Monday, 27 June 2016
Green Mountain Ballroom (Hilton Burlington )
Based on the ARPS Data Analysis System (ADAS), Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, simulation experiments from July 1st 2015 to August 1st 2015 are conducted in the region of Southwest China. In the assimilation experiment (EXP), datasets from surface observations are assimilated, cloud information from weather Doppler radar, Fengyun-2E (FY-2E) geostationary satellite are retrieved by using the complex cloud analysis scheme in the ADAS, to insert microphysical variables and adjust the humility structure in the initial condition. As a control run (CTL), datasets from surface observations are assimilated, but no cloud information is used in the ADAS. The simulation result of a rainstorm caused by the Southwest Vortex during 14-15 July 2015 shows that, the EXP run has a better capability in representing the shape and intensity of precipitation, especially the center of rainstorm. The one-month inter-comparison of the initial and prediction results between the EXP and CTL runs reveled that, EXP runs can present a more reasonable phenomenon of rain and get a higher score in the rain prediction.
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