Program: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) (105th AMS Annual Meeting)

Virtual Poster Slam

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the Virtual Posters )

33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Virtual Posters

Hosts: (Joint between the The Waste Basket; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Virtual Poster Slam Session #4

Hosts: (Joint between the Virtual Posters; the 34th Conference on Education; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the Gerald A Meehl Symposium )

Cochairs: Anthony C. Didlake Jr.; Suzana J. Camargo, PhD, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University

V51

24STUDENT How Cold Weather Events Influence Policymaking at the State Level

Jaida Johnson, Spelman College, Atlanta, GA; and J. L. Coates

Manuscript (347.8 kB)

V52

24STUDENT Understanding the Physical Structure of Communities for Improved Disaster Impact Predictions

Jooho Kim, Texas A&M University, Houston, TX; and R. Kanumuri

Handout (905.6 kB)

V53

24STUDENT The IOD Impact on Asia and North Atlantic Oscillation: The Dependence on Phases and its Multi-Decadal Modulation

Nazimur Rashid Chowdhury, The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy; and F. Kucharski

V54

24STUDENT Vigorous Self-Breeding of African Small Wildfires via Fire-Lightning Interaction in a Warming Climate

ming yin, Tsinghua Univeristy, Beijing, China; and Y. Han, Y. Wang, G. J. Zhang, and L. Wei

V55

24STUDENT The Interactions between Earthquake and Climate

Renxu Wang, High School Affiliated to Renmin University of China, Beijing, China

V56

24STUDENT Spatial and temporal attributions of Brazilian Soybean production to weather and climate events

Greici Joana Parisoto, University of Sao Paulo, Piracicaba, SP, Brazil; University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and D. Avila, F. G. Pilau, and F. Munoz-Arriola

V57

24STUDENT 21st Century Climate Projections for China: High-Resolution Insights from a Newly Bias-Corrected CMIP6 Downscaled Dataset

Huihui YUAN, Tsinghua Univ., Beijing, Beijing, China

V58

24STUDENT Assessing Current Trends and Downscaling of Moist Heatwaves in Southern Vietnam and Cambodia to Uncover Formation Mechanisms and Dynamic

Ngoc Kim Hong Nguyen, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan; and D. Koji

Manuscript (9.5 MB)

V58A

24STUDENT A Comparative Analysis of Tropospheric NO₂: Evaluating TEMPO Satellite Data Against Airborne Measurements

Maya Niyogi, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and M. Landi, D. Sardana, A. Beyersdorf, A. G. Carlton, J. St. Clair, B. Henderson, and B. L. Lefer

V59

7TROPICAL Multi-Fluid Modeling of Energy and Momentum Exchange in Spray-Laden Hurricane Boundary Layer

Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. A. Suslov

Handout (3.3 MB)

V62

7TROPICAL TC-SINDy: Improving Physics-based Deterministic Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Model via Data-driven Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics

V60

7TROPICAL Global Trends in Duration and Volume of Rapid Intensification Events

Oscar Fernando Guzman Rey, Florida International Univ., Miami, FL; and H. Jiang and H. WILLOUGHBY

Handout (509.4 kB)

V61

7TROPICAL Use of an Agile Testing Framework to Analyze Alternative Physics in the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS)

Samuel G. Trahan, CIRES, Boulder, CO; DTC, Boulder, CO; NOAA/GSL, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, K. Newman, M. Zhang, M. J. Kavulich Jr., J. H. Gotway, B. Nelson, and J. Beck

V63

7TROPICAL An Introduction to the OMEGA-Tendency Equation: Its Application to Weather Analyses and Understanding of Hurricane Eye Dynamics

Kwan-yin Kong, Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD

V64

33WAF/29NWP Assessing the Impact of Scale-Aware Convective Parameterization Schemes on Tropical Cyclone Simulations in the South China Sea Using WRF, MPAS, and CPAS

Yue Zheng, ClusterTech LTD, Hong Kong, Hong kong; and F. Tam, W. P. Sze, and C. C. Cheung

Handout (948.6 kB)

V65

33WAF/29NWP UrbanTALES: Building Microscale Urban Flow Dataset to Inform Urban Canopy Parameterizations with Urban Flux Tower Observations

Jiachen Lu, UNSW, Sydney, Kingsfold, Australia; and N. Nazarian, A. Martilli, M. Lipson, M. A. Hart, and E. S. Krayenhoff

V66

33WAF/29NWP Evaluation of vertical resolution impacts on convection allowing regional forecast

Jili Dong, Lynker at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and E. A. Aligo, M. E. Pyle, F. Yang, J. R. Carley, K. C. Viner, M. Arencibia, and X. Zhang

Handout (2.7 MB)

V67

MEEHL External Forcing Modulates the Internal Variability of Tropospheric Temperature

Giuliana Pallotta, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and B. D. Santer

V68

34EDUCATION Bridging Education and Innovation: The Technological Transformation of Innovative Weather

S84

24STUDENT Air Pollution and Plant Health: Exploring the Link Between Ozone Levels and Vegetation in Bangladesh.

Ashikul Islam Rony, Bangladesh University of Professionals, Dhaka, 13, Bangladesh; and M. Kamal, F. A. Piya, and T. J. Mowsumi, Masters

Handout (2.0 MB)

S85

24STUDENT Tracking Methane Emissions Over South Asia: Insights from Satellite Data With a Focus on Bangladesh

Tahrim Jannat Mowsumi, Masters, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, 37, China; and M. Kamal, A. I. Rony, and F. A. Piya

Handout (5.7 MB)

The Analysis of Extreme Formaldehyde and Nitrogen Dioxide Columns in Oregon Caused by The Beachie Creek Fire

Illuminating Urban Heat Island Intensity: Relating Relative Humidity, Surface Qualities, and Green Cover in Intra-Urban Microclimates

Transition Towards a Renewable and Carbon-Free Future within Global Warming

Innovation with Longevity in Mind: Utilizing Urban Hotspots to Power Bi-facial Photovoltaics and Mitigate the Urban Heat Island Effect

33WAF/29NWP Dynamic Assessment of Delhi's Urban Heat Island Considering the Urban Sprawl Over the Past Three Decades

Twisters Screening - Hosted by the Student Conference

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

7:30 PM

Welcoming Remarks

Newcomers Welcome and Information Exchange

Location: 232 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

2:30 PM

Welcoming Remarks

Session

Presidential Forum: Physical, Social, Cultural, and Economic Impacts: The Gulf Coast as a Microcosm of Global Change

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Annual Meeting Welcome and Annual Review

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

1B

Extreme Precipitation I

Location: 210 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 39th Conference on Hydrology; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Chair: Kelly M. Mahoney

Cochairs: John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University; Sarah Marie Trojniak; Victor A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, CIMMS; Benjamin J. Moore, NOAA

8:30 AM

1B.1

The NOAA Precipitation Prediction Grand Challenge: Strategy and Ongoing Activities to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall

David R. Novak, NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD

8:45 AM

1B.2

How Is Extreme Precipitation Manifesting during the Warm Season? Reflections on 4 Years of the Hydrometeorological Testbeds' Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall Experiment

James Correia Jr., CIRES, Boulder, CO; and S. M. Trojniak

9:00 AM

1B.3

An Evaluation of the Weather Prediction Center’s Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts for Extreme Precipitation Events between 2012-2023

Diana Rose Stovern, ESRL, Boulder, CO; and K. M. Mahoney, D. R. Novak, J. A. Nelson Jr., and B. S. Albright

9:15 AM

1B.4

A Climatology of the Hight Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) Heavy Rainfall Probabilities

Sarah Marie Trojniak, CIRES-CIESRDS @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., D. R. Stovern, J. L. Bytheway, and K. M. Mahoney

9:30 AM

1B.5

Ensemble Model Forecast Performance of HREF and REFS for 2024 Extreme Precipitation Cases

Amanda Back, NOAA GSL, Boulder, CO; and T. I. Alcott, D. Dowell, E. P. James, T. T. Ladwig, and S. Murdzek

9:45 AM

1B.6

Predicting Excessive Rainfall with Large and Small Ensembles: Does Adding Members Add Value?

Trevor Alcott, OAR, BOULDER, CO; and D. Dowell, A. Back, E. P. James, S. Murdzek, J. L. Bytheway, and K. M. Mahoney

J1A

Embracing Probabilistic Decision Support Services: How Operational Meteorology and Hydrology Will Change in the Next 10 Years

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology )

Cochairs: Derek Dornsife; Christine Kruse, NWSFO

8:30 AM

J1A.1

NWS Probabilistic Impact-based Decision Support Services - Delivering Science-based Probabilistic Forecast Information

Kathryn K. Gilbert, NWS, College Park, MD; and R. Bandy, J. S. Waldstreicher, G. Cooper, S. B. Smith, M. E. Jeglum, S. Perfater, A. Foster, K. Scharfenberg, J. S. Lee, M. J. Glaudemans, J. Brooks, G. Mann, A. Boxell, B. Smith, D. E. Levin, M. J. Moreland, D. C. Strom, K. E. Landry-Guyton, J. J. Brost, S. R. Baxter, B. De Rosa, and D. Nagele, PhD

8:45 AM

J1A.2

Probabilistic IDSS Training in the National Weather Service

Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NWS, Boulder, CO; NWS OCLO/FDTD, Boulder, CO; and J. Keeney, J. K. Jordan, J. S. Waldstreicher, D. E. Levin, and M. J. Moreland

9:00 AM

J1A.3

How to Make Weather Information Beneficial for Society: A Multidisciplinary Story

Matthew E. Jeglum, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

9:15 AM

J1A.4

Revisiting Cost-Loss Decision Making with Deterministic and Ensemble Forecast Data.

Thomas M. Hamill, The Weather Company, Boulder, CO

9:30 AM

J1A.5

An Assessment of Ensemble Forecast Performance: Where We Are and Where We Should Go?

Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD

J1B

Mid-Latitude Cyclone and Heavy Rain Event Case Studies Using High-Res Models

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes )

Cochairs: Andrew C. Winters; Troy Zaremba

8:30 AM

J1B.1

Can Observation Targeting Be a Wild Goose Chase? An Adjoint-Sensitivity Study of a U.S. East Coast Cyclone Forecast Bust

Daniel James Lloveras, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle and D. R. Durran

8:45 AM

J1B.2

Assessing the Impact of Initial and Boundary Conditions on WRF Microphysics in Northeast U.S. Winter Cyclones with the Support of Extensive NASA Field Campaign Instrumentation

Brian Filipiak, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and M. Astitha and D. Cerrai

Handout (1.7 MB)

9:00 AM

J1B.3

Microphysical Processes within a Heavy Mixed Precipitation Band in the 16–17 January 2022 Winter Storm

Kaitlyn R. Jesmonth, Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt, R. M. Rauber, M. R. Peters, C. Pettersen, and L. A. McMurdie

9:15 AM

J1B.4

Response of Simulated Extreme Precipitation to Thermodynamic Changes in Pseudo-Global Warming

Yusuke Hiraga, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and R. Tahara

J1B.5

Evaluating Orographic Enhanced Precipitation Associated with Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers over California

J1B.6

Extreme Rainfall Rates and Flash Flooding in San Diego, California on 22 January 2024

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

2B

Extreme Precipitation II

Location: 210 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 39th Conference on Hydrology; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Chair: Kelly M. Mahoney

Cochairs: John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University; Sarah Marie Trojniak; Victor A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, CIMMS

10:45 AM

2B.1

Science Challenges for Constructing Future Projections of Heavy Rainfall Values in NOAA Atlas 15

Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC; and X. Sun and L. Sun

11:00 AM

2B.2

Scaling Up: Future Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves for Extreme Rainfall in North Carolina Using Downscaled Climate Projections

Alyssa L Griffin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; North Carolina State University, Londonderry, NH; and S. Larson, K. D. Dello, and J. H. Bowden

2B.3

Precipitation Extreme Response to Warming across Different Scales

2B.4

Non-Linear Extreme Precipitation Response to CO2 Forcing

11:45 AM

2B.5

Seasonal Variations in Extreme Precipitation Trends Across the Northeast U.S.

Jordan Thirlwall, SUNY Oswego, Oswego, NY; and B. T. Jong and T. L. Delworth

J2A

Embracing Probabilistic Decision Support Services: Cases From the Field

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology )

Cochairs: Christine Kruse, NWSFO; Derek Dornsife

10:45 AM

J2A.1

Spatial Clustering of Low Probability Events: Implications for Decision Support Services

Philip N. Schumacher, NWS Sioux Falls, Sioux Falls, SD; and C. Vaughn

11:00 AM

J2A.2

Utilizing Machine Learning and Probabilistic High Resolution Model Guidance to Improve Flash Flood Forecasts Across Southern Utah.

