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Saturday, 5 January 2019

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7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Student Conference Registration
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:30 AM-8:00 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Saturday)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Registration for Short Courses and Student Conference
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Student Conference Breakfast
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


18th Annual Student Conference
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Session
A Beginner's Course to Using Python in Climate and Meteorology
Location: Room 221AB (Phoenix Convention Center)
Host: Short Course
Instructor: Johnny Lin, North Park University
Organizer: Johnny Lin, North Park University

9:00 AM-10:10 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2019

Recording files available
Session
Session 1 - Welcoming Remarks
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
9:00 AM
Welcome from the Student Conference Planning Committee
Makenzie Krocak, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. H. Kerr and M. D. Flournoy
Recorded Presentation

9:20 AM
Advice from Someone Who Has (Almost) Seen It All
Roger M. Wakimoto, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA
Recorded Presentation

9:35 AM
Taking a Ride on the Academic Roller Coaster
Jennifer Collins, Univ. of South Florida, Tampa, FL
Recorded Presentation

9:50 AM
New Shoes, New Perspective
Kevin R. Petty, Vaisala Inc., Louisville, CO
Recorded Presentation

10:10 AM-10:25 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Morning Break
Location: North Ballroom CD Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:25 AM-11:10 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2019

Recording files available
Session
Session 2A: Breakout Session - Public Sector
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Nicholas S. Grondin, Louisiana State Univ.
Speakers: Taylor Trogdon, NOAA/NWS; Maureen Sanders, Texas Water Development Board; Ashton Robinson Cook, NOAA/NWS SPC; Curtis L. Walker, Univ. of Nebraska
Trogdon
Recorded Presentation

Sanders

Robinson Cook

Walker

Recording files available
Session
Session 2B: Breakout Session - Media
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Taylor Pechacek, Mississippi State Univ.
Speakers: Alex Garcia, KABB-TV; Kerrin Jeromin, WeatherNation; Jason Samenow, The Washington Post, Capital Weather Gang
Garcia
Recorded Presentation

Jeromin

Samenow

Recording files available
Session
Session 2C: Breakout Session - Academia and Research
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Tyler M. Fenske, Univ. of Miami
Speakers: Kristen Averyt, Desert Research Institute; Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State Univ.; David M. Hondula, Arizona State Univ.; Ian Faloona, Univ. of California, Davis
Averyt
Recorded Presentation

Kreidenweis

Hondula

Faloona

Recording files available
Session
Session 2D: Breakout Session - Private Sector
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Ajay Raghavendra, University at Albany, State University of New York
Speakers: Michael J. Ventrice, The Weather Company/IBM; Jean E. Vieux, Vieux & Associates, Inc.; Nicholas Troiano, Mars Inc.; Shunondo Basu, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Ventrice
Recorded Presentation

Vieux

Troiano

Basu

11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019

Recording files available
Session
Session 3A: Breakout Session - Public Sector
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Nicholas S. Grondin, Louisiana State Univ.
Speakers: Taylor Trogdon, NOAA/NWS; Maureen Sanders, Texas Water Development Board; Ashton Robinson Cook, NOAA/NWS SPC; Curtis L. Walker, Univ. of Nebraska
Trogdon
Recorded Presentation

Sanders

Robinson Cook

Walker

Recording files available
Session
Session 3B: Breakout Session - Media
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Taylor Pechacek, Mississippi State Univ.
Speakers: Alex Garcia, KABB-TV; Kerrin Jeromin, WeatherNation; Jason Samenow, The Washington Post, Capital Weather Gang
Garcia
Recorded Presentation

Jeromin
Recorded Presentation

Samenow

Recording files available
Session
Session 3C: Breakout Session - Academia and Research
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Tyler M. Fenske, Univ. of Miami
Speakers: Kristen Averyt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado; Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State Univ.; David M. Hondula, Arizona State Univ.; Ian Faloona, Univ. of California, Davis
Averyt
Recorded Presentation

Kreidenweis

Hondula

Faloona

Recording files available
Session
Session 3D: Breakout Session - Private Sector
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Ajay Raghavendra, University at Albany, State University of New York
Speakers: Michael J. Ventrice, The Weather Company/IBM; Jean E. Vieux, Vieux & Associates, Inc.; Nicholas Troiano, Mars Inc.; Shunondo Basu, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Ventrice
Recorded Presentation

Vieux

Troiano

Basu

1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019

Recording files available
Session
Session 4: Intro to Conversations with Professionals
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Margaret M. Orr, University of Georgia
Orr
Recorded Presentation

1:35 PM-3:45 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Session
Session 5A - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Shawn Milrad, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
1:35 PM
Milrad


Session
Session 5B - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Morgan Barry, NOAA/NWS
Barry


Session
Session 5C - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Bethany Johns, American Institute of Physics
Johns


Session
Session 5D - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Timothy Hall, The Aerospace Corporation
Hall


Session
Session 5E - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Brad Colman, The Climate Corporation
Colman


Session
Session 5F - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Gina Eosco, NOAA/OAR/OWAQ
Eosco


Session
Session 5G - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Michael M. French, Stony Brook Univ., SUNY
French


Session
Session 5H - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Paul E. Roundy, SUNY
Roundy


Session
Session 5I - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speakers: Kevin Petty, Vaisala; Curtis L. Walker, Univ. of Nebraska; Paul A. Pisano, U.S. Department of Transportation/Federal Highway Administration
Petty

Pisano


Session
Session 5J - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Alex Garcia, KABB-TV
Garcia


Session
Session 5K - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speakers: Renee A. Leduc Clarke, Narayan Strategy; Alexander E. MacDonald, Spire Global, Inc.; Larry E. Brazil, Riverside Technology, Inc.; Timothy Canty, Univ. of Maryland; Richard Clark, Millersville Univ.
Leduc Clarke

MacDonald

Brazil

Canty


Session
Session 5L - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speakers: Lt Col Stephen Maile, Davis-Monthan AFB; Maj. Mike Coyne; Maj. Audra Carpenter, Davis-Monthan AFB; Timothy Villaran, Davis-Monthan AFB
Maile

Coyne

Carpenter

Villaran


Session
Session 5M - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speaker: Adam P Roser, NWSFO
Roser


Session
Session 5N - Conversations with Professionals
Location: North 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speakers: Ryan Rickert, USAF RESERVES; Jeremy Dehart, HURRICANE HUNTERS
Rickert

Dehart


Session
Session 6 - Graduate Student Panel
Location: North 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speakers: G. Aaron Alexander, Univ. of California; Margaret M. Orr, Univ. of Delaware; Addison Alford, University of Oklahoma; Ryann Ashley Wakefield, Univ. of Oklahoma; Meredith A. Fish, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; Tyler M. Fenske, Univ. of Miami
Alexander

Orr

Alford

Wakefield

Fish

Fenske


Session
Session 7 - Graduate School Admissions Panel
Location: North 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Speakers: Jeffrey Basara, Univ. of Oklahoma; Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State Univ.; Benjamin R. Lintner, Rutgers Univ.
Basara

Kreidenweis

Lintner

3:45 PM-4:00 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Afternoon Break
Location: North Ballroom CD Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Session
Session 8 - Breakout Session: Expand Your Horizons
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Breakout Session: Expand Your Horizons


Session
Session 8A - Integrated Warning Team I: Introduction to Emergency Management (Part 1)
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: W. Massey Bartolini, Univ. at Albany, SUNY
Speakers: Matt Moreland, NOAA/NWS; Marty Senterfitt, Florida Keys Emergency Management
Moreland

Senterfitt


Session
Session 8B - Resume Workshop 1
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: G. Aaron Alexander, Univ. of California
Speaker: Kerry Kidwell, American Institute of Physics (AIP)
Kidwell

Recording files available
Session
Session 8C - Mastering Your Doctorate
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Addison Alford, University of Oklahoma
Speakers: Dereka Carroll-Smith, Jackson State University; Shawn Milrad, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Yvette Richardson, Pennsylvania State Univ.
Carroll-Smith
Recorded Presentation

Milrad
Recorded Presentation

Richardson
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


Session
Day 1 Closing Remarks
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


AMS Career Fair
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Resource Fair and Graduate School Reception
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Sunday, 6 January 2019

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

7:00 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


CANCELLED: Scout Event
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:00 AM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Registration (Sunday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:30 AM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Sunday)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Breakfast.  Meet the AMS President, Roger Wakitmoto, and the Presidential Forum Speakers
Location: North Ballroom Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session
Introducing the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) Via an Interactive Hands-on Tutorial Using the Cloud.
Location: North 225AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Short Course
Instructor: Cecile Hannay, NCAR
Organizer: Isla R. Simpson, National Center for Atmospheric Research

Session
Weather and Phased Array Radar Polarimetry
Location: North 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Short Course
Instructors: Guifu Zhang, NOAA; Richard Doviak, NOAA/OAR/NSSL
Organizer: Guifu Zhang, University of Oklahoma

8:00 AM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session
Applying JPSS Data Products to Better Forecast Challenging Weather Events
Location: Room 222C (Phoenix Convention Center)
Host: Short Course
Instructors: Mitchell Goldberg, JPSS; Nadia Smith, Science and Technology Corporation; Jorel Torres, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.; Kathleen I. Strabala, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS; Eric Stevens, Univ. of Alaska; Lihang Zhou, NOAA; Evan Ellicott, University of Maryland; Ivan A. Csiszar, NOAA/NESDIS; Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/OAR/ESRL
Organizer: Gary McWilliams, NESDIS JPSS Program Office/Science and Technology Corporation

Session
Diversity, Equity & Inclusion for Geoscientists
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Short Course
Instructors: Joshua Young, UCAR; Kristen Luna Aponte, UCAR; Julie S. Malmberg, UCAR
Organizer: Carolyn Brinkworth, UCAR

Session
GOES-R Series: Forecasting Applications
Location: Room 222AB (Phoenix Convention Center)
Host: Short Course
Organizer: Janel R. Thomas, Science and Technology Corporation

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Meet President Roger M. Wakimoto and Presidential Forum Speakers
Location: North Ballroom Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet President Roger M. Wakimoto and Presidential Forum Speakers
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session
AMS Short Course on Python for Synoptic Meteorology Using Metpy
Location: Room 221C (Phoenix Convention Center)
Host: Short Course
Instructors: Ryan M. May, UCAR/Unidata; J. R. Leeman, UCAR/Unidata; Kevin H. Goebbert, Valparaiso Univ.
Organizer: Ryan M. May, UCAR/Unidata

Session
Machine Learning in Python for Environmental Science Problems
Location: Room 223 (Phoenix Convention Center)
Host: Short Course
Instructors: David John Gagne II, NCAR; Ryan A. Lagerquist, CIMMS; Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State Univ.; Sheri Mickelson, NCAR
Organizer: David John Gagne II, NCAR

9:00 AM-9:45 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session 1
Welcome and Networking With Your Peers
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference
Cochairs: Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies; Elizabeth McGiffin, KTVL-TV CBS10; Irene Sans, WFTV/ClimaData
Speaker: Raquell Holmes, Improv Science
Holmes

Recording files available
Session
Session 9 - Extreme Weather Events
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Meredith A. Fish, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA
Fish

9:00 AM
The role of meteorology in post-wildfire debris flow hazards -- Nina Oakley
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
Chasing the World's Most Intense Thunderstorms: Proyecto RELAMPAGO-CACTI Argentina 2018 -- Steve Nesbitt
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Seventh Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


18th Annual Student Conference
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:55 AM-10:45 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session
Session 10 - Breakout Session: Contribute to the Field
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
9:55 AM
Breakout Session: Contribute to the Field

Recording files available
Session
Session 10A - "Applying Yourself" and Other Advice for Future Grad Students
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Ryann Ashley Wakefield, Univ. of Oklahoma
Applying Yourself" and Other Advice for Future Grad Students

9:55 AM
One does not simply...get into graduate school -- Jason Cordeira
Recorded Presentation

10:10 AM
Preparing to Succeed in Graduate School -- Tom Galarneau
Recorded Presentation

10:25 AM
Preparation for Graduate School: Evaluation of Myself from Current Point of View -- Naoko Sakaeda
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session
Session 10B - The Social Sphere: Public Policy in the Weather Sector
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: G. Aaron Alexander, Univ. of California
9:55 AM
Introduction -- Aaron Alexander
Recorded Presentation

The Social Sphere: Public Policy in the Weather Sector

9:55 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Outside the Box Skill Sets
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference; and the 18th Annual Student Conference )
Cochairs: J. Cody Kirkpatrick, Indiana Univ.; Aaron Scott, University of North Dakota
Keynote: Gina Eosco, NOAA/OAR/OWAQ
Panelists: Gretchen Mullendore, University of North Dakota; Jessica Mackaro, Vaisala Inc.; James Correia Jr., Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC
9:55 AM
Eosco
Recorded Presentation

9:55 AM
Mullendore, Mackaro, Correia

10:00 AM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Guest Welcome Desk
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:45 AM-11:55 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Morning Break
Location: North Ballroom CD Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:55 AM-11:50 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session
Session 11 - Breakout Session: Strengthen Your Skill Set
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Breakout Session: Strengthen Your Skill Set

Recording files available
Session
Session 11A - Tools of the Trade
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: C. Todd Rhodes, Coastal Carolina Univ.
Tools of the Trade

10:55 AM
Introduction -- Todd Rhodes

11:10 AM
Linux -- Pete Prokrandt
Recorded Presentation

11:25 AM
Python -- Ryan May
Recorded Presentation

11:40 AM
NCL -- Mike Coniglio
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session
Session 11B - The Atmosphere of Science Communication
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Zoey Rosen, Colorado State University
The Atmosphere of Science Communication

10:55 AM
Translating Social Science Research Into Application -- Gina Eosco

11:10 AM
Bridging Knowledge and Practice: Applying Extension Approaches to Weather and Climate Decision-Making -- Jessica Whitehead
Recorded Presentation

11:25 AM
Direct and indirect paths to improving weather forecast communication -- Julie Demuth
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM-1:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session 2
Lunch: Roadmap to CCM
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference
Cochairs: Samuel Larsen, Xcel Energy; Morgan Brown Yarker, Yarker Consulting; Robert Mulloy, Shell Trading Gas and Power
Lunch: Roadmap to CCM
Samuel Larsen, Xcel Energy, Arvada, CO

11:50 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Break
Location: North Ballroom CD Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:00 PM-12:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019

Recording files available
Session
Session 12 - Keynote
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Cochairs: Makenzie Krocak, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies; Gaige Hunter Kerr, Johns Hopkins Univ.; Matthew D. Flournoy, Univ. of Oklahoma
Speaker: Ada Monzón, WIPR-TV
Monzón
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Speaker Ready Room (Sunday)
Location: North 121A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:00 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Poster Hall (Sunday)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:30 PM-12:35 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Closing Remarks and Poster Sessions Announcements
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:35 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Student Conference Lunch Break (On Your Own)

1:00 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 2
Mental Health in Meteorology
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference
Cochairs: Dakota Smith, Weather Nation; Rebecca DePodwin, AccuWeather, Inc.
Panelists: Shawn Milrad, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University; Faith Groff, Colorado State University; Rebecca Moulton, FEMA; Matt Lanza, Cheniere Energy
Milrad, Groff, Moulton, Lanza
Recorded Presentation

1:00 PM-2:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


CANCELLED Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador Roundtable
Location: North 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
Organizer: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS
Facilitator: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Panel Discussion 3
Non-Traditional Jobs
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference
Cochairs: Matt Rogers, Commodity Weather Group, LLC; Bill Burkey, ERM
Panelists: Chris Melhauser, NOAA; Dennis O'Donnell, AvMet Applications, Inc.; Jessica Mackaro, Vaisala; Jillian Whitaker, Commodity Weather Group, LLC
Melhauser, O'Donnell, Mackaro, Whitaker

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019

Recording files available
Session
Session 13A - Integrated Warning Team II: In Their Rainboots
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: W. Massey Bartolini, Univ. at Albany, SUNY
Speakers: Marty Senterfitt, Florida Keys Emergency Management; Loni Eazell, Los Angeles County County Public Works; Jayme Laber, NOAA/NWS; Mike Stavish, NOAA/NWS; Megan Syner, NOAA/NWS; Barry Goldsmith, NOAA/NWS; Butch Renders; Bruce Monson; Brent Olson; Kirsten Vandeventer; Glenn Jones; Adam Roser, MILLERSVILLE UNIV; Jeral Estupinian, WFO MIAMI
Senterfitt

Eazell

Laber

Stavish

Syner

Goldsmith

Renders

Monson

Olson

Vandeventer

Jones

Roser

Estupinian

2:00 PM
Integrated Warning Team Exercise -- Massey Bartolini
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Session
Session 13 - Interactive Sessions
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference

Session
Session 13B - Resume Workshop II: Resume/CV Review
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: G. Aaron Alexander, Univ. of California
Resume Workshop II: Resume/CV Review


Session
Session 13C - Broadcast Tape Swap
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
Chair: Nicholas S. Grondin, Louisiana State Univ.
Broadcast Tape Swap

2:30 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Newcomer's Welcome and Information Exchange
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:00 PM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Presidential Coffee Break and Networking with AMS Professionals
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Cochairs: Jordan Bell, NASA SPoRT; Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies
Speaker: Christopher Strager, CICS/North Carolina State University

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Plenary Session
Presidential Forum: Building Resilience to Extreme Political Weather: Advice for Unpredictable Times
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Forum and Annual Meeting Welcome; the Seventh Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 16th Conference on Space Weather; the 17th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 22nd Atmospheric Science Librarians International Conference; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Symposium on Education; the 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 23rd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 17th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Ninth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the Fifth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Phased Array Radar Symposium; the Special Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation; the Ninth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Ninth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; the 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Hydrology; the Richard Anthes Symposium; the Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection; the Second Conference on Earth Observing SmallSats; the Seventh AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 11th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Fourth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; and the Events )
Moderator: Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics
Presider: Roger Wakimoto, Univ. of California, Los Angeles
Speakers: Dan Kahan, American Institute of Physics; David Goldston, MIT
4:00 PM
Presidential Forum: Building Resilience to Extreme Political Weather: Advice for Unpredictable Times

4:00 PM-6:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Presidential Forum and Annual Meeting Welcome
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Plenary Session
Annual Meeting Welcome
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Forum and Annual Meeting Welcome; the Fourth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Ninth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the 16th Conference on Space Weather; the 17th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 22nd Atmospheric Science Librarians International Conference; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Symposium on Education; the Ninth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 11th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Seventh AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Second Conference on Earth Observing SmallSats; the Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection; and the Events )
Moderator: Roger Wakimoto, Univ. of California, Los Angeles
After the Presidential Forum, please join AMS President Roger Wakimoto for his review of major events from the past year. Each of the AMS Commissioners will give a brief report highlighting the key elements of the many programs and initiatives that are a success owing to the efforts of hundreds of volunteers in the Society. Join us as we introduce and honor the newly elected AMS Fellows and present several featured awards. Jenni Evans will then present her goals and vision for her upcoming year as AMS President.

