Session 14 Advancing Tropical Cyclone Forecasting: Probabilistic Tools and Impact-Based Decision Support

Thursday, 16 January 2025: 10:45 AM-12:00 PM
342 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 13th Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation
Chair:
Matt R. Lanza, Spectrum Los Angeles, Meteorologist, Denver, CO
Cochairs:
Nicholas Albers, Western Illinois University; Abby Lee Bitterman, Center for Risk and Crisis Management, The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK and Matthew R. Beitscher, MS, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, VPPGB, Kansas City, MO

Papers:
10:45 AM
14.1
Hurricane Beryl: Maximum Wind Messaging Challenges and the Need for Wind Gust Exceedance Graphics
Lance Wood, NOAA, League City, TX; and P. Santos, M. DeMaria, R. Berg, and D. Brown

11:00 AM
14.2
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) Next Generation Wind Speed Probability (WSP) Model
Pablo Santos, NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Onderlinde, W. A. Hogsett, M. DeMaria, A. Brammer, K. Musgrave, and J. Martinez

11:15 AM
14.3
Probabilistic Guidance for Tropical Cyclone Wind Watches and Warnings
Samantha M Camposano, NHC, Miami, FL; and P. Santos, M. DeMaria, and M. J. Brennan

11:30 AM
14.4
The Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch at the National Hurricane Center - Providing the U.S. Coast Guard with Impact-based Decision Support Services to Keep Blue Water Mariners Safe
Christopher W. Landsea, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and E. Christensen and S. Konarik

11:45 AM
14.5
Location, Location, Location: Preempting the Answer to One of the Most Common Forecast Questions Asked By the Public
Abby Lee Bitterman, Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Krocak and J. Ripberger

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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