Session 13 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography

Program Chairs: Alice DuVivier ; Patricia DeRepentigny ; Edward Blanchard ; Mitch Bushuk

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Tuesday, 1 June 2021

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12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Tuesday, 1 June 2021


Session 1
High Latitude Physical Processes (I): Atmospheric Processes
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Alice DuVivier; Gina Jozef
12:00 PM
Welcoming Remarks

12:05 PM
1.1
Meteorological Conditions During the MOSAiC Expedition: Normal or unusual?
John J. Cassano, NSIDC, Boulder, CO; and A. Rinke, E. N. Cassano, R. Jaiser, and D. Handorf

12:15 PM
1.2
Structure and Surface Impacts of Arctic Cyclones During MOSAiC
P. Ola G. Persson, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and M. D. Shupe, A. B. Solomon, C. J. Cox, B. W. Blomquist, J. Hutchings, D. Perovich, M. Maturilli, J. Graeser, J. Haapala, and G. de Boer

12:25 PM
1.3
Recent Upper Arctic Ocean Warming Expedited by a Summertime Internal Atmospheric Process
Zhe Li, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and Q. Ding, M. Steele, and A. Schweiger

12:35 PM
1.4
Is there a role of the Beaufort Sea high pressure in very rapid sea ice loss events?
Madeline Clark Frank, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo

12:45 PM
1.5
Climatology of Multilayered Temperature Inversions in the Arctic Lower Troposphere
Daniel Watkins, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and J. Hutchings

12:55 PM
Discussion

1:00 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 1 June 2021


On Demand Content Viewing/Break

1:15 PM-2:15 PM: Tuesday, 1 June 2021


Session 2
High Latitude Physical Processes (II): Arctic Processes
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Cecilia Peralta Ferriz; Patricia DeRepentigny
1:15 PM
Welcoming Remarks

1:20 PM
2.1
Atmospheric Sensitivity to Marginal-Ice-Zone Drag: Local and Global Responses
Ian A. Renfrew, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and A. Elvidge and J. Edwards

1:30 PM
2.2
Realism of Simulated Internal Variability in Arctic Sea Ice
Christopher Wyburn-Powell, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO; and A. Jahn and M. R. England

1:40 PM
2.3
Simulation of Arctic Lead Generated Cloud Fluxes and Evaluation of Assumed PDF Boundary Layer Cloud Models
Jackson Paladin Yip, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and C. Strong, S. K. Krueger, and X. Li

1:50 PM
2.4
The impact of denying sea ice thickness initial information on the water mass formation in the Arctic Ocean
Leandro Ponsoni, Université catholique de Louvain (UCLouvain), Louvain-la-Neuve, WBR, Belgium; UCLouvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; and D. Flocco, F. E. Massonnet, T. Fichefet, E. Hawkins, and D. Feltham

2:00 PM
2.5
Transient and equilibrium responses of the ocean’s overturning circulation to warming in coupled climate models
David Bonan, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and A. Thompson, E. Newsom, S. Sun, and M. Rugenstein

2:10 PM
Poster Session 1: Welcoming Remarks

2:15 PM-2:45 PM: Tuesday, 1 June 2021


Networking Breakouts

2:45 PM-3:45 PM: Tuesday, 1 June 2021


Poster Session 1
16Polar: Tuesday Poster Session
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
A 1950-2100 Re-Evaluation of the Arctic Ocean Freshwater Budget’s Atmospheric Component
Victoria Ford, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and O. Frauenfeld

Coupling of sea ice and ocean components in Earth System Models
David A. Bailey, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Holland and G. Marques

Analytical and Cloud Model Analysis of Vertical Vorticity Generation by Terrain
Terrence Corrigan, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and S. Businger

A Comparison of Fully-Coupled and Reanalysis-Forced Simulations of the Effect of Arctic Cyclones on Short-Term Sea-Ice Evolution
Daniel P. Stern, UCAR, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, N. Barton, P. M. Finocchio, and W. Komaromi

Mesoscale Evaluation of AMPS Using AWARE Radar Observations of a Wind and Precipitation Event over the Ross Island Region of Antarctica
David E. Kingsmill, NSIDC, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Seefeldt and J. J. Cassano

Predicting Cloud Liquid Water and Cloud Ice for Pristine Coastal Antarctica
Keith Hines, Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich, I. Silber, L. M. Russell, and L. Bai