5:00 PM-6:15 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Early Career Professional Conference Attendee Networking Dinner

6:30 PM-7:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Welcome Reception Honoring Newly Elected Fellows and Featured Award Winners
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


AMS Career Fair
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Student Conference Poster Session
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session
AI and Machine Learning
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S1
The Comparison between Rainfall of Typhoon Mangkhut and its Weibo Distribution
Xinyue Li, NO.2 High School of East China Normal University, Shanghai, China
Manuscript (134.3 kB)

S2
Spatiotemporal Topic Modeling and Sentiment Analysis of Global Climate Change Related Tweets
Biraj Dahal, Clemson University, Myrtle Beach, SC; and S. Kumar

S3
A Comparison of Machine Learning Techniques for Convective Morphology Classification from Radar Imagery
Jonathan E. Thielen, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and A. M. Haberlie

S4
Verification of Hail Forecasts Produced by Machine Learning Algorithms
Sarah McCorkle, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN; and N. Snook and A. McGovern

S5
Classification and Predictive Modeling of Oceanography Data Using Data Mining Techniques
Cassandra Chang, College of William and Mary, Los Angeles, CA; and S. abuomar

S6
Machine Learning Methods to Simulate Wind Energy Availability using New York State Mesonet Data
Aleks Siemenn, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. M. Covert, R. Perez, and J. M. Freedman


Poster Session
Applied/Operational Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S7
Text is Data: Making Use of Archived NOAA Text Products
Eric Allen, University of Delaware, Newark, DE

S8
NWS Tornado Warnings: A Regional Analysis
Ronald Kennedy Jr., University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks and J. Correia Jr.

S9
Evaluating WRF Simulations for Use in an Outage Prediction Model
Trevor Campbell, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and L. McCarthy and E. G. Hoffman

S10
A Qualitative Analysis on the Role of Convective Latent Heat Release in the Blizzard of 2017 Track
Paul Mykolajtchuk, Penn State University, University Park, PA

S11
Developing a Power Outage Prediction Model (OPM) for New Hampshire
Lauren E. McCarthy, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH

S12
National Weather Service Anchorage Pathways Project Summer 2018: Implementation of an Impacts Catalog and Communipedia
Cynthia R. Kobold, NWSFO, Peoria, AZ


Poster Session
Atmospheric Chemistry, Aerosols, and Air Quality
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S13
Understanding Coastal Ozone Pollution through Atmospheric Soundings and Mobile Measurements
Lance Nino, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and J. T. Sullivan, R. K. Sakai, A. Flores, J. Dreessen, S. Flynn, T. Berkoff, R. Delgado, and R. M. Stauffer

S14
Evaluating Satellite Detected Tropospheric Ozone Trends above Europe with Ozonesondes
Mia S. Murray, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and O. R. Cooper and A. Gaudel

S15
LISTOS 2018: How Land-Water Interactions Affect Ozone Transport in the Long Island Sound Area
Brennan Stutsrim, SUNY University at Albany, Albany, NY; and E. Joseph, J. Schwab, J. M. Schwab, C. R. Conover, J. Zhang, B. Shrestha, and Y. C. Lin

S16
Determining the sources of high ozone during the 2017 LASIC field campaign using HYSPLIT modeling
Ivan L. Fontanez, University of Puerto Rico at Mayaguez, Mayagüez, PR, Puerto Rico; and G. S. Jenkins
Manuscript (383.3 kB)

S17
Ozone at the Earth’s Surface in the New England Region
Shawn Telesford, New York City College of Technology, Brooklyn, NY; and M. Arend, D. James, and M. Campmier

S18
Investigating the Relationship Between Reactive Nitrogen Species and Ozone in the Wintertime Atmosphere
Julia Goldblatt, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. A. Thornton

S19
Influence of local meteorology conditions on ground-level ozone concentrations in Jackson, MS
Brianna Ross, AER, Jackson, MS; and D. Lu

S20
Ammonia Measurements From the NSF/NCAR C-130 Research Aircraft Using a TILDAS Spectrometer with Active Passivation During the WE-CAN Campaign
Emily Drew Wein, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and I. Pollack, J. Lindaas, and E. V. Fischer

S21
Assessing the Atmospheric Deposition of Phosphorus to the Great Lakes
Sarah Hutchinson, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. Steiner
Manuscript (27.6 kB)

S22
The Impact of the Bay Breeze on Ammonium Nitrate Formation in the Baltimore-Metropolitan Area
Katherine Ball, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and N. Balasus, M. Battaglia, C. J. Hennigan, and R. Delgado

S23
Developing an air quality impact index for Camden, New Jersey based on physical and social indicators
Marcel Briguglio, Rowan University, Glassboro, NJ; and M. R. Cangialosi, A. Kalogiratou, and M. Karimi

S24
Quantifying Methane Fluxes over Water in Northeastern PA
Alejandro Manuel Ayala, The Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and K. J. Davis and L. Dennis

S25
Modeling Coastal Urban Atmospheric Mercury Emissions and Regional Transport in Boston, MA

S26
Nitrogen Trichloride Detection in Indoor Pool Air using Proton Transfer Reaction Mass Spectrometry
Anna Feerick, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baldwin, MD; and Y. Huangfu and B. T. Jobson

S27
Mobile Monitoring the Spatial Variability of Trace Gas and Particulate Concentrations in Champaign County
Marley Elizabeth Majetic, Urbana, IL

S28
Impact of Wildfire Suppression on Direct Wildfire Carbon Emission

S29
Snow darkening effects of black carbon and dust across the Rocky Mountains of the western United States: Experiments using WRF-Chem
Stefan Rahimi, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and X. Liu and C. Wu

S30
Evaluation of Urban Methane Emissions along the Eastern United States
Chaveli S Miles, Colgate University, Hamilton, NY; and G. Plant, S. Gvakharia, E. Kort, and C. Sweeney

S31
Temporal Variability in Ambient Mercury Concentrations in the Colorado Front Range
Story Schwantes, Colorado College, Colorado Springs, CO

S32
Characterization of Mineral Dust using XRD and Infrared Spectroscopy
Mohammad Reza Sadrian, University of Nevada, Reno, Reno, NV; and W. Calvin and J. Engelbrecht

S33
Aqueous Secondary Organic Aerosol Formation from Acetylene Oxidation in Simulated Clouds
Kristen Lauren Axon, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and D. R. Collins, C. Milan, and C. Renaud

S34
Impacts of Phytoplankton Blooms on Sea Spray Aerosol
Claudia M. Althoen, NOAA, Seattle, WA
Manuscript (294.5 kB)

S35
The Efficiency of Ice Nucleating Particle Release Through Sea Spray Aerosols in Various Bubble Sizes
Ruby J Nelson, Univ. of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA; and K. A. Moore, T. C. J. Hill, P. J. DeMott, and S. M. Kreidenweis

S36
Investigating the Acidity and Liquid Water Content of Atmospheric Particles on the Chesapeake Bay during the OWLETS-2 Campaign
Nicholas Balasus, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and M. Battaglia, K. Ball, R. Delgado, and C. J. Hennigan
Manuscript (109.8 kB)

S37
Modeling Primary Marine Organic Aerosols
Stephanie Lin, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. S. Darmenov

S38
Bias Correction for the AIRPACT-5 Model
Nicole June, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. Vaughan, Y. Lee, and B. Lamb

S39
Applying the Virtual Tall Towers Approach to CO2 Data in the Amazon Basin.
Molly Elizabeth Huber, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY

S40
Application of Atmospheric Transport Models to Implement an Operational Volcanic Hazards Platform for the Caribbean
Sanola Sandiford, Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology, St. James, Barbados

S41
Relationships between the planetary boundary layer height and surface pollutants derived from lidar observations over China: regional pattern and influencing factors
Tianning Su, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD; and Z. Li and R. Kahn

S42
Planetary Boundary Layer Analysis using Ceilometer's and LIDAR's
Akash Persaud, NSF, Alexandria, VA

S43
Nephelometer Implementation in Microphysical Retrievals of Aerosol Properties
Julianna Posey, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and R. Delgado

S44
Sources of Pollution and Interrelationships Between Aerosol and Precipitation Chemistry at a California Coastal Site
Hossein Dadashazar, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. Sorooshian and L. Ma

S45
Characterization of Liquid Smoke by Size Distribution and Kappa Values
Alexa Ann Otto, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and D. Delene and W. Cantrell

S46
Characterizing 185 nm Irradiance and Alternative Attenuation Methods in Oxidation Flow Reactors
Jake P. Rowe, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. T. Lambe and W. H. Brune

S47
Influence of Metal Surfaces on the Efficiency of Ice Nucleation
Alexander W Rau, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE

S48
A Comparison Study of Bias-Corrected Model Dust Particle Size Distributions with In Situ Measurements
Yang Wang, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Adebiyi and J. F. Kok
Manuscript (153.8 kB)

S49
Wet versus Dry Atomization for Sucrose
Kayla Brown, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD; and P. Razafindrambinina and A. Asa-Awuku

S50
Imaginary Refractive Index Spectrum of Hematite: A Novel Determination Using a Nano-Particle Colloid
Megan Rennie, University of Nevada, Reno, NV; and H. Moosmüller

S51
Aerosol and Cloud Interactions over South America During the Next Century
Charley Fite, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC

S52
Monitoring Cloud Water Chemistry (including Organics) at Whiteface Mountain
Christopher Lawrence, SUNY, Albany, NY; and S. M. Lance, J. Schwab, D. Kelting, E. Yerger, H. Favreau, P. Casson, and R. Brandt

S53
Volcanic Aerosol Impacts on Big Island Precipitation Development
Tianqi Zuo, Univ. of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI

S54
Air Quality as An Indicator for Climatology Forecasting: A Case Study of Northern Utah
Jaemin Eun, University of Maryland, College Park, MD


Poster Session
Aviation
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S55
A Climatological Analysis of the Variance of the Ellrod Turbulence Index based on Seasonality, the Diurnal Cyle, and the North Atlantic Oscillation
Greg Lee Sova, The University of Louisiana at Monroe, Monroe, LA; and R. Saravanan

S56
Abrupt Changes in Wind Conditions at the Memphis International Airport
Nicholas E. Johnson, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and L. D. Carey

Characteristics of Tropical and Midlatitude Convectively-Induced Turbulence from High Resolution Simulations

S57
Leading-edge Vortices Over Swept-back Wings
William Lambert, Roanoke College, Salem, VA; and M. Stanek, R. Gurka, and E. Hackett


Poster Session
Boundary Layer Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S58
Spatial Variability in Greenhouse Gas Concentrations over Three Regions in the Eastern US
Marcel Briguglio, Rowan University, Glassboro, NJ; and S. Pal and K. J. Davis

S59
Diurnal and Seasonal Patterns of Carbon Dioxide and its Vertical Structure in the Atmosphere
Morgan Clark, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and S. Crowell, E. A. Pillar-Little, P. B. Chilson, X. M. Hu, X. Xiao, J. Basara, and P. Klein

S60
Foliage Canopy Influences on Diurnal Temperatures
Adrianna Kremer, SUNY Brockport, Patchogue, NY

S61
The Influence of Urban Form and Vegetation on Near-Source Dispersion in a Realistic Urban Canopy
Briana M Lynch, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. Stoll, A. Christen, W. Mahaffee, and S. T. Salesky

S62
Analysis of Precipitation Characteristics in Marine Boundary Layer Cellular Convective Clouds in the Eastern North Atlantic
Diana K. Apoznanski, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. P. Jensen, M. J. Bartholomew, V. Ghate, S. E. Giangrande, and K. L. Johnson
Manuscript (70.9 kB)

S63
Large-eddy simulations of a neutral boundary layer: Sensitivity to grid spacing and implications for modeling the lower boundary condition
Aaron Wang, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and Y. Pan and P. Markowski

S64
Effect of Dynamic Downscaling from Mesoscale to Microscale using Weather Research & Forecasting model on Plume Dispersion for Project Sagebrush Tracer Experiment-Phase 1
Sudheer Bhimireddy, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and K. Bhaganagar


Poster Session
Climate
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S65
Effect of Summer Arctic Sea Ice on the Reverse August Precipitation Anomaly in Eastern China Between 1998 and 2016
Manuscript (2.0 MB)

S66
Surface Heat Flux over Tropical Oceans in AMIP Simulations
Xin Zhou, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and P. Ray

S67
Analysis of Future Harmful Algae Bloom Frequency in the Monterey Bay with the use of CMIP5 Models
Krystal N. Sanchez-Castaneda, NCAS-M, Washington, DC

S68
Simulations of the Optical Properties of Dirty Snow
Jamin Stagg, University of Minnesota-Morris, Morris, MN; and S. Boyd

Handout (1.7 MB)

S69
The Madden-Julian Oscillation moist static energy budget in CMIP5 models
Shannon Bohman, Stony Brook Univ., Stony Brook, NY; and C. DeMott and D. A. Randall

S70
Recent change of North American Summer Monsoon revealed by multiple monsoon indexes
Shanru Tian, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE

S71
Alteration of hydrological and energy fluxes due to afforestation
Heather Dulaney, Virginia Tech, Williamsburg, VA; and C. E. Forest, J. D. Fuentes, and A. Meija

S72
The Dependence of Indonesia's Precipitation Response to Anthropogenic Aerosols on Emission Location
Flor Vanessa Maciel, UC Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA; and G. G. Persad

S73
Interannual Cloud Feedbacks: Observations vs. Long-Term Hindcasts vs. AMIP Simulations
Scott Feldman, LLNL, Livermore, CA

S74
Impact of Northern Eurasian Snow Cover in Autumn on the Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia Pattern during the Following January and its Linkage to Stationary Planetary Waves

S75
Examining the Influence of Greenland Ice Sheet Melting and Atlantic Meridional Shutdown on the Climate of Scandinavia and the British Isles
Tyler Lemburg, University of Nebraska--Lincoln, LINCOLN, NE

S76
Influence of Anomalous December Snow Cover over North America on January mid-high latitude Asian Surface Air Temperature

S77
Heat Fluxes by Planetary-scale Stationary and Transient Eddies before Sudden Stratospheric Warming
Joshua Smith, Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD; and V. Limpasuvan and C. T. Rhodes

