Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology

Program Chairs: Timothy J. Brown , DRI ; Brian E. Potter , USDA Forest Service

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Monday, 14 October 2013

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5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 14 October 2013


Registration Opens
Location: Convention Center Side Foyer (Holiday Inn University Plaza)

Tuesday, 15 October 2013

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013


Registration Continues Throughout the Conference
Location: Convention Center Side Foyer (Holiday Inn University Plaza)

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Convention Center Side Foyer (Holiday Inn University Plaza)

10:30 AM-10:50 AM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013


Plenary Session 1
Welcome
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Cochairs: Timothy J. Brown, DRI; Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service

10:50 AM-11:50 AM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013

Recording files available
Session 1
Field Studies of Fire-Atmosphere Interactions
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Timothy J. Brown, DRI
10:50 AM
1.1
Photogrammetric analysis of a fire front passage with Doppler wind lidar
Braniff Allen Davis, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and C. Clements, J. Contezac, D. Hall, and D. Seto
Recorded Presentation

11:10 AM
1.2
Combustion Dynamics of Cattle Fecal Pats Ignited by Rangeland Fires
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK; and J. D. Scasta, J. R. Weir, and D. M. Engle
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
1.3
Atmospheric Measurements During a Prescribed Forest Burn at the Aiken AmeriFlux Site
Brian J. Viner, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and M. J. Parker, H. F. Duarte, G. Zhang, and M. Y. Leclerc

11:50 AM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013


Lunch break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013

Recording files available
Session 2
Fire Model and Decision Support Tools I
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Mika Peace, Bushfire CRC
2.1
Analysis of the Sensitivity of Mean and Turbulent Flow to a Simulated Low-Intensity Fire

1:30 PM
2.1A
Meteorological dynamics in a fire environment; a case study of the Layman prescribed burn in Western Australia
Mika Peace, Bushfire CRC, Adelaide, SA, Australia; and L. McCaw and G. Mills
Recorded Presentation

1:50 PM
2.2
Overview of Ongoing Field and Modeling Studies in Oklahoma for Dynamic Grassland Fuels
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK; and D. M. Engle, D. Twidwell, A. S. West, S. D. Fuhlendorf, and T. E. Ochsner
Recorded Presentation

2:10 PM
2.3
Examination of wind speed thresholds for vorticity-driven lateral fire spread
J.J. Sharples, University of New South Wales, CANBERRA BC, ACT, Australia; and J. P. Evans and C. C. Simpson
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Convention Center Side Foyer (Holiday Inn University Plaza)

3:00 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013


State of Science Discussion
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Moderator: Timothy J. Brown, DRI
3:00 PM
Discussion

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 15 October 2013


Poster Session 1
Posters
Location: Meeting Room 2 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service
1
Numerical Simulation of the Meteorological Conditions Above a Grassfire on a Slope
Michael T. Kiefer, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI; and W. E. Heilman, S. Zhong, J. L. Hom, and M. Patterson

Handout (15.2 MB)

2
Upgrades to the Great Lakes Fire and Fuels System
John Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and C. Galli and J. Pechmann

Handout (2.4 MB)

3
Firestorm: The Anatomy of a Southern Great Plains Wildfire Outbreak
T. Todd Lindley, NOAA/NWSFO, Amarillo, TX; and G. P. Murdoch and B. R. Smith

Handout (3.2 MB)

4
Environmental Factors Contributing to the Emergence of Southern Great Plains Wildfire Outbreaks
T. Todd Lindley, NOAA/NWSFO, Amarillo, TX; and G. P. Murdoch, B. R. Smith, and K. M. Van Speybroeck
Manuscript (745.3 kB)

Handout (4.2 MB)

5
Wildland Fire Management Research Development and Application Program

6
Observational and theoretical investigations of turbulent structures generated by low-Intensity prescribed fires in forested environments
Xindi Bian, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and W. E. Heilman, S. Zhong, M. Kiefer, J. J. Charney, J. L. Hom, K. L. Clark, N. S. Skowronski, M. Gallagher, and M. Patterson

7
Modelling the fire weather of Black Saturday
Robert JB Fawcett, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and W. Thurston, K. J. Tory, and J. D. Kepert

8
Meteorological Aspects of the Margaret River Fires on 23 November 2011
Jeffrey D. Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and R. J. Fawcett, W. Thurston, and K. J. Tory

9
Hands on demo of the Fire Weather Prediction Accuracy website
Stacy Drury, Sonoma Technology, Inc., Petaluma, CA; and M. Rorig, K. Craig, J. W. West, and N. Wheeler