The impact of Föhn conditions across the Antarctic Peninsula in AWS measurements and model simulations.
Amelie Kirchgaessner, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and J. King, P. Anderson, A. Gadian, and T. Phillips

The Impact of Assimilated Transformed Retrievals on the July 2020 Arctic Cyclone
Thomas J. Dunn, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and S. Businger

From the Mountains to the Penguins in the Deep Blue Sea: Importance of Atmospheric Forcing Resolution to the Simulation of the Ocean for a Biological Hotspot off the Antarctic Peninsula
Michael Dinniman, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA; and K. Hudson, J. Klinck, J. Kohut, C. Moffat, M. Oliver, M. Passacantando, H. Statscewich, J. Veatch, and X. Wang

An Estimation of Arctic Ocean Heat Convergence
Wieslaw Maslowski, NPS, Monterey, CA; and Y. Lee, M. Watts, J. Clement Kinney, M. Veneziani, and R. Osinski

Regional Arctic Sea Ice Prediction Skill and Predictability in Dynamical Forecast Systems
Mitch Bushuk, GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and Y. Zhang, M. Winton, B. Hurlin, T. Delworth, F. Lu, L. Jia, L. Zhang, W. Cooke, M. Harrison, N. Johnson, S. KAPNICK, C. McHugh, H. Murakami, A. Rosati, K. C. Tseng, A. Wittenberg, X. Yang, and F. Zeng

Potential Fram Strait circulation feedback freshens the Arctic Ocean
Tarun Verma, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and W. Weijer, J. Zhang, W. Kim, W. Maslowski, and M. Veneziani

3:45 PM-4:45 PM: Tuesday, 1 June 2021


Session 3
High Latitude Physical Processes (III): Antarctic Processes
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Hansi Singh, University of Washington; Alice DuVivier
3:45 PM
Welcoming Remarks

3:50 PM
3.1
Major Surface Melting over the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica
Xun Zou, Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich, M. Alvaro, S. H. Wang, and L. Bai

4:00 PM
3.2
Measuring Antarctic Snowfall and it's Relationship to Synoptic Conditions
Adrian J. McDonald, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New zealand

4:10 PM
3.3
On the crucial role of atmospheric rivers in the two major Weddell Polynya events in 1973 and 2017 in Antarctica.
Diana FRANCIS, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi, AZ, United Arab Emirates; and K. Mattingly, M. Temimi, R. Massom, and P. Heil

4:20 PM
3.4
Assessing Physical Relationships Between Forcing Mechanisms and Boundary Layer Variability at McMurdo Station, Antarctica
Mckenzie Dice, University of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO; CIRES, Boulder, CO; NSIDC, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Cassano

4:30 PM
3.5
An Extreme High Temperature Event in Coastal East Antarctica
John Turner, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United kingdom

Wednesday, 2 June 2021

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12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Wednesday, 2 June 2021


Session 4
High Latitude Earth System Dynamics and Coupled Interactions (I): Arctic System
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Tristan L’Ecuyer, University of Washington; Christopher Wyburn-Powell
12:00 PM
Welcoming Remarks

12:05 PM
4.1
Characteristics of Long Track Tropopause Polar Vortices
Matthew Bray, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo

12:15 PM
4.2
Modulation of North Atlantic Polar Low Activity by Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs)
Chuan-Chieh Chang, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, J. Walsh, and P. Stoll

12:25 PM
4.3
Lagrangian Simulations of Arctic Cold Air Outbreak Cloud Systems over the Greenland and Norwegian Seas
Steven K. Krueger, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Maric, X. Li, and G. G. Mace

12:35 PM
4.4
Arctic Atmospheric Boundary Layer Regimes Observed using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) during the MOSAiC Expedition
Gina Jozef, NSIDC, Boulder, CO; CIRES, Boulder, CO; University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Cassano, G. de Boer, D. Lawrence, J. Hamilton, R. Calmer, B. Argrow, S. Borenstein, A. Doddi, J. Schmale, and A. Preußer

12:45 PM
4.5
Surface Heat and Moisture Exchange in the Marginal Ice Zone: Observations and a New Parameterization Scheme for Weather and Climate Models
Andrew D. Elvidge, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United kingdom; and I. A. Renfrew, I. M. Brooks, P. Srivastava, M. J. Yelland, and J. Prytherch