S78
Using Cluster Analysis to Evaluate the CESM1 Large Ensemble's Ability to Simulate Regional Variations in Heat Waves
Savanna Wolvin, NSF, Anoka, MN; and A. Jenney and D. A. Randall

S79
Verification and Improvement of the Ability of CFSv2 to Predict the Antarctic Oscillation in Boreal Spring

S80
Improvements to the NCEI Climate Extremes Index
Emily L. Pauline, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA

S81
Change in the Mid-latitude Jet Stream Flow Due to Anthropogenic Climate Change, and Its Effect on Month-to-month Surface Temperature Variability
Johnathan Murphy, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Saint Charles, IL

S82
An Examination into the Drivers of Changes in Vertical Wind Shear in the Main Development Region and its Impact on Hurricane Frequency
Sydney Kramer, RSMAS, Miami, FL

S83
Trends in Record Breaking Temperatures in Germany
Emily Fletcher, NSF, Lincoln, NE; and C. M. Rowe

S84
Large Scale Observational and Model Analysis of the Unusual 2015-2016 El Niño Event: Implications for California Precipitation
Chelsea E. Snide, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and D. M. Straus and E. T. Swenson
Manuscript (79.6 kB)

S85
Modeling Unsustainable Growth: A multi-cohort dynamic population model and new formula for two-way coupling with climate models
Greta Katherine Easthom, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD; and S. Motesharrei
Manuscript (74.7 kB)

S86
European Urban Heat Islands in a Changing Climate
Alaina Froh, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Henrikson

S87
Effects of Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Extreme Cold and Blizzard Events in the Mid-Latitudes
Ashton McCormack Collins, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA

S88
Future Changes in Stratospheric Ozone Intrusions in CESM
Jordan Benjamin, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. H. Butler and J. R. Albers

S89
WRF Simulations of the Onset of the 2009 Convective Season in the Southeastern United States
Mary Ruth Brown, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and R. Ferreira and T. M. Rickenbach
Manuscript (32.9 kB)

S90
The Influence of Interacting Modes of Climate Variability on North American Precipitation and Temperature
Allison Serakos, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN; and P. Snyder and S. Liess

S91
Characterizing and Seasonally Forecasting Damaging Climatic Events Across the Snake River American Viticultural Area
Charles Becker, Boise State University, Boise, ID; and A. N. Flores, D. Wilkins, and N. Glenn

S92
Midwestern Climate Modelling and Analysis: An Examination of Climate Patterns, Trends, and Sensitivities
Carrie Merritt, Univ. of Missouri, Kansas City, MO; and F. Sun

S93
Ocean Impacts on Australian Interannual to Decadal Precipitation Variability
Zachary Johnson, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and Y. Chikamoto, J. J. Luo, and T. Mochizuki


Poster Session
Cloud Physics
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S94
Possible Influences of Aerosols on Mixed-Phase Clouds in the High Latitudes in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres
Abril Alberto, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and M. Diao

S95
Trees, Aerosols, and Clouds
Colby J Fronk, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY; and G. Pokrifka, J. Y. Harrington, and J. D. Fuentes
Manuscript (688.6 kB)

Handout (1.4 MB)

S96
Bacteria in Thunderstorm Anvils
Harrison P. Rademacher, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and D. J. Delene and A. D. Kennedy

S97
Aerosol-Induced Invigoration Effects in Deep Convection
Amy Yu, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and A. L. Igel

S98
Investigating the Impact of Graupel and Hail Parameterizations on Idealized Supercell Thunderstorms in the WRF Model
Jacob T. Asherman, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and J. P. Stachnik

S99
The Relative Impact of Ice Fall Speeds and Microphysics Parameterization Complexity on Supercell Evolution
Nicholas Falk, University of California Davis, Davis, CA; and M. R. Igel and A. L. Igel
Manuscript (887.9 kB)

S100
Do Clouds Feel Drag? Insights into Atmospheric Convection
Brett A. McKim, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and N. Jeevanjee, D. Lecoanet, N. Tarshish, and L. Donner

S101
A Study of Cloud Holes in Stratocumulus Clouds
Ching An Yang, San Jose State University, SAN JOSE, CA; and M. Diao

S102
Investigating In Situ and Liquid Origin Cirrus Clouds from Subtropical and Extratropical Campaigns: PREDICT and HIPPO
Ryan Patnaude, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and M. Diao

S103
An Observational-Based Approach for Studying Cirrus Microphysical Properties with the Combined Use of Lidar and Polarimeter Observations
Natalie Midzak, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND

S104
Microphysical Influences on Ensemble Members in the December 15-16, 2013 OWLeS Case
Jessica P Blair, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and K. Sulia, J. P. Chen, and L. C. Gaudet

S105
Microphysical impact of cloud seeding on wintertime orographic clouds observed during SNOWIE
Melinda Hatt, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and J. R. French

S106
Effects of Air Turbulence on Snowfall
Kristie L Smith, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and A. J. Petersen, Z. Lebo, and F. Coletti


Poster Session
Communication and Education
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S107
Addressing the Issue of Completion Rate Among Atmospheric Science Undergraduates
Logan Saucer, Florida International Univ., Miami, FL

Handout (11.1 MB)

S108
Education through the Science On a Sphere.
Matthew B. Hamel, Millersville Univ., Millersville, Pennsylvania, PA

S109
From Weather Wizard to Cloud Man: Education and Outreach with a Fun Approach
Zachary Krauss, Cornell Chapter of the American Meteorological Society, Ithaca, NY

S110
Aspects of Broadcast Meteorology Unique to Students at the University of Oklahoma
Jenna G Warner, The Oklahoma Weather Lab, Norman, OK; and N. M. Rhodes

S111
Bridging the Gap Between Student and Public Education of Climate Forecasting
Leah Hill, Souther Climate Impacts Planning Program, Norman, OK; and J. Cuellar

S112
Color Vision Deficiencies and Weather Communication: A Universally-Accessible, Proof-of-Concept Color Table for Use in Weather Data Displays
Matthew J. Bolton, Saint Leo Univ., Saint Leo, FL; and W. G. Blumberg, H. M. Mogil, and L. K. Ault

S113
'An Analysis of Social Media Usage During Weather Warnings'
Sarah E. Kleinert, Millersville University, Mechanicsburg, PA


Poster Session
Data Assimilation and Numerical Weather Prediction
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S114
Building a Multiple Regression Model to Predict Severe Thunderstorms in Upstate New York
Michael Hosek, Hamilton College, Clinton, NY; and B. Kardas, B. Collett, and G. Jones
Manuscript (278.7 kB)

S115
Evaluating forecasts for Indian Summer Monsoon precipitation using the Navy Earth System Model
Erin Regan, Metropolitan State Univ. of Denver, Denver, CO

S116
A Potential Diagnostic to Characterize Different Weather-Regime Forcings of Convective Precipitation Events
Malcolm T. Wilson, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and M. Wong

S117
A WRF Sensitivity Study on Optimizing Precipitation Forecasting in an Operational Context
Richard Garmong, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and P. Miller and J. A. Knox

S118
Analog Forecast Model
Shayna Fever, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and E. R. Snodgrass

S119
Evaluation of Three Numerical Weather Predictions Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Benjamin Yang, NSF, Bothell, WA

S120
Evaluating Urban WRF-Solar for Photovoltaic Power Forecasts in New York City
Harold Gamarro, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. E. Gonzalez and L. Ortiz

S121
Measurement Network Design within the CarbonTracker-Lagrange Inverse Modelling Framework
Isaac Arseneau, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and A. Andrews

S122
The Impact of Global Hawk Dropsonde Data Assimilated in both global and regional weather forecast models on 3 Tropical Cyclones during 2017
Miguel Cortez Jr., Univ. of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX; and A. C. Kren, L. Cucurull, and R. M. Fitzgerald

S123
The Impact of Unmanned Aircraft System Observations on Convective Initiation Along a Boundary in Numerical Weather Prediction
Taylor Trask, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND

S124
The Effectiveness of a Raspberry Pi Cluster to Perform WRF Simulations for Enhancing Computational Resources within the Valparaiso University Meteorology Program
Maxwell Grover, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and I. Arseneau, E. Foust, T. Wade, and K. H. Goebbert


Poster Session
Ecosystems and Agriculture
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S125
The Dionysus Project: Classifying and Monitoring Vineyards with Satellite Remote Sensing & Image Analysis
Nicole Flores, The New York City College of Technology, Brooklyn, NY; and E. Perez-Flores

S126
Using GIS to show Drought Impacts on North American Agricultural Commodities
Bryan Petersen, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and B. Fuchs, M. J. Hayes, M. D. Brusberg, and D. J. Bathke

S127
Effect of Extreme Weather Disasters on Wheat Across the Globe During Last Few Decades
Sharib Rizvi, CREST, New York, NY

S128
Influence of Extreme Weather Disasters on Maize across the Globe during the last several decades
Benjamin Colin Pascal, NOAA, Mount Vernon, NY; and E. Najafi and I. Pal

S129
Using Biochar to Reduce Composting Odor
Jillian C Denison, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY; and N. Khosravi and B. T. Jobson

S130
Cook Agronomy Farm Snow Coverage Data Analysis
Isabell Strawn, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and E. S. Russell and S. Pressley

S131
The Connectivity between Large-scale Ocean-atmospheric Patterns, Terrestrial Coastal Ecosystem Outcomes and Blue Economy
Esmeralda Vargas, CREST, New York, NY; and N. Maxfield and I. Pal


Poster Session
Extreme Weather Events
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S132
Flood Risks: Rainfall Patterns and Storm Transpositions in the Missouri River Basin
Mohamed layachi, NSF, Alexandria, VA

S133
A Tale of a Flash Flood: WRF Modeling of Record Rainfall and Flash Flooding in Arizona
Nathaniel J. Bochenek, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Prescott, AZ; and D. Ivanova

S134
Open Your Eye to 2018 Super Typhoons in the Western Pacific
Kathryn Lanyon, Berry College, Mount Berry, GA; and J. Sutton

S135
Quantifying the spatio-temporal variability of Storm Arrival Rates for the continental United States
CESAR HINCAPIE, NOAA-CREST, New York, NY

S136
Effect of Extreme Weather Disasters on Global Rice Production
Thierno A Barry, NSF-REU, New York, NY; and E. Najafi and I. Pal

S137
Comparison of GFS and NAM Weather Numerical Prediction Models in Predicting Tornado Outbreaks
Michelle Rose Spencer, Metropolitan State University of Denver, Denver, CO

S138
Heat Wave occurrences over Senegal during Spring :Regionalization and Synoptic Patterns.
Marie Jeanne G. Sambou, Université Cheikh Anta Diop/LPAO-SF, Dakar, Senegal; and S. Janicot, B. Pohl, D. Badiane, A. L. DIENG, and A. T. Gaye


Poster Session
Fire Weather
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S139
Tundra Fires in Alaska: A Weather Perspective
James White, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and R. Thoman and J. E. Walsh

S140
Can Thunderstorm Forecasts Predict Lightning Ignited Wildfires?
Caitlin M. Ford, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and E. M. Stoppkotte and N. J. Nauslar
Manuscript (186.2 kB)

S141
Climatological Analysis of Historical Southeastern Wildfire
Parker Wade Henry, University of Georgia, Athens, GA

S142
Diablo Winds: Wildfire Impacts, Definition, and Evolution
Brandon T. McClung, UW - University of Washington, Seattle, WA

S143
Verification Analysis of Red Flag Warnings in the Reno, Nevada County Warning Area
Julianna Glinskas, LeTourneau University, Longview, TX; and B. Brong
Manuscript (215.0 kB)


Poster Session
GIS
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S144
Mapping and Visualizing Socio-Economic and Environmental Data for the Rio Grande Basin
Jack Dimpsey III, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. R. Ziolkowska and R. Reyes

Handout (4.1 MB)

S145
Power Perception: Visibility Analysis in 3D Dynamic Visualization of Landscape Features at Hampton Plantation
Reagan Belk, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS; and S. Bergeron

S146
A 3D Reconstruction of the South Santee River Flow as Part of the Hampton Plantation Virtual Landscape Project
Poushai Ghosh, Millersville University of Pennsylvania, Upper Darby, PA; and S. Bergeron

S147
Impacts of Land Surface Heterogeneity on Thermodynamic Variables Collected from Unmanned Aircraft Systems: Results from the 2018 LAPSE-RATE Field Campaign
Racine Swick, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK; and A. E. Frazier, B. L. Hemingway, V. Natalie, and J. D. Jacob

S148
Visualization of NOAA Aircraft Data for Hurricane Irma using ArcGIS
Sofia de Solo, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and J. Zawislak, H. Holbach, and I. Sears

S149
Using GIS to Display and Analyze Houston Lightning Mapping Array Data During Hurricane Harvey
Justin D Fierova, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. R. Spotts and T. Logan


Poster Session
Hydrometeorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S150
Streamflow Associated with Northeast Tropical Cyclones and Dry Antecedent Conditions in the Connecticut River Watershed
Margo S. Andrews, College of DuPage, Glen Ellyn, IL; and E. M. Fernández and L. B. Avilés

S151
Exploration of USCRN Soil Moisture Observations Across the United States
Anie Shahnazarian, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Linthicum Heights, MD

S152
Streamflow Associated with Northeast Tropical Cyclones in the Connecticut River Watershed: Wet Antecedent Conditions and Hurricane Irene
Elena M. Fernández, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and M. S. Andrews and L. B. Avilés

S153
Assessment of Snow Cover Using MIRS, MSPPS, and IMS Measurements over Mountainous Terrain and Forested Areas
Jessica Chiu, CREST, New York, NY

S154
A Study of Peak Winter Flow Rates in the Feather River Watershed, California
Shawn Roj, University of Nevada, Reno, Reno, NV

S155
Freezing Levels and Atmospheric Rivers over the California Feather River Watershed
Julie Cunningham, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH

S156
Comparative Assessment of Water Quality at The Rainwater-Harvesting Basin and Neighborhood-Wash Scales
Sheila Solis-Arroyo, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

S157
Measuring Greenhouse Gas Fluxes Due to Ebullition in a Freshwater Estuarine Wetland
Taylor L Stephen, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and J. A. Villa and G. Bohrer

S158
Idealized Modeling of the Impact of Coastal Sea Level on River Flooding
Langston Todd Wood, South Carolina State University, Elgin, SC; and H. Zhang Sr. and S. Bao


Poster Session
Lightning
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S159
Using Sferics Detection to Investigate Storm Development & Lightning Safety
Mariama Feaster, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and T. Logan

S160
Integrating NASA Earth Observations to Monitor Thunderstorms and Assess Lightning Exposure and Risk in the Hindu-Kush Himalayan Region
Christine Evans, NASA DEVELOP National Program, Huntsville, AL

S161
Analysis of High Intensity Positive Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Strikes over Eastern Colorado
Megan Franke, Metropolitan State University, Denver, CO


Poster Session
Local Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S162
Signals in the Urban Soils.
Fatimata Dia, NSF, BRONX, NY

S163
Building Integrated Photovoltaic panels to reduce and meet the cooling load for tropical-coastal cities
Juan Garcia, NOAA, Bronx, NY

S164
Local-scale water level differences and meteorological drivers in Annapolis, MD
George Davis, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and A. R. Davies and J. P. Smith

S165
An Analysis of Thunderstorm Intensity Trends in the Mississippi Delta Region
Nabindra Gyawali, University Of Louisiana Monroe, Monroe, LA

S166
Identifying Sea and Bay Breeze Driven Convection and Common Locations for Initiation in Mobile County, Alabama
Samantha Elizabeth Darring, University Of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball

S167
Variability of the Urban Heat Island in Raleigh, NC
Ronak N. Patel, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter and M. A. Miller

S168
The Effect of Ground Terrain on Sacramento Valley Supercells
Ameya S Naik, Mira Loma High School, Sacramento, CA

S169
The Response of Chlorophyll to Mesoscale Eddies in the Eastern South China Sea
Jin Liu, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China; and Y. Yuan, Y. Wang, and J. Dai

S170
Analyzing the Diurnal Cycle of Urban Land Surface Temperature using Satellite Remote Sensing and in-situ Application
Makini Valentine, New York City College of Technology, Brooklyn, NY; and J. Ginchereau, C. A. Beale, H. Norouzi, and R. Blake

S171
Air Mass Typing of Precipitation Events in the Northeastern Lower Peninsula of Michigan
Kayla Lemke, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI; and D. B. Kluver


Poster Session
Mesoscale Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S172
Examining Terrain Effects on the 31 May 1998 Mechanicville, New York Supercell and Tornado
Luke Justin LeBel, SUNY, Albany, NY; and B. Tang and R. Lazear