10
BlueSky Smoke Modeling Tools Update: BlueSky v3.5, SmartFire v2, Playground v2, and BlueSky-Cloud
Narasimhan K. Larkin, USFS Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA; and S. Raffuse, T. Strand, S. M. O'Neill, M. Rorig, R. Solomon, T. J. Brown, A. Cavallaro, K. Craig, C. M. Beach, and J. Stilley

11
The interannual variability of the Haines Index over North America and its relationship to indicators of large-scale circulation anomalies
Lejiang Yu, Michigan State Univ., East Lansing, MI; and S. Zhong, X. Bian, W. E. Heilman, and J. J. Charney

12
Analysis of Weather Conditions and Smoke for 2002 Biscuit Fire in Southwest Oregon
Marlin Martinez, USDA, Seattle, WA; and B. E. Potter and S. O'Neill

Handout (7.0 MB)

Wednesday, 16 October 2013

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9:10 AM-10:10 AM: Wednesday, 16 October 2013

Recording files available
Session 3
Impacts of Weather and Climate on Wildfire I
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Nicholas J. Nauslar, SPC
9:10 AM
3.1
Recent Active Forest Fires and Fire Weather in Alaska
Hiroshi Hayasaka, Hokkaido Univ., Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (380.8 kB)

Handout (6.7 MB)

9:30 AM
3.2
Weather and Soil Moisture Impacts on Oklahoma Wildfires from 2000 to 2012
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK; and E. S. Krueger and T. E. Ochsner
Recorded Presentation

9:50 AM
3.3
The recipe for megafires in the Eastern US: the role of the temporal scales
Renaud Barbero, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and J. T. Abatzoglou, C. A. Kolden, and N. K. Larkin
Recorded Presentation

10:10 AM-10:40 AM: Wednesday, 16 October 2013


Coffee break
Location: Meeting Room 2 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)

10:40 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 16 October 2013

Recording files available
Session 4
Fire Model and Decision Support Tools II
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: J.J. Sharples, University of New South Wales
10:40 AM
4.1
Monitoring and Extracting Relevant Parameters to Detect Forest Fire Using Satellite Imagery
L. V. Narasimha Prasad, Vardhaman College of Engineering, Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India; and R. Kumar G

11:00 AM
4.2
The Canadian Forest Fire Emissions Prediction System
Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada
Recorded Presentation

11:20 AM
4.3
Real-Time Analysis of Fire Weather Prediction Accuracy
Stacy Drury, Sonoma Technology, Inc., Petaluma, CA; and M. Rorig, K. Craig, J. W. West, and N. Wheeler
Recorded Presentation

11:40 AM
4.4
Australian WRF-Sfire simulations show a fire changes the weather
Mika Peace, Bushfire CRC, Adelaide, SA, Australia; and G. Mills and T. Mattner
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM
Fire Weather and Behaviour in the Australian High-Country presented by Jason Sharples
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 16 October 2013

Recording files available
Conference Luncheon
Location: Salon B (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Speaker: Glen Conner, Western Kentucky Univ.
12:00 PM
Perceptions of Forest Affects on Climate (Invited Presentation)
Glen Conner, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY
Recorded Presentation

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 16 October 2013

Recording files available
Session 5
Smoke Model and Decision Support Tool Development
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service
1:30 PM
5.1
Modeling the impacts of alternative burning strategies on local and regional air quality
Aika Yano Davis, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. T. Odman
Recorded Presentation

1:50 PM
5.2
Using the High resolution VOC Atmospheric Chemistry in Canopies (Hi-VACC) Model to Simulate Smoke Dispersion from Forest Fires
William T. Kenny, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and E. K. Chatziefstratiou, W. E. Heilman, and G. Bohrer
Recorded Presentation

2:10 PM
5.3
BlueSky Playground: A Web-Based Smoke Modeling Decision Support Tool
Sean Raffuse, Sonoma Technology, Inc., Petaluma, CA; and N. K. Larkin, S. Huang, A. Cavallaro, and R. Solomon
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
5.4
The Joint Fire Science Program Smoke Line of Work and Smoke Science Plan: Context and Vision
Allen R. Riebau, Nine Points South Technical Pty Ltd, Clarkson, Australia; and D. G. Fox, C. Huber, and N. Thomas
Recorded Presentation

2:50 PM
5.5
Results from the JFSP Smoke Model Validation Workshop
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and C. B. Clements and N. K. Larkin
Recorded Presentation

3:10 PM
5.6
Establishing a national standard methodology for operational mixing height determination
Matthew G. Fearon, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown and G. M. Curcio
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 16 October 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Meeting Room 2 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)

4:00 PM-5:20 PM: Wednesday, 16 October 2013

Recording files available
Session 6
Impacts of Weather and Climate on Wildfire II
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University
4:00 PM
6.1
Chronicling Critical Fire Weather Patterns of the United States
Nick Nauslar, DRI, Reno, NV
Recorded Presentation

