Session 8 Polar Weather and Climate Modeling (II): Arctic Cyclones and Prediction

Thursday, 3 June 2021: 1:15 PM-2:15 PM
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs:
Edward Blanchard and Kevin A. Biernat, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY

Papers:
1:15 PM
Welcoming Remarks

1:20 PM
8.1
Towards Understanding Data Assimilation Impacts on Arctic Cyclone Predictability through Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis (ESA) and Observation System Experiments (OSE)
Aaron Johnson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang

1:30 PM
8.2
Impact of Data Assimilation and Model Physics on the Predictability of the 2012 Great Arctic Cyclone
Zhihong Chen, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang and A. Johnson

1:40 PM
8.3
Arctic Cyclone Sensitivity and Predictability Barriers
James D. Doyle, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and M. G. Fearon, P. M. Finocchio, and C. Amerault

1:50 PM
8.4
Impact of Upstream Tropopause Polar Vortex Observations on the Evolution of Twin Arctic Cyclones in June 2020
Tomer Burg, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo

2:00 PM
8.5
Improving the forecast of an extreme Arctic Cyclone in August 2016 with WRF 4DVAR
Junmei Ban, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Z. Liu, D. H. Bromwich, and L. Bai

2:10 PM
Poster Session 3: Welcoming Remarks

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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