Michael Seaman, NWSFO, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Church and J. A. Cunningham

11:15 AM

Discussion

11:45 AM

Poster Preview

Katie Magee, Washington DC, DC; and K. Wood and E. C. Wolff IV

Evaluating Effectiveness and Applications of Probabilistic Messaging on Social Media: Cloud Cover Forecasts for the April 8th, 2024 Total Solar Eclipse

Specialized Probabilistic Mountain Weather Forecasts as an Embodiment of the Modernized Forecast Operations Concept (MFOC)

J2B

Numerical Weather Prediction Modeling of Severe Weather

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes )

CoChair: Keenan Eure, CIRA/CSU and NOAA/OAR/GSL

10:45 AM

J2B.1

The Numerical Prediction of Severe Convective Storms: Advances in Research and Applications, Remaining Challenges, and Outlook for the Future

Jidong Gao, National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK; and P. Heinselman, M. Xue, L. J. Wicker, N. Yussouf, D. J. Stensrud, and K. Droegemeier

11:00 AM

J2B.2

Climatology and Trends in the Relationship between United States Tornadoes and Extratropical Cyclones

Lauren Ann Kiefer, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and D. R. Chavas, M. Gore, C. M. Zarzycki, and D. T. Dawson II

11:15 AM

J2B.3

Numerical Investigation of Effects of Terrain on Tornadic Winds By Using Coupled CM1 and CFD Simulation

JIAMIN DANG, Missouri University of Science and Technology, ROLLA, MO; and J. B. Houser, PhD and G. Yan

11:30 AM

J2B.4

Investigating the Effects of Surface Roughness on Tornadoes using High-Resolution Numerical Modeling

Jana B. Houser, PhD, The Ohio State Univ., 154 North Oval Mall, OH; and J. DANG and G. Yan

11:45 AM

J2B.5

The Numerical Study of the Tornado-Like Vortex Event in Oahu Island on 8 June 2003

Chih-Ying Chen, Academia Sinica, Taiwan, Taipei, TPQ, Taiwan; Academia Sinica, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan; and F. Hsiao, Y. L. Chen, and C. Y. Lin

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

J3A

Numbers to People: Connecting Numerical Weather Predictions and Societal Applications

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )

Cochairs: Edward C. Wolff IV, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Chris White

1:45 PM

J3A.1

Testing Visual Synthesis of Probabilistic Forecast Information: Results from a Field Survey of Emergency Management Officials

Madison Gordon, NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and T. M. Ryan, M. Krocak, J. Ripberger, and A. C. Wanless

2:00 PM

J3A.2

Exploiting Ensembles NWP Forecasts at the Met Office: From Science to Products and Services

Rosa Barciela, UKMO, Exeter, DEV, United kingdom; and D. N. Walters, PhD, MSc, MPhys, FRMetS, K. R. Mylne, S. Willington, H. A. Titley, K. Williams, C. Piccolo, P. Sachon, A. Skea, and M. Gray

2:15 PM

J3A.3

FLEE: A Natural-Human Model To Explore How Hurricane Forecast Errors Affect Evacuations

Austin Reed Harris, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Morss, C. A. Davis, P. J. Roebber, and J. Boehnert

2:30 PM

J3A.4

Communicating Hazard Risk as Possibility, not Probability

John Robert Lawson, Utah State University, Vernal, UT

Manuscript (1.5 MB)

2:45 PM

J3A.5

Analysis of Flood Risk Exposure and Insurance Adoption: Data-Driven Insights to Enhance Community Resilience

Malaquias Peña, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and Y. Yin

J3B

Using Field-Campaign Observations to Understand Atmospheric Processes

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes )

Cochairs: Daniel James Lloveras; Sam Dahl, Univ. of Arizona

1:45 PM

J3B.1

Near-surface Atmospheric Variability in Pre- and Post-convective Environments as Observed by Small Uncrewed Aerial Systems

Christine A. Neumaier, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and L. D. Grant, S. C. van den Heever, J. Bukowski, S. W. Freeman, B. D. Ascher, T. W. Barbero, C. Davis, J. A. Escobedo, N. M. Falk, B. K. Heffernan, G. R. Leung, A. C. Mazurek, M. Nieto-Caballero, E. A. Sherman, D. S. Veloso-Aguila, P. J. DeMott, S. M. Kreidenweis, R. J. Perkins, and E. A. Stone

2:00 PM

J3B.2

Using In-situ Observations to Compare Environmental Characteristics between Different Tornado Events in the Southeast

Rachel L. Miller, CIWRO - Cooperative Institute of, Norman, OK; and M. D. Flournoy, L. E. Pounds, and M. C. Coniglio

2:15 PM

J3B.3

Analysis of Southeast US Tornadic and Non-tornadic Environments of Varying Storm Modes using Observed Soundings from the VORTEX-SE, Meso18-19, and PERiLS Field Campaigns

Lauren E. Pounds, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. D. Flournoy, R. L. Miller, M. C. Coniglio, and A. Wade

2:30 PM

J3B.4

Processes Governing Precipitation Variability in Winter Extratropical Cyclones: Results from the Recent IMPACTS Field Campaign

Lynn McMurdie, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Finlon, A. DeLaFrance, and V. Garcia

2:45 PM

J3B.5

Characterizing Variations of Cloud Microphysical Properties with Respect to Position in Snowbands and Small-Scale Vertical Motion: A Case Study of 23 January 2023 Storm during IMPACTS

Jonathan Connor Douglas, The University of Oklahoma/CIWRO, Norman, OK; and G. M. McFarquhar, D. J. Delene, K. L. Thornhill, G. M. Heymsfield, and C. N. Helms

Monday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E1

21OESS NOAA-21 Products Update and Enterprise Product Operations in NESDIS Common Cloud Framework

Shuang Qiu, NESDIS, College Park, MD; and J. D. Evans and Z. Cheng

E2

41EIPT Ensuring Operational Resilience during Critical Weather Days: NWS Strategies to Protect Mission Delivery on the Most Dangerous Days

Robert R. Handel, NWS, College Park, MD

E4

20Society Diurnal and Seasonal Patterns of Convective Weather Hazards across Tennessee and Their Likelihood of Causing Harm

Kelsey N Ellis, Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, Knoxville, TN; and C. Hannel, J. First, and D. A. Herrera

E5

33WAF/29NWP Lessons from a Dynamic and Statistical Analysis of Giant Hail Environments in NE Italy

Francesco De Martin, University of Bologna, Bologna, BO, Italy; and A. Manzato, N. Carlon, M. Setvák, and M. M. Miglietta

Manuscript (245.3 kB)

E6

39Hydro The Mechanism of Low-Level Jet Formation during the Rainy Season in the Yangtze River Basin in 2024

chunguang cui, Institute of Heavy Rain,CMA, Wuhan, China

E7

17Aerosol Winter Orographic Cloud Seeding in SNOWIE: Insights from Ensemble Simulation

Sisi Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Z. Xie, Y. Zhang, L. Xue, PhD, C. Hohman, S. A. Tessendorf, K. Friedrich, J. R. French, B. N. Geerts, T. J. Zaremba, J. K. Wolff, R. M. Rauber, C. Weeks, N. Dawson, and S. Parkinson

E8

16Energy On the Prediction of Future Energy Demands in New York State

Kaiden Patrick Sookdar, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and H. Gamarro, J. E. González-Cruz, T. L. Nguyen, R. Kadavil, and H. Hooshyar

E9

15R2O GREMLIN use at the National Weather Service office in Pago Pago, American Samoa

Scott S. Lindstrom, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and E. LUTU-McMOORE, T. Meredith, J. LaPlante, K. A. Hilburn, E. Jacobsen, L. Cronce, B. Rapp, L. Byerle, and J. K. Zajic

E10

39Hydro Linking Groundwater and Land Surface Processes with the Coupled NASA Land Information System and ParFlow Framework

Fadji Zaouna Maina, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Rosen, P. Abbaszadeh, C. Yang, S. V. Kumar, PhD, M. Rodell, and R. M. Maxwell

E11

25SMOI The Impact of Urban Heat Island on Precipitation Patterns in the Greater Washington D.C. Region

Neil Crosby, NCAS, College Park, MD; NCAS, Grovetown, GA; and K. L. Pryor and R. K. K. Sakai

E12

17Aerosol On the Prediction of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions within a Data-driven Framework

XIANGYU Li, PNNL, Richland, WA; and H. N. Wang, T. Chakraborty, A. Sorooshian, L. Ziemba, C. Voigt, and K. L. Thornhill

E13

7Tropical Attributing the Impacts of Future Ocean Warming Over the Gulf of Mexico on Landfalling Hurricanes Over the Texas Coast

SHANRU TIAN, University of Texas at Arlington, ARLINGTON, TX; Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; and Y. Zhang and L. Lu

E14

24AI Downscaling Model Guidance to Support the Gridded Forecast Process in Areas of Complex Terrain in OCONUS

Kirana Olympia Bergstrom, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Petrescu and J. Q. Stewart

E16

16Health Mapping the Health Impacts of Urban Heat on Local Populations in the Arid Negev Region of Israel

David Pearlmutter, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Midreshet Ben Gurion, Israel; and M. Eshkoli Pincu

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

1

Embracing Probabilistic Decision Support Services: How Operational Meteorology and Hydrology Will Change in the Next 10 Years (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology )

46

Weather Sensitive Inventory Management

47

Exploring the Effects of Multiple Refinement Regions on Computational Efficiency and Forecast Accuracy in MPAS-Atmosphere

Hyun-Gyu Kang, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and W. Zhang and D. J. Hladky

48

WeatherMesh: Adapting Transformers for Weather Prediction

Anuj Shetty, WindBorne Systems, Stanford, CA; and J. Dean, J. Creus-Costa, H. Du, and C. Riedel

1

Forecast Verification Methods and Performance (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

49

Severe Weather Signals in Convective- Allowing Forecasts: Comparing MPAS and FV3 for the 2023 and 2023 Convective Seasons.

La Ditra Kelina Mason, NCAR, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych

50

Examining Boundary Layer Evolution during the Morning Transition using Observations and a Single-Column Model

Julia M. Simonson, CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Angevine, D. D. Turner, T. J. Wagner, T. Heus, T. E. Rosenberger, G. N. Raghunathan, and S. He

Handout (1.8 MB)

51

Utilizing Object-Based Identification to Verify UFS Snowfall Forecasts using Snow-to-Liquid Ratio Methods

Jilliann A. Dufort, CIWRO/NSSL, Norman, OK; Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO) at NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. A. Rosenow and H. D. Reeves

52

The Houston Derecho: A HRRR Versus MPAS Case Study as Part of The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Annual Spring Forecast Experiment

Marinna Stopa, UCAR, Boulder, CO; University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and J. Beck, M. A. Harrold, and W. Mayfield

53

Comparative Performance of WRF and MPAS in Simulating Extreme Rainfall During Hurricane Ida in the New York Metropolitan Area

Jorge Bravo, PhD student, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and M. Temimi and M. Abdelkader

Independent Evaluation of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service Tornado Forecasting and Warning Performance

54

An MPAS Case Study on How Horizontal Resolution Affects Convection in a Warm-Conveyor Belt and Its Upscale Impact on Jet Stream Predictability

Alexander Lojko, NCAR, Boulder, CO

1

Meso- to Subseasonal-Scale Meteorological Phenomena (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

55

Assessing the Errors in WRF Forecasts of Environmental Characteristics on WRF-Forecasted MCS Dissipation Time Errors

Sam Ritter, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr.

56

A Survey of Thunderstorm and Tornado Occurrence in High-End Environments

Thomas J. Galarneau, NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner

57

Sensitivity of the February 2021 U.S. Cold-Air Outbreak to Tropopause Polar Vortex Intensity

Tomer Burg, CIRES @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and S. M. Cavallo

58

Diagnosing tornadic environments in the western coasts of North and South America

Julio C. Marin, Universidad de Valparaiso, Chile, Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile; Universidad de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile; and F. Gutiérrez, V. A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, B. Barrett, M. Jacques-Coper, and D. Pozo

59

Cyclone Pathways and Intensification of Extreme Atmospheric Rivers in the Northeast U.S.

Hannah Beauprey Kostka, NSF, Oxford, CT; and N. D. Metz and J. Cordeira

Handout (5.4 MB)

60

Bow Echo Formation Mechanisms: An Analysis of 293 Events

Eliot Morrow, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus

Handout (1011.4 kB)

1

Prediction of Mesoscale Processes and Extremes (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes )

61

Ensemble-Approximated Model Predictive Control for Meteorological Applications

Kenta Kurosawa, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD

62

Environmental Analysis of the Farthest Northwest Severe Thunderstorm Warning Ever Issued

Robert Joseph Bianco, NWS, Fairbanks , AK; and J. Chriest

Manuscript (401.6 kB)

Handout (1.1 MB)

63

Operational WRF Ensemble Updates at the US Air Force’s 16th Weather Squadron

Burkely Twiest Gallo, U.S. Air Force, 557th Weather Wing, Offutt AFB, NE; and E. L. Kuchera, S. Rentschler, G. Creighton, A. J. Elliott, S. Childs, G. R. Brooks, J. Keane, and M. Vaughan

64

Development of Web-Based Forecast and Verification Tools at the WPC

Austin T. King, NOAA/NWS/WPC, College Park, MD; CIRES, Boulder, CO

Monday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E17

38CVC Validating Hydroclimate Signals Around Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

Jonathan Lee, Cornell University, Forest Hills, NY; and P. Hitchcock, Y. Dai, and F. Lehner

E18

34Education Extending the Science: Examples of Education and Community Engagement during NSF NCAR-Support Field Campaigns

Daniel Zietlow, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Wolff, E. B. McUmber, P. S. Tsai, J. A. Aquino, R. Haacker, and L. Medina Luna

E19

34Education Increasing Student Understanding of Severe Storms in an Era of Climate Change: Online Interactives to Explore Observed and Projected Changes in Convective-Storm Related Hazards

Amy J. Stevermer, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. LaConte, J. T. Allen, R. Payo, and M. S. Rummel

E20

41EIPT NOAA Satellite Oceanographic Products Scientific Stewardship and Development at NEDSIS National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI): Data Archival, Public Access and Production based on Machine Learning

