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Sunday, 23 July 2017

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 July 2017


Registration Opens
Location: Lagoon (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

Monday, 24 July 2017

7:30 AM-6:30 PM: Monday, 24 July 2017


Registration Continues Throughout the Conference
Location: Lagoon (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

8:30 AM-8:45 AM: Monday, 24 July 2017


Plenary Session 1
Welcome and Opening Remarks
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Speakers: Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., University of Arizona; Katja Friedrich, Univ. of Colorado; Stanley B. Trier, NCAR

8:45 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 24 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 1
Tropical Convection 1
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Gretchen L. Mullendore, Univ. of North Dakota; Callum Thompson, University of Manchester
8:45 AM
1.1
9:30 AM
1.3
Observational Analysis of the Vertical Temperature Structures Associated with Deep Convection over Tropical Oceans
Meri Virman, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; and M. Bister, V. A. Sinclair, and H. J. Järvinen

9:45 AM
1.4
The Mechanisms of the Overshoots that Hydrate the Stratosphere
Thibaut Dauhut, Laboratoire d'Aérologie, CNRS and Univ. of Toulouse, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Chaboureau, P. Mascart, and T. P. Lane

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 July 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Grand Hanaiei Foyer (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 2
Tropical Convection 2
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Christopher Nowotarski, Texas A&M University; Sandra E. Yuter, North Carolina State Univ.
10:30 AM
2.1
Amazon's Multifaceted Convective Systems
Courtney Schumacher, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and E. M. Anselmo, S. Mayne, L. MacDonald, L. Machado, J. D. Fuentes, and D. D. Turner
11:30 AM
2.4
Tropical Convective System and Cold Pool Interactions
Leah D. Grant, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. P. Lane and S. C. van den Heever

11:45 AM
2.5
Convective Cold Pool Responses to Changes in Soil Moisture
Aryeh J. Drager, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and L. D. Grant and S. C. van den Heever

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 24 July 2017


Lunch Break
Location: Lahaina/Bay (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 24 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 3
Microphysical and Aerosol Effects on Mesoscale Processes
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State University; Brian A. Colle, SUNY
1:30 PM
3.1
1:45 PM
3.2
The Aerosol Effects on Cloud Properties and Precipitation in a Numerical Forecasting Model
Soo Ya Bae, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Y. Kang, R. S. Park, and S. Y. Hong
2:00 PM
3.3
Identifying, Observing, and Forecasting Thunderstorms Producing Deep Surface Hail Accumulations
Katja Friedrich, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Wallace, E. A. Kalina, B. Meier, N. Rydell, W. Deierling, P. T. Schlatter, and B. C. Motta
2:15 PM
3.4
Impact of Cloud Microphysics Parameterizations on Convective and Stratiform Properties for an MC3E Squall Line Case
Jiwen Fan, PNNL, Richland, WA, China; and B. Han, A. C. Varble, H. Morrison, K. North, C. R. Williams, B. Chen, X. Dong, S. Giangrande, A. P. Khain, P. Kollias, Y. Lin, E. R. Mansell, J. A. Milbrandt, R. Stenz, G. Thompson, and Y. Wang
2:30 PM
3.5
2:45 PM
3.6

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 24 July 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Grand Hanaiei Foyer (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 24 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 4
Diurnal Cycle and Precipitation
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Chair: Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., University of Arizona
3:30 PM
4.1
Impact of Meiyu Front on the Diurnal Variations of Precipitation over East Asia
Ling Huang, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and F. Zhang and Y. Luo

5:00 PM-6:30 PM: Monday, 24 July 2017


Ice Breaker Reception and Formal Poster Viewing
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

Poster Session 1
Ice Breaker Reception and Poster Session 1 — Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones, Mesoscale Predictability
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR; Katja Friedrich, Univ. of Colorado
1
The Cloud Seeding Impact by an Artificial Flare Agent with Local Circulation
Jou-Ping Hou Sr., Chung-Cheng Institute of Techonology, Taoyuan, Taiwan

4
7
Impacts of Diurnal Radiation Cycle on Secondary Eyewall Formation
Xiaodong Tang, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; and Z. M. Tan, J. Fang, Y. Q. Sun, and F. Zhang
Manuscript (13.1 MB)

