Over 90% of the nocturnal rainfall over the Sahel derives from propagating MCSs that have been associated with topography in earlier studies. In contrast, in this case study, 70 – 90% of the nocturnal rainfall over the southern Sahel (11°N - 14°N) west of 15°E is associated with MCSs that originate less than 1000 km upstream (to the north and east) in the afternoon, in a region largely devoid of significant orography. This MCS development occurs in association with the Sahel ITF, combined with atmospheric pre-conditioning. Daytime surface heating generates turbulent mixing that promotes planetary boundary layer (PBL) growth accompanied by a low-level reversal in the meridional flow. This enhances wind convergence in the low-level moist layer within 2 - 3° of latitude of the equatorward side of the ITF. MCSs tend to form when this vertical mixing extends to the level of free convection and is accompanied by a mid-tropospheric African easterly wave disturbance to the east. This synoptic disturbance enhances the vertical wind shear and atmospheric instability over the genesis location. These results are found to be robust across the region.
Supplementary URL: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-017-3628-7