From broad scale policy decisions to individual decisions in the face of inclement weather, we welcome submissions that cover the broad scope of societal applications of NWP.

Papers:

1:45 PM

J3A.1

Testing Visual Synthesis of Probabilistic Forecast Information: Results from a Field Survey of Emergency Management Officials

Madison Gordon, NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and T. M. Ryan, M. Krocak, J. Ripberger, and A. C. Wanless

2:00 PM

J3A.2

Exploiting Ensembles NWP Forecasts at the Met Office: From Science to Products and Services

Rosa Barciela, UKMO, Exeter, DEV, United kingdom; and D. N. Walters, PhD, MSc, MPhys, FRMetS, K. R. Mylne, S. Willington, H. A. Titley, K. Williams, C. Piccolo, P. Sachon, A. Skea, and M. Gray

2:15 PM

J3A.3

FLEE: A Natural-Human Model To Explore How Hurricane Forecast Errors Affect Evacuations

Austin Reed Harris, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Morss, C. A. Davis, P. J. Roebber, and J. Boehnert

2:30 PM

J3A.4

Communicating Hazard Risk as Possibility, not Probability

John Robert Lawson, Utah State University, Vernal, UT

Manuscript (1.5 MB)

2:45 PM

J3A.5

Analysis of Flood Risk Exposure and Insurance Adoption: Data-Driven Insights to Enhance Community Resilience