J2A Embracing Probabilistic Decision Support Services: Cases From the Field

Monday, 13 January 2025: 10:45 AM-12:00 PM
206 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the Symposium on Careers in Operational Government Meteorology and Hydrology )
Cochairs:
Christine Kruse, NWSFO, Salt Lake City, UT and Derek Dornsife

Papers:
10:45 AM
J2A.1
Spatial Clustering of Low Probability Events: Implications for Decision Support Services
Philip N. Schumacher, NWS Sioux Falls, Sioux Falls, SD; and C. Vaughn

11:00 AM
J2A.2
Utilizing Machine Learning and Probabilistic High Resolution Model Guidance to Improve Flash Flood Forecasts Across Southern Utah.
Michael Seaman, NWSFO, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Church and J. A. Cunningham

11:15 AM
Discussion

11:45 AM
Poster Preview
Katie Magee, Washington DC, DC; and K. Wood and E. C. Wolff IV

Evaluating Effectiveness and Applications of Probabilistic Messaging on Social Media: Cloud Cover Forecasts for the April 8th, 2024 Total Solar Eclipse

Specialized Probabilistic Mountain Weather Forecasts as an Embodiment of the Modernized Forecast Operations Concept (MFOC)

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
See more of: 33rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/29th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
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