Yongsheng Zhang, NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) and ESSIC/CISESS at University of Maryland College Park, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Frech and H. M. Zhang

E21

41EIPT Cloud-Based Time Series Analysis of Extremes: Use Cases and Applications

Suhung Shen, NASA GSFC GESDISC, Greenbelt, MD; and Z. Liu, A. Heath, L. Iredell, M. Hegde, and C. Smit

E22

41EPIT Comprehensive Access to Global Geostationary Satellite Data and Imagery: Leveraging SLIDER and SLIDER Archive

Zayd Paul Amundson, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and K. Micke and C. Seaman

E23

41EIPT The Field Campaign Explorer (FCX): A Cloud-Based, Three-Dimensional Visualization System for Multiple, Coincident Datasets

Navaneeth Selvaraj, Global Hydrometeorology Resource Center DAAC, Huntsville, AL; and G. T. Stano, I. Sivasamy, W. Ellett, and S. Graves

E24

41EIPT Progress Towards Operational Implementation of Convective Warnings using Hazard Services at the National Weather Service

Emily Elizabeth-Janssen Schlie, CIRA, Alexandria, VA; and C. V. Dreisbach, C. Golden, Y. Guo, D. M. Kingfield, J. Ramer, and S. zhuo

E25

15R2O Impact of Aerosol Forcing on UFS-Based Seasonal-Length Predictions

Benjamin W. Green, CIRES, Boulder, CO; NOAA/OAR/Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. Sun and W. Wang

E26

15R2O Enhancing Dataset Discovery and Usage Tracking in Earth Sciences: Integrating Knowledge Graphs and Large Language Models

Irina Gerasimov, NASA, Ellicott City, MD; NASA, Greenbelt, MD; ADNET, Bethesda, MD; and A. Mehrabian, J. Alfred, B. KC, A. Savtchenko, PhD, NASA/GSFC/ADNET, K. Gilbert, and J. Wei

E27

15R2O Improvements of Severe Weather Prediction - A Proxy of Next Generation Satellite Sounding Observations

William L. Smith Sr., CIMSS, Madison, WI; and A. DiNorscia, W. L. Smith Jr., S. S. Lindstrom, and A. Heidinger

Handout (3.3 MB)

E28

20Society Audience Perceptions of an Interactive Version of the SPC Convective Outlook

Zoey Rosen, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. R. Ernst, B. J. Fellman, M. Krocak, J. Ripberger, and C. Karstens

E29

33WAF/29NWP A Collaborative Approach to Improving the National Blend of Models Sustained Wind Speed and Gust Forecasts for the Coastal Waters of the Florida Keys

Session 4A

Forecasting and Nowcasting Severe Convective Storms

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Kim Wood, Mississippi State University; Matthew R. Beitscher, MS, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center

4:30 PM

4A.1

Evaluating Radar-Based Rotational Thresholds for Tornadoes in Small-scale Convective Cells

Matthew R. Kramar, NWS, Moon Township, PA; and B. LaSorsa, C. Belak, M. Brudy, T. Cermak, S. Hefferan, D. Hofmann, C. Ledbetter, C. Milcarek, K. Pallozzi, D. Shallenberger, and A. Snyder

4:45 PM

4A.2

Reflecting on a Decade of Formalized Tornado Emergencies

Edward C. Wolff IV, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and J. Goodnight, L. Blind-Doskocil, and J. E. Trujillo-Falcón

5:00 PM

4A.3

Remote Mesoanalysis Support - Revolutionizing Severe Weather Operations through Mutual Aid

Randy A Graham, NWS, NWS, Kansas City, MO; and J. M. Pittman

5:15 PM

4A.4

Revisiting Environment-Based Hail Size Classification: A Direct Comparison of Composite Indices and Environmental Parameters from SPC Mesoanalysis

Jacob Widanski, SPC, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; CIWRO/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. Karstens, I. L. Jirak, N. A. Dahl, A. R. Dean, and J. Vancil

5:30 PM

4A.5

New York and New England Significant Hail Climatology and Environmental Analysis

Michael Everett Main, NWS, Albany, NY; NOAA, Albany, NY; and T. A. Wasula

5:45 PM

4A.6

Examination of Convection-Allowing Model Forecasts of Convective Initiation in Cases with Missed and False Alarm Mesoscale Convective Systems

Nathan A. Sonntag, Iowa State Univ., AMES, IA; and S. Ritter and W. A. Gallus

J4B

Using Field-Campaign Observations to Evaluate and Improve Numerical Weather Prediction Models

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes )

Cochairs: Daniel James Lloveras; Sam Dahl, Univ. of Arizona

4:30 PM

J4B.1

A Comparison of Observed and Simulated Precipitation Objects During the IMPACTS Campaign

Phillip Yeh, SUNY Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, J. Finlon, L. McMurdie, A. DeLaFrance, and V. Garcia

4:45 PM

J4B.2

Synoptic-Scale Predictability of a Near-Freezing Precipitation Event during the WINTRE-MIX Field Campaign

Clairisse Alison Reiher, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and A. C. Winters

5:00 PM

J4B.3

Impact of Assimilating WindBorne Observations Following Different Parts of a TPV on the Predictability of an Arctic Cyclone during THINICE

ZHIHONG CHEN, The Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. T. Johnson and X. Wang

5:15 PM

J4B.4

An Idealized Study of QLCS-Supercell Mergers in High-Shear, Low-CAPE Environments

Joshua S. Ostaszewski, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss

5:30 PM

J4B.5

Verification of the WRF-ARW Eclipse Model Using Observations from the 14 October 2023 and 8 April 2024 Solar Eclipses

Genevieve I. Picciano, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and E. P. Kelsey

5:45 PM

J4B.6

Evaluating the Impact of Dropsonde Data from the 2023-2024 Atmospheric River Reconnaissance on NCEP Operational GFS Forecasts

Vijay S. Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD; and X. Wu, K. Wu, F. M. Ralph, and A. M. Wilson

Exhibit Hall Opening Reception

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

11th Annual Speed Networking Event [11SPNE]

Location: Rivergate (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Twisters Screening - In partnership with the WRN Symposium

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

8:00 PM

Welcoming Remarks

Session 5A

Probabilistic Forecasting for Precipitation

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Diana Rose Stovern, CIRES; Michael Seaman

8:30 AM

5A.1

Machine Learning Based Improvement of Precipitation Type Forecasts

Prabal Das, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; and Y. Zhang, N. Acharya, B. Veenhuis, P. E. Shafer, and T. M. Hamill

8:45 AM

5A.2

"Surrogate Flash Flooding": Probabilistic Excessive Rainfall Predictions from the High Resolution Ensemble Forecast Href System

Eric P. James, GSD, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

9:00 AM

5A.3

Probabilistic Tracking of Heavy Precipitation Objects on Sub-Hourly Timescales

NOAH S BRAUER, CIRES, NOAA/NWS WPC, Boulder, CO; and M. R. Green, A. T. King, M. J. Erickson, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

9:15 AM

5A.4

An Experimental Deep Learning-based Postprocessing Scheme for Producing Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts

Yu Zhang, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; and X. Hu, M. Zhang, B. Veenhuis, P. E. Shafer, T. M. Hamill, and N. Acharya

9:30 AM

5A.5

Forecast Skill and Spread of Three Convection-Allowing Ensembles during the 2024 Spring Forecast Experiment

David Dowell, NOAA/GSL, Boulder, CO; and T. I. Alcott, J. Hamilton, T. T. Ladwig, and J. Dong

9:45 AM

5A.6

The Weather Prediction Center’s new Atmospheric River Experiment: Results and Future Plans

Tomer Burg, CIRES @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., J. A. Nelson Jr., and B. S. Albright

Session 5B

Physics and Dynamics Development I

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Kathryn M. Newman, Developmental Testbed Center (DTC); Katie Magee

8:30 AM

5B.1

Updates on Wave Coupling for the next Global Forecast System GFSv17

Jessica Meixner, NOAA, College Park, MD; and M. Masarik, S. Banihashemi, A. Salimi-Tarazouj, R. Martins Campos, and A. Mehra

8:45 AM

5B.2

Enhancing Land Surface Modeling: Upgrades for NOAA Unified Forecast System Global Forecast Applications

Helin Wei, NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. J. Barlage, W. Zheng, Z. Guo, Y. Xia, and F. Yang

Impact of River Discharge on Arctic Atmosphere: Coupling a River Routing Model

9:00 AM

5B.3

Improving Urban Parameterizations in Numerical Weather Models and Their Impacts on Meteorological and Air Quality Forecasts

Leo Matak, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and M. Momen

9:15 AM

5B.4

Improving Stochastic Representations of Parameterized Physical Processes in Weather and Climate Models

Gilbert P. Compo, Univ. of Colorado CIRES, Boulder, CO; NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

9:30 AM

5B.5

A Study of Nonhydrostatic Equation Sets for Low- and High-Altitude Atmospheric Modeling

Kiran Jadhav, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and J. F. Kelly, F. Giraldo, and S. D. Eckermann

J5

Integration of Observational Data in Forecasting and Numerical Weather Prediction Simulations

Location: 348 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Chair: Michelle Rose Storm

CoChair: Temple R. Lee, NOAA ATDD and CIMMS

8:30 AM

J5.1

First Evaluation of HRRR Forecasts of Boundary Layer Thermodynamics across Contrasting

Sandip Pal, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and T. R. Lee

8:45 AM

J5.2

Assimilating 3D Cloud Radar Reflectivity Retrieved Based on MODIS for Typhoon Forecast

Yubao Liu, NUIST, School of Atmospheric Physics, N, Jiangsu, China; NUIST, School of Outstanding Weather Engneers, Nanjing, CO; and H. Zhang, Z. Huo, and Y. Qin

9:00 AM

J5.3

Systematic Evaluation of Assimilating Ground-Based Remote-Sensing Profiling Observations of the New York State Mesonet for Forecasting of Severe Weather Events in New York State

Junkyung Kay, NCAR, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Weckwerth, J. O. Pinto, Phd, J. Wang, and M. B. Wilson

9:15 AM

J5.4

Analyzing the Impact of Assimilating UAS Measurements from Recent Field Experiments in NSSL's Warn-on-Forecast System

Jordan Lee Tweedie, MS in Meteorology, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), Norman, OK; and N. Yussouf, T. M. Bell, and Y. Wang

9:30 AM

J5.5

Evaluating the Impact of Vertical Profiling Mesonet Design on Rapidly Updating Convective Allowing Ensemble Forecasting

Joshua G. Gebauer, CIWRO, Norman, OK; NSSL, NORMAN, OK; and M. B. Ammon, J. A. Gibbs, and L. J. Wicker

9:45 AM

J5.6

Using OSSEs to Assess the Impact of Assimilating Observations from a Boundary Layer Profiling Network on the Modeling of Severe Convective Environments

Matthew Bradley Ammon, NSSL, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), Norman, OK; OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Gebauer

J5

Weather Analysis and Forecasting in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Location: 354 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Cochairs: Rick DiMaio, MS, Chatham High School; Kaitlyn R. Jesmonth, SUNY Oswego

8:30 AM

J5.1

A Comprehensive Dataset to Study and Predict Weather Impacts on Aviation

Gurvir Kaur Bawa, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and C. G. Herbster and R. S. Stansbury

8:45 AM

J5.2

Using Machine Learned Road Weather Observations to Verify A Gridded Snow Rate Product

Andrew A. Rosenow, PhD, CIWRO - Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Univ. of Okla., and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. Sutter, H. D. Reeves, K. J. Sulia, N. P. Bassill, and C. D. Thorncroft

9:00 AM

J5.3

Meteorological Observations From Aircraft and Satellites for Contrail Cirrus Evolution Observed in Flight Testing

Tim Rahmes, The Boeing Company, Seattle, WA; and J. P. Hoffman, A. J. Wimmers, G. Diskin, C. Gatebe, R. Miller, J. P. DiGangi, Y. Choi, S. Griffin, C. Tully, S. Baughcum, R. H. Moore, A. G. Guthrie, W. G. Griffin, and W. Feltz

9:15 AM

J5.4

An Investigation of Convective SIGMETs during the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Sabrina N. Servey, NWS, Kansas City, MO; NOAA, Washington, DC, DC; Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and L. M. Kanofsky, C. Negrete, and S. Campbell

9:30 AM

J5.5

Modeling Updates and Stakeholder Engagement at the US Air Force’s 16th Weather Squadron

Gordon R Brooks, United States Air Force, Offutt AFB, NE; and B. T. Gallo, E. L. Kuchera, J. Martinelli, and J. Smith

9:45 AM

J5.6

Comparison of High- Altitude WRF Simulations with AIRS Satellite Data

William Y. Cheng, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Shaw, J. C. Knievel, and R. S. Sheu

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 7A

Probabilistic Forecasting for Severe Weather

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Victor A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, CIMMS; Alexander Kyle Mitchell, SUNY

1:45 PM

7A.1

An AI-Machine Learning Probabilities (AI-MLP) Forecast System for Hazardous Weather Prediction

Aaron J. Hill, Univ. of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology, Norman, OK; NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES), Norman, OK; and E. White and J. T. Radford

2:00 PM

7A.2

Machine Learning-Based Convective Hazard Guidance Using Convection-Allowing Ensembles at Medium-Range Lead-Times

Ryan A. Sobash, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Schwartz, D. A. Ahijevych, L. M. Harris, K. Y. Cheng, M. Morin, and L. Zhou