Handout (1.9 MB)

8
A Computational Study on the Nature of Meso-β Scale Vortex Coalescence in a Tropical Atmosphere
David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO

9
Influence of the Monsoon Trough on Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific: Role of Westward-Propagating Tropical Waves
Liang Wu, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and Z. Wen and R. Wu

10
19
Incorporation of a Cumulus Fraction Scheme in the GRAPES_Meso and Evaluation of Its Performance
Guoqiang Xu, Numercial Weather Prediction Center/National Meteorological Center/CMA, Beijing, China; and X. Zheng

20
The Impact of GRAPES-MESO Model different Spatial Grid Resolution on China Summer Rainfall Forecasts in July 2012
Fei Yu, Numercial Weather Prediction Center/National Meteorological Center/CMA, Beijing, China

23
24
Low-Level Jets in the Autumnal Marginal Ice Zone: Sensitivity to Ice-Edge Forcings
Mimi Hughes, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and P. O. G. Persson, A. Solomon, and J. Intrieri

25
Convective-Scale Practical Predictability Within Different Convective Regimes
David L. A. Flack, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. Clark, S. L. Gray, R. S. Plant, C. E. Halliwell, H. W. Lean, and N. Roberts

Handout (631.3 kB)

30
Quantile Regression and Logistic Regression Combined for Calibration of a Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System (EPS)
Thomas M. Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, J. C. Knievel, J. P. Hacker, G. Roux, H. H. Fisher, J. S. Shaw, R. S. Sheu, L. Pan, and W. Wu

41
A Climatology of Dryline Convection in the Southern Great Plains
Trevor Mitchell, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom; and D. M. Schultz

Tuesday, 25 July 2017

7:30 AM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017


Registration
Location: Lagoon (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 5
Extratropical and Tropical Cyclones
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Lance F. Bosart, SUNY; Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., University of Arizona
9:00 AM
5.5
Snow Bands and Velocity Waves Within Coastal Northeast U.S. Snow Storms
Sandra E. Yuter, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and N. P. Hoban, S. A. Ganetis, M. A. Miller, B. A. Colle, L. M. Tomkins, L. Lovell, E. Scott, L. R. Allen, D. M. Hueholt, and M. T. Bryant
9:15 AM
5.6
Complex Aggregates within Coastal Northeast US Snow Storms
Matthew A. Miller, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter, S. R. Rhodes, E. Scott, L. Lovell, B. A. Colle, L. R. Allen, M. T. Bryant, D. M. Hueholt, and L. M. Tomkins

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 6
Atmospheric Rivers
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: James Doyle, NRL; Anna Maria Wilson, SIO
10:30 AM
6.1
11:30 AM
6.4
Flavors of Atmospheric Rivers making landfall in Northern California
Kristen Guirguis, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Gershunov, T. Shulgina, R. E. S. Clemesha, and F. M. Ralph

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017


Lunch Break
Location: Lahaina/Bay (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 7
Mesoscale Predictability
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Zhiyong Meng, Peking University; David L. A. Flack, University of Reading
1:30 PM
7.1
1:45 PM
7.2
2:00 PM
7.3
Convective-Scale Perturbation Growth Across a Spectrum of Convective Cases
David L. A. Flack, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and S. L. Gray, R. S. Plant, H. W. Lean, and G. C. Craig
2:15 PM
7.4
Sensitivity and Predictability of High-Impact Extratropical Cyclones
James Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault and C. A. Reynolds
2:30 PM
7.5
Adjoint-based Predictability Studies of Atmospheric Rivers
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Doyle
2:45 PM
7.6

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 8
Use of Data Assimilation and Ensemble Forecasting to Enhance Predictability
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Erin B. Munsell, GSFC; Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State Univ.
4:00 PM
8.4

