Session 5A Probabilistic Forecasting for Precipitation

Tuesday, 14 January 2025: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Cochairs:
Diana Rose Stovern, CIRES, WPC, College Park, MD and Michael Seaman

Papers:
8:30 AM
5A.1
Machine Learning Based Improvement of Precipitation Type Forecasts
Prabal Das, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; and Y. Zhang, N. Acharya, B. Veenhuis, P. E. Shafer, and T. M. Hamill

9:00 AM
5A.3
Probabilistic Tracking of Heavy Precipitation Objects on Sub-Hourly Timescales
NOAH S BRAUER, CIRES, NOAA/NWS WPC, Boulder, CO; and M. R. Green, A. T. King, M. J. Erickson, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

9:15 AM
5A.4
An Experimental Deep Learning-based Postprocessing Scheme for Producing Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
Yu Zhang, Univ. of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX; and X. Hu, M. Zhang, B. Veenhuis, P. E. Shafer, T. M. Hamill, and N. Acharya

9:30 AM
5A.5
Forecast Skill and Spread of Three Convection-Allowing Ensembles during the 2024 Spring Forecast Experiment
David Dowell, NOAA/GSL, Boulder, CO; and T. I. Alcott, J. Hamilton, T. T. Ladwig, and J. Dong

9:45 AM
5A.6
The Weather Prediction Center’s new Atmospheric River Experiment: Results and Future Plans
Tomer Burg, CIRES @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., J. A. Nelson Jr., and B. S. Albright

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