2:15 PM

7A.3

Extended Range Machine-Learning Severe Weather Guidance Based on the Operational GEFS

Adam J. Clark, NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. A. Hoogewind, A. J. Hill, and E. Loken

2:30 PM

7A.4

Updating the Watch-to-Warning Paradigm: Research, Development, and Testing the Future of Communication of Hazardous Weather in the United States

Kristin M. Calhoun, OU/CIWRO & NOAA/OAR/NSSL, NORMAN, OK; and E. D. Loken, T. Sandmael, P. A. Campbell, R. B. Steeves, C. N. Satrio, M. K. Silcott, R. Martz, D. Hogg, T. J. Galarneau, P. S. Skinner, J. W. Monroe, J. G. Madden, K. L. Berry, and A. W. Lyza

2:45 PM

Poster Preview

Katie Magee, Washington DC, DC; and K. Wood and E. C. Wolff IV

Session 7B

Mesoscale Predictability and Cyclone Characteristics

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Andrew C. Winters; Kaitlyn R. Jesmonth, SUNY Oswego

1:45 PM

7B.1

Multiple Tropical Cyclone-Baroclinic Trough Interactions over the North Atlantic Ocean during September 2023

Lance F. Bosart, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and A. K. Mitchell and T. C. Leicht

2:00 PM

7B.2

When a Hurricane Falls Apart: Identifying Factors That Lead to Rapid Weakening

Kim Wood, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. Toms and A. S. Ortiz

2:15 PM

7B.3

Is the Tropical Cyclone Weakening or Transitioning? An Assessment of North Atlantic Extratropical Transition

Ander Sarai Ortiz, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Wood

2:30 PM

7B.4

Objective Identification of Occluded Quadrants in Midlatitude Cyclones: Precipitation Processes in Occluded vs. Non-Occluded Cyclones

Poushali Ghosh, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin

2:45 PM

7B.5

Investigating the Impact of Fine-Scale Gulf Stream SST Gradients on the Development of Bomb Cyclones in the Community Earth System Model 2

Jacob D. Hair, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Parfitt, R. C. Jnglin Wills, and J. Müller

Tuesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

7Tropical Evaluating Satellite Tropical Cyclone Intensity Products During Rapid Intensification Events

13LIDAR Development of the Best Estimate Planetary Boundary Layer Height with ARM Ground-based Remote Sensing Measurements

E30

FireWx Forecasting Wildfire Emissions within NOAA's Rapid-Refresh Forecasting System Using a Modulated Persistence Approach

Johana Romero-Alvarez, CIRES/NOAA-GSL, Boulder, CO; and H. Li, J. Schnell, E. P. James, S. Bhimireddy, S. Kondragunta, X. Zhang, F. Li, C. Fite, R. Ahmadov, and C. Hartsough

E31

25SMOI Web Platforms for Visualizing Monthly and Daily Land Surface Anomalies

Kenny Yunhui Wu, University of Maryland, Sunnyvale, CA; and P. Yu and J. Peng

E32

7TROPICAL Typhoon Intensification and Nuclear Power Plant Vulnerability in Korea Under Climate Change

Ger Anne Marie Duran, Jeju National University, Jeju City, Jeju, South korea; and I. J. Moon and B. Joseph

E33

24AI Ensemble Uncertainty Visualization Development for Effective Communication of Cold-Stunning Event Threats

Jarett Thomas Woodall, Texas A&M University - Corpus Christi, Tiffin, OH; Texas A&M Univ.-Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX; and M. C. White, P. E. Tissot, and C. Duff

E34

24AI Score based diffusion nowcasting of GOES imagery

Randy J. Chase, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and K. Haynes, J. M. Haynes, and I. Ebert-Uphoff

E35

13JCSDA Application of JEDI to produce a thirty-one year ¼-degree global daily sea level record

James A. Carton, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Chen, T. Sluka, E. Leuliette, and D. A. Byrne

E36

41EIPT Data Quality Anomalies and Phenomena on the WSR-88D

Amy Daniel, National Weather Service, Norman, OK; and C. Payne

E37

2CLOUDPHYS Design of a Convection-Cloud Chamber for Exploring Condensational and Collisional Growth Processes Relevant to Precipitation Formation

Raymond A. Shaw, Michigan Technological Univ., Houghton, MI; and J. C. Anderson, Z. Bakri, J. Bench, G. Bewley, V. Blankenship, W. Cantrell, K. K. Chandrakar, PhD, H. Fahandezh sadi, R. Flagan, J. D. Fuentes, G. Gogos, R. Healey, K. Iyer, G. Kaufman, K. Kim, P. Kollias, S. K. Krueger, K. Lamer, E. Luke, C. Mazzoleni, A. McComiskey, C. Megaridis, A. Mukhopadhyay, D. Niedermeier, M. Oue, M. Ovchinnikov, A. Pal, I. Papailias, M. Rajagopal, Y. Ren, A. Salari, S. Schmalfuss, A. Sedlacek, J. E. Shilling, M. Shrivastava, S. P. Singh, F. Stratmann, Y. M. Sua, L. Thomas, S. V. Sulaiman, A. Wang, F. Yang, J. Yeom, M. A. Zawadowicz, J. Zhang, Z. Zhu, and C. Zuhlke

E38

34EDUCATION Data Lens: A new data literacy campaign using Visual Thinking Strategies and NOAA's SOS Explorer

HILARY PEDDICORD, CIRES/CU Boulder, Boulder, CO; and C. McDougall and K. Semmens

E39

7TROPICAL Reanalysis of the 1970s Atlantic Hurricane Database - Re-discovering "Missing" Tropical Storms and Hurricanes

Christopher W. Landsea, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and S. Delgado, D. Jariwala, and A. Blonsky

E40

27ATCHEM Retrievals of Stratospheric Aerosol Size Distributions from SAGEIII/ISS Multiwavelength Optical Measurements Following Pyrocumulonimbus Events

Vishal Bagadia, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and C. H. Lu

E41

12LIGHTING Physical Modeling of Cloud Charging in Deep and Shallow Convections: Sensitivity to Ice and Snow Growing Habits

Yichen Cai, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and K. J. Sulia

E42

7TROPICAL Using Tropical Storm Value Chains to Better Meet End-User Needs

Melissa Johnson, The Aerospace Corporation, Edgewater, MD; and K. A. Hawley

E43

16ENERGY An Adaptive System for Detecting Rotor Layer Turbulence Using Edge Computing

Robert C. Jackson, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL; and P. Muradyan, B. Raut, S. Park, J. R. O'Brien, M. A. Grover, R. Newsom, R. Krishnamurthy, and R. Kotamarthi

E44

21OESS JPSS Fire Monitoring Applications of the Park Fire in California

Jorel Torres, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO

E45

16Health The Health and Socioecological Dynamics of Mercury Exposure from Small-Scale Gold Mining in the Amazon Rainforest: Insights from Madre De Dios, Peru

Lena Easton-Calabria, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

2

Extreme Precipitation (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 39th Conference on Hydrology; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

313

Characterizing the Extremely Wet 2022/2023 Winter in the Southwestern United States

Wei Zhang, Utah State University, Logan, UT

314

Meteorological Causes and Atmospheric Conditions Associated with Extreme Precipitation Events in Southeast Michigan

Deffi Munadiyat Putri, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL; and F. Dominguez and B. Jewett

Handout (16.7 MB)

Current status and future plans for stochastic representations of model uncertainties in the Korean Integrated Model

315

Evaluation of a High-Resolution Replay Dataset for Applications to Extreme Precipitation

Brett M. Basarab, CIRES, Boulder, CO; NOAA, BOULDER, CO; and K. M. Mahoney, S. Frolov, V. Kholodovsky, and J. L. Bytheway

316

Novel Updates to Tropical Storm Remnant Precipitation Frequency Estimates for Enhanced Dam Safety Decision-Making in the Tennessee Valley

Kyle Chudler, RTI International, Fort Collins, CO; and V. Sankovich Bahls, D. Martin, and M. Schaefer

317

Extreme Precipitation Events Observed by the U.S. Climate Reference Network and the NOAA Hourly Precipitation Dataset

Emma L. Scott, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, NC; and R. D. Leeper and M. A. Palecki

Handout (2.0 MB)

318

Assessing the Characteristics of Extreme Rainfall Events in Climate Models

Emma Benedict, University of Georgia, Bainbridge, GA; Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and G. J. Kooperman

2

Inclusive and Innovative Teaching Methods for Weather Analysis, Forecasting, and Numerical Weather Prediction (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

357

Building An Open, Flexible, Online Radar Meteorology Course

Robin Tanamachi, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and A. Smith, A. Hirsch, E. W. Palmer, G. Takahashi, and J. White

Handout (1.4 MB)

358

Facilitating the Development of Hazard Services Recommenders

Edward Raven Vasquez, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; NWS, Norman, OK; and S. Boyd, L. E. J. Elizalde-Garcia, M. Lowe, and M. A. Magsig

Handout (1.4 MB)

2

New Ensemble Generation or Probabilistic Forecasting Techniques (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

359

Using Ensembles to Account for Uncertainty in Atmospheric Forcing in the Mississippi Bight

Cloe Mueller, Peraton Inc., John C. Stennis Space Center, MS; and C. Barron, J. Book, C. Olson, and B. Landry

360

The Creation of a Statistical Model to Probabilistically Predict the Occurrence of Pulse Severe Thunderstorms

Thomas Lorentz Gard, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg

2

Other Topics in WAF/NWP (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

361

Application of a High-Resolution Terrain Dataset to the MPAS Mesh: An Interpolation Study

Kent H. Sparrow, US Army Corps of Engineers, New Orleans, LA; and S. LeGrand and T. Letcher

362

The third-year overview of Japan’s Moonshot Goal 8 R&D program for controlling and modifying the weather by 2050

Takemasa Miyoshi, RIKEN Center for Computational Science, Kobe, Japan; and T. Nakazawa, T. Sakajo, and K. Takatama

363

Evaluation of Global Reanalysis Strengths and Weakness using Surface Observations

Warren Lewis, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter and M. A. Miller

364

Impact of Radio Occultation Data on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts at Different Development Stages over the Western North Pacific

Hsu-Feng Teng, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

365

Spatial and Temporal Distributions of North American and U.S. Surface Fronts Using NOAA/NCEP WPC Surface Analyses

Eric G. Hoffman, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH; and S. M. Bartlett, N. D. Metz, and J. Cordeira

366

Evaluating the Three-Ingredients Method for Nowcasting QLCS Tornadoes

Alec Soileau, University of Louisiana Monroe, Monroe, LA; and E. E. Allen and T. A. Murphy

367

Evaluation of ERA5 and ERA5L Reanalysis Data in Alagoas, Brazil

Henrique MJ Barbosa, Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and H. B. Gomes and K. Silva

368

Network Control Facility - Severe Weather Support

Robert Lehmann, RTX, Frederick, MD

2

Results from Recent Field Campaigns (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes )

369

The Maritime to Inland Transitions Towards ENvironments for Convection Initiation (MITTEN-CI) Campaign

Jason M. Keeler, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI; Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and D. A. R. Kristovich, J. Wang, C. C. Weiss, G. de Boer, B. M. Argrow, A. L. Houston, K. T. Brooks, C. J. Isenberger, E. C. Jilek, and J. Miller

370

In-situ Measurement of Particles, Aerosols, Clouds and Turbulence (IMPACT) at FMI PAL-SOD

Eberhard Bodenschatz, Max Planck Institute for Dynamics and Self-Organization, Göttingen, Germany; Max Planck Institute for Dynamics and Self-Organization, Göttingen, NI, Germany; Cornell University, Ithaca; University of Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany; Max, Goettingen, Lowe Saxony, Germany; and D. Brus and G. Bagheri

371

Examining the Relationships Between Dynamics, Microphysics, and Rainfall Intensity in a Mei-Yu Front During PRECIP 2022

Sam Irvine, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. C. DeHart, T. W. Barbero, A. Nieves-Jiménez, and M. M. Bell

Handout (7.6 MB)

372

Evaluation of the 3DRTMA Through Independent Radar and Lidar Wind Profiles from the PERiLS Field Campaign (2022-23)

Ruifang Li, CIRES, Boulder, CO; CIRES at NOAA/ESRL/GSL, Boulder, CO; and T. T. Ladwig, D. Dowell, H. Wang, and G. Ge

Handout (5.3 MB)

373

Where Will You Go with GMAO? Customized Suborbital Campaign Support from NASA

Christine E. Bloecker, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, MD; and G. Partyka

374

Evaluation of Precipitation Phase Algorithms in Southern New England

Connor Mahone, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and A. Tokay

375

An Analysis of High Frequency Radar Measurements of Spatiotemporally Varying Low-Level Vertical Wind Shear Near Supercells from the TORUS Campaign

Julia Buhrman, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX

376

Forecast Impact of Additional Radiosonde Ascents During the Year of Polar Prediction-Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH) Winter Campaign

David H. Bromwich, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Powers, M. F. Litell, K. Manning, and S. H. Wang

Handout (2.0 MB)

Tuesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E46

Radar Cell Mergers, Boundary Interactions, and Convective Systems in Cases of Significant Tornadoes and Hail

Cameron J. Nixon, CIWRO / SPC, Norman, OK; and J. T. Allen, M. Wilson, M. Bunkers, and M. Taszarek

E47

FireWx Wildfire Aerosol Concentrations and Their Impact on Severe Weather in North America: Historical Analysis and AI Predictions