S173
Analyzing the Role of a Long-Lived Mesoscale Convective Vortex in Mesoscale Ensemble Analyses of the 24 August 2016 Indiana-Ohio-Ontatio Tornado Outbreak
John Cole, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and M. Asel, S. Harrel, D. T. Dawson II, and M. E. Baldwin

S174
Cold pool Observations Linking Depth and the Environment (COLDE)
Stephanie Marie Eilts, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. Trapp

S175
Topographical Influences on a Subtropical South American Mesoscale Convective System
Christiaan Patterson, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Z. S. Bruick and K. L. Rasmussen

S176
The Effects of the Black Hills on Linear Mesoscale Convective Systems
Krystal Kossen, South Dakota School of Mines & Technology, Rapid City, SD; and A. J. French

S177
Using Trajectories to Study the Thermodynamic Characteristics of Extreme Updrafts Simulated in Hurricane Wilma (2005)
William J. S. Miller, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD

S178
A Comparison of Tornadic and False Alarm Convective Cells in the Outer Rainbands of Hurricane Harvey
Rebekah Cheatham, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and C. J. Nowotarski and M. Brown

S179
Effects of changing land use on simulated convective systems in the Florida panhandle
Francesca M. Lappin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg

S180
WUDAPT Land Use Classification of Spokane, WA for Urban WRF Model
Alexander Schmies, Washington State Univeristy, Pullman, WA; and A. C. Fernandez and Y. Lee
Manuscript (208.8 kB)

S181
Motion Characteristics of Propagating Cloud-Eroding Boundaries in the Subtropical Southeast Atlantic
Lindsay Hochstatter, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

S182
Analyzing Cold Pool Depths in Thunderstorms During Summer Months of 2018
Alexandra V Escobar, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL


Poster Session
Mountain Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S183
How Often Vertical Air Mass Transitions Occur in Association with Ridges on Mount Washington During 2017-2018 Winter
Anna Smith, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and C. Connolly and E. P. Kelsey

S184
How Often Vertical Air Mass Transitions Occur in Association with Ridges on Mount Washington During the 2017-2018 Fall Season
Charlotte Connolly, Ohio University, Springfield, OH; and A. Smith and E. P. Kelsey
Manuscript (1.9 MB)

S185
Collecting, Quantifying, and Characterizing Surface Convective Energy Fluxes on Mount Washington Summit
Sarah Thunberg, Mount Washington Observatory, North Conway, NH; and G. S. Mooers

S186
North Atlantic Oscillation Impact on Mount Washington Summit Weather
Simon G. Wachholz, Mount Washington Observatory, North Conway, NH

S187
Analysis of the Froude Number during a Cold Air Damming Scenario in the Appalachian Region
Grant Carlton, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and B. Rinaldi, M. Dellandre, and N. Kriston


Poster Session
Observations and Instrumentation
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S188
Development at the University of North Dakota of a Digital Thermosonde Instrument for the Study of Atmospheric Optical Turbulence
Blake Sorenson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and D. Delene, M. Mullins, and K. Foerster

S189
Testing Advancements in InterMet Radiosonde Communications and Performance
Lance Belobrajdic, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. E. Marble, K. Tucker, L. Blind-Doskocil, R. Eldridge, E. Sherman, and D. T. Conlee

S190
Spectroscopically Based Measurements of Atmospheric Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2): Improvements to a Broadband Cavity Enhanced Spectrometer
Maurice Roots, Hampton University, Hampton, VA; and S. S. Brown, M. Robinson, C. Womack, and R. Washenfelder

S191
Ceilometer Comparisons and what their data says about Backscatter and PBL in Baltimore, Maryland and Beltsville, Maryland.
Wambugu Kironji, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD
Manuscript (27.9 kB)

S192
Undergraduate Research Training on New Remote Sensors for Air Quality and Meteorological Monitoring
Kyle Ehmann, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and D. Seavey and R. D. Clark

S193
An Inter-Model Comparison of Gridded Meteorological Datasets in Montana
Colin Brust, University of Montana, Missoula, MT; and K. Jencso, M. Sweet, and K. Bocinsky

S194
Validation of Mobile Mesonet Pressure Observations
Ivy C MacDaniel, Austin Peay State University, Clarksville, TN; and S. E. Fredrickson and S. Waugh

S195
Analysis of Solar Insolation and Solar Energy Production at an Oklahoma Mesonet Site
Zuleydian Roche-Rivera, National Weather Center REU Program, Norman, OK; and C. Fiebrich and K. A. Brewster
Manuscript (60.8 kB)

S196
Merging Satellite-Based Precipitation Estimates and Rain Gauge Measurements over Saudi Arabia
Raied Alharbi Sr., University of California, Irvine, CA; and K. Hsu and S. S. Sorooshian

S197
Evaluation of National Weather Service Radar Hail Detection Outputs
Corrine N. DeCiampa, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and I. M. Giammanco

S198
Sedimentary Organic Matter Dynamics at a High-Energy Beach
Desirae vess, Columbia College, Gray Court, SC; and A. Hannides

S199
HF Radar and Near-Shore Buoy Ocean Wave Measurement
Siena Dante, NOAA, New York, NY

S200
Unique Observations of a Meso-Low during Florida Sea-Breeze Convection, as seen from various Mobile Platforms
Shealynn Cloutier Bisbee, Embry Riddle Aeronautical Univeristy, Daytona Beach, FL; and S. M. Milrad


Poster Session
Polar Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S201
Validating Antarctic Pressure Reconstructions Using Historical Expedition Data
Connor P. Belak, Ohio Univ., Athens, OH; and R. L. Fogt

S202
Variability in the Surface Energy Budget of the Greenland Ice Sheet and its relationship to the climatology of air trajectories over 40 years.
Shima Bahramvash Shams, Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA; and V. Walden and L. Cohen

S203
Impacts of Extreme Blocking over Greenland
Erin McDonnell, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and M. Henry, G. R. Henderson, and B. S. Barrett

S204
Preliminary Results on Measuring Snow Accumulation and Sublimation at Alexander Tall Tower in Antarctica
Ellie Fajer, NCAR, BOULDER, CO; and S. D. Landolt

S205
Improving the GEOS-Chem Model to Better Predict Ozone Concentrations in the Arctic.
Kaitlyn Confer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. Holmes

Arctic Sea Ice Thickness Subseasonal Predictability: Comparing CFSv2 Operational Forecasts with CryoSat-2/SMOS Satellite Data


Poster Session
Probability and Statistics
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference

Poster Session
Radar Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S206
'High Spatiotemporal Resolution Observations of the Dissipation of a Violent Tornado on 9 May 2016 Near Sulphur, Oklahoma'
Katherine E. McKeown, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and M. M. French, H. B. Bluestein, and Z. B. Wienhoff

S207
Generation of Z-R Relationships for the Island of Barbados
Kashawn K. S. Hall, Caribbean Insitute for Meteorology and Hydrology, Saint James, Barbados; and S. A. Boyce

S208
Investigating Humidity Gradient Detection Using Bragg Scatter
Breecia L. Crawford, East Central University, Ada, OK; and A. D. Byrd and J. E. Ruyle

S209
Distribution and Characteristics of Deep Convective Clouds using CloudSat and CALIPSO
Samantha Nebylitsa, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and A. D. Rapp

S210
A Comprehensive Analysis of Tornadic Debris Signatures Associated with Significant Tornadoes from 2010-2017
Samuel W. Emmerson, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. E. Nelson
Manuscript (630.9 kB)


Poster Session
Satellite Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S211
'Analysis of Freeze and Thaw Dates in High Mountain Asia using Satellite Remote Sensing'
Khaing Hsu Wai, NOAA, New York, NY; and J. Chiu, T. Lakhankar, and N. Krakauer

S212
Determining the Ability to Use Direct Broadcast System (DBS) Data to Forecast Severe Weather
Anthony DiNorscia, Hampton University, Hampton, VA; and W. L. Smith Sr. and J. W. C. McNabb

S213
Investigating LEO Sounder Retrieval Product Variations at GEO Temporal and Spatial Resolution
James F Anheuser, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and E. Weisz and P. Menzel

S214
Analysis of Tornado Damage Tracks from April 27, 2011 in West-Central Alabama Using Hyperspectral Imagery
Maxwell Grover, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and B. Liang and A. C. Czarnetzki

S215
Observing Hail Swaths Using the GOES-16 Advanced Baseline Imager
Dillon V. Blount, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and P. N. Schumacher and K. Gallo

S216
Stratospheric Air Intrusions and Rapid Cyclogenesis over the North Pacific: Case Studies Winter 2017-2018
Deirdre Dolan, University of Maryland, College Park, New Market, MD; and M. J. Folmer, L. J. Phillips, and J. M. Sienkiewicz

S217
Geolocation Correction of Satellite Precipitation Estimates Using a Radar-Gauge Product
Edgar Gomez, NYCCT NSF CREST, Brooklyn, NY; and A. Rodriguez and K. Tesfagiorgis


Poster Session
Social Science
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S218
Reliance on Information Sources during Hurricane Irma: a Survey of Pinellas County, Florida
Robert van der Drift, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and J. Collins and R. Ersing

S219
Hurricane Irma Evacuation Decisions Influenced by the Main Hurricane Hazards: Storm Surge, Rainfall, and Wind in Pinellas County, Florida
Amanda F M Bowden, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. M. Collins and R. Ersing

S220
Social Connectedness and Demographic Factors of Pinellas County Evacuation Cohorts during Hurricane Irma
Tierney Latham, Hamilton College, Clinton, NY

S221
Surveying the Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory (TCM) with NWS Partners
Ayesha Wilkinson, NCAS, Howard University, Washington, D.C.; and J. L. Schauer

S222
Social Media & Broadcast Meteorology Quandaries: A Comparative Study


Poster Session
Space Weather
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S223
Geomagnetic Indexes, Overlapping Magnetic Cycles, and Prediction: What is Solar Minimum?
Mia Mancuso, New York Univ., Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and S. McIntosh

S224
Analysis of Citizen Science Aurora Data Collected by Aurorasaurus in 2017
Sara Housseal, Millersville University, Millersville, PA


Poster Session
Synoptic Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S225
Temporal and Spatial Frequency of Warm-Season Stationary Fronts in the United States
Peyton K. Capute, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. O. Piersante, N. D. Metz, and E. G. Hoffman

S226
Temporal Distribution of Flooding WWAs Associated With Warm-Season Stationary Fronts East of the Rockies
Shelby Turner, North East Partnership for Atmospheric and Related Sciences, Villa Grove, IL

S227
A Climatology of Atmospheric Rivers in the Northeastern United States
Anna Kaminski, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and M. Duncan, N. D. Metz, and J. M. Cordeira

S228
A Climatology of Integrated Water Vapor Transport in the Northeast and its Relationship to Atmospheric Rivers
Megan Duncan, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH; and A. Kaminski, N. D. Metz, and J. M. Cordeira

S229
Climatology of False Springs in Western Michigan's Fruit Growing Region
Woodrow Ferris Unruh, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI

S230
North Pacific Precursors to a Multi-Day Severe Weather Outbreak over the United States
Darby Johnson, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and N. D. Metz, H. M. Archambault, and L. Bosart

S231
Mid-South Tornado Pattern Classification, Synoptic Scale
Anna Wanless, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD


Poster Session
Tropical Meteorology
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S232
Extending Tropical Cyclone Formation Outlook Forecasts

S233
Isolating the Thermodynamic Response of Tropical Convection to Column Moisture
Hrag Najarian, University California Davis, Davis, CA; and M. R. Igel
Manuscript (254.2 kB)

S234
Variations in Pacific Tropical Cyclone Sizes and Precipitation in a GCM
Brandon K. Cohen, Univ. of Louisiana Monroe, Monroe, LA; and R. Korty

S235
Historical Hurricane Size Variations along the U.S. Coast: Analysis of the HURDAT2 64 Knot Wind Field Data Set for U.S. Landfalling Hurricanes
Sidhant Puntambekar, NCAR, BOULDER, CO; and J. Cyccone, J. M. Done, and S. D. Landolt

S236
Changes in the Tropical Cyclone Steering Flow Along the U.S. Southeast and Gulf Coasts
Rafal Ogorek, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and S. K. Miller and D. W. Titley

S237
Sources of Variability in the Timing of the Rainy Season over Monsoonal Regions
James Goodnight, Texas A&M University, Raleigh, NC; and R. Bombardi

S238
Thermodynamic and Kinematic Properties of Isolated Convective Cells in the Rainband Region of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Peyton Barlow, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Sangster and W. D. Terwey

S239
Developing and non-developing African easterly waves and large-scale environment over the eastern Atlantic
Bantwale Diress Enyew, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC

S240
Investigating Hurricane Storm Surge Predictability using ADCIRC and SLOSH
Cindi-Ann Findley, NCAR, Boulder, CO

S241
Annapolis’s Hurricane History: A Study of The Sensitivity of Impacts (flooding, wind) to Storm Intensity and Approach Vector
Lindsey R Wan, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and B. S. Barrett and A. R. Davies

S242
Impacts of Sea Surface Temperature Gradients on Rapid Weakening in the Eastern North Pacific
B. Matthew Holliday, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and K. M. Wood

S243
The Impact of High-Resolution Terrain Data in WRF Simulations of Hurricane Maria (2017)
Nathalie G. Rivera-Torres, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR; and F. Judt and J. Done

S244
Impacts of sea surface temperatures on 2017 hurricanes
María Morales, University of Puerto Rico at Mayaguez, Mayaguez, PR, United States Minor Outlying Islands; and X. Chen and F. Zhang
Manuscript (75.9 kB)

S245
Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the Gulf Stream
Keely Martin, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and B. S. Barrett and A. R. Davies

S246
Orographic Influences on Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Vicinity of Taiwan
Jared Milano, SUNY, Albany, NY; and M. J. Yang
Manuscript (80.3 kB)

Handout (1.6 MB)

S247
Constraints in Dvorak Windspeed Estimates: How Quickly Can Tropical Cyclones Intensify?
Samuel Sangster, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and C. Landsea

S248
The Phenomenal Intensification of Hurricane Maria (2017)
Shanice Whitehall, Caribbean Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH), Bridgetown, Barbados; and C. Brathwaite, K. A. Caesar, M. Mayers-Als, R. Chewitt, and A. Sealy

S249
A Detailed Dataset of Surface Winds Over Puerto Rico from a WRF Simulation of Hurricane Maria (2017)
Jimmy Yun Ge, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Miami, FL

S250
Case Study of a Long-Lived African Easterly Wave Leading to a Hurricane in the Eastern Pacific
Clay Alexander Chaney, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. Rehnberg

S251
Tropical Cyclones in the NASA GEOS-5 Model and MERRA-2 Reanalysis
Zoe Aarons, Bowdoin College, Brunswick, ME; and S. J. Camargo, J. D. O. Strong, and H. Murakami


Poster Session
Winter Weather
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Annual Student Conference
S252
'Composite Analysis of Snow-Water Equivalence Ratios in Great Plains Mid-Latitude Winter Cyclones'
Patrick T. Beaty, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson

S253
A Case Study Analysis of Heavy Snowfall Events and Road Weather Implications in 2018 in Nebraska
Nancy Barnhardt, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson

S254
Environmental Controls on Banded Versus Cellular Organization of Mesoscale Snow Squalls in Western South Dakota
Leanna Bender, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and A. J. French

S255
Characteristics of the Best and Worst HRRR Forecasts for Banded Snow Over the Past 3 Winters
Alex R. Smith, Central Michigan Univ., Bartlett, IL; and M. A. Baxter and J. T. Radford

S256
Analyzing Doppler On Wheels Dual-Polarization Radar Parameters During a Lake-effect Snowstorm
Matthew Seymour, SUNY Oswego, Oswego, NY

S257
Analysis of Thundersnow Mixed-phase Regions in the New England Nor’Easters of March 2018
Adam C Batz, Central Michigan University, St Johns, MI; and D. B. Kluver

S258
Analyzing the Evolution of Winter Storm Environments
Emily D. Lenhardt, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. R. Martin

S259
High-resolution Spatial and Temporal Observations of Generating Cells and Velocity Waves in Colorado Snowstorms
Daniel M. Hueholt, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Yuter, M. A. Miller, and P. C. Kennedy

S260
Influence of Atmospheric Stability on PM2.5 Concentration in three Geographical Regions in the Northern Hemisphere
Thishan Dharshana Karandana Gamalathge, University of Nevada-Reno, Reno, NV; and M. Green

7:00 PM-9:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


AWCIA- Early Career Professionals Reception
Location: Sheraton Hotel

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


CoRioLis Reception
Location: Sheraton Hotel

8:30 PM-10:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Colour of Weather Networking Reception
Location: Sheraton Hotel