12:55 PM
Discussion and Poster Session 2: Welcoming Remarks

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Wednesday, 2 June 2021


Poster Session 2
16Polar: Wednesday Poster Session
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
The Iceland Greenland Seas Project
Ian A. Renfrew, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and R. Pickart, K. Vage, and G. Moore

The Use of Far Infrared Spectral Measurements in Understanding Arctic Climate Change
Meredith Grames, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and A. Merrelli, N. B. Miller, and T. L'Ecuyer

Inhomogeneity of the Surface Air Temperature Record from Halley, Antarctica
John C. King, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United kingdom; and J. Turner, S. Colwell, H. Lu, A. Orr, T. Phillips, J. S. Hosking, and G. Marshall

Snowfall Regimes at two Distinct Sites in Scandinavia
Julia Alexandra Shates, University of Wisconsin- Madison, Madison, WI; and C. Pettersen, T. L'Ecuyer, S. J. Cooper, M. Kulie, and N. B. Wood

Need for Austere Arctic Capable Weather Sensors in Interior Alaska to Improve Aviation Safety and the Available Meteorological Sensing Network
James M. Feiccabrino, Lund University, Fairbanks, AK

OSE with ARPEGE-SH during the YOPP-SH SOP
Eric Bazile, Météo-France/CNRS CNRM-UMR3589, Toulouse, France; and V. Guidard, N. Fourrié, and H. Bénichou

A new assessment of regional sea ice changes from a revised passive microwave climate data record of sea ice extent and area
Walter N. Meier, NSIDC, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Stewart, A. Windnagel, and F. Fetterer

Towards a better low-level cloud retrieval in the Arctic Ocean
Xia Li, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and G. G. Mace, S. K. Krueger, and C. Strong

Waves in the Marginal Ice Zone: Insights from In Situ Observations and Modeling
Vincent T. Cooper, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. A. Roach, J. Thomson, S. D. Brenner, and C. M. Bitz

Creating datasets with observations at Arctic 'supersites' for use in model process studies, the MODF framework and preliminary MOSAiC results
Michael Gallagher, NOAA, Boulder, CO; CIRES, Boulder, CO; and T. Uttal, M. D. Shupe, C. J. Cox, P. O. G. Persson, and L. M. Hartten

Large-eddy simulation of the turbulent flow around RV Polarstern during MOSAiC
Robert Rauterkus, Leibniz University Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and B. Maronga

The Challenge and Promise of Hyperspectral Data Assimilation in the Case of the 2020 Arctic Cyclone
Paolo Antonelli, AdaptiveMeteo S.r.l., Milano, Italy; and T. Cherubini, P. Scaccia, and S. Businger

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 2 June 2021


Session 5
High Latitude Earth System Dynamics and Coupled Interactions (II): Coupled Interactions
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Lettie A. Roach, University of Washington; Alice DuVivier
2:00 PM
Welcoming Remarks

2:05 PM
5.1
Composite Analyses of Low-Skill Arctic Cyclones during Summer
Kevin A. Biernat, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and D. Keyser

2:15 PM
5.2
The Influence of Arctic Clouds on SST in CESM2
Anne Sledd, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and T. L'Ecuyer and J. Kay

2:25 PM
5.3
Clouds Amplify Mechanisms of Southern Ocean Heat Uptake
Ariel Morrison, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and H. K. A. Singh and P. Rasch

2:35 PM
5.4
Mushy Ice and Saltier Seas: Coupled Impacts of Sea Ice Thermodynamics in Antarctic Coastal Regions
Alice DuVivier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Holland, L. L. Landrum, H. Singh, and D. A. Bailey

2:45 PM
5.5
Evaluation of the atmospheric and oceanic forcing of sea ice at DDU, East Antarctica using in situ, remotely sensed, and modeling data
Jack B Stone, University of Delaware, Middletown, DE; and D. E. Veron and T. L. DeLiberty

2:55 PM
Discussion

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 2 June 2021


Networking Breakouts

3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 2 June 2021


Session 6
High Latitude Earth System Dynamics and Coupled Interactions (III): Antarctic System
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Marilyn Raphael, University of Washington; Marta Wenta
3:30 PM
Welcoming Remarks

3:35 PM
6.1
Observations and Numerical Modelling of the Influence of Glacial Meltwater Influx on Water Circulation and Properties in Admiralty Bay, Antarctica
Maria Osińska, University of Gdansk, Gdansk, PM, Poland

3:45 PM
6.2
Low Antarctic Continental Climate Sensitivity due to High Ice Sheet Orography
Hansi K. A. Singh, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and L. Polvani