Mayra Ivelisse Oyola-Merced, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and K. Wilson, S. Kluge, M. McKellar, P. A. Bartels, and D. S. Sproles

E48

Health Cumulative Effects of Climate Disasters on Mental Health and Wellbeing and Opportunities for Adaptation in the U.S. Gulf Coast Vietnamese American Community

Hang Ngo, New York University, New York, NY; and A. Merdjanoff and D. Abramson

E49

24AI Utilizing XGBoost for Post-Processing Wind Gust Predictions from the WRF Model

E50

24AI NVIDIA's Earth-2: An Interactive Exploration of AI's Present and Future in NWP

David Matthew Hall, NVIDIA, Lafayette, CO

E51

24AI Hindcasting with Google DeepMind's GraphCast: A 45-Year Retrospective Analysis from 1979 to 2024

Naveen Sudharsan, PhD, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and M. Singh, H. Kamath, A. Chavoshi, H. Dashtian, C. Dawson, Z. L. Yang, and D. Niyogi

E52

23Coastal Advancements in NOAA’s STOFS-3D-Atlantic: Enhancing Compound Flood Hazard Prediction for the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts

Fei Ye, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA; VIMS, Williamsburg, VA; and Y. J. Zhang, H. C. Yu, H. Yoo, L. Cui, Z. Yang, G. Seroka, S. Moghimi, and E. Myers

E54

12Lightning Evaluation of GLM in Southeast Texas via Ground-Sensor and High-Speed Raspberry Pi-Based Camera Network

Adam D Clark, Texas A&M University - College Station, Duncanville, TX; and D. Zhang

E55

12Lightning Creating a Combined Lightning Product for Operational Use in the Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor System

Sarah M. Stough, The University of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK; and V. C. Chmielewski, K. M. Calhoun, and K. Thiel

E56

MeehlSymp Quasi-Stationary Planetary Scale Waves in Modern Climate Models

Curt Covey, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore , CA; and R. S. Lindzen, J. T. Fasullo, and K. Taylor

E58

34Education Data Fusion Techniques Applied to Training on NWS Operational Short-fuse Warnings

Daniel E. Bikos, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and J. G. LaDue, K. Christian, and J. Blair

Session 8B

Physics and Dynamics Development II

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Louisa Bogar Nance; Man Zhang, CIRES

4:30 PM

8B.1

Implementation of a Total Turbulent Energy (TTE)-based Eddy-Diffusivity Mass-Flux (EDMF) Vertical Turbulent Mixing Scheme in the NCEP GFS

Jongil Han, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and W. Li, J. Peng, and F. Yang

4:45 PM

8B.2

Improving Numerical Weather Prediction through Planetary Boundary Layer and Moist Convection Parameterizations

Peter Childs, Climavision, Louisville, KY; and C. Zhang and J. Ma

5:00 PM

8B.4

Modeling Frontal Low-Level Jets and Associated Extreme Wind Ramps

Harish Baki, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and S. Basu and G. lavidas

8B.3

Improving the horizontal mixing parameterization in TC simulations of HAFS

5:30 PM

8B.5

Diagnosing and Addressing Systematic Errors in the Navy’s NEPTUNE Prediction System

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and A. Reinecke, M. Diaz, and M. Martini

Handout (3.8 MB)

5:45 PM

8B.6

The Value of Utilizing 1-km Horizontal Grid Spacing for the United States Air Force: Assessment of Storm Attributes within the Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction Suite

Christopher J. Melick, PhD, U.S. Air Force, Offutt AFB, NE; and B. T. Gallo, S. Childs, W. T. Sedlacek, and S. Rentschler

J8A

Inclusive and Innovative Teaching Methods for Weather Analysis, Forecasting, and Numerical Weather Prediction

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 34th Conference on Education )

Cochairs: Victoria Gorman, Medford Memorial Middle School, NJ; Stephanie E. Zick, Virginia Tech

4:30 PM

J8A.1

Experiential Learning: Teaching Forecasters to Communicate Hurricane Impacts Through a Simulation

James Russell, PhD, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Payne and T. Ross-Lazarov

4:45 PM

J8A.2

Developing the Next Wave of Operational Meteorologists

Huntir Cramer, National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL; and K. Magee and V. Brasfield

5:00 PM

J8A.3

Secrets of the Greatest Snow on Earth: An Online General Education Science Course in Mountain Weather and Climate for Snow Enthusiasts

Jim Steenburgh, Atmospheric Sciences, Salt Lake City, UT

5:15 PM

J8A.4

The SUNY Oswego Undergraduate Radar Curriculum Experience: A Summary of Successes and Recommendations for Future NSF-FARE Requests

Katelyn A. Barber, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and Y. Wang, K. A. Kosiba, J. Wurman, J. R. O'Brien, S. M. Steiger, J. Aikins, O. Oluwale, and S. Kanbur

5:30 PM

J8A.5

Using AMS Courses and Data in the K-12 Classroom to Increase Student Engagement at the Pre-College Level

Staci M DeSchryver, ; and W. Schreiber-Abshire

5:45 PM

J8A.6

Programming in Meteorology: Taking the Coding Out of Programming

Zachary J. Lebo, Univ. of Oklahoma, Pasadena, CA

Exhibit Hall Reception

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

University Night Receptions

Location: Hilton Riverside

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Session 9A

Warn-on-Forecast System I: Verification

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Jaret W. Rogers; Derek R. Stratman

8:30 AM

9A.1

Verification of short-term thunderstorm rotation forecasts in the 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System

Christopher A. Kerr, CIWRO/NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, D. R. Stratman, H. E. Brooks, B. C. Matilla, Y. Wang, and N. Yussouf

8:45 AM

9A.2

Comparing Short-Term Thunderstorm Forecasts from the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) and the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR)

Patrick Skinner, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and D. R. Stratman, C. A. Kerr, B. C. Matilla, J. Martin, D. Dowell, T. A. Jones, M. L. Flora, J. E. Guerra, K. H. Knopfmeier, K. C. Britt, and N. Yussouf

9:00 AM

9A.3

Diagnosing MCS Forecast Errors in the Warn-on-Forecast System

Thomas J. Galarneau, NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, M. L. Flora, and K. C. Britt

9:15 AM

9A.4

Storm Displacement Errors in the Warn-on-Forecast System

Derek R. Stratman, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin, P. S. Skinner, and B. M. Lemke

9:30 AM

9A.5

What is Truth? Assessing the Impact of Biased Target Variables on Machine Learning Models of Severe Hail

Montgomery L. Flora, CIWRO; NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, C. K. Potvin, B. C. Matilla, and A. E. Reinhart

9:45 AM

9A.6

A Multi-Year Performance Evaluation of NSSL’s Warn-on-Forecast System Using Scorecards

Brian C. Matilla, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), NOAA NSSL, Norman, OK; and N. Yussouf, P. S. Skinner, K. H. Knopfmeier, J. Martin, and T. A. Jones

Session 9B

Major Updates from Modeling Centers

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Clark Evans, UW-Milwaukee; Stephen W. Bieda III, PhD, NWS

8:30 AM

9B.1

The U. S. Navy Earth System Prediction Capability: Overview and Future Developments

Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. Allard, C. Barron, J. Christophersen, W. Crawford, M. Flatau, D. Franklin, D. Hebert, G. Jacobs, M. A. Janiga, T. Jensen, D. D. Kuhl, F. Liu, J. McLay, E. J. Metzger, M. Phelps, A. Reinecke, J. Ridout, E. Rogers, C. Rowley, J. Shriver, G. J. Theurich, P. Thoppil, M. Ulate, T. Whitcomb, J. Zappala, and L. zamudio

Handout (6.9 MB)

8:45 AM

9B.2

Toward Global 6.5-km Weather Prediction and Storm-Resolving Simulation

Linjiong Zhou, GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and L. M. Harris, J. H. Chen, K. Gao, K. Y. Cheng, M. Tong, A. Kaltenbaugh, M. Morin, and L. Johnston

9:00 AM

9B.3

ECMWF Forecast Improvements and Plans in our 50^th Anniversary Year

tony McNally, ECMWF, reading, United kingdom

Challenges in Enhancing Global Numerical Weather Prediction: Transitioning from 12 km to 8 km resolution in the Convective Gray-Zone

9:15 AM

9B.4

Overview of the Next Global Forecast System GFSv17

Catherine A. Thomas, NCEP, College Park, MD; and J. Meixner, J. Han, H. Y. Chuang, R. Mahajan, J. Wang, M. J. Barlage, N. Barton, A. M. Bentley, L. G. Chen, B. Fu, Y. Mao, W. Meng, L. Stefanova, G. Vernieres, J. Wang, and H. Wei

9:30 AM

9B.5

Rapid Refresh Forecast System Development for Version 2

Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. E. Pyle, S. S. Weygandt, and J. R. Carley

J9A

Graphical Communication of Risk and Public Perception

Location: 345 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Cochairs: Jase E. Bernhardt, PhD, Hofstra University; Castle Williamsberg, NOAA/OAR Weather Program Office and University of Georgia

8:30 AM

J9A.1

Exploring Geospatial Tornado Risk Personalization with Sketch Mapping

Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and J. Senkbeil, C. Vaughn, B. Abubakari, and S. M. A. A. Ali

8:45 AM

J9A.2

Enhancing Hurricane Threats and Impacts Graphics: The Effect of Arrival Time Information on Non-Expert Risk Assessment and Interpretation

Barbara Millet, University of Miami, Coral Gables , FL; University of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. Cairo, S. D. Evans, S. J. Majumdar, Ph.D., B. McNoldy, R. E. Morss, and R. Prestley

9:00 AM

J9A.3

A Colorful Story: Taking Stock of the Colors Used by the NWS in Public-Facing Forecast Products

Abby Lee Bitterman, Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Z. Rosen, J. Ripberger, M. Krocak, S. M. Melcher, A. M. Person, V. Dunham, and C. Black

9:15 AM

J9A.4

Understanding the Implications of Categorical vs. Continuous Graphical Depictions of Risk: Different Colors, Risk Conditions, and Risk Boundaries.

Jada Rosalyn Lamar, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and C. A. Williamsberg and A. J. Grundstein

Handout (30.5 MB)

9:30 AM

J9A.5

Assessment of Perceived Risk by Residents in Response to the Updated National Hurricane Center “Cone of Uncertainty” Product

Patrick Merle, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and E. Ray and B. D. Johnson

9:45 AM

J9A.6

Designed Choices: An In-depth Exploration of Color Use in NCEP Graphics

Zoey Rosen, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. L. Bitterman, M. Krocak, S. M. Melcher, V. Dunham, C. Black, J. Ripberger, and A. M. Person

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 10A

Warn-on-Forecast System II: Field Case Studies

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Patrick C. Burke, NOAA - National Severe Storms Laboratory; Jaret W. Rogers

10:45 AM

10A.1

Evaluating the impact of WoFS-PHI on real-time severe weather forecasts during the 2024 Spring Forecasting Experiment

Eric D. Loken, Univ. of Oklahoma and Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and R. Martz, M. K. Silcott, A. J. Clark, J. Martin, P. C. Burke, K. M. Calhoun, B. C. Matilla, T. J. Galarneau, P. Heinselman, T. Sandmael, and P. S. Skinner

11:00 AM

10A.2

Improving WoFS-PHI Watch-to-Warning Guidance with new Observational Data

Ryan Martz, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and E. D. Loken, A. J. Clark, K. M. Calhoun, T. Sandmael, C. N. Satrio, M. K. Silcott, J. Martin, P. C. Burke, P. S. Skinner, and P. Heinselman

11:15 AM

10A.3

Leveraging the Warn-on-Forecast System to Enhance Short Term Messaging During High Impact Weather

Jason Dunn, NWS, Fort Worth, TX

11:30 AM

10A.4

Warn-On-Forecast in the Watch to Warning Gap

Daniel William Reese, NWS Topeka, Topeka, KS

11:45 AM

10A.5

Benefits of the Warn on Forecast System in the Watch-to-Warning Period of Severe Events at NWS Blacksburg, VA

Amanda Marie Sava, NWSFO, Blacksburg, VA; and A. K. Baker

Session 10B

Statistical Post-Processing and its Translation Into Forecast Messaging

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Austin A. Coleman; Joshua W. Scheck, NCEP

10:45 AM

10B.1

Towards a Modernized Post-Processing System to Support the Transformation of MSC's Forecasting and Services

Stephane Gagnon, ECCC, Dorval, Canada; and R. Gheti and A. Barszcz

11:00 AM

10B.2

Plans for Version 5 of the National Blend of Models

Geoffrey S. Manikin, NWS/MDL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. E. Rudack, R. S. James, E. F. Engle, A. D. Schnapp, C. S. Buxton, M. N. Baker, S. D. Scallion, S. L. Levine, G. G. Leone, B. J. Haynes, S. M. Lower, and M. S. Antolik

11:15 AM

10B.3

Using Feature-Based Methods to Blend Tropical Cyclone Numerical Weather Prediction Model Forecasts in the National Blend of Models

Geoffrey Wagner, CIRA, Ft. Collins, CO; and S. M. Camposano

11:30 AM

10B.4

Optimizing Accuracy of National Blend of Models Forecasts Using an Analog Process

Leslie R. Colin, NWS, Boise, ID

11:45 AM

Poster Preview

Katie Magee, Washington DC, DC; and K. Wood and E. C. Wolff IV

Women in Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon

Location: Great Hall D (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 11B

