Session 9 |
| | Modeling and Verification |
| | Organizers: Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; Jennifer L. Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL
|
| 8:00 AM | 9.1 | Preliminary results of WRF model performance as a step towards the NCEP Rapid Refresh cycle  
Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown and S. G. Benjamin |
| 8:15 AM | 9.2 | The design and evaluation of a measure of forecast consistency for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product
Michael P. Kay, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/SFL, Boulder, CO |
| 8:30 AM | 9.3 | Current Icing Potential (CIP) severity index
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, B. G. Brown, and J. L. Mahoney |
| 8:45 AM | 9.4 | New verification approaches for convective weather forecasts
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. R. Bullock, C. A. Davis, J. H. Gotway, M. Chapman, A. Takacs, E. Gilleland, J. L. Mahoney, and K. Manning |
| 9:00 AM | 9.5 | Hierarchy of microphysical parameterizations suitable for cloud and mesoscale forecast models
William D. Hall, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and G. Thompson |
| 9:15 AM | 9.6 | Explicit model forecasts of supercooled water and application to icing case studies from research field campaigns
Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and I. Geresdi |
| 9:30 AM | 9.7 | Development of NCEP's Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model within WRF: Description and forecast guidance
Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pyle, Z. Janjic, and H. Y. Chuang |
| 9:45 AM | 9.8 | Defining observation fields for verification of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP): Part 2
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. Seseske, J. E. Hart, M. P. Kay, and B. G. Brown |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:30 AM | 9.10 | Numerical simulations of the wake of Kauai with implications for the Helios flights
T. P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, R. G. Frehlich, J. M. Brown, J. T. Madura, and L. J. Ehernberger |
| 10:45 AM | 9.11 | Aviation forecast products using the 10-km meso-scale model (MSM)
Jun Ryuzaki, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Yamada, S. I. Takada, A. Kudo, and K. Niimi |
| 11:00 AM | 9.12 | AUTOTREND – Automated guidance for short-term aviation weather forecasts
Albert J.M. Jacobs, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; and N. Maat |
| 11:15 AM | 9.13 | Assimilation of METAR cloud and visibility observations in the RUC
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, W. R. Moninger, B. Schwartz, E. J. Szoke, and K. Brundage |
| 11:30 AM | 9.14 | An Experiment to Measure the Value of Statistical Probability Forecasts for Aerodromes
Ross Keith, Bureau of Meteorology and James Cook Univ., Townsville, Australia; and S. M. Leyton |
| 11:45 AM | 9.15 | An introduction to NCEP SREF aviation project
Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, J. McQueen, G. Dimego, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, Z. Toth, H. Juang, M. Hart, J. Han, and J. Du |