Some of the biggest unknowns in fire danger/behavior modeling pertain to live and dead fuel loads, as well as live fuel moisture (not only what the values are but also how they change throughout the year). Methods such as those used in the fire danger model in the operational OK-FIRE system in Oklahoma are largely unverified and based on the assumption that the dynamics and values of these variables (live herbaceous and woody loads, total 1-hr dead fuel load, and live herbaceous and woody fuel moisture) are a function of overall vegetation greenness (derived from satellite remote sensing in the case of OK-FIRE). In addition, these methods have largely ignored the effect of surface weather conditions (e.g., precipitation) on fuels as well as the effect of soil conditions (soil moisture and temperature). For example, in a recent article comparing measured soil moisture with remote sensing variables, Qi et al. (2012) showed observed variations in live fuel moisture throughout the year were best correlated with soil moisture. Soil moisture networks are increasing in spatial density across the country, yet the science to support the use of such data in fuel modeling is lacking.
A large multi-year grant ($332K) to study the dynamics of such fuel bed characteristics in grassland fuels was awarded to Oklahoma State University (OSU) by the Joint Fire Science Program in 2011. Using intensive biweekly field sampling from 2012 and 2013, dynamic vegetation models will be developed and later evaluated for grassland fuels under variable fire and grazing regimes. Variables to be modeled include live and dead herbaceous fuel loads, live to total fuel load ratio, and live fuel moisture. A variety of input data will be used for modeling purposes: weather and soil moisture data, and remote sensing data from satellites and a hand-held spectrometer.
After some initial discussion of the importance of these fuel bed variables to fire behavior and the uncertainties in modeling systems, the presentation will focus on the intensive field study of perennial grasslands underway at the OSU Range Research Station near Stillwater. Three pastures consisting of spatially and temporally variable fire and grazing are involved. Within each pasture (about 1/2 mile by 1/2 mile) are six unfenced sections (patches) of approximate dimension 1/6 by 1/4 mile. Each of these patches is burned in a three-year rotation (patch burning); two of the six patches are burned in any given year (summer, winter burns). With no internal fencing, patches are grazed preferentially according to the spatial-temporal burning pattern. The field study underway involves three patches (the summer burns) in each of the three pastures, for a total of nine patches. An Oklahoma Mesonet station adjacent to one of the pastures provides weather, soil temperature, and soil moisture data. Also, earlier installed digital precipitation gauges in each of the three pastures and soil moisture/temperature sensors in each of the nine studied patches provide additional localized data.
Grassland fuel bed properties have been sampled biweekly in each of these nine patches from May through December 2012 and since February 2013. Each sampling consists of field weighing of six separate live fuel and dead fuel clippings as well as the overall live-dead mix taken from within a 0.25 m2 quadrat at 12 locations along a transect (there are separate transects for each of the sampling weeks). From the separate live and dead fuel samples, live and dead fuel moisture can be calculated (after oven drying), and the live and dead fuel loads can be estimated using the constituent differential method. In addition, other variables are being measured, such as fuel bed depth, canopy reflectance in five different wavelength bands using a hand-held spectrometer, and surface-to-volume ratio. In 2013 we are also measuring biweekly, as an added bonus, live foliage moisture in eastern redcedar, an invasive species in grasslands, as well as the duff moisture content underneath the cedar.
Using data from this intensive field study, empirical dynamic models for various fuel bed parameters will be developed. Input variables for such models will include weather data (from the local Mesonet tower as well as on-site precipitation gauges), soil data (plant-available soil water and temperature), and vegetation indices from plant canopy reflectance data (collected by a hand-held spectrometer and by satellite). Later in the project these models will be evaluated at other grassland locations throughout Oklahoma. The presentation will conclude with brief mention of another related project involving unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). In conjunction with Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering at OSU, small UAVs will be designed and periodically flown over the FAA-approved section of land encompassing one of our pasture study sites. On-board sensors in the visible and infrared will be used to monitor fire behavior (e.g., location, flame length, rate of spread) of the periodic prescribed burns that take place, with a view toward developing a tool that fire departments can use operationally. In addition, UAVs will also be used in a research mode to further study fuel bed properties of grasslands needed for fire behavior modeling as well as atmospheric variables above and surrounding the prescribed fires.