Wednesday, 26 July 2017

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017


Registration
Location: Lagoon (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 9
Mesoscale Convective Systems
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ.; Katja Friedrich, Univ. of Colorado
8:15 AM
9.2
The Evolution and Structure of the Long-Lived MCV Along the Mei-Yu Front
Yuanchun Zhang, IAP/Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and F. Zhang, C. A. Davis, and J. Sun
9:15 AM
9.6
9:30 AM
9.7
Dynamical Insights into Extreme Short-Term Precipitation Associated with Supercells and Mesovortices
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 10
Analysis and Modeling Approaches for Mesoscale Convection
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Robert G. Fovell, University at Albany; James Marquis, Center for Severe Weather Research
11:00 AM
10.3

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017


Lunch Break
Location: Lahaina/Bay (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 11
Waves, Instability, and Turbulence
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR; M. Joan Alexander, NorthWest Research Associates
1:30 PM
11.1
Turbulence Generated by Mesoscale Convective Systems
Todd P. Lane, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
2:15 PM
11.3
A Global Climatology of Tropospheric Inertial Instability
Callum Thompson, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom; and D. M. Schultz and G. Vaughan

2:30 PM
11.4
Effects of Parameterized Orographic Drag on Weather Forecasting and Simulated Climatology over East Asia during Boreal Summer
Hyun-Joo Choi, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. J. Choi, M. S. Koo, J. E. Kim, Y. C. Kwon, and S. Y. Hong

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017


Coffee Break and Formal Poster Viewing
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

Poster Session 2
Coffee Break and Poster Session 2 — Mesoscale Convection, Recent Field Experiments and Orographic Circulations
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR; Katja Friedrich, Univ. of Colorado
43
Multi-scale Structure of Meso-beta-scale Vortex Associated with a Maritime Extratropical Cyclone: A Numerical Study
Eigo Tochimoto, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan; and S. Yokota, H. Niino, and W. Yanase

47
Observation and Genesis Analysis of a Continuous Downburst Weather
Houfu Zhou, Anhui Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hefei, China; and X. Diao, Q. Zhao, and Y. Li

Handout (2.1 MB)

48
Wind Estimation Around the Shipwreck of Oriental Star Based on Field Damage Surveys and Radar Observations
Zhiyong Meng, Peking University, Beijing, China; and D. Yao, L. Bai, Y. Zheng, M. Xue, X. Zhang, K. Zhao, F. Tian, and M. Wang

49A
Analysis of Missed Summer Severe Rainfall Forecasts
Zuohao Cao, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and D. L. Zhang

53
The Evolution of a MeiYu Rain Band in an Idealized Model
Xia Luo, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China

Handout (3.7 MB)

54
A Case Study of Short -Duration Heavy Rainfall in Nanjing
Yinong Pan, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China

56
Distribution and Variability of Satellite Signals Undergoing Isolated Convection Initiation in Central East China
Yipeng Huang, Peking University, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng, J. Li, W. Li, L. Bai, and M. Zhang

60
An Updated Rain-Type (Convective-Stratiform) Classification for Rain-Rate Estimation and Identifying Shallow Convection
Scott W. Powell, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Houze Jr., S. R. Brodzik, B. Dolan, P. Hein, S. A. Rutledge, W. Xu, and E. J. Thompson

64
The Impacts of Urban Surface Expansion on Regional Climate over East Asia
Deming Zhao, IAP/Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and J. Wu

65
66
68
Evolution of Thermodynamic Vertical Profiles from Pre- and Post-Convective Environments of Mesoscale Convective Systems Observed During PECAN
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher, G. R. Herman, M. C. Coniglio, M. D. Parker, and C. L. Ziegler

69
Mesoscale Vertical Motions near Nocturnal Convection Initiation in PECAN
Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Wilson, D. A. Ahijevych, and R. A. Sobash

72
Observations of Misovortices within a Long-lake-axis-parallel Lake-effect Snow Band during the OWLeS Project
Jake Mulholland, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. W. Frame, S. W. Nesbitt, S. M. Steiger, K. A. Kosiba, and J. Wurman
Manuscript (21.7 MB)

Handout (3.8 MB)

74
A Closer Look at Upper-Air Data and “TORFF” Events Observed During the Second Year of VORTEX-SE
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. R. Herman and R. S. Schumacher

76
The Preliminary Study of Basin-wide Circulation over Idealized Basin
Tingting Qian, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and C. C. Epifanio and F. Zhang