9:00 PM-11:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Early Career Professional Reception
Location: Encanto B (Sheraton Hotel )

Early Career Professionals Reception
Location: Encanto B (Sheraton Hotel )
Cochairs: Rebecca DePodwin, AccuWeather, Inc.; Morgan Brown Yarker, Yarker Consulting; Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies

Monday, 7 January 2019

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Monday)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Quiet Room (Monday)
Location: West 206 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Registration (Monday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Speaker Ready Room (Monday)
Location: North 121A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Guest Welcome Desk
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Session 1
Opening Remarks
Location: North 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 1
2018 Hurricane, Cyclone, and Typhoon Season: Session I
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
8:30 AM
1.1
2018 Supertyphoons: A Comparison of Precipitation Estimates across the Western Pacific
Jessica Sutton, Berry College, Mount Berry, GA; and V. Lakshmi and K. Lanyon
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.2
Response to Extreme Precipitation and Wind at the End of the Rainy Season in North China
Bing Zhou, BCC, Beijing, China

9:15 AM
1.3
Tropical Cyclone Gita (2018): Impacts and Interagency Solutions for American Samoa
Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI
Recorded Presentation

1.4
A Review of NCEP Model Guidance for Hurricanes Florence and Michael

1.5
The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project: Basin-Scale HWRF Performance in 2018

1.6
Surface Wind Reconstructions for Hurricane Michael at Landfall with a New Parametric Model

Recording files available
Session 1
AI Techniques Applied to Environmental Science
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: Carlos F. Gaitan, ClimateAI
8:30 AM
1.1
Machine Learning Classification to Inform the Search Space Extension Variant for the Analog Ensemble Technique
Laura Clemente-Harding, Engineer Research and Development Center, Alexandria, VA; and W. Hu, G. S. Young, G. Cervone, S. Haupt, and L. Delle Monache

8:45 AM
1.2
Object-Based Deep Learning for Detection of Synoptic-Scale Atmospheric Fronts
Ryan A. Lagerquist, CIMMS, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

1.3
Ultra-fast machine learning solver for chemical kinetics in atmospheric models

9:00 AM
1.4
Lightning Nowcasting with Multisource Data: A Deep Learning Approach
Kanghui Zhou, National Meteorological Center of China, Beijing, China
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.5
Precipitation Classification Using the Lowest Tilt Radar Data with a Support Vector Machine Method
Yadong Wang, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville, IL; and L. Tang
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.6
Automatic Generation of Text Weather Forecast with Spatio-Temporal Aggregation
Lior Perez, Météo-France, Toulouse, France
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Adapting to Climate Challenges: Reports from the American Southwest
Location: North 228AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 10th Conference on Environment and Health
Cochairs: David M. Hondula, Arizona State Univ.; Sheila Steinberg, Arizona State Univ.
8:30 AM
1.1A
HeatRisk and the Evolution of Heat-Related Services at NOAA/NWS Phoenix
Paul Iniguez, NWS, Phoenix, AZ

8:45 AM
1.2
Nature's Cooling Systems: Community Built Heat Action Planning
Melissa Guardaro, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and D. M. Hondula, M. Messerschmidt, and N. Grimm
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.3
Adapting to Climate Extremes in Arizona: Utilizing a Monitoring and Evaluation Framework to Implement and Improve Climate and Health Interventions
Matthew C. Roach, Arizona Department of Health Services, Phoenix, AZ; and D. M. Hondula, H. Brown, E. Barrett, D. Carr, C. Hill, and V. Berisha
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
A Path to Building Partnerships for Addressing the Effects of Climate Change on Community Health
Jessica Bell, Maricopa County Department of Public Health, Phoenix, AZ; and K. Goodin, V. Berisha, and J. White
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
Heatready Phoenix: A Comprehensive Framework for Addressing Extreme Heat
Michael Hammett, City of Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ; and D. M. Hondula, P. M. Chakalian, M. Guardaro, M. Hartman, L. C. Kurtz, K. Peters, R. Quay, C. Redman, C. Stotler, K. Waller, and A. Zafaranlou
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1.6A
Hot Spots for Heat Resilience in Border Cities
Gregg M. Garfin, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. LeRoy, P. Juarez-Carrillo, J. Vanos, A. Monteblanco, and H. Jones
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Advances in CubeSats and SmallSats to Improve Earth Science, Weather Forecasting, Space Weather Prediction, Hydrology Studies, or Climate Monitoring—Part I
Location: North 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Second Conference on Earth Observing SmallSats; and the 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems )
Cochairs: Martin Yapur, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning and Analysis; Robert Bauer, NASA Earth Science Technology Office
8:30 AM
J1.1
NASA CYGNSS Mission Science Highlights
Derek J. Posselt, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. S. Ruf, R. Atlas, N. L. Baker, D. Burrage, J. A. Crespo, J. T. Johnson, T. J. Lang, M. Moghaddam, E. D. Maloney, D. McKague, M. Morris, Z. Pu, E. M. Riley Dellaripa, and D. E. Waliser
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
J1.2
IceCube’s 16-Month Spaceflight: Implication for Earth Decadal Survey Sciences
Dong L. Wu, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

9:00 AM
J1.3
RainCube, the First Spaceborne Precipitation Radar in a 6U CubeSat: From Concept to Mission
Simone Tanelli, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and E. Peral, T. Imken, S. Statham, J. Sauder, D. Price, N. Chahat, S. S. Joshi, and A. Williams
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
J1.4
Status of the CubeSat Radiometer Radio Frequency Interference Technology Validation (CubeRRT) Mission
Chris Ball, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and C. C. Chen, C. McKelvey, G. Smith, M. Andrews, A. O'Brien, L. Garry, J. Johnson, S. Misra, R. Jarnot, S. Brown, R. Bendig, C. Felten, J. Kocz, D. Bradley, P. Mohammed, J. Lucey, K. Horgan, Q. Bonds, C. Duran-Aviles, M. Solly, M. Fritts, J. R. Piepmeier, M. Pallas, E. Krauss, and D. Laczkowski
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
J1.5
Temporal Experiment for Storms and Tropical Systems Technology Demonstration (TEMPEST-D) 6U CubeSat Mission: Initial Results and Potential for Earth Science
Steven C. Reising, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and T. C. Gaier, S. T. Brown, S. Padmanabhan, C. Kummerow, V. Chandrasekar, C. Heneghan, B. H. Lim, W. Berg, R. Schulte, C. Radhakrishnan, and M. Pallas
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
J1.6
Tropospheric Water and Cloud ICE (TWICE) 6U CubeSat Instrument to Enable Observations of Cloud Ice Particle Size and Water Vapor Sounding in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere
Steven C. Reising, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. Ogut, Y. Goncharenko, B. Kilmer, P. Kangaslahti, E. Schlecht, X. Bosch-Lluis, J. Jiang, A. Skalare, R. Cofield, N. Chahat, S. Padmanabhan, S. T. Brown, W. Deal, A. Zamora, K. Leong, S. Shih, and G. Mei

Recording files available
Session 1
Advancing Observations, Data Assimilation, and Modeling for Improved Prediction
Location: North 131AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 23rd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Cochairs: Sharan Majumdar, University of Miami; Ross Hoffman, AOML
1.1
Innovating to Save Lives and Property: Advancing Next Generation Weather Research to Operation (Invited Presentation)

8:30 AM
1.2
The WMO Rolling Review of Requirements and the State of Wind Measurements in the Global Observing System (Invited Presentation)
Lars Peter Riishojgaard, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.3
Big Data Assimilation: Past 5 Years and Perspectives for the Future
Takemasa Miyoshi, RIKEN, Kobe, Japan; and S. Otsuka, T. Honda, G. Y. Lien, Y. Maejima, Y. Yoshizaki, H. Seko, H. Tomita, S. Satoh, T. Ushio, T. V. Martsinkevich, B. Gerofi, and Y. Ishikawa
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
New Directions in 4D-Var: The ECMWF Perspective
Massimo Bonavita, ECMWF, Reading, UK
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Assimilation for NWP at ECMWF
Philip Browne, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. de Rosnay
Recorded Presentation

Handout (18.0 MB)


Session 1
CANCELED: National and International Efforts and Partnerships Such as Community Global Modeling: Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) and Beyond. Improvements, Key Components: Part I
Location: North 232C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations
Cochairs: Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Hendrik Tolman, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
8:30 AM
1.1
The Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) Program Update
Fred Toepfer, NOAA/Office of Science and Technology Integration, Silver Spring, MD; and H. L. Tolman, I. Stajner, and V. Tallapragada

1.2
The Unified Forecast System (UFS) and Community Modeling

9:15 AM
1.3
NGGPS FV3GFS Development for Q2FY19 Operational Implementation
Fanglin Yang, NOAA, College Park, MD; and V. Tallapragada

9:30 AM
1.5
Microphysics Schemes in FV3GFS
Ruiyu Sun, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and IMSG, College Park, MD; and F. Yang, V. Tallapragada, A. Cheng, J. S. Kain, G. Thompson, and S. Moorthi

Recording files available
Session 1
Coupled Forecasting of Extreme Weather and Coastal Flood Events: Part I
Location: North 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Ali Abdolali, UCAR/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Saeed Moghimi, UCAR
8:30 AM
1.1
Coupling the National Water Model to the Coastal Ocean for Predicting Water Hazards
Brian Blanton, Univ. of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; and R. Luettich, C. Dawson, and J. G. Fleming
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
Impact of Sea Level Variation on Coastal River Flooding Caused By Extreme Rainfalls
Hongyuan Zhang Sr., Coastal Carolina Univ., Myrtle Beach, SC; and S. Bao

1.3
Recovery Times of Salinity in Galveston Bay: Comparison of Impact from Hurricanes versus Riverine Flooding

9:15 AM
1.4
Coupling Physical Hazard and Evacuation/Sheltering Models: Overview and Application to Hurricane Matthew with and without Inland Flooding Considerations
Randall L. Kolar, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. M. Dresback, R. Davidson, B. Blanton, B. A. Colle, T. Wachtendorf, L. Nozick, H. Vergara, Y. Hong, K. Yang, S. DeYoung, and N. Leonardo

9:30 AM
1.5
Coupling 3D Ocean Baroclinicity into 2D Depth-Integrated Coastal Ocean Models
William Pringle, Univ. of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and J. Westerink
Recorded Presentation

Handout (4.3 MB)

9:45 AM
1.6
Coupling Current, Waves, and Wind Stress over the Gulf Stream
Qi Shi, Michigan Tech Univ., Houghton, MI; and M. A. Bourassa
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Economic Engines: Economic Value of Earth Observation Powered by Economists and Earth Scientists—Your Data Are Worth More Than You May Ever Realize
Location: North 222AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise
Chair: Michael Fox, Raytheon
8:30 AM
1.1
Economic Forcing of Convective Precipitation
Atanacio Luna, Pluvinergy, Las Vegas, NV
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (711.0 kB)

8:45 AM
1.2
Economic Benefits and Evaluation of Mesonet Weather Information and Tools—Example of OK-FIRE
Jad R. Ziolkowska, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

9:00 AM
1.3
Economic Engines: Economic Value of Earth Observation Powered by Economists and Earth Scientists
Michael Fox, Raytheon, Lexington, MA
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
Assessing the Consequence of Enterprise Risk upon the NOAA Services for Risk Management
Matthew L. Austin, NOAA/NESDIS/OPPA/Technology, Planning and Integration for Observations, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Helms

9:30 AM
1.6
Just Add Weather: Effective Use of Weather Intelligence in a Business Context
David Gold, IBM, Houston, TX; and S. Wysmuller, R. D'Arienzo, and C. Reese
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
Bethany Mabee
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 1
Emerging Needs, Opportunities, and Careers in Climate Information Services: Key Sector Perspectives
Location: North 221C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the 28th Symposium on Education )
Moderator: Marjorie McGuirk, CASE Consultants International
Panelists: Rolf Olsen, American Society of Civil Engineers; Ladd Keith, American Planning Association; Mohammed Mahmoud, Water Utility Climate Alliance; Alberto Troccoli, World Energy and Meteorology Council; Michelle McClure, Northwest Fisheries Science Center
JPD 1.1
Understanding, Attributing, and Adapting to Extreme Rain Events in New Orleans: An ISeeChange Case Study of Information and Communication Needs during the 2017 Flood Season

Olsen, Keith, Mahmoud, Troccoli, McClure
Marjorie McGuirk, CASE Consultants International, Asheville, NC
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Federal Agency Budgets for Weather, Water, and Climate: A Guide to Current Proposals and Recent Shifts
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Paul Higgins, AMS Policy Program; Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics
Panelists: Paul Higgins, AMS Policy Program; Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics; Kei Koizumi, AAAS; Michael Clark, Executive Office of the President; Blaise Sheridan, Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies; Robert F. Bonner, Minority Staff, House Committee on Appropriations
8:30 AM
Introductory Remarks
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
Discussion

Recording files available
Session 1
History of NOAA, NWS, and Related Topics
Location: North 222C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th History Symposium
Chair: William Henneberg, Commodity Weather Group, LLC
8:30 AM
1.1
The National Weather Service at 150: The Legacy Projects
Gregory Romano, NWS, Silver Spring, MD

8:45 AM
1.2
The NOAA Climate and Global Change Program
Kenneth Mooney, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Huang

Handout (12.3 MB)

9:00 AM
1.3
The Development and Success of NCEP's Global Forecast System
Environmental Modeling Center, EMC, College Park, MD; and K. Campana, P. Caplan, D. J. Halperin, B. Lapenta, S. Lilly, Y. Lin, A. B. Penny, S. Saha, V. Tallapragada, G. H. White, J. S. Woollen, and F. Yang
Manuscript (2.7 MB)

Handout (909.2 kB)

9:15 AM
1.4
A 10-Year History of Improving Gridded Forecasting in the National Weather Service (NWS) Central Region
Andrew Just, NWS, Kansas City, MO; and J. R. Wiedenfeld and C. Greif

9:30 AM
1.5
Development of Benefits-Driven Convective Weather Decision Support Systems for Improving Safety and Efficiency in the ATC System through 30 Years of Continuous Use of Real-Time Functional Prototypes
James E. Evans, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. Crowe
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (6.9 MB)

9:45 AM
1.6
Evolution of Weather Forecasting—A Retrospective Look by a Retired Operational Meteorologist
Robert Thompson, Formerly NOAA/NWS, Westborough, MA
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Lidar Applications in Focused Field Campaigns such as PECAN, PERDIGAO, CPEX, NAAMES, OWLETS, etc.
Location: West 211A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: John E. Yorks, NASA; Catharine E. Bunn, Montana State Univ.
8:30 AM
1.1
Planning for LOTOS: A New Lower Tropospheric Observing System
Tammy M. Weckwerth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. P. Oncley, B. B. Stephens, W. O. J. Brown, A. Rockwell, W. C. Lee, T. Hock, and V. Grubišić
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
Observing PBL Structures around Storms with Airborne Raman Lidar
Zhien Wang, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. Guo and B. Geerts
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.3
An Analysis of the Vertical Velocity at the Leading Edge of a Density Current during PECAN
Dylan W. Reif, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
Spatial Heterogeneity in the Convective Boundary Layer Depth Observed during HI-SCALE
Rob Newsom, PNNL, Richland, WA; and K. Sakaguchi, L. K. Berg, and J. D. Fast
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
Lidar and Aircraft Profiling of Ozone above the Central San Joaquin Valley during the California Baseline Ozone Transport Study (CABOTS)
A.O. Langford, NOAA/ESRL/Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Alvarez II, G. Kirgis, C. J. Senff, D. Caputi, S. A. Conley, I. Faloona, L. T. Iraci, J. E. Marrero, M. E. McNamara, J. M. Ryoo, E. L. Yates, and S. Baidar

9:45 AM
1.6
SAVANT: A Field Campaign for the Stable Boundary Layer
April L. Hiscox, Univ. of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and J. Wang, D. A. R. Kristovich, E. G. Patton, J. Sun, W. O. Brown, N. J. Sokol, A. R. Desai, G. W. Petty, and C. J. Nappo
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Lightning Observations for Tropical Environments and Severe Weather
Location: North 225AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data
Chair: Geoffrey T. Stano, NASA/SPoRT/ENSCO, Inc.
8:30 AM
1.1
Investigating the Diurnal Cycle of Lightning in Tropical Cyclones
Kristen L. Corbosiero, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and S. N. Stevenson and S. D. Ditchek
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
Interannual Variability of Tropical and Subtropical Lightning Production from TRMM LIS: Locations, Magnitudes, and Mechanisms
Austin G. Clark, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil
Recorded Presentation

1.3
Climate Change and Tropical Total Lightning: Observations and Extrapolated Trends Based on 16 Years of TRMM LIS Observations