4:20 PM
6.2
Boundary-layer rolls and their potential impact on bushfires: a high resolution NWP case study
Kevin J. Tory, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and W. Thurston, R. J. Fawcett, and J. D. Kepert
Recorded Presentation

4:40 PM
6.3
Large eddy simulations of bushfire plumes in the turbulent atmospheric boundary layer
Will Thurston, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and K. J. Tory, R. J. Fawcett, and J. D. Kepert
Recorded Presentation

6.4
The Influence of Wind and Forest Combustible Material Properties on Forest Fires Spread
Valeriy Perminov, Tomsk Polytechnic Univ., Tomsk, Russia, Russia

5:00 PM
6.4A
The Influence of Dry Slots on Wildland Fire Growth during the 2011 Arizona Fire Season
Fred J. Schoeffler, U.S. Forest Service, Flagstaff, AZ
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (2.5 MB)

Handout (2.5 MB)

Thursday, 17 October 2013

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9:00 AM-10:20 AM: Thursday, 17 October 2013

Recording files available
Session 7
Systems Improvements and Operational Forecasting
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Chair: Will Thurston, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research
9:00 AM
7.1
The capability of meteorological models in identifying the conditions associated with large scale fire events
Paolo Fiorucci, CIMA Research Foundation, Savona, Italy; and B. M. Wotton, L. Molini, A. Parodi, and M. D'andrea
Recorded Presentation

9:20 AM
7.2
Verification of NWS Spot Forecasts for Prescribed Burns
Matthew Lammers, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Horel
Recorded Presentation

9:40 AM
7.3
Examining and Forecasting the North American Monsoon's Impact on Fire Activity in the Southwestern United States
Nick Nauslar, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown and C. Maxwell
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM
7.4
Ensemble Verification and Post-processing of Fire Weather Indices Using the NCEP SREF over the Northeast United States
Michael J. Erickson, SUNY/Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle and J. J. Charney
Recorded Presentation

10:20 AM-10:50 AM: Thursday, 17 October 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Meeting Room 2 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)

10:50 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 17 October 2013


Workshop
Networking and Discussion Groups
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology

12:00 PM-12:05 PM: Thursday, 17 October 2013


Conference Adjourns

12:10 PM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 17 October 2013


Session 8
Absentee Abstracts
Location: Meeting Room 1 (Holiday Inn University Plaza)
Host: Tenth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Radar analysis of the Las Conchas Fire
Scott L. Goodrick, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA; and R. R. Linn

Effects of Forest Overstory Vegetation on Near-Surface Atmospheric Turbulence during Surface Fire Events
Warren E. Heilman, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and X. Bian, C. B. Clements, D. Seto, M. T. Kiefer, S. Zhong, and K. L. Clark

A simple theoretical model of the transition to flame attachment
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA

Where the Wind Doesn't Blow: A Climatology of Air Stagnation Events in the United States

Sensitivity Analysis of Surface Smoke Concentrations to Variations in Fuels, Consumption, Emission Factors, Plume Rise, and Emissions Timing

A Short-Term Predictor of Satellite-Observed Fire Activity in the North American Boreal Forest: Toward Improving the Prediction of Smoke Emissions

The impact of climate change on fire weather over North America as projected by multiple regional climate models in NARCCAP
Ying Tang, Michigan State Univ., East Lansing, MI; and L. Luo, S. Zhong, X. Bian, and W. E. Heilman

Coupled atmosphere/topography effects on fire behavior

Biases in modeled vs. observed fire danger weather variables
Miriam Rorig, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. Drury, K. Craig, and N. Wheeler

The sensitivity of fire-behavior and smoke-dispersion indices to the diagnosed mixed-layer depth
Joseph J. Charney, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and D. Keyser

Updates to the Weather Information Management System (WIMS), FireFamilyPlus, and the National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS)

The Role of Moisture on Combustion of Pyrolysis Gases in Wildland Fires
Selina C. Ferguson, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and A. Dahale, B. Shotorban, S. Mahalingam, and D. R. Weise

Effects of heating mechanisms and moisture content on live fuel ignition: initial results
David R. Weise, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and T. H. Fletcher, S. McAllister, W. M. Jolly, S. Mahalingam, B. Shotorban, J. Gallacher, B. L. Yashwanth, S. C. Ferguson, D. Jack, and V. Lansinger

Exploring a simple fire weather index in the Pacific Northwest
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and M. Gonzalez Jr.

A new simple fire weather index

Friday, 18 October 2013

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9:00 AM-5:00 PM: Friday, 18 October 2013


Mammoth Cave National Park Field Trip
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