Session 9A Warn-on-Forecast System I: Verification

Wednesday, 15 January 2025: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Cochairs:
Jaret W. Rogers and Derek R. Stratman

Papers:
8:30 AM
9A.1
Verification of short-term thunderstorm rotation forecasts in the 1-km Warn-on-Forecast System
Christopher A. Kerr, CIWRO/NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, D. R. Stratman, H. E. Brooks, B. C. Matilla, Y. Wang, and N. Yussouf

8:45 AM
9A.2
Comparing Short-Term Thunderstorm Forecasts from the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) and the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR)
Patrick Skinner, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and D. R. Stratman, C. A. Kerr, B. C. Matilla, J. Martin, D. Dowell, T. A. Jones, M. L. Flora, J. E. Guerra, K. H. Knopfmeier, K. C. Britt, and N. Yussouf

9:00 AM
9A.3
Diagnosing MCS Forecast Errors in the Warn-on-Forecast System
Thomas J. Galarneau, NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, M. L. Flora, and K. C. Britt

9:15 AM
9A.4
Storm Displacement Errors in the Warn-on-Forecast System
Derek R. Stratman, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin, P. S. Skinner, and B. M. Lemke

9:30 AM
9A.5
What is Truth? Assessing the Impact of Biased Target Variables on Machine Learning Models of Severe Hail
Montgomery L. Flora, CIWRO; NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, C. K. Potvin, B. C. Matilla, and A. E. Reinhart

9:45 AM
9A.6
A Multi-Year Performance Evaluation of NSSL’s Warn-on-Forecast System Using Scorecards
Brian C. Matilla, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), NOAA NSSL, Norman, OK; and N. Yussouf, P. S. Skinner, K. H. Knopfmeier, J. Martin, and T. A. Jones

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
See more of: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
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