9:15 AM
1.4
Incorporating GLM Lightning Observations at the National Hurricane Center
Stephanie N. Stevenson, CIRA/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
The Probability of Severe Weather in Storms in Which Most Cloud-to-Ground Flashes Lower Positive Charge
D. R. MacGorman, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. Eddy, C. R. Homeyer, E. Williams, and K. M. Calhoun
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1.6
How Did Updraft Variations in the Geary Supercell Influence Local Electrification?
Vanna C. Chmielewski, NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. R. MacGorman, M. I. Biggerstaff, D. P. Betten, and C. L. Ziegler
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
MJO/BSISO and Convection over the Maritime Continent
Location: North 232AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Cochairs: Scott W. Powell, Colorado State Univ.; Maria Flatau, NRL
8:30 AM
1.1
Characteristics of Diurnal Convection and Winds over the Maritime Continent during YMC with WRF Numerical Simulations and Data Assimilation at a Cloud Permitting Scale
Zhaoxia Pu, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and C. Zhang
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
Role of the Diurnal Cycle of Land Convection in the Barrier Effect on the MJO by the Maritime Continent
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami and NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. Ling

9:00 AM
1.3
The Diurnal Cycle of Column Water Vapor over Sumatra
Giuseppe Torri, Univ. of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and D. K. Adams and Z. Kuang

9:15 AM
1.4
A Survey of Large-Scale Precipitation Tracked Systems over the Maritime Continent: Composite Dynamic and Thermodynamic Structures
Brandon W. Kerns, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. S. Chen
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
The Relationship between the Boreal Summertime Madden–Julian Oscillation and Tropical Deep Convection
Benjamin A. Toms, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. C. van den Heever, E. Riley Dellaripa, S. M. Saleeby, and E. D. Maloney
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1.6
Early Highlights from the Propagation of Intraseasonal Tropical Oscillations (PISTON) Field Campaign
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 1
Mind the Gap: Preparing Students for Careers in the Private Sector
Location: North 229AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Symposium on Education; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
Cochairs: Andrea L. Lang, University at Albany, SUNY; Lawrence Gloeckler III, Riskpulse
Panelists: Joshua Darr, JLT Re; Robert W. Carver, Loon, LLC; Heidi Centola, Board of Enterprise Economic Development; Paul J. Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin; Amanda Adams, NSF; Jason C. Furtado, Univ. of Oklahoma
Darr, Carver, Centola, Roebber, Adams, Furtado
Andrea L. Lang, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Space Weather and Society: Education and Communication
Location: North 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 16th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Elsayed Talaat, NOAA/NESDIS
8:30 AM
1.1
VIIRS–Aurora–SatCam Citizen Science Project
William Straka, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI; and M. Mooney, L. Gumley, D. Parker, and B. Flynn
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
Space Weather Certification Program
Michael Cook, Space Weather Operations Center and Apogee Engineering, Omaha, NE; and T. Skov and R. Clark
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.3
Space Weather Seen through the Public Eye of Social and Broadcast Media
Tamitha Skov, Aerospace Corporation, El Segundo, CA
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.4
Training the Next Generation of Space Weather Professionals through Coordinated Educational Efforts between Government and Academia
Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Chulaki, R. M. Robinson, M. Kuznetsova, and Y. Collado-Vega
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1.5
Graduate, Undergraduate, and Professional Education in Space Weather at the University of Colorado Boulder
Steven Cranmer, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and T. E. Berger, C. Raftery, and J. P. Thayer
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Special Session on JPSS Series Satellite System—Part I
Location: North 231AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
CoChair: Nadia Smith, Science and Technology Corporation
8:30 AM
1.1
The Evolution of Joint Polar Satellite System: How Polar Satellites Transformed Weather Forecasting
Mitchell D. Goldberg, NOAA/NESDIS/JPSS, Lanham, MD; and A. Layns, B. Sjoberg, and S. S. Nandi
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.2
The Promise of JPSS
Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc., Halethorpe, MD
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.3
Monitoring the Kilauea Eruption with Next Generation Meteorological Satellites
Michael J. Pavolonis, NOAA, Madison, WI; and J. Sieglaff and J. L. Cintineo

9:30 AM
1.4
Maturity of Sensor Data Records from NOAA-20 (JPSS-1)
Satya Kalluri, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD; and C. T. Beck, C. Cao, Q. Liu, and L. Zhou

9:45 AM
1.5
CSPP LEO: Open Source Polar Orbiter Satellite Software in Support of Environmental Decision-Makers
Kathleen I. Strabala, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; and L. E. Gumley, A. Huang, S. Mindock, J. Davies, G. Cureton, N. Bearson, G. Martin, R. Garcia, and J. Braun
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM
Advanced Planning and System Architectures for Next Generation Weather Enterprise, Ground Architecture -- Scott Kern
Recorded Presentation

10:15 AM
Wildfire smoke in Metropolitan areas -- Amy Huff
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
State-of-the-Art Physical Science Aspects of Mesoscale Extreme Events—Part I
Location: North 221AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection
Cochairs: Thomas Galarneau, The Univ. of Arizona; Gretchen Mullendore, Univ. of North Dakota
Introductory Remarks
Thomas Galarneau, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Mullendore

8:30 AM
1.1
Mesoscale Meteorology: Connecting Weather and Climate Research
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.2A
Sensitivity of High-Impact Extratropical Cyclones to Mesoscale Water Vapor Structure
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds and C. M. Amerault
Recorded Presentation

1.2
Bi-Fractal Energy Exchange between Turbulence and Multimodal Gravity Waves in a Dynamically Unbalanced Upper-Level Jet–Frontal System

9:15 AM
1.3
Organized Convection Parameterization for Global Climate Models
Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.8 MB)

9:30 AM
1.4
The Impact of Warm Conveyor Belt Forecast Errors on Variability in the Downstream Waveguide
Jeremy D. Berman, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
The ORACLES, CLARIFY, AEROCLO-Sa, and LASIC Field Campaigns in the Southeast Atlantic—Part I
Location: North 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 11th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions
Cochairs: Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS; Robert Wood, Univ. of Washington; Jim Haywood, Met Office; Paola Formenti, Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systemes Atmospheriques
8:30 AM
1.1
The Aerosols, Radiation and Clouds in Southern Africa (AEROCLO-sA) Field Campaign in Namibia: Objectives, Research Highlights, and Way Forward (Invited Presentation)
Paola Formenti, Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systemes Atmospheriques, Creteil, France; and B. D'Anna, C. Flamant, M. Mallet, S. Piketh, K. Schepanski, and F. Waquet
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
Clarify-2017: Aerosol-Direct Radiative Forcing Measurements and Modeling from the Microscale to the Continental Scale
Jim Haywood, Met Office/Univ. of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; and B. T. Johnson, P. Francis, J. Langridge, K. Szpek, C. Fox, M. Cotterell, A. Jones, F. Peers, N. Davies, J. Taylor, and H. Coe
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.3
Sign and Magnitude of the Semidirect Effect from Elevated Smoke Layers Are Sensitive to Layer Properties and Cloud–Smoke Gap (Invited Presentation)
Ross J Herbert, Univ. of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and N. Bellouin and E. Highwood
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
Biomass Burning Plumes in the Vicinity of the California Coast: Airborne Characterization of Physicochemical Properties and Spatiotemporal Features
Ali Hossein Mardi, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. Dadashazar, A. MacDonald, R. Braun, E. C. Crosbie, P. Xian, M. M. Coggon, M. A. Fenn, R. A. Ferrare, J. W. Hair, R. K. Woods, H. H. Jonsson, R. Flagan, J. H. Seinfeld, and A. Sorooshian
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
The Influence of Biomass Burning Aerosols on Stratocumulus Clouds over the Southeast Atlantic
Sampa Das, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center/NASA Postdoctoral Program–Universities Space Research Association, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Harshvardhan and P. R. Colarco
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1.6
WRF Simulations of Episodes of Stratocumulus Clearing over the Southeast Atlantic
Laura M. Tomkins, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and D. B. Mechem, S. E. Yuter, M. A. Miller, and S. R. Rhodes
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Transport and Mixing in the Upper Troposphere and Stratosphere—Part I
Location: West 212A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Cochairs: Eric A. Ray, CIRES; Rei Ueyama, NASA
8:30 AM
1.1
Overview of Large-Scale Transport in the Chemistry Climate Modeling Initiative (CCMI) Models (Invited Presentation)
Clara Orbe, NASA, New York, NY; and D. W. Waugh, H. Yang, and M. Abalos

8:45 AM
1.2
The Impact of Boreal Summer ENSO Events on Tropical Lower Stratospheric Ozone
Olga V. Tweedy, USRA/NASA Postdoctoral Program, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Waugh, W. J. Randel, M. Abalos, L. D. Oman, and D. E. Kinnison
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.3
Future Changes in Stratospheric Ozone Intrusions
Jordan Benjamin, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. H. Butler and J. R. Albers
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
Ozone Depleting Substances: Key Drivers of Past and Future BDC Trends
Marta Abalos, Univ. Complutense, Madrid, Spain; and L. Polvani and L. Wang
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
Modeling Clouds and Water Vapor in the Upper Tropical Troposphere
Mark R. Schoeberl, Science and Technology Corporation, Columbia, MD; and D. Barahona, H. B. Selkirk, E. J. Jensen, R. Ueyama, L. Pfister, A. E. Dessler, T. Wang, and H. Ye

9:45 AM
1.6
Impact of Convectively Detrained Ice Crystals on the Tropical Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere
Rei Ueyama, NASA, Moffett Field, CA; and E. J. Jensen, L. Pfister, and M. R. Schoeberl
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Weather Guidance to Support Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) Operations
Location: North 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Cecilia Miner, n/a; Jenny Stewart, Univ. of the Incarnate Word
8:30 AM
1.1
Urban Air Mobility—Emerging Opportunities for the Weather Community
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Handout (2.0 MB)

9:00 AM
1.2
Are We Ready to Weather Urban Air Mobility (UAM)?
Colleen Reiche, Booz Allen Hamilton, Washington, DC; and F. Brody, C. McGillen, and N. Mendonca
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.3
Making UAS Weather Intelligent with AERO
Eric Babyak, NextGen Federal Systems, LLC, Morgantown, WV; and C. Desai
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.4
Targeted Weather Forecasts for Small Unmanned Aircraft Systems
Christopher A. Roseman, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and B. Argrow and J. O. Pinto
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (636.8 kB)

9:45 AM
1.5
Distributed Acceleration Sensing for Small UAS Wind Gust Estimation
Emily Ranquist, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (785.0 kB)

Recording files available
Session 1
Working With Large Datasets Using Python
Location: North 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python
Chair: Scott Collis, Argonne National Laboratory
8:30 AM
Welcoming Remarks
Scott Collis, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.1
Connecting Machine Learning with Atmospheric Science (Invited Presentation)
Rachel Prudden, Met Office, Exeter, UK
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.2
Integrated Cloud and High-Performance Computing Platform for Interactive Analysis of ARM Data
Spencer Hills, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and J. Kumar, Z. Price, and A. Clodfelter
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.3
Simplified Forecast-Model-Run-Collection Use and Analysis Using PyFerret
Karl Smith, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA; and A. Manke

9:45 AM
1.4
Objective Analysis of Scanning Radar Observations in Python
Zachary Sherman, Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL; and S. Collis, R. Jackson, A. Medendorp, M. Oue, P. Kollias, R. A. Warren, and J. S. Soderholm
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1A
Atmospheric Rivers—Part I
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Samson Hagos, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
8:30 AM
1A.1
Tracking Atmospheric Rivers Globally: Spatial Distributions and Life Cycle Evolutions
Bin Guan, Univ. of California, Pasadena, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser

8:45 AM
1A.2
Atmospheric Rivers Life Cycles: Climatology and Interannual Variability
Yang Zhou, Stony Brook University, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and H. Kim
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.9 MB)

9:00 AM
1A.3
Large-Scale Controls and Latitudinal Dependence of North Pacific Atmospheric Rivers across a CESM2 Hierarchy
James J. Benedict, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. C. Clement and B. Medeiros
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1A.4
Observed Water Vapor Budget in an Atmospheric River over the Northeast Pacific
Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Ralph, R. Demirdjian, and F. Cannon
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1A.5
What Makes an Atmospheric River Dusty?
Kara Voss, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Evan, L. Campbell, K. A. Prather, and F. M. Ralph
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1A.6
The Relationship between Extratropical Cyclone Strength and Atmospheric River Intensity and Position
Zhenhai Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Ralph and M. Zheng
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1A
Hydrometeorological Extremes I
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; Eleonora Demaria, USDA–ARS; Daniel Rodriguez, Instituto Alberto Luiz Coimbra de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa de Engenharia, Univ. Federal do Rio de Janeiro; John McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems
8:30 AM
1A.1A
The Importance of End-to-End Integrated Hydrometeorological Forecast Systems in Building Resilience to Flood and Flash Flood Threats
John McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, Raleigh, NC
Recorded Presentation

1A.1
Challenges in Drought Monitoring and Forecasting (Invited Presentation)

8:45 AM
1A.2
Assessing the Relationship between the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, Watershed Characteristics, and Hydrological Drought Conditions in the Pacific Northwest and California
Nicolas Maxfield, NOAA-CREST, New York, NY; and C. Speir and I. Pal
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1A.3
Methods for Calculating a Standardized Streamflow Index Using the Drought Risk Atlas
Curtis J. Riganti, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and B. Fuchs and M. Svoboda

9:15 AM
1A.4
An Overview of Current Research on Rapidly Intensifying Flash Droughts
Jason A. Otkin, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI; and M. Svoboda, T. Ford, J. Basara, J. I. Christian, E. D. Hunt, M. C. Anderson, and C. Hain
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1A.5
Regional Characteristics of Flash Droughts across the United States
Jordan I. Christian, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. A. Otkin, and E. D. Hunt
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1A.6
Environmental Contributors to the Development, Expansion, and Intensification of the 2012 Central United States Flash Drought
Jeffrey B. Basara, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. I. Christian, J. Otkin, R. A. Wakefield, E. D. Hunt, R. Bajgain, and X. Xiao
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1A
Regional Air Quality—Part I
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Chair: Jeffrey L. Collett Jr., Colorado State Univ.
CoChair: Leiming Zhang, ECCC
8:30 AM
1A.1
Modeling Atmospheric Transport of Perfluorinated Alkyl Substances from Chemours Facilities Using CALPUFF View
Anjelica V.P. Moreno, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and A. A. May and J. L. Thé
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1A.2
Preliminary Measurements of Aerosol Concentration and Composition in Palapye, Botswana
William Lassman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. R. Pierce, E. Bangs, G. Mengistu Tsidu, J. Sherman, J. L. Collett Jr., and S. Bililign
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1A.3
Characterization of Aerosol Composition, Aerosol Acidity and Organic Acid Partitioning at an Agriculture-Intensive Rural Southeastern U.S. Site
Theodora Nah, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and H. Guo, A. P. Sullivan, Y. Chen, D. J. Tanner, A. Nenes, A. G. Russell, N. L. Ng, L. G. Huey, and R. J. Weber
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1A.4
Evaluation and Improvement of Dry Deposition Algorithms
Leiming Zhang, ECCC, Toronto, Canada; and Z. Wu and Z. He
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1A.5
Simulation of Ammonia Concentration Profiles and Fluxes in and above a Deciduous Forest Canopy in the Southern Appalachians
RIck Saylor, NOAA/OAR/ARL/ATDD, Oak Ridge, TN; and Z. Wu, J. T. Walker, X. Chen, D. B. Schwede, and A. C. Oishi

9:45 AM
1A.6
Estimating Sources, Sinks, and Fluxes of Reactive Nitrogen and Sulfur within a Forest Canopy Using Eulerian and Lagrangian Inverse Models
Zhiyong Wu, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and J. T. Walker, X. Chen, A. C. Oishi, and T. Duman

Recording files available
Session 1A
Resilience, Communication, and Decision Support for Extreme Events—Part I
Location: North 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies
Cochairs: Larry E. Brazil, Riverside Technology, Inc.; George Smith, Riverside Technology, Inc.
Paper 1A.1 has been moved. New paper number is 2.2A.