Advances facilitated by new observational platforms and capabilities

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Poushali Ghosh, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Diana Rose Stovern, CIRES

1:45 PM

11B.1

Evaluation of National Digital Forecast Database Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures in North Carolina

Timothy W. Glotfelty, North Carolina State Climate Office, Raleigh, NC; and T. Boyer and J. H. Bowden

2:00 PM

11B.2

The Mobile Atmospheric Profiling Network (MAPNet): Current Measurement Capabilities and Future Directions

Kevin Knupp, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and R. A. Wade, P. Pangle, M. Starke, X. Chen, S. W. Freeman, and L. D. Carey

2:15 PM

11B.3

Reanalyzing and Identifying Tornado Damage Paths in Hard-to-Reach Areas of the Gulf Coast using High-Resolution Satellite Imagery

Tyler J. Stanfield, NWS, Slidell, LA

2:30 PM

11B.4

Impacts from Assimilating Large Volumes of GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) Observations during ROMEX in NASA’s Global Earth Observing System

Michael J. Murphy Jr., NASA/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Chattopadhyay, A. El Akkraoui, R. Gelaro, R. A. Anthes, and J. Jin

2:45 PM

11B.5

Assimilation of TROPICS observations into NOAA HAFS model

Isaac Moradi, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Kalluri, F. Iturbide-Sanchez, and V. S. Tallapragada

J11A

R2O2R Activities and Testing

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O) )

Cochairs: Clark Evans, UW-Milwaukee; Stephanie J. Avey

1:45 PM

J11A.1

Ensemble Clustering applied to a Time-lagged Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS) Superensemble: Evaluation during the 2024 Hydrometeorology Testbed Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall (FFaIR) Experiment

Austin A. Coleman, CIRES / WPC, College Park, MD; and J. A. Nelson Jr. and B. A. Colle

2:00 PM

J11A.2

From Research to Operations: Advancing Canada's Meteorological Forecasting Systems in 2024

Alexandre Parent, CMC, Dorval, QC, Canada

2:15 PM

J11A.3

Development of Data Assimilation System for current and future Rapid Refresh Forecast System

Ming Hu, OAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Liu, G. Ge, T. lei, D. Dowell, D. E. Lippi, C. Zhou, X. Zhang, H. Lin, H. Liu, S. Pan, J. Hu, S. K. Degelia, R. Li, M. Oigawa, H. Wang, B. Allen, A. Back, C. R. Martin, PhD, T. T. Ladwig, J. R. Carley, C. R. Alexander, D. T. Kleist, S. S. Weygandt, and M. E. Pyle

J11A.4

Spinning Into Consistency: Navigating the Vortex of Tornado Warning Consistency through the Implementation of Specific VROT Training and Criteria.

2:45 PM

J11A.5

Evaluation of convection-allowing model ensemble members using a network of planetary boundary layer observations from the TRACER field campaign

Francesca Marie Lappin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. M. Bell, P. M. Klein, J. A. Gibbs, and K. H. Knopfmeier

J11A

Risk Communication Systems and Tools

Location: 345 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Chair: Aisha S Owusu

1:45 PM

J11A.1

Enhancing Weather Communication for Emergency Management: The New York State Weather Risk Communication Center

Allison L Finch, New York State Weather Risk Communication Center, Albany, NY

2:00 PM

J11A.2

The Information Architecture of Forecast Products: Leveraging Relationships to Communicate Complex Findings

Joseph Miller, Fountain Digital Consulting, Marlinton

2:15 PM

J11A.3

Updating ProbCom: Adding to a Living Systematic Review of Probability Information Communication in Weather Forecasts

Lauren Alene Harvey, Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (IPPRA), Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. L. Bitterman, T. Maciag, Z. Rosen, J. Ripberger, M. Krocak, and A. C. Wanless

2:30 PM

J11A.4

Evaluating the Canadian Risk Assessment and Communication Framework- Putting the Theory into Practice

Rebecca J. Wagner-Hochban, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada

2:45 PM

J11A.5

Introducing Risk-Tiered Weather Alerting in Canada

Erik de Groot, ECCC, Montreal, QC, Canada

Wednesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

16Health Diurnal Spatiotemporal Variations of Near-Surface Ozone Concentrations Across China

29IOAS CYGNSS Observation Error Correlation in Data Assimilation Frameworks

E59

39HYDRO Analysis of the Evolution of a Meiyu Frontal Rainstorm Based on Doppler Radar Data Assimilation

Hongli Li, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China

E60

39HYDRO Analysis of Cold Season Precipitation Dynamics in Complex Terrain over the Upper Colorado River Basin

Sierra Liotta, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and K. Friedrich and J. Kay

E61

38CVC Applying weather and climate modeling techniques to human health outcomes: data-informed simulation, inference and forecasting

E62

16HEALTH Climate-resilient Urban Forest Gardens to Address Climate Vulnerability, Food Insecurity, and Inequitable Heat Risks

Karin Warren, Randolph College, Lynchburg, VA; and L. Henry-Stone

E63

24AI Deciphering Heat Wave Mechanisms in Bangladesh: Integrating Meteorological Insights and Machine Learning Techniques

Saurav Dey Shuvo, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and S. S. Sultana

E64

24AI AI Training in Progress: Challenges and Achievements at Meteorological Service of Canada.

Miguel Tremblay, MSC, Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. Beauregard and A. Dacres

E65

21OESS CSPP Geo Direct Broadcast for ABI and AHI Level-2: SuperDAPs and GOES-19 Support

Geoff Cureton, CIMSS, MADISON, WI

E67

WAFNWP 2km CONUS Global Stretched-Grid Numerical Weather Prediction Forecasts using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System Model

William Putman, NASA, Greenbelt, MD

ePoster E66 is now Poster 189A

E68

25ARAM Comparing HRRR and RRFS in Predicting Convective Systems over the Eastern CONUS in JJA 2023 and 2024

Joseph A. Grim, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, Phd

E69

1FIREWX Flint Hills Prescribed Burn Decision Support

Patrick H. Zahn, Sonoma Technology, Petaluma, CA; and J. J. Beamish, S. Irwin, K. Craig, D. Watson, and J. Prentice

E70

24AI All-weather VIIRS LST: Machine Learning Based Methodology and Experiment

Shuo Xu, University of Maryland, RIVERDALE, MD; and Y. Liu

E71

WAFNWP Dependence of Hurricane Forecasts on the Spectral Representation of Cumulus Convection

Anning Cheng, EMC, College Park, MD; EMC, College Park, MD; and F. Yang

E72

25SMOI A Modernized Cutdown/Letdown Mechanism for Mobile Balloon Launches.

Christopher Schneider, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; NSSL, NORMAN, OK; and M. Stock, D. Kennedy, S. M. Waugh, and V. C. Chmielewski

E73

27ATCHEM Exploring Organic Acid Contributions to Cloud Water Chemistry and Aqueous Processing of Organics within Clouds: Insights from Whiteface Mountain Measurements

Archana Tripathy, SUNY Albany, ALBANY, NY; SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; Univ. at Albany, Boulder, CO; and C. E. Lawrence, S. S. Lombardo, P. Casson, R. Patel, L. Hammond, R. Brandt, S. McKim, J. Schlemmer, J. Schwab, H. Khwaja, M. Hussain, E. Yerger, P. Snyder, W. May, D. Kelting, and S. M. Lance

E74

38CVC Extreme Weather Events and School Closures: A Study of Climate Change Effects

Caitlin Finlayson, University of Mary Washington, Fredericksburg, VA

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

3

Advances Facilitated by New Observational Platforms and Capabilities (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

644

Evaluating the Feasibility of the Windsond S1H2 in Severe-storm Environments, a Comparison against the Vaisala RS41-SGP

Madeline Diedrichsen, NSSL, Norman, OK; CIWRO, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. C. Coniglio and S. M. Waugh

3

Forecasting Tools and Techniques Across Weather Scales (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

645

Validation of cool-season snowfall forecasts at a high-elevation site in Utah's Little Cottonwood Canyon

Michael David Pletcher, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. Veals, M. E. Wessler, D. Church, K. J. Harnos, J. Correia Jr., R. Chase, and J. Steenburgh

646

Transitioning the NWS Forecaster Warning Workflow to Hazard Services Convective

Lexy Elizalde-Garcia, M.S., Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), Norman, OK; and M. A. Magsig and E. R. Vasquez

Handout (761.4 kB)

647

Heavy Precipitation Object Tracking and Forecast Tools

Matthew R Green, CIRES, Fort Collins, CO

3

Model Development and Applications (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

648

Why We Can Approximate Spheroidal Geopotential Surfaces as Spherical but Can't Approximate True Geoptential Surfaces as Spheroidal in NWP

Peter C. Chu, NPS, Monterey, CA

649

Improving the Representation of Moisture and Convective Instability in Baroclinic-Wave Channel Simulations

Daniel James Lloveras, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. R. Durran

650

Development Status of KIM Ensemble Prediction System for Seamless Global Sub-Seasonal Prediction

651

Impact of the Rice Paddy Standing Water Layer on Micrometeorology: A Coupled WRF-Rice Paddy Model Study

Hee-Jeong Lim, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, South korea; and Y. H. Lee

652

Smooth Operator: Using Spectral Filtering Techniques to Modify Terrain in WRF-ARW

Nicolas Duboc, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. Stull, R. H. White, and G. West

653

Implementing the UFS Unified Gravity Wave Physics (UGWP) parameterization in MPAS-A

Michael D. Toy, CIRES, University of Colorado Boulder and NOAA Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. Olson

654

A Revised Snow Scheme and Its Performance in the Next Seasonal Prediction System at JMA (CPS4)

Kenta Ochi, JMA, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and Y. Adachi, J. Chiba, S. Hirahara, Y. Kubo, N. Ganeshi, and Y. Takaya

Handout (1.1 MB)

655

Orography-Induced Gravity Wave Drag Parameterizations in the NCEP GFS

Song You Hong, NOAA/Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao, S. A. Michelson, M. D. Toy, J. Han, F. Yang, M. S. Koo, and H. J. Choi

656

Identifying the Optimal WRF-ARW Configuration for the Amazon Rainforest

Chetan Gurung, Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. A. M. Viscardi, D. K. Adams, X. Li, and H. M. Barbosa

657

Recent Advances in METplus Verification and Diagnostic Capabilities

Michelle A. Harrold, NCAR, Boulder, CO

658

Harnessing the Power of Scalable Cloud Infrastructure for Hydrologic Data and Service Dissemination Through National Water Prediction Service (NWPS)

Sudhir Raj Shrestha, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and C. Gobs, G. Sood, C. Ross, and F. Salas

3

NWP and Urban Impacts

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

659

Assessing the Performance of a Convection-Permitting Regional Hydroclimate Simulation in Urban Areas across the Continental United States

Liam Thompson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. Wang

Handout (10.7 MB)

660

Intercomparison of WRF Urban Configurations for Optimizing Long-Term High-Resolution Simulations in the Chicago Metro Area

Gonzalo Huidobro, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and S. Wu, P. Li, A. Sharma, and A. F. Hamlet

661

Lifecycles of Coastal Urban Thunderstorms from a Modelling Perspective

Jean Carlos Pena, University at Albany SUNY, Albany, NY; and M. P. Jensen, S. Giangrande, M. Deng, H. Gamarro, P. Ramamurthy, and J. E. González-Cruz

662

Establishing a Data Assimilation Baseline for Numerical Weather Prediction in Large, Metropolitan Areas in an Arid Region

663

meteoblue City Climate Model (mCCM): High-resolution Modeling for Urban Heatwave Management

Nico Bader, meteoblue AG, Basel, Switzerland; and N. Zurfluh, J. Shin, and S. Schlögl

664

Resolving the street-scale Urban Heat Island with a coupled WRF-LES-SLUCM atmospheric modeling system

Mahdad Talebpour, PhD, johns hopkins university, Cambridge, MA; and E. Bou-Zeid, C. Welty, B. F. Zaitchik, and D. Li

R2O2R Activities and Testing (Poster)

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O) )

Wednesday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E76

21OESS Value Tree Assessment of Low Earth Orbit Observations for the Dynamic Arctic Region

Andrew Lomax, MS, JPSS, Lanham, MD; and J. P. Goldstein, J. Dissen, S. Kalluri, K. A. Hawley, and C. Y. Wu

E77

27AtChem Evaluation of a WRF-Chem-HYSPLIT modeling framework to simulate smoke-taint conditions in the western US.

Ana Carla Fernandez Valdes, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and V. P. Walden, M. Vahidi Ghazvini, and J. Meng

E78

24AI Application of Data Driven Model in the Forecast of Short-Range Microscale Rainfall to Mitigate the Impact of Climate Change in Tropical Climates

Ogochukwu Ejike, University of the West of Scotland, Paisley, RFW, United kingdom

E79

24Airsea Simulating Cloud Radiative Forcing with WRF During Arctic Winter Sea Ice Extremes

Valerie Elizabeth Gorden, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. T. Strey

E81

38CVC The use of Arctic-CORDEX Regional Climate Change Predictions to Anticipate Impacts on Coastal Alaska Villages

Hashem Zahedipour, Iowa State Univ., AMES, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr.