3:55 PM
6.3
Investigating the impact of the Southern Annular Mode on ice-shelf basal melt in Antarctica using a regional ocean model forced by reanalysis data
Deborah Verfaillie, Université Catholique de Louvain (UCL), Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; and C. Pelletier, H. Goosse, N. Jourdain, V. Favier, J. Wille, Q. Dalaiden, and T. Fichefet

4:05 PM
6.4
Successive intense cyclones triggered the September 2019 Amery Ice Shelf calving through ocean slope forcing
Kyle Mattingly, Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, Piscataway, NJ; and D. FRANCIS, S. Lhermitte, M. Temimi, and P. Heil

4:15 PM
6.5
Study of Antarctic blowing snow storms using MODIS and CALIOP observations with a machine learning model
Yuekui Yang, NASA, Greenbelt, MD

Thursday, 3 June 2021

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12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Thursday, 3 June 2021


Session 7
Polar Weather and Climate Modeling (I): Polar Prediction and Modeling
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Mitch Bushuk; Patricia DeRepentigny
12:00 PM
Welcoming Remarks

12:05 PM
7.1
Sea ice Freeboard or Thickness? Design Choices in the Context of Data Assimilation in the Coupled Seasonal Prediction System EC-Earth3 for Seasonal Arctic Sea ice Prediction.
François E. Massonnet, UCLouvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; and S. Fleury, F. Garnier, E. Blockley, P. Ortega, J. Acosta, L. Ponsoni, and F. Klein

12:15 PM
7.2
Improving short-term forecasts of the Arctic ocean-sea ice-atmosphere coupled system using observations from the MOSAiC campaign
Amy B. Solomon, CIRES, Boulder, CO

12:25 PM
7.3
Assessments of the impact of snow depth and freeboard products on the performance on sea ice forecasts.
Thomas Kaminski, The Inversion Lab, Hamburg, Germany

12:35 PM
7.4
Evaluating short-term forecasts from coupled models: a focus on the Iceland and Greenland Seas
Chris Barrell, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and I. A. Renfrew, S. Abel, A. Elvidge, and J. King

12:45 PM
7.5
YOPPSiteMIP: The YOPP Site Model Inter-comparison Project
Jonathan Day, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and G. Svensson, B. Casati, T. Uttal, Ø. Godøy, L. M. Hartten, A. B. Solomon, E. Bazile, T. Valkonen, M. Tolstykh, H. Frank, S. J. Khalsa, E. Akish, R. Pirazzini, and E. O'Connor

12:55 PM
Discussion

1:00 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 3 June 2021


On Demand Content Viewing/Break

1:15 PM-2:15 PM: Thursday, 3 June 2021


Session 8
Polar Weather and Climate Modeling (II): Arctic Cyclones and Prediction
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Edward Blanchard; Kevin A. Biernat, University at Albany, SUNY
1:15 PM
Welcoming Remarks

1:20 PM
8.1
Towards Understanding Data Assimilation Impacts on Arctic Cyclone Predictability through Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis (ESA) and Observation System Experiments (OSE)
Aaron Johnson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang

1:30 PM
8.2
Impact of Data Assimilation and Model Physics on the Predictability of the 2012 Great Arctic Cyclone
Zhihong Chen, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang and A. Johnson

1:40 PM
8.3
Arctic Cyclone Sensitivity and Predictability Barriers
James D. Doyle, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and M. G. Fearon, P. M. Finocchio, and C. Amerault

1:50 PM
8.4
Impact of Upstream Tropopause Polar Vortex Observations on the Evolution of Twin Arctic Cyclones in June 2020
Tomer Burg, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo

2:00 PM
8.5
Improving the forecast of an extreme Arctic Cyclone in August 2016 with WRF 4DVAR
Junmei Ban, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Z. Liu, D. H. Bromwich, and L. Bai

2:10 PM
Poster Session 3: Welcoming Remarks

2:15 PM-2:45 PM: Thursday, 3 June 2021


Networking Breakouts

2:45 PM-3:45 PM: Thursday, 3 June 2021


Poster Session 3
16Polar: Thursday Poster Session
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Implications of land surface thaw on moisture transport into the Arctic
Matthew G. Fearon, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle and P. M. Finocchio

An evaluation of surface meteorology and fluxes over the Iceland and Greenland Seas in ERA5 reanalysis: the impact of sea ice distribution
Ian A. Renfrew, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and C. Barrell and A. Elvidge