8:30 AM
1A.1A
Targeted Dust Storm Warnings Implemented
Ken R. Waters, NWS Forecast Office, Phoenix, AZ; and A. Horvitz and K. Drozd

8:45 AM
1A.2
Challenges and Successes of the GOES-16 Hot Spot Notification Program in the NWS
James J. Taeger, NWS, San Diego, CA

9:00 AM
1A.3
Increasing Collaboration and the Prediction of Tule Fog Impacts between the California Department of Transportation, California Highway Patrol and NWS Hanford
Kristian Mattarochia, NWS, Hanford, CA

9:15 AM
1A.4
A Subseasonal Forecast Index Focused on the Risk of Extremes
Richard P James, Prescient Weather Ltd., State College, PA; and J. D. Ross, J. A. Dutton, and J. Dutton
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1A.5
NASA GES DISC’s Analytic Service for Extreme Weather Events from MERRA-2
Suhung Shen, NASA GSFC/GES DISC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga, E. Sherman, J. Wei, F. Fang, B. Vollmer, and D. Meyer
Recorded Presentation

1A.6
The 2018 Arctic Report Card—A Decade of Reporting on the Arctic Environment

Recording files available
Session 1B
Climate Sensitivity
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
CoChair: Walter Robinson, North Carolina State Univ.
8:30 AM
1B.1
Potency of Greenhouse Molecules
William A. van Wijngaarden, York Univ., Toronto, Canada; and W. Happer
Recorded Presentation

Handout (960.7 kB)

8:45 AM
1B.2
Investigating the Climate Sensitivity Differences between CESM1 and CESM2
Cecile Hannay, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Bacmeister, R. B. Neale, A. Gettelman, and M. Zhang
Recorded Presentation

Handout (9.6 MB)

9:00 AM
1B.3
Sensitivity of Regional Climate Models to GCM Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity
Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. S. Bukovsky and T. Rendfrey
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1B.4
A New Methodology for Optimizing Free Global Climate Model Parameters and Potential Impacts on Simulated Climate Sensitivity Estimates
Gregory S. Elsaesser, Columbia Univ. and NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and M. van Lier-Walqui
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1B.5
A New Approach to Air Temperature Analysis
Ana Žaknić-Ćatović, Univ. of Toronto, Scarborough, Toronto, Canada; and W. A. Gough

Handout (1.7 MB)

9:45 AM
1B.6
Diurnal Temperature Variability: An Observations–Climate Model Intercomparison
Jamin K. Rader, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. B. Karnauskas
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1B
Greenhouse Gases Oral—Part I
Location: North 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Chair: Abhishek Chatterjee, GSFC
Cochairs: Scott Denning, Colorado State Univ.; Berrien Moore III, National Weather Center/Univ. of Oklahoma; Sean Crowell, Univ. of Oklahoma
8:30 AM
1B.1
Measuring Boundary Layer CO2 with Unmanned Aerial System
Elinor R. Martin, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. Pillar-Little, P. B. Chilson, G. Britto Hupsel de Azevedo, and S. Baschky
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1B.2
Measurements of the Vertical Structure of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer and the Atmospheric Surface Layer Using UAS
Elizabeth A. Pillar-Little, Center for Autonomous Sampling and Sensing (CASS), Norman, OK; and G. Britto Huspel de Azevedo, S. Baschky, E. R. Martin, and P. B. Chilson
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1B.3
Frontal Gradients in CO2 as Seen from OCO-2
Sean Crowell, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Q. Wang and X. M. Hu
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1B.4
CO2 Dynamical Downscaling in 2016 over the Contiguous United States Using WRF-VPRM, a Weather-Biosphere-Online-Coupled Model
Xiao-Ming Hu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Q. Wang, S. Crowell, Y. Zhang, M. Xue, X. Xiao, B. Moore III, J. Digangi, and K. J. Davis
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1B.5
Urban Land Cover Type Influences CO2 Fluxes within Phoenix, Arizona
Eli Rafael Pérez Ruiz, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and E. R. Vivoni and N. Templeton
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1B.6
Using the Refined-Mesh Ocean-Land-Atmosphere-Model (OLAM) to Quantify Expected Carbon Dioxide Variations Across Urban Landscapes
Andrew Schuh, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. J. Otte, R. Walko, T. Oda, and L. Ott
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1B
Services Update
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies
Cochairs: Randall Bass, FAA; Scott Jacobs, NOAA/NWS
1B.1
National Weather Service Update

8:30 AM
Opening Remarks

9:00 AM
1B.2
Transforming the Met Office for the Future
Andrew Stephen Kirkman, UKMO, Exeter, United Kingdom

9:15 AM
1B.3
Federal Aviation Administration Services Update
Bill Bauman, FAA, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1B.4
Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Commander's Update
John Okon, Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command and Oceanographer of the Navy, Stennis Space Center, MS
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1B.5
U.S. Air Force Weather Service Update
Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1B
Snow Processes and Melt Detection through Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation
Location: North 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Elias J. Deeb, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab; Carrie Vuyovich, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab; John B. Eylander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
8:30 AM
1B.1
Snow–Vegetation Interactions and Artifacts in Coordinated Remote Sensing and Ground Observation Studies
Christopher A. Hiemstra, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Fort Wainwright, AK; and L. Brucker, H. P. Marshall, and K. Elder
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1B.2
An Investigation of Liquid Water Percolation and Model Transferability in Multiple Snow Climates (Invited Presentation)
Justin M. Pflug, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. E. Liston and J. D. Lundquist
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.1 MB)

9:00 AM
1B.3
CREST-SAFE Field Experiment: Comparison and Validation Remote Sensing Observations of Snow Surfaces
Tarendra Lakhankar, NOAA-CREST, New York, NY; and P. Romanov and R. Khanbilvardi
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1B.4
Improved Regional Analysis of Snowmelt Detection Using Calibrated, Enhanced-Resolution Brightness Temperatures (CETB) across Conterminous US (CONUS) (Invited Presentation)
Mitchell T. Johnson, Lehigh Univ., Bethlehem, PA; and J. M. Ramage, T. J. Troy, and M. J. Brodzik
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1B.5
Satellite Detection of Snowmelt Events for Improving Spring Flood Forecasts in the Red River of the North Basin
Ronny Schroeder, Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and S. Kraatz, J. M. Jacobs, B. A. Connelly, and M. M. DeWeese
Recorded Presentation

1B.6
Assimilation and Evaluation of Air Force 557th Weather Wing SNODEP Products into NCEP Operational FV3GFS System

Recording files available
Session 1C
Tropical Climate Variability and Change—Part I
Location: North 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
CoChair: Robert Korty, Texas A&M Univ.
8:30 AM
1C.1
Recent Tropical Expansion: Natural Variability or Forced Response?
Kevin M. Grise, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and S. M. Davis, I. R. Simpson, D. W. Waugh, Q. Fu, R. J. Allen, K. H. Rosenlof, C. C. Ummenhofer, K. B. Karnauskas, A. C. Maycock, X. W. Quan, T. Birner, and P. W. Staten
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1C.2
Observational Changes in Cloud Regimes Associated with the Interannual Variability of Hadley Cell Width
Justin P. Stachnik, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and C. Schumacher
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1C.3
Response of Hadley Circulation to Warming and Sensitivity to Physical Parameters
Kathleen A. Schiro, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and H. Su, Y. Wang, B. Langenbrunner, J. Jiang, and J. D. Neelin
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1C.4
Changes in the Global Divergent Overturning Circulation, Including the Hadley, Walker, and Monsoon Circulations
Gilbert P. Compo, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh

9:30 AM
1C.5
Energy Budget Theory for Interannual Shifts of the South Pacific Convergence Zone
William Boos, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and B. Lintner and R. Korty
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1C.6
Barrier Layers in E3SMv1 and Their Relationship with Atmosphere Model Biases
J. E. Jack Reeves Eyre, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng and M. Brunke
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
2
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Part I
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation )
Moderator: Heather Lazrus, NCAR
Panelists: Joe Trainor, University of Delaware; Robyn Wilson, The Ohio State University/Associate Professor of Risk Analysis and Decision Science; Melissa Bica, University of Colorado Boulder; Scott Knowles, Drexel University
8:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

8:45 AM
TJPD2.1
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Panel Discussion I
Heather Lazrus, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Henderson and J. L. Demuth
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
Panel Discussion

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 4
Student and Early Career Discussion on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion with Dr. Marcia McNutt.
Location: North 231C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference
Cochairs: Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania; Elizabeth McGiffin, KTVL-TV CBS10; Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies
Moderator: Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania
Panelists: Marcia McNutt, President, National Academy of Sciences; Kevin Petty, Vaisala; Ankur R. Desai, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison; Brooke Bingaman, NWS
McNutt, Petty, Desai, Bingaman
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 2
Department of Energy Projects
Location: North 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs: Justin Sharp, Sharply Focused LLC; David D. Turner, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory
9:00 AM
2.1
The National Solar Radiation Data Base: Version 3 (1998−2017)
Manajit Sengupta, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and A. Habte, Y. Xie, A. Lopez, J. Shelby, M. J. Foster, and A. Heidinger
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
2.2
Modeling of Spectral Irradiance in the POA Using GOES Satellite Data
Yu Xie, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and M. Sengupta
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
2.3
A Turbulence Library for Asynchronous Coupling of Meso- and Microscale Models
Gökhan Sever, ANL, Argonne, IL; and R. Kotamarthi and Y. Feng
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
2.4
Operational Probabilistic Tools for Solar Uncertainty
Aidan Tuohy, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA; and D. B. Kirk-Davidoff
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.6 MB)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Guest Coffee (Monday)
Location: Camelback A (Sheraton Hotel )

9:00 AM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Poster Hall (Monday)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019


AM Coffee Break (Monday)
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:00 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Member Services Desk (Monday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 2
Transport and Mixing in the Upper Troposphere and Stratosphere—Part II
Location: West 212A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Cochairs: Eric A. Ray, CIRES; Rei Ueyama, NASA
10:30 AM
2.1
The Influence of Convection on Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere Composition from Multiple Years of Trajectory-Matched Ground-Based Radar Observations and Satellite-Based Trace Gas Profiles
Cameron R. Homeyer, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
Quantification of Mixing and Transport Associated with Midlatitude Cyclones and Convective Outflow as Seen in START-08 Aircraft Flight Data and UWNMS Simulations
Marcus L. Büker, Western Illinois Univ., Macomb, IL; and M. H. Hitchman, S. M. Rowe, and T. Wilmot
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 1
Reducing Risk and Building Resilience through Collaborative and Interdisciplinary Agroecosystem Networks
Location: North 224A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 24th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Mark D. Brusberg, USDA
10:30 AM
Discussion

1.1
Monitoring Boundary Layer Inversions for Agricultural Practices

1.2
Water Is Life: Building Relationships, Precipitation Networks, and Promoting Citizen Science on Tribal Lands

11:00 AM
1.3
San Diego County Ecosystems: Ecological Impacts of Climate Change on a Biodiveristy Hotspot
Megan Jennings, San Diego Sate Univ., San Diego, CA; and D. Cayan, J. Kalansky, A. Pairis, D. M. Lawson, A. D. Syphard, U. Abeysekera, R. E. S. Clemesha, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov, J. M. Randall, E. D. Stein, and S. Vanderplank
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
1.4
Identifying the Impact of 2016–17 Southern Great Plains Wildfires and Their Antecedent Conditions on Ecological Health and Recovery
Shelby Robertson, Grazinglands Research Laboratory, USDA, El Reno, OK; and D. P. Brown, J. Steiner, S. Teet, J. Wang, J. Wetter, X. Wu, and X. Xiao

11:30 AM
1.5
Assessing and Responding to the Impact of 2016–18 Wildfires on Agricultural Systems in the Southern Great Plains
David P. Brown, USDA, El Reno, OK; and L. Kos, M. O. Mattox, C. Pope, S. Pope, S. Robertson, M. A. Shafer, J. Steiner, S. Teet, J. Wang, J. Wetter, and X. Xiao
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Session 1
Active Learning Demonstrations from the Atmospheric Sciences
Location: North 229AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 28th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Daria B. Kluver, Central Michigan Univ.; Danny E. Mattox, Univ. of Oklahoma
10:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

1.1
Understanding the Vorticity Equation (or One Term) with a Pool Noodle
Teresa M. Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso Univ., Valparaiso, IN

1.2
Bringing the Science of Climate Change to Elementary Students with Classroom Activities from Elementary GLOBE
Becca Hatheway, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. S. Gardiner, D. M. Stanitski, J. Taylor, T. R. Harte, and K. Zarlengo

1.3
Satellites in the K12 Classroom: Looking at the Earth from Above

1.4
Engaging in Atmospheric Sciences with the Fluid Earth Viewer (FEVer)
Aaron B. Wilson, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and J. P. Nicolas and J. Cervenec

1.5
Build Your Own Earth: A Climate and Paleoclimate Tool for Teaching and Research

1.6
Engaging Students with Theory and Real-World Data to Enhance Learning through Worked Examples
Casey E. Davenport, Univ. of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC

1.7
An Example of Using Existing Local Data to Teach Basic Principles of Weather Observation and Prediction
Michael De Antonio, New Mexico State Univ., Las Cruces, NM; and D. DuBois, G. Lundeen, J. Laney, J. Gutierrez, J. Fuentes, and A. Arredondo

1.8
Active Learning in a Distance Meteorology Class: Sky Watching with 360 Video
Sean M. Holland, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and R. L. Collins

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Autonomous Systems for Environmental Sensing and Weather Support for Autonomous System Operations—Part II: The Application of Autonomous Observing Platforms to Enhance Our Understanding of the Atmosphere and Ocean
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; and the 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )
Cochairs: Melissa A. Wagner, Arizona State Univ.; Robert Doe, Univ. of Liverpool; Randall Bass, FAA; Scott S. Lindstrom, Univ. of Wisconsin
10:30 AM
J1.1
Spatial Structure of Thermodynamic Variables in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer
Benjamin L. Hemingway, Oklahoma State Univ., Stillwater, OK; and A. E. Frazier, B. R. Elbing, and J. D. Jacob
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
J1.2
Development of UAV-Deployed Air-Launched Drifters (ALD) for Aboveground Thermodynamic Measurements in Supercells
Sara J Swenson, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and B. Argrow, E. W. Frew, S. Borenstein, and J. M. Keeler
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (767.0 kB)

11:00 AM
J1.3
Tornado Pathway Dynamics Using UASs: The Influence of Topography on Tornadoes
Melissa A. Wagner, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and R. K. Doe

11:15 AM
J1.4
UASs Policy, Practice and Procedures Related to Tornado Hazard Site Investigations
Melissa A. Wagner, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and R. K. Doe
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
J1.5
Saildrone Data Handling: Workflow from Drone to Desktop
Eugene F Burger, PMEL, Seattle, WA; and D. Peacock, A. Manke, K. M. O'Brien, R. H. Schweitzer, N. D. Anderson, E. D. Cokelet, N. Lawrence-Slavas, C. Meinig, C. W. Mordy, M. F. Cronin, J. N. Cross, and D. Zhang
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J1.6
Hybrid Autonomous Underwater Vehicle and Unmanned Surface Vehicle Sampling for Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs)—Prototype and Results of a Field Trial
Tiffany C. Vance, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Mickett, J. A. Newton, R. W. Osborne, V. L. Trainer, and N. Trenaman
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1
Strengthening Economic Growth While Building Resilience to Extremes
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
10:30 AM
1.1
Extremes Analysis Identifying Risks and Opportunities for Companies and Regions
Terence Randall Thompson, The Climate Service, Asheville, NC
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
1.2
Growing Resilience: The Urban Agriculture Potential in Metro Phoenix
Nazli Uludere Aragon, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and M. Stuhlmacher, J. P. Smith, and M. Georgescu
Recorded Presentation

1.3
A Vision for Windstorm Impact Reduction in the United States

11:15 AM
1.4
Achieving Success in Weather Insurance: A Value Network Analysis Approach
Helen Greatrex, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and N. Naidoo, D. Dinh, R. Diro, and J. Hellin
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
1.5
Socioeconomic Benefits to the General Public of Improved Hydrometeorological Products and Services in Bangladesh
Jeffrey Lazo, Jeffrey K. Lazo Consulting LLC, Gunnison, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
Discussion

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Thermal Extremes and Health: Understanding the Biometeorological Pathways from Exposure to Outcomes
Location: North 228AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Kim Knowlton, Natural Resources Defense Council; Jennifer Vanos, Arizona State Univ.; Hunter Jones, NOAA
10:30 AM
J1.1
At Home, Work, and Play: How Can We Better Understand the Dynamics between Physiology, Behavior, and Exposure? (Core Science Keynote)
Rebekah Lucas, Univ. of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
J1.2
Using Physiological Evidence to Inform Extreme Heat Public Health Guidance (Core Science Keynote)
Ollie Jay, Univ. of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
Discussion