E82

FireWx Development and Application of an Hourly Wildfire Potential Index for Predicting Wildfire Activity

Craig Hartsough, CIRES at NOAA/GSL, Fort Collins, CO; and E. P. James, R. Ahmadov, J. Romero-Alvarez, J. Schnell, S. Bhimireddy, and S. S. Weygandt

E83

39Hydro Evolutionary Mechanism of Cloud Clusters Moving Eastward from the Qinghai Tibet Plateau

Xiaofang Wang, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration，Wuhan, Wuhan, Hubei, China

E84

39Hydro Merging and Downscaling of Satellite and Model Soil Moisture over Taiwan

Chia-Jeng Chen, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan; and Y. R. Ciou

E85

39Hydro Drought Prediction over the U.S. Using a Statistical Model of Groundwater and Land-Atmosphere Stable States

Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and P. R. Makhasana, P. Lawston Parker, and J. A. Santanello Jr.

E86

39Hydro Enhancing Water Resource Management in the EEC (Thailand) Using WEAP

Vinitar Khettar, Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency (Public Organization): GISTDA, Lak Si, Bangkok, Thailand; and D. Phoomikiattisak, W. Chansury, J. Kruasilp, P. Faikratok, C. Charoenchim, and P. Petchprayoon

E87

33WAF/29NWP Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Impact-based Decision Support Services (IDSS): Adding Local Value to the Climate Prediction Center’s 8-14 Day U.S. Hazards Outlook

Kristopher D. White, NWS/NASA SPoRT, Huntsville, AL; and R. A. Junod and A. Pritchett

E88

2CloudPhys An Overview of the Cold Air outbreak Experiment in the Sub Arctic Region (CAESAR) campaign

Paquita Zuidema, University of Miami Rosenstiel School, Key Biscayne, FL; and B. Geerts, G. M. McFarquhar, A. Raudzens Bailey, J. J. Cassano, C. Costanza, J. D. Doyle, A. M. Dzambo, S. Ephraim, J. R. French, C. Grasmick, E. Järvinen, T. W. Juliano, M. D. Petters, R. J. Perkins, E. M. Rosky, J. R. Snider, G. Svensson, M. Tjernstrom, F. Tornow, P. R. veres, Y. Wang, S. Woods, and L. Xue, PhD

Session 12A

Warning Communication and Public Threat Perception

Location: 345 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Cochairs: Cassandra Shivers-Williams; Michelle E. Saunders, Mississippi State University

4:30 PM

12A.1

Microsoft Weather: Leveraging AI and Microsoft's Platform to Empower Billions with Weather Knowledge.

Matt Corey, Microsoft Weather, Loveland, CO

4:45 PM

12A.2

Public Perceptions of Evolving Probabilistic Tornado Forecasts and Warnings

Christopher D. Wirz, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Demuth, R. Prestley, R. E. Morss, S. Joslyn, C. Qin, and S. Savelli

5:00 PM

12A.3

What’s that Warning?: Testing Public Responses to Alternative Convective Hazard Alerts

Sean Robert Ernst, Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, Norman OK, OK; and J. Ripberger, M. Krocak, and A. C. Wanless

5:15 PM

12A.4

What’s in a Message? Flood Warning Information Sharing Within Community Organizations

Elizabeth Doran, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT; and L. E. Taylor, J. Brown, A. J. Jefferson, B. Luukinen, C. Johns, S. DeBree, B. G. Southwell, and G. Van Houtven

5:30 PM

12A.5

National Weather Service Initiative Update: Community-Centric Warnings

Stephen W. Bieda III, PhD, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and C. M. Gravelle, N. P. Kurkowski, S. B. Smith, and G. Cooper

5:45 PM

12A.6

Analysis of "Re-Alert" Areas Resulting from Free Form Polygon-Based Convective Warnings

Bradley Ernest Power, EC, Edmonton, AB, Canada

Understanding Tornado Warnings: An Analysis of Trends in Risk Communication and Lead Time Performance

Session 12B

Model Evaluation

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Tomer Burg, EMC/NCEP; Stephanie E. Zick, Virginia Tech

4:30 PM

12B.1

Development and Evaluation of a Time-Lagged Ensemble of WRF-Downscaled CFSv2 Forecasts for Extended-Range Forecasts in South Korea

Subin Ha, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and E. S. Im and J. Hur

4:45 PM

12B.2

Evaluation of West-WRF with Noah-MP for Hydrometeorological Prediction in California

Samuel Dahl, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng, M. A. Brunke, D. F. Steinhoff, M. Simpson, and L. Delle Monache

5:00 PM

12B.3

Cloud/radiation deficiency in storm-scale NWP and application of reduced effective cloud droplet radius

Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and E. P. James, D. D. Turner, K. A. Balmes, J. Sedlar, K. O. Lantz, A. Jensen, L. Riihimaki, and J. A. Augustine

5:15 PM

12B.4

Evolving the USAF’s Cloud Forecasting and Analysis Capabilities

Evan L. Kuchera, U.S. Air Force, 557th Weather Wing, Offutt AFB, NE; and S. I. Baker, J. Martinelli, B. T. Gallo, N. F. Wright, J. Luce, E. Hildebrand, J. R. Brown, M. Vaughan, M. Searls, W. T. Sedlacek, S. schulze, G. R. Brooks, and C. J. Melick, PhD

5:30 PM

12B.5

Verification of Marine Boundary Layer Forecasts in Atmospheric River Environments using Dropsonde Observations

Kevin M. Lupo, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and M. Simpson and F. M. Ralph

5:45 PM

12B.6

Benefits and Tradeoffs of Ensemble Resolution versus Ensemble Size for Orographic Precipitation Forecasts

Nora Rose Mascioli, SIO, San Diego, CA; and D. F. Steinhoff, M. Simpson, M. Ghazvinian, PhD, R. Weihs, C. Papadopoulos, and L. Delle Monache

J12

Artificial Intelligence, Numerical Weather Prediction, and High Performance Computing in a Data-driven Weather Future

Location: La Nouvelle C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science )

Cochairs: Edward C. Wolff IV, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Timothy Sliwinski; Tiago Quintino, ECMWF

4:30 PM

J12.1

Beyond Prediction: Exploring Uncertainty in Climate Models in the AI Era (Core Science Keynote)

V Balaji, Schmidt Sciences, New York, NY

5:00 PM

J12.2

Dynamic Generative AI for Real-Time Data Assimilation in NWP on High-Performance Computing Platforms

Guannan Zhang, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and F. Bao and H. G. Chipilski

5:15 PM

J12.3

Porting Noah-MP Model into Energy Research and Forecasting Model Using a Novel Large Language Model Paradigm

Akash Dhruv, ANL, Lemont, IL; and M. Buehlmann, A. Lattanzi, H. Gopalan, R. Kotamarthi, and A. Almgren

5:30 PM

J12.4

Scaling GPU-Accelerated AI Models for Advanced Numerical Weather Prediction

John Schreck, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. Sobhani, B. Kirk, D. Howard, W. E. Chapman, Y. Sha, and D. J. Gagne II

J12A

NWA Research-Operations Nexus (RON) Meetup (In-Person)

Location: Rivergate (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology )

J12B

NWA Research-Operations Nexus (RON) Meetup (Virtual)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Chair: Keith Sherburn, NWS

Awards Reception and Ceremony

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Wednesday Night Live

Location: Great Hall A (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 24th Annual Student Conference; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Session 13A

Winter Weather Forecasting: Snow-Liquid-Ratio and Freezing Rain

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Austin A. Coleman; Stephen W. Bieda III, PhD, NWS

8:30 AM

13A.1

Predicting Snow-to-Liquid Ratio over the Western United States

Peter Veals, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. D. Pletcher, J. Steenburgh, and A. J. Schwartz

8:45 AM

13A.2

Snow-to-liquid ratio prediction over the contiguous United States using machine learning

Michael David Pletcher, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. Veals, S. Hilberg, N. Newman, A. A. Rosenow, PhD, J. Steenburgh, and R. Chase

9:00 AM

13A.3

Snow-to-Liquid Ratios in the Upper Great Lakes: Regime Dependency and Nowcasting Applications

Kyla Wolski, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. S. Kulie, C. Pettersen, and S. W. Nesbitt

9:15 AM

13A.4

I'll Melt With You: How a Regional Snow-Liquid Ratio Workshop Improved Collaborative Winter Forecasts in the Western United States

Josh Weiss, NWS, College Park, MD; and T. Davis

9:30 AM

13A.5

An Evaluation of Freezing Rain Local Storm Reports and Their Uses

Adam David Werkema, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO) at NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. D. Reeves

9:45 AM

13A.6

Evaluating Tools for Diagnosis and Nowcasting Precipitation Type and Freezing Rain: Results from the 3–4 February 2022 Winter Storm in the Hudson Valley

Justin R Minder, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and B. Stutsrim, C. Speciale, T. A. Wasula, B. Filipiak, B. Shrestha, J. Wang, N. P. Bassill, H. D. Reeves, D. D. Tripp, D. Thompson, N. Stuart, and M. Evans

Session 13B

Overview of Forecast Verification

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Michelle A. Harrold, NCAR; Joseph P. Koval

8:30 AM

13B.1

An Overview of the Environmental Modeling Center Verification System (EVS)

Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and A. Benjamin, A. M. Bentley, and T. L. Jensen

8:45 AM

13B.2

An Overview of Global Verification in the Environmental Modeling Center Verification System (EVS)

Alicia M. Bentley, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD; and J. J. Levit, M. P. Row, S. R. Shields, S. Ardani, L. G. Chen, B. Zhou, H. C. Huang, Y. Mao, O. R. Ostwald, A. Vashisht, P. C. Shafran, and S. L. Melchior

9:00 AM

13B.3

Verification of Operational Global Ensemble Forecast System in the Short to Medium Range

L. Gwen Chen, EMC, College Park, MD; and A. M. Bentley, S. R. Shields, B. Zhou, S. L. Melchior, P. C. Shafran, A. Vashisht, and J. J. Levit

9:15 AM

13B.4

Verification of DWD MOSMIX and the meteoblue learning multimodel at more than 500 WMO stations worldwide

Thomas Eldridge, meteoblue AG, Basel, Switzerland; and S. Schlögl, N. Bader, C. Rempfer, K. G. Gutbrod, and N. Pierotti

9:30 AM

13B.5

Verification Diagrams Based on Forecast Value

Michael E. Baldwin, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO/SPC), Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks

Handout (461.1 kB)

9:45 AM

13B.6

Objective Verification of the Weather Prediction Center's Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions

Erica Bower, CIRES, Boulder, CO; NOAA/NWS/WPC, College Park, MD; and M. J. Erickson, J. A. Nelson Jr., M. Klein, and A. W. Orrison

Coffee Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Exhibit Hall Breakfast

Location: Hall B (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 14A

Cool Season Phenomena and Terrain Influences on S2S Predictability

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Alexander Kyle Mitchell, SUNY; Michael Seaman

10:45 AM

14A.1

A Climatology of Strong Cold Frontal Passages along the Colorado Front Range

Zachary R Michael, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and A. C. Winters

11:00 AM

14A.2

The Meteorology of Large Wildfires over Western Oregon and Washington

Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Ovens, C. Randall, and N. Gilbert

11:15 AM

14A.3

Assessing the Impact of Surface Coupling and Observations on Arctic Cyclone Forecast Performance

Nuo Chen, University of Oklahoma, norman, OK; and R. Clancy, S. Cavallo, J. Anderson, and C. M. Bitz

11:30 AM

14A.4

The Influence of North Pacific Jet Stream Variability on Springtime Central U.S. Hydroclimate

Andrew C. Winters, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Torn

11:45 AM

14A.5

Subseasonal Predictability of North American Winter Weather Regimes

Jason C. Furtado, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. F. Quinting, O. T. Millin, and F. Mockert

Session 14B

Verification of Specific Phenomena

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Stephanie E. Zick, Virginia Tech; Christina P. Kalb, NCAR

10:45 AM

14B.1

Verification of GFS Storm-Total Precipitation Forecasts for Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in CONUS Using an Object-Based Framework

Melissa Piper, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

11:00 AM

14B.2

Object-Based Storm Tracking Method for Convection Allowing Model Verification

Jonathan David Goode, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and S. W. Freeman

11:15 AM

14B.3

No News is Good News? A Look at the Reliability of Implied Fair Conditions in Aviation Weather

Laura Melling, CIRES, Boulder, CO; NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. S. Wandishin and J. E. Hart

11:30 AM

14B.4

How Well are Atmospheric Rivers Captured in Medium-Range Machine Learning Weather Predictions?

Leif Mark Swenson, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and B. J. Moore and K. M. Mahoney

11:45 AM

14B.5

Influence of Atmospheric Errors on Weeks 2-4 California Current System Predictions

Maria Gehne, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Dias, J. D. Scott, M. Jacox, A. Cluett, D. J. Amaya, and M. Alexander

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation )

Daily Weather Briefings

Location: 229 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Session 15A

Other Topics in Probabilistic Forecasting

Location: 206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Christine Kruse, NWSFO; Tomer Burg, EMC/NCEP

1:45 PM

15A.1

First Guess Fields for WPC's Day 3-7 Hazardous Heat Outlook

Zoe Benitez, NOAA, Annapolis, MD

2:00 PM

15A.2

A High-resolution WRF Ensemble for Predicting Sea-breeze Convection during ESCAPE

Yishi Hu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Z. J. Lebo

2:15 PM

15A.3

Towards the Exclusive Use of the Global Ensemble Prediction System for Global Forecasting in Canada

Jean-Francois Caron, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada; and M. Buehner and S. J. Baek

2:30 PM

15A.4

Model Uncertainty - MIP

Hannah Christensen, Univ. of Oxford, Oxford, OXF, United kingdom; and J. Beck, L. Bengtsson, L. Bernardet, J. Berner, M. B. Ek, E. Groot, F. H. Lambert, W. Lfarh, K. M. Newman, R. Roehrig, K. Singh, X. Sun, and K. Williams

2:45 PM

15A.5

Identifying Flavors of Lee Cyclogenesis over the Central U.S. Using Self-Organizing Maps

McKenzie Larson, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and A. C. Winters

Session 15B

Verification of Ensemble Systems

Location: 207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Cochairs: Will Mayfield, NCAR/RAL; Diana Rose Stovern, CIRES

1:45 PM

15B.1

Nature vs Nurture in Convective-Scale Ensemble Spread: Relative Influence of Inherited and Environmental Factors

Adam Gainford, University of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United kingdom; and S. Gray, T. Frame, A. Porson, and M. Milan

2:00 PM

15B.2

What is the minimum ensemble size to reduce the uncertainty in the skill of West-WRF hydrometeorological forecasts over California?