Variability and trends of Pacific Arctic atmospheric circulation according to an updated Alaska Blocking Index
Thomas J. Ballinger, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and J. Walsh, P. A. Bieniek, and J. McLeod

The Impacts of Stratospheric Variability on Tropopause Polar Vortices: Case Studies of the 2018 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event and the 2020 Strong Vortex Event
Cameron Raymond Paquette, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and A. L. Lang

Reconstructing seasonal Antarctic sea ice extent during the 20th century
Ryan L. Fogt, Ohio University, Athens, OH

Contribution of Atmospheric Rivers to Antarctic Ice Sheet Snowfall
Jan Lenaerts, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. Maclennan, C. Shields, and J. Wille

The Lagged Impact of Autumn Surface Temperature Conditions on the Wintertime Beaufort High.
Maria-Fernanda Nieto Lozano, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and G. Moore

Anticyclonic tropopause polar vortices and poleward-breaking Rossby waves
Joseph Burzdak, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo and D. Parsons

Trajectories of extratropical cyclones formed in the Antarctic Peninsula
Mariana Monteiro dos Santos Gandra, Federal Institute of Santa Catarina, Martinho Campos, Brazil; and M. F. L. D. QUADRO and L. P. Pezzi

Atmospheric Drivers of Melt on Larsen C Ice Shelf: Surface Energy Budget Regimes and the Impact of Foehn
Andrew D. Elvidge, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United kingdom; and P. Kuipers Munneke, J. King, I. A. Renfrew, and E. Gilbert

Examining a Relationship Between Tropopause Polar Vortex Intensity and Warm Conveyor Belt Strength
Jonathan Thornton, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo and M. B. Gomes

The Critical Role of Euro-Atlantic Blocking in Promoting Snowfall in Central Greenland
Claire Pettersen, Space Science and Engineering Center, Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and S. Henderson, K. Mattingly, R. Bennartz, and M. Breeden

3:45 PM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 3 June 2021


Session 9
Polar Weather and Climate Modeling (III): Process-Level Model Evaluation
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Alice DuVivier; Ian Baxter, ucsb
3:45 PM
Welcoming Remarks

3:50 PM
9.1
Ice and Mixed-Phase Cloud Characteristics over McMurdo, Antarctica and the Southern Ocean
Minghui Diao, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and C. A. Yang, J. P. Yip, T. Barone, A. Gettelman, I. Silber, K. Zhang, and J. Sun

4:00 PM
9.2
Evaluation of NWP models results in the Ross Sea (Antarctica) and Bay of Bothnia (Baltic Sea) based on small unmanned aerial system (sUAS) measurements.
Marta Wenta, University of Gdansk, Gdynia, MA, Poland; and A. Herman

4:10 PM
9.3
On the Variability and Trend of Weddell Sea Polynyas in High-Resolution CESM-iHESP simulations
Xiliang Diao, Texas A&M University, college station, TX; and A. Stoessel, P. Chang, G. Danabasoglu, S. Yeager, R. J. Small, S. Zhang, A. Gopal, and H. Wang

4:20 PM
9.4
Cloudier, Warmer, and Rainier: A Look at the Arctic Mean State in the Updated Community Earth System Model
Elin McIlhattan, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI; and J. Kay and T. L'Ecuyer

4:30 PM
9.5
Summertime atmosphere–sea ice coupling in the Arctic simulated by CMIP5/6 models: Importance of large-scale circulation
Qinghua Ding, 2305 pacific coast drive, GOLETA, CA

Friday, 4 June 2021

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12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Friday, 4 June 2021


Session 10
High Latitude Variability and Change (I): Arctic Change
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: David Bonan, University of Washington; Patricia DeRepentigny
12:00 PM
Welcoming Remarks

12:05 PM
10.1
A Comparison of the Predictability of Arctic and Atlantic Basin Cyclones
Peyton K. Capute, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

12:15 PM
10.2
Tropical Influences on Greenland Surface Conditions over the Past 400 Years
Daniel Topal, Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Budapest, PE, Hungary; University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and Q. Ding and T. J. Ballinger

12:25 PM
10.3
Diagnosing High Sinuosity Regimes Associated with Greenland Ice-Melt Events
Mansour El Riachy, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. F. Bosart

12:35 PM
10.4
Constructing a Synoptic Climatology of Greenland Surface Ice-Melt Events using Self-Organizing Maps
Scott W. Feldman, SUNY, Albany, NY

