Session 12B Model Evaluation

Wednesday, 15 January 2025: 4:30 PM-6:00 PM
207 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Cochairs:
Tomer Burg, EMC/NCEP, National Severe Storms Laboratory, College Park, MD and Stephanie E. Zick, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA

Papers:
4:30 PM
12B.1
Development and Evaluation of a Time-Lagged Ensemble of WRF-Downscaled CFSv2 Forecasts for Extended-Range Forecasts in South Korea
Subin Ha, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and E. S. Im and J. Hur

4:45 PM
12B.2
Evaluation of West-WRF with Noah-MP for Hydrometeorological Prediction in California
Samuel Dahl, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng, M. A. Brunke, D. F. Steinhoff, M. Simpson, and L. Delle Monache

5:00 PM
12B.3
Cloud/radiation deficiency in storm-scale NWP and application of reduced effective cloud droplet radius
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and E. P. James, D. D. Turner, K. A. Balmes, J. Sedlar, K. O. Lantz, A. Jensen, L. Riihimaki, and J. A. Augustine

5:15 PM
12B.4
Evolving the USAF’s Cloud Forecasting and Analysis Capabilities
Evan L. Kuchera, U.S. Air Force, 557th Weather Wing, Offutt AFB, NE; and S. I. Baker, J. Martinelli, B. T. Gallo, N. F. Wright, J. Luce, E. Hildebrand, J. R. Brown, M. Vaughan, M. Searls, W. T. Sedlacek, S. schulze, G. R. Brooks, and C. J. Melick, PhD

5:30 PM
12B.5
Verification of Marine Boundary Layer Forecasts in Atmospheric River Environments using Dropsonde Observations
Kevin M. Lupo, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and M. Simpson and F. M. Ralph

5:45 PM
12B.6
Benefits and Tradeoffs of Ensemble Resolution versus Ensemble Size for Orographic Precipitation Forecasts
Nora Rose Mascioli, SIO, San Diego, CA; and D. F. Steinhoff, M. Simpson, M. Ghazvinian, PhD, R. Weihs, C. Papadopoulos, and L. Delle Monache

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner