11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Session 9

 Modeling and Verification
 Organizers: Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; Jennifer L. Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL
8:00 AM9.1Preliminary results of WRF model performance as a step towards the NCEP Rapid Refresh cycle  extended abstract wrf recording
Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown and S. G. Benjamin
8:15 AM9.2The design and evaluation of a measure of forecast consistency for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product  extended abstract wrf recording
Michael P. Kay, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/SFL, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM9.3Current Icing Potential (CIP) severity index  extended abstract wrf recording
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, B. G. Brown, and J. L. Mahoney
8:45 AM9.4New verification approaches for convective weather forecasts  extended abstract wrf recording
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. R. Bullock, C. A. Davis, J. H. Gotway, M. Chapman, A. Takacs, E. Gilleland, J. L. Mahoney, and K. Manning
9:00 AM9.5Hierarchy of microphysical parameterizations suitable for cloud and mesoscale forecast models  extended abstract wrf recording
William D. Hall, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and G. Thompson
9:15 AM9.6Explicit model forecasts of supercooled water and application to icing case studies from research field campaigns  
Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and I. Geresdi
9:30 AM9.7Development of NCEP's Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model within WRF: Description and forecast guidance  extended abstract wrf recording
Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pyle, Z. Janjic, and H. Y. Chuang
9:45 AM9.8Defining observation fields for verification of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP): Part 2  extended abstract wrf recording
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. Seseske, J. E. Hart, M. P. Kay, and B. G. Brown
10:00 AMCoffee Break  
10:30 AM9.10Numerical simulations of the wake of Kauai with implications for the Helios flights  extended abstract
T. P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, R. G. Frehlich, J. M. Brown, J. T. Madura, and L. J. Ehernberger
10:45 AM9.11Aviation forecast products using the 10-km meso-scale model (MSM)  extended abstract wrf recording
Jun Ryuzaki, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Yamada, S. I. Takada, A. Kudo, and K. Niimi
11:00 AM9.12AUTOTREND Automated guidance for short-term aviation weather forecasts  extended abstract
Albert J.M. Jacobs, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; and N. Maat
11:15 AM9.13Assimilation of METAR cloud and visibility observations in the RUC  extended abstract wrf recording
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, W. R. Moninger, B. Schwartz, E. J. Szoke, and K. Brundage
11:30 AM9.14An Experiment to Measure the Value of Statistical Probability Forecasts for Aerodromes  extended abstract wrf recording
Ross Keith, Bureau of Meteorology and James Cook Univ., Townsville, Australia; and S. M. Leyton
11:45 AM9.15 An introduction to NCEP SREF aviation project  extended abstract wrf recording
Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, J. McQueen, G. Dimego, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, Z. Toth, H. Juang, M. Hart, J. Han, and J. Du

Thursday, 7 October 2004: 8:00 AM-12:00 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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