12:45 PM
10.5
An Analysis of Complex Polar-Midlatitude-Tropical Interactions that Culminated in the Largest Greenland Surface Ice-Melt Event of 2019
Lance F. Bosart, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and S. W. Feldman and D. Keyser

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Friday, 4 June 2021


Session 11
High Latitude Variability and Change (II): Polar-Extra Polar Connections
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Chair: Alice DuVivier
1:00 PM
Welcoming Remarks

1:05 PM
11.1
Increasing Large Wildfires over the Western United States Linked to Diminishing Sea Ice in the Arctic
Yufei Zou, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and P. Rasch, H. Wang, Z. Xie, and R. Zhang

1:15 PM
11.2
Enhanced early 21st century Arctic sea ice loss due to CMIP6 biomass burning emissions
Patricia DeRepentigny, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and A. Jahn, M. M. Holland, J. Fasullo, J. F. Lamarque, C. Hannay, M. Mills, D. A. Bailey, S. Tilmes, and A. Barrett

1:25 PM
11.3
Roles of Aerosols in Modulating Arctic Warming since the 1980s
Hailong Wang, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and L. Ren, Y. Yang, M. Wu, R. Zhang, and P. Rasch

1:35 PM
11.4
The recent emergence of Arctic Amplification
Mark Ross England, SIO, La Jolla, NC; and I. Eisenman, N. J. Lutsko, and T. Wagner

1:45 PM
11.5
Radical Uncertainty in the Arctic
James E. Overland, noaa pmel, Seattle, WA

2:00 PM-2:30 PM: Friday, 4 June 2021


Networking Breakouts

2:30 PM-3:30 PM: Friday, 4 June 2021


Session 12
High Latitude Variability and Change (III): CMIP6 Analyses
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
CoChair: Elin McIlhattan
2:30 PM
Welcoming Remarks

2:35 PM
12.1
Bjerknes Compensation in a Changing Climate
Prajvala Kishore Kurtakoti, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and W. Weijer and M. Veneziani

2:45 PM
12.2
Evaluation of the Arctic Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6
Mark W. Seefeldt, NSIDC, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Cassano, E. Valkonen, and E. N. Cassano

2:55 PM
12.3
Sensitivity of Arctic Sea Ice Extent to Temperature in CMIP6 models
Robin Clancy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Smith and M. K. Brennan

3:05 PM
12.4
Twenty first century changes in Antarctic and Southern Ocean surface climate in CMIP6
Thomas John Bracegirdle, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United kingdom; and G. Krinner, M. Tonelli, A. Haumann, K. Naughten, T. Rackow, L. A. Roach, and I. C. Wainer

3:15 PM
12.5
Interpreting CMIP6 projections of 21st century Antarctic sea ice loss
Caroline Holmes, NERC, Cambridge, CAM, United kingdom; and T. Bracegirdle and P. Holland

3:30 PM-3:45 PM: Friday, 4 June 2021


On Demand Content Viewing/Break

3:45 PM-4:45 PM: Friday, 4 June 2021


Session 13
High Latitude Variability and Change (IV): Atmospheric Change
Host: 16th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography
Cochairs: Claire Pettersen; Alice DuVivier
3:45 PM
Welcoming Remarks

3:50 PM
13.1
Antarctic Atmospheric River Climatology and Impacts
Jonathan Wille, Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement, Saint-Martin-d'Hères, NJ, France; and V. Favier, N. Jourdain, C. Amory, I. Gorodetskaya, C. Agosta, C. Kittel, F. Codron, and J. Lenaerts

4:00 PM
13.2
Impact of winds and Southern Ocean SSTs on Antarctic sea ice trends and variability
Edward Blanchard, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. A. Roach, A. Donohoe, and Q. Ding

4:10 PM
13.3
The Role of Winds in Arctic Sea Ice Variability and Trends
Laetitia Anne Roach, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. Blanchard

4:20 PM
13.4
Optimal large-scale wind patterns favoring strong sea ice melting and ice-albedo feedback in the absence of anthropogenic forcing
Ian Baxter, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, GOLETA, CA; and Q. Ding

4:30 PM
13.5
Future Trends of Arctic Surface Wind Speeds and their Relationship with Sea Ice in CMIP5 Climate Model Simulations
Stephen Jackson Vavrus, UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON, Beloit, WI; University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

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