Michael A. Brunke, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and W. D. Scheftic, L. W. Siu, X. Zeng, L. Delle Monache, M. Simpson, and D. F. Steinhoff

2:15 PM

15B.3

Convection-Allowing Versus Convection-Parameterizing Ensembles for Medium-Range Precipitation Forecasts

Craig Schwartz, NCAR, Boulder, CO

2:30 PM

15B.4

Understanding Medium-Range Convective Scale Precipitation Errors from the Model for Prediction Across Scales-Atmosphere

Eleanor Salm, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and M. W. Wong

2:45 PM

15B.5

Assessment of Time-Lagged, Medium-Range, High-Resolution Ensemble Forecasts of Extreme Precipitation Events

Anastasia Joy Tomanek, UCAR, Boulder, CO; Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. Schwartz

Thursday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

27AtChem Contribution of marine biological emissions to gaseous methylamines in the atmosphere: an emission inventory based on multi-source data sets

E3

7Tropical Observations, Analysis, and Implications from Tropical Cyclone Landfalls in a Near-Shore Environment

James Robert Howard Ph.D, Meteorologist, Ponchatoula, LA; and S. W. Mayberry, S. M. Wingo, S. F. Blair, C. Kelly, C. Cupp, and D. R. Jones

E89

1FIREWX Diagnosing Moisture Anomalies at the Drought-Wildfire Nexus: the Marshall (CO) and Caldor (CA) Fires.

Mike Hobbins, CIRES, Boulder, CO; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO; and D. J. McEvoy

E90

41EIPT Polarimetric Radar Data Assimilation With a Parameterized Radar Operator Using MPAS-JEDI

Zhiquan Liu, NSF-NCAR, Lafayette, CO; and H. Xie, T. Sun, and R. Kong

E91

39HYDRO Investigation of Machine Learning Algorithms in Representing Global Flash Drought Patterns

Stuart Galen Edris, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern, J. B. Basara, J. I. Christian, J. C. Furtado, H. O. Olayiwola, and X. Xiao

E92

17AEROSOL New particle formation from isoprene under upper-tropospheric conditions

Jiali Shen, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; and D. Rusell, J. Kirkby, J. Curtius, and X. C. He

E93

24AI Advancing Extreme Precipitation Prediction over CONUS Using Diffusion Models with Spatial and Temporal Uncertainty Quantification

E94

34EDUCATION The Center for Inclusive Climate Communications: Towards A Global Resource for Education, Training, Research, and Service

Bruce N. Walker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. S. Bower and I. Martincic

E95

17AEROSOL Assessing the effect of cloud organization on cloud-aerosol interactions

E96

1FIREWX Integrating Vertical Wind Adjustment into Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke (WoFS-smoke)

Fangjiao Ma, CIWRO, Norman, OK; and T. A. Jones

E97

21OESS WxNet: A Next Generation Space-Based Environmental Monitoring Constellation

John Fisher, Brandywine Photonics, West Chester, PA; and C. David, Z. Burns, D. B. Hogan, and J. Predina

E98

24AI Deep Learning based Postprocessing for Freezing Level Forecasting over FIRO Watersheds

Vesta Afzali Gorooh, SIO, La Jolla, CA; Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and S. Roj, A. Sengupta, M. Ghazvinian, PhD, J. L. Bano Medina, R. Weihs, D. Axisa, J. F. Kalansky, and L. Delle Monache

E99

38CVC Continental and Regional-Scale Urban Warming Signals are Detectable and Increasing with Urban Evolution

TC Chakraborty, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Y. Qian

E100

24AI Temporal Causal Analysis of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions in Atmospheric Models Using Time-Series Causal Neural Networks

Xue Zheng, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and Faruque, S. Qiu, and J. Wang

E101

24AI Deep Learning-Based Methods for Precipitation Bias Correction

Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Z. Zhang

E102

21OESS Delphi: An Infrared Projection System for Next Generation Weather Satellite Testing

Cordelia David, Brandywine Photonics, West Chester, PA; Brandywine Photonics, WEST CHESTER, PA; and J. Fisher

E103

41EIPT Establishing the Airborne Phased Array Radar (APAR) Observing Simulator as a Proving Ground for Radar Scan Analysis and Algorithm Development

Bradley Klotz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee, J. Vivekanandan, and K. Manning

E104

FireWx Integration of the Freitas 1-D Model with NUCAPS for Assessing 2020 California Pyrocumulonimbus Events

Arunas P. Kuciauskas, Retired, Marine Meteorology Division, Naval Research Laboratory, MONTEREY, CA; and L. Wilson, D. V. V. Mallia, T. Wilmot, D. A. Peterson, and J. R. Campbell

Coffee Break

Location: Hall B (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

Formal Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics; the 34th Conference on Education; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 23rd History Symposium; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Presidential Conference; the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; and the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )

1

Deep Learning Methods and Applications for Improving Weather Forecasts Poster Session

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; and the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )

Cochairs: Kaitlyn R. Jesmonth, SUNY Oswego; Aaron J. Hill, Colorado State University; Huiling Yuan, Nanjing University; Haonan Chen, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)

962

Two-Step Machine Learning Process for Precipitation Nowcasting over the UAE Region

EunYeol Kim, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and V. Chandrasekar and L. Delle Monache

963

Deep Learning for Estimating Local Near-surface Wind in Mountainous Areas

Takenobu Michioka, Kindai University, Higashiosaka, Osaka, Japan; and K. Kosaka, H. Kawamoto, H. Takimoto, and A. Sato

964

A Machine Learning Bias Correction of Large-Scale Environment of High-Impact Weather Systems Simulated by E3SM Atmosphere Model

Shixuan Zhang, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung, B. Harrop, B. B. Sorensen, and T. Sapsis

965

An Analysis of Training Strategies for Adapting Deep Learning-Based Emulators to New Geographic Regions

Matthew Weiss, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. S. Veillette

966

Development of a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Emulator

967

Increased Performance and Capability of AI-based Nowcasting for Free Space Optical Communication

Chad Wiley, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Fairfax, VA; and B. D. Felton, C. L. Comer, M. E. Craddock, and H. Kiley

968

Data-Driven Regional Weather Forecasting: A Comparative Study of FourCastNet and GraphCast

Ming Fan, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and H. G. Kang, W. Zhang, and J. M. Restrepo

969

Improved prediction of extreme ENSO events using an artificial neural network with weighted loss functions

Dong-Hoon KIM, Jeju National University, Jeju-si, 49, South korea; Jeju National University, Jeju-si, Jeju-do, Korea, Republic of (South); and I. J. Moon

970

Regional Data-driven Weather Modeling with a Global Stretched-grid

Ivar A Seierstad, MET Norway, OSLO, OSLO, Norway; and H. Haugen, M. S. Ingstad, T. N. Nipen, E. M. Nordhagen, A. F. Shafiq, P. Tedesco, J. Kristiansen, S. Lang, M. Alexe, J. Dramsch, B. Raoult, G. Mertes, and M. Chantry

Handout (2.9 MB)

971

Predicting Heat Extremes over the Contiguous United States using Deep Learning

Jahangir Ali, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR; and L. Cheng

972

Physic-Informed AI for Wind Forecasting from Satellite Observations

Bûn-Kim Nicolas San, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Leganes, Madrid, Spain; and A. Moreno Soto, J. García-Heras, and M. Soler

973

Deep Learning for Short-Term Characterization of Tornado Intensity

Nathan Erickson, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern and A. J. Hill

974

Pangu-DART: Enabling Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation for ML-Based Numerical Weather Prediction Models

Nuo Chen, University of Oklahoma, norman, OK; and H. Kershaw

Manuscript (647.7 kB)

Handout (1.0 MB)

975

Convolutional Neural Networks for Predicting Orographic Precipitation Gradients: Outcomes from Leveraging Spatial Relationships

Savanna Wolvin, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and C. Strong, S. Brewer, A. Warner, and A. James

976

Implementation of a FourCastNet v2 Ensemble System to Improve Consensus Weather Forecasting at The Weather Company

Joseph P. Koval, The Weather Company, Brookhaven, GA; and C. Guiang, T. M. Hamill, D. Foster, K. Kashinath, M. S. Pritchard, and M. Klain

Thursday ePosters

Location: Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the Heather Lazrus Symposium; the Gerald A Meehl Symposium; the 41st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 39th Conference on Hydrology; the 38th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 34th Conference on Education; the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 29th Conference of Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 27th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 24th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the 23rd Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 23rd History Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Space Weather; the 21st Conference on Major Weather Impacts; the 21st Annual Symposium on Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 20th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 17th Symposium on Aerosol Cloud Climate Interactions; the 16th Conference on Environment and Health; the 16th Conference on Weather, Water, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 15th Conference On Transition Of Research To Operations (15R2O); the 15th Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using the Programming Languages of Open Science; the 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation; the 13th Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the 13th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 13th Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 11th Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the 13th Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 12th Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Tenth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Seventh Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; the Sixth Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; the Fourth Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation; the Fourth Symposium on Mesoscale Processes; the Third Symposium on Environmental Security; the Second Symposium on Cloud Physics; the First Conference on Fire Weather, Technology, and Risk; the Symposium on Radar Research to Operations; the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology; and the New Orleans Forum on Climate Linked Economics )

E105

39Hydro Utilizing Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning to Quantify Drought Risk Index in Thailand’s Agricultural Regions

Woranut Chansury, Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency, Lak si, 10, Thailand; and V. Bonnlerd, P. Nueangjumnong, P. Petchprayoon, Y. Chaweewong, V. KHETTAR, S. Noikeaing, P. Rattanaburi, A. Yutthapan, and S. Rattanasupa

E106

27AtChem TEMPO CLDO4 cloud algorithm and product

Huiqun wang, Harvard-Smithsonian Center For Astrophysics; Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, Cambridge, MA; and G. Gonzalez Abad, C. R. Nowlan, H. Chong, W. Hou, J. Park, X. Liu, K. Chance, J. Houck, D. E. Flittner, A. Vasilkov, E. S. Yang, J. Joiner, R. J. SPURR, W. Qin, Z. Fasnacht, and K. E. E. Knowland

E107

27AtChem Modeling the atmospheric transport and possible radiative impact of alumina aerosols emitted from the projected increase in annual satellite reentry emissions.

Christopher Maloney, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and R. Portmann, M. Ross, and K. H. Rosenlof

E108

38CVC The Influence of the North Atlantic Subtropical High on Atmospheric Rivers over the Eastern United States

Julia E. Finkhauser, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and University, Blacksburg, VA

E109

21OESS Advances in Integrated Calibration Validation System (ICVS) ATMS Instrument Performance and Science Data Quality Monitoring

E110

21OESS NESDIS Common Cloud Framework (NCCF) Products Operation Processes and Procedures

Zhaohui Cheng, NOAA, College Park, MD

E111

21OESS GOES-19 ABI Imagery at UW-Madison

Mathew Gunshor, CIMSS, Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and T. J. Schmit and J. P. Nelson III

E112

21OESS Scaling Satellite Ground Systems Leveraging Artificial Intelligence

Carter Long, Cognitive Space, Houston, TX; and J. Edmiston, T. Fleming, and D. Garner

Manuscript (3.6 MB)

E113

21OESS NOAA/NESDIS/GEO Satellite Applications Training and User Engagement

Sherrie Secunda Morris, NOAA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Lindsey, S. Goodman, S. Superczynski, and A. Latto

E114

21OESS Operational Implementation of DoD's WSF-M Satellite at FNMOC

Yiping Wang, FNMOC, MONTEREY, CA

E115

13WRN Cleveland Public Library Microclimate Study Initiative

Suzi M Perez, Cleveland Public Library, Cleveland, OH

E116

13WRN Service Equity Conference at WFO Indianapolis: Taking Results and Applying Towards Improvement to Products and Services

David L. Beachler, NWS, Indianapolis, IN; NWS, Indianapolis, IN; and S. L. Lashley

33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

Tuesday, 7 January 2025

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 7 January 2025

Saturday, 11 January 2025

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Saturday, 11 January 2025

Sunday, 12 January 2025

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Monday, 13 January 2025

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 13 January 2025

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Tuesday, 14 January 2025

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Wednesday, 15 January 2025

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Thursday, 16 January 2025

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2025

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Tuesday, 7 January 2025

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 7 January 2025

Saturday, 11 January 2025

7:30 PM-10:00 PM: Saturday, 11 January 2025

Sunday, 12 January 2025

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