Wednesday, 9 January 2019: 11:00 AM
North 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
The size of a tropical cyclone (TC), measured by the area of either rainfall or wind, is an important indicator for the potential damage by TC. Modeling studies have suggested that aerosols tend to enhance rainfall in the outer rainbands, which enlarges the eyewall radius and expands the extent of the rainfall area. However, no observational evidence about the impact of aerosols on the TC size has yet been reported. Using TC rainfall area and aerosol optical depth (AOD) data, we find that aerosols have a distinguishable footprint in the TC size. Other potential dynamical factors for TC size, such as relative SST and Coriolis parameter, are also quantified and discussed. We show that, on average, TC rainfall size increases by 9–20 km for each 0.1 increase in AOD in the western North Pacific. This finding implies that anthropogenic aerosol pollution can increase not only TC rainfall rate as found in previous studies, but also TC rainfall area, resulting in potentially more destructive flooding affecting larger areas.
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