Session 7A Probabilistic Forecasting for Severe Weather

Tuesday, 14 January 2025: 1:45 PM-3:00 PM
206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Cochairs:
Victor A. Gensini, PhD, CCM, CIMMS, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Norman, OK and Alexander Kyle Mitchell, SUNY, Albany, NY

Papers:
1:45 PM
7A.1
An AI-Machine Learning Probabilities (AI-MLP) Forecast System for Hazardous Weather Prediction
Aaron J. Hill, Univ. of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology, Norman, OK; NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES), Norman, OK; and E. White and J. T. Radford

2:00 PM
7A.2
Machine Learning-Based Convective Hazard Guidance Using Convection-Allowing Ensembles at Medium-Range Lead-Times
Ryan A. Sobash, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Schwartz, D. A. Ahijevych, L. M. Harris, K. Y. Cheng, M. Morin, and L. Zhou

2:15 PM
7A.3
Extended Range Machine-Learning Severe Weather Guidance Based on the Operational GEFS
Adam J. Clark, NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. A. Hoogewind, A. J. Hill, and E. Loken

2:30 PM
7A.4
Updating the Watch-to-Warning Paradigm: Research, Development, and Testing the Future of Communication of Hazardous Weather in the United States
Kristin M. Calhoun, OU/CIWRO & NOAA/OAR/NSSL, NORMAN, OK; and E. D. Loken, T. Sandmael, P. A. Campbell, R. B. Steeves, C. N. Satrio, M. K. Silcott, R. Martz, D. Hogg, T. J. Galarneau, P. S. Skinner, J. W. Monroe, J. G. Madden, K. L. Berry, and A. W. Lyza

2:45 PM
Poster Preview
Katie Magee, Washington DC, DC; and K. Wood and E. C. Wolff IV

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
See more of: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
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