77
Foehn-like Wind with a Traditional Foehn Effect Plus Dry-Diabatic Heating from the Ground Surface Contributing to High Temperatures at the End of the Leeward Area
Yuya Takane, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Kondo, H. Kusaka, J. Katagi, O. Nagafuchi, K. Nakazawa, N. Kaneyasu, and Y. Miyakami

Handout (5.7 MB)

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 12
Severe Weather and its Environments
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Yvette P. Richardson, Pennsylvania State Univ.; Jason C. Knievel, NCAR
4:30 PM
12.1
An Investigation of the Formation, Structure, and Evolution of a Rare EF4 tornado in East China using a High-Resolution Numerical Simulation
Dan Yao, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and H. Xue, J. Yin, P. Markowski, J. Sun, X. Liang, and J. Guo
4:45 PM
12.2
Formation Environment of the Deadliest Tornado (EF4) in the Past 40 Years in China on 23 June 2016
Zhiyong Meng, Peking University, Beijing, China; and M. Zhang, L. Bai, Z. Wu, M. Pu, Z. Li, Y. Zheng, X. Wang, S. Peng, D. Yao, M. Xue, Z. Li, K. Zhao, and L. Li
5:00 PM
12.3
Environmental Controls on Tornadogenesis
Sean W. Freeman, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. C. van den Heever

Thursday, 27 July 2017

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017


Registration
Location: Lagoon (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 27 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 13
Mesoscale Processes in Climate Simulations
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR; Jean-Pierre Chaboureau, University of Toulouse, CNRS, UPS
9:00 AM
13.4
Mesoscale Surprises in Complex Terrain Revealed by Regional Climate Simulations
Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Brewer
9:45 AM
13.7
Unified Turbulence and Convection Parameterizations: The EDMF Approach
Joao Teixeira, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and K. Suselj and M. J. Kurowski

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 27 July 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Kona Coast Ballroom (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 14
Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) Experiment
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: John M. Peters, NPS; William Gregory Blumberg, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma
10:30 AM
14.1
11:45 AM
14.6

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017


Lunch Break
Location: Lahaina/Bay (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

1:30 PM-3:15 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 15
Results from Recent Field Campaigns
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Kristen L. Rasmussen, Colorado State Univ; F. Martin Ralph, SIO
1:30 PM
15.1
Mechanisms of Lake-effect Forcing and the Tug Hill Precipitation Maximum during OWLeS IOP2b
Leah Campbell, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh
2:00 PM
15.3
2:15 PM
15.4
An Evaluation of Precipitation and Microphysics Forecasts during OLYMPEX
Robert Conrick, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and Q. Zhong and C. F. Mass
2:45 PM
15.6
3:00 PM
15.7
CSU Convective CLoud Outflows and UpDrafts Experiment (C3LOUD-Ex)
Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. W. Freeman, P. J. Marinescu, L. D. Grant, and T. C3LOUD-Ex Team

3:15 PM-3:45 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017


Coffee Break
Location: Grand Hanaiei Foyer (Crowne Plaza San Diego)

3:45 PM-5:15 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017

Recording files available
Session 16
Orographic Flows and Rainfall
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Todd P. Lane, University of Melbourne; Yuya Takane, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
4:00 PM
16.2
Orographic Rainfall Hotspots in the Andes-Amazon Transition According to the TRMM Precipitation Radar and in Situ Data
Steven Paul Chavez, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú/Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Lima, Peru; and K. Takahashi, Y. Silva, and D. E. Scipion

4:45 PM
16.6
Downslope Wind Storms in Coastal Santa Barbara
Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and F. Cannon, C. Jones, and K. M. Zigner
5:00 PM
16.7
A Comparison between Warm-Sector and Frontal Heavy Rainfalls during the First Rainy Season in South China
Naigeng Wu, Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, Guangzhou, China; and X. Ding, Z. Wen, L. Lin, and Z. Meng

5:15 PM-5:25 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017


Session 17
Student and Early-Career Ceremony
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)
Host: 17th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs: Katja Friedrich, Univ. of Colorado; Stanley B. Trier, NCAR; Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., University of Arizona

5:25 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 27 July 2017


Conference Adjourns
Location: Coral Reef Harbor (Crowne Plaza San Diego)