11:15 AM
J1.3
The Relationship between Relative Extreme Temperature Events and Mortality in the United States
Scott C. Sheridan, Kent State Univ., Kent, OH
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
J1.4
Pathways to Heat Vulnerability in Phoenix, AZ
Paul M. Chakalian, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and M. K. Wright, L. E. Watkins, L. C. Kurtz, S. L. Harlan, and D. M. Hondula
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J1.5
The Tokyo 2020 Olympic Marathons: Spectator Thermal Comfort and Health in the Face of Extreme Heat
Jennifer Vanos, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and R. D. Brown, A. Middel, M. Yokahari, E. Kosaka, and A. Iida
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
2018 Hurricane, Cyclone, and Typhoon Season: Session II
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
10:30 AM
2.1
NASA Earth Science Activities Supporting Analysis and Response to Hurricanes Florence and Michael
Andrew L. Molthan, MSFC, Huntsville, MD; and J. R. Bell, H. M. Goodman, R. T. Albertson, G. W. Bawden, D. Borges, B. Chapman, M. Glasscoe, D. S. Green, M. Jackson, D. Kirschbaum, J. Kirkendall, M. Jo, G. W. Layne, Y. Lou, B. Osmanoglu, N. Sardinha Pinto, M. Román, L. A. Schultz, J. Seepersad, R. M. Shrestha, J. C. Struve, N. P. Thomas, V. Thompson, T. Yao, and S. H. Yun
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
2018 sUAS Operations into Tropical Cyclones
Joseph J. Cione, NOAA, Miami, FL; and G. H. Bryan, E. A. Kalina, A. Aksoy, K. E. Ryan, B. A. Dahl, G. deBoer, J. A. Zhang, E. J. Dumas Jr., and B. B. Baker

11:00 AM
2.3
Coastal Radar Observations and Impacts of Hurricanes Florence and Michael (2018)
Michael M. Bell, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. C. DeHart and T. Y. Cha
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Satellite and Ground-Based Precipitation Retrievals during Hurricane Landfalls
Pierre-Emmanuel Kirstetter, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and W. A. Petersen, J. Wang, G. J. Huffman, and D. B. Wolff

11:30 AM
2.5
Extreme Precipitation from 2018 Hurricane Florence: Timeline, Postanalysis, and Communication of Rarity
Katie Ward, MetStat, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. W. Parzybok and H. Mizzell
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Historical Perspective on Rainfall from Hurricane Florence
Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC
Recorded Presentation


Session 2
CANCELED - Policies, Services, Initiatives, and Organizational Strategies in the Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorological Communities
Location: North 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Michael Robinson, MITRE Corporation; Mary J. Gilbert, Millersville Univ.
2.1
Aviation R2O Work at EMC

2.3
Evolving NWS Aviation Weather Services at Kansas City Air Route Traffic Control Center: Impact-Based Decision Support Services to Support the New FAA District Concept and Future Considerations

2.4
Status of ICAO Meteorological Information Exchange Model (IWXXM) Global Implementation

2.5
Status of Implementation of ICAO Space Weather Information Provision

2.6
Development and Implementation Strategies of Unified Forecast System at NCEP Operations: Focus on Extreme Weather that Affects Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Operations


Session 2
CANCELED: Special Session on GOES Series Satellite System—Part I
Location: North 231AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: Pam Sullivan, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES Program Office; Dan Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR
2.1
The GOES-17 Advanced Baseline Imager Anomaly Mission Recovery

2.2
Optimization of GOES-17 Advanced Baseline Imager to Recover and Maximize Performance with Degraded Thermal System

2.3
Ensuring Continuity of Meteorological Data in Response to the GOES-17 Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) Anomaly

2.4
Assessment of the User Impacts to the GOES-17 ABI Anomaly

2.6
NWS GOES-16 Operational Test and Evaluation (OT&E) and Forecaster User Survey Results

Recording files available
Session 2
Coupled Forecasting of Extreme Weather and Coastal Flood Events: Part II
Location: North 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Allison L. Allen, NOAA/NWS; Michael J. DeFlorio, NASA
10:30 AM
2.1
The Consumer Option for an Alternative System To Allocate Losses (COASTAL ) Act
Nicole P. Kurkowski, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Bilder

10:45 AM
2.2
Hurricane Reanalysis and Reforecast with Operational HWRF for the COASTAL Act
Zaizhong Ma, IMSG and NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and A. Mehra and V. Tallapragada

11:00 AM
2.3
The Wind Downscaling Modeling Framework for Coastal Wind and Water Damage Applications
Anil Kumar, NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, College Park, MD; and A. Mehra, G. DiMego, J. Kain, and A. Chawla
Recorded Presentation

Handout (14.3 MB)

11:15 AM
2.4
On the Comparison of Implicit with Explicit Schemes in Wave Watch III
Ali Abdolali, UCAR/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and A. Roland, A. Van der Westhuysen, A. Chawla, S. Moghimi, and S. V. Vinogradov

2.5
Coupling of WAVEWATCH III and ADCIRC Using the NUOPC/ESMF Framework

11:45 AM
2.6
Compound Inland and Coastal Flood Inundation Studies Using the NUOPC/ESMF Framework
Saeed Moghimi, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and E. Myers, S. V. Vinogradov, L. Shi, A. Abdolali, A. Van der Westhuysen, Z. Ma, A. Chawla, H. Mashriqui, T. Flowers, and N. P. Kurkowski
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
Data Assimilation—Part I
Location: North 131AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 23rd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Sharanya J. Majumdar, RSMAS
10:30 AM
2.1
Improving Assimilation of Radiance Observations by Implementing Model Space Localization in an Ensemble Kalman Filter
Jeffrey Whitaker, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and L. Lei and C. H. Bishop
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
Assimilation of All-Weather Microwave Cloudy Radiances Using a Novel Bayesian Monte Carlo Technique into NASA GEOS-5
Isaac Moradi, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and F. Evans, W. McCarty, and M. Fuentes

2.3
Scale-Dependent Weighting and Localization for Global Numerical Weather Prediction

11:00 AM
2.3A
Ensemble Sensitivity-Based Subsetting Overview and Evaluation Activities at the 2018 NOAA HWT
Brian C. Ancell, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and A. A. Coleman and A. J. Hill
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Coupled Atmosphere–Land Surface Data Assimilation in ECCC's Medium-Range NWP Forecast Systems
Bernard Bilodeau, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, Canada; and M. Bani Shahabadi, M. Roch, M. L. Carrera, N. Gasset, M. Abrahamowicz, D. Charpentier, S. Bélair, P. L. Houtekamer, and M. Buehner
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Real-Time Global Ocean Forecasting with Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation System at National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Shastri Paturi, EMC and IMSG, College Park, MD; and Z. D. Garraffo, I. Rivin, J. Cummings, and A. Mehra

11:45 AM
2.6
20th Century Reanalysis Version "3" (1846–2014) and Prospects for 200 Years of Reanalysis
Gilbert P. Compo, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and L. Slivinski, J. Whitaker, P. D. Sardeshmukh, B. S. Giese, P. Brohan, and R. Allan
Recorded Presentation


Joint Panel Discussion 2
Emerging Needs, Opportunities, and Careers in Climate Information Services: Multidisciplinary and Transdisciplinary Programs—National and International Scale
Location: North 221C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the 28th Symposium on Education )
Moderator: James Buizer, The Univ. of Arizona
Panelists: Lisa Goddard, IRI, The Earth Institute, Columbia Univ.; John Furlow, IRI, The Earth Institute, Columbia Univ.; Claudia Nierenberg, NOAA; David S. Green, NASA Headquarters; Peter Schultz, ICF; Naohisa Koide, The World Bank
Goddard, Furlow, Nierenberg, Tsirkunov, Green, Schultz
James Buizer, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

Recording files available
Session 2
Extreme Space Weather Events throughout the Heliosphere
Location: North 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 16th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Alexander Engell, NextGen Federal Systems
10:30 AM
2.1
Solar Energetic Particle and Galactic Radiation Hazards in the Past, Present, and Future (Invited Presentation)
Richard Mewaldt, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.2
Radiation Hazards from Extreme Solar Energetic Particle Events Observed near the Moon
N. A. Schwadron, Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.3
Space Weather Event of 10 September 2017: Observations at Mars
Christina O. Lee, Space Sciences Laboratory, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.4
Space Weather Impact of the September 2017 Solar Storms on the Surface of Mars (Invited Presentation)
Donald M. Hassler, Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
General Topics on the History of Atmospheric and Related Sciences
Location: North 222C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th History Symposium
Chair: Lourdes Avilés, Plymouth State University
10:30 AM
2.1
The AMS Historical Research Network: An Opportunity for the AMS Centennial and the Society’s Second Century
James Rodger Fleming, Colby College, Waterville, ME
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
The Power of Perception: Art, Climate Change, and the History of U.S. Environmental Policy
Melissa Fleming, The Weather Gamut, New York, NY
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Forensic Meteorological Investigation of the Great Baltimore Fire of 1904
Timothy Hall, The Aerospace Corporation, Columbia, MD
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
The Role of Imagery in Increasing Public Awareness of Air Pollution Impacts and Promoting Environmental Progress
Walter A. Lyons, WeatherVideoHD.TV, Fort Collins, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Historical, Technological, and Scientific Evolution of Aerial Photography in the Study of Weather and Climate
Terrence R. Nathan, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
The Story behind the Story: Life-Changing Experiences on the Trail of a Giant
Jonathan E. Martin, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
Lidar Observations for Studies of Air Quality and Climate
Location: West 211A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Sara C. Tucker, Ball Aerospace; Brian J. Carroll, Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore County
2.1
Robust Calibration Method for Pure Rotational Raman Lidar Temperature Profiling in the Troposphere

10:30 AM
2.1A
High-Resolution Photon Time Tagging for Multifunctional Atmospheric Lidar Studies
Rory Barton-Grimley, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Stillwell and J. P. Thayer
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
Removing the a Priori Effect from a Lidar Optimal Estimation Method Water Vapor and Temperature Retrieval
Ali Jalali, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and S. Hicks-Jalali, R. J. Sica, A. Haefele, and T. von Clarmann
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Effect of Urban Areas on Mixing-Layer Height
Sunil Baidar, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and T. A. Bonin, A. Choukulkar, R. M. Hardesty, and A. Brewer
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Tropospheric Ozone Lidar Upgrade and Automation at JPL Table Mountain Facility
Fernando Chouza Keil, JPL, Wrightwood, CA; and T. Leblanc, M. Brewer, and P. Wang
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
An Innovative Approach for Deriving CALIOP-Based Particulate Matter Concentrations Through a Bulk-Mass-Modeling-Based Method
Travis D. Toth, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and J. Zhang, J. S. Reid, and M. A. Vaughan

11:45 AM
2.6
Visualizing Healthy Clouds and Aerosol Plumes in Southeast Texas Using a Micropulse Lidar
Timothy Logan, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and S. Brooks, R. Li, and J. A. Mirrielees
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
National and International Efforts and Partnerships Such as Community Global Modeling: Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) and Beyond. Improvements, Key Components and Statistical Techniques to Evaluate Global Models: Part II
Location: North 232C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations
Cochairs: Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Thanh Vo Dinh, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning and Analysis
10:30 AM
2.1
ECMWF-IFS and fvGFS Forecast Skill with the Same Initial Conditions
Linus Magnusson, ECMWF, Reading, UK; and J. H. Chen and S. J. Lin
Recorded Presentation

2.2
An Overview of Tropical Cyclones in the FV3GFS Retrospectives

10:45 AM
2.2A
Facilitating Development of Physical Parameterizations for NOAA's Unified Forecast System
Ligia Bernardet, NOAA/GSD, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES, and Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Firl, D. Heinzeller, L. Carson, M. Zhang, D. Stark, J. Schramm, L. Xue, and J. Dudhia

2.3
Extratropical Cyclones Leading to Extreme Weather Events in the FV3GFS Retrospectives

11:00 AM
2.3A
Neighborhood and Object-Based Probabilistic Verification of the OU MAP Ensemble from the 2018 Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Aaron Johnson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang, Y. Wang, A. E. Reinhart, A. J. Clark, and I. L. Jirak

11:15 AM
2.4
Evaluating the Impact of Grell-Freitas Convective Parameterization into 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Simulations Using FV3GFS
Keren Rosado, NCAS/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and G. Grell, L. Bernardet, and E. A. Kalina
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
The 2018 DTC Community Workshop on Unified Forecast System Test Plan and Metrics for Model Validation and Verification: Meeting Results and Research to Operations Planning
Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and T. Jensen, L. Bernardet, I. Stajner, S. Morris, J. L. Kinter III, C. Alexander, and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
U.S. Operational Numerical Weather Prediction: Why Is Research to Operations Not Working Well?
Clifford F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
Python in Operations and Research to Operations
Location: North 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python
Chair: Jingyin Tang, IBM
10:30 AM
2.6
CROW: A Common Toolchain for Developing Environmental Forecast Workflows in Research and Operational Environments
Samuel Trahan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and K. L. Friedman, J. Kuang, K. R. Hammett, B. Liu, T. McGuinness, G. Vandenberghe, M. Iredell, and A. Chawla

10:45 AM
2.2
CROW-Driven ecFlow Workflow: A High-Reliability, Flexible Workflow System.
Lin Gan, Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD; and J. Kuang

11:00 AM
2.3
Migrating to Python-Based Product Generation Software at the High Plains Regional Climate Center
Warren E. Pettee, Univ. of Nebraska—Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and N. A. Umphlett, W. Sorensen, and C. J. Stiles
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Extending the Capability of the Model Evaluation Tools Using Python
John E. Halley Gotway, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, R. G. Bullock, T. Burek, M. Win-Gildenmeister, J. Prestopnik, G. P. McCabe Jr., J. Frimel, and M. P. Row
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Rapidly Prototyping High-Performance Meteorological Data Systems Using Xarray and Numba
Daniel Rothenberg, ClimaCell Inc., Boston, MA
Recorded Presentation

2.1
Operational Applications of Historical Lightning Data Patterns to Predict Convection in Phoenix, Arizona

Recording files available
Session 2
Resilience, Communication, and Decision Support for Extreme Events—Part II
Location: North 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies
Cochairs: Larry E. Brazil, Riverside Technology, Inc.; George Smith, Riverside Technology, Inc.
10:30 AM
2.1
Using NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Forecasts to Estimate Potential Societal Impacts from Severe Weather
Race Clark III, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and P. T. Marsh, R. S. Schneider, and S. A. Erickson
Recorded Presentation

Paper 2.2 has been moved. New paper number is 1A.1A

10:45 AM
2.2A
The Evolving Weather Service: Building Resilient Communities through Partner Relationships and Decision Support
Brooke Liu, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Atwell Seate, I. Iles, and E. Herovic

11:00 AM
2.3
Multiple Severe Microbursts in the Las Vegas Valley and Impact-Based Decision Support Services Provided by NWS Las Vegas, NV during the Monsoon Season of 2018
Stanley Czyzyk, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Las Vegas, NV; and A. Boothe

11:15 AM
2.4
CBRNE Modeling for Critical Real-World Events: Complexity, Challenges & Needs
Yaítza Luna-Cruz, Defense Threat Reduction Agency Reachback, Fort Belvoir, VA; and J. Trigg Jr.
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
The Probability of an EF-5 Tornado Being an EF-5 Torando: A Quantified Comparison of Damage Indicator Availability
Doug Speheger, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK

11:45 AM
2.6
Conveying Uncertainty through Graphical Forecasts
Jacob R., Beitlich, NOAA/NWS Forecast Office, Chanhassen, MN

Recording files available
Session 2
The ORACLES, CLARIFY, AEROCLO-Sa, and LASIC Field Campaigns in the Southeast Atlantic—Part II
Location: North 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 11th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions
Cochairs: Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS; Robert Wood, Univ. of Washington; Jim Haywood, Met Office; Paola Formenti, Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systemes Atmospheriques
10:30 AM
2.1
Aerosol–Radiation–Cloud Interactions in the Southeast Atlantic: Results from Three Years of ORACLES Deployments
Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Redemann and R. Wood
Recorded Presentation

Handout (19.5 MB)

10:45 AM
2.2
Total Organic Carbon Loss and Changes in Bulk Chemical Composition Seen in Vertically Stratified Aged African Biomass Burning Plumes over the Southeast Atlantic Ocean during ORACLES.
Amie Dobracki, Univ. of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and S. Freitag, S. Howell, J. Podolske, J. Redemann, P. E. Saide, A. J. Sedlacek, and P. Zuidema
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Characterization of Precipitation During the ORACLES 2016-17 Campaigns
Andrew M. Dzambo, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI; and T. S. L'Ecuyer, S. Tanelli, O. O. Sy, S. L. Durden, W. Chun, M. Lebsock, G. A. Sadowy, G. Dobrowalski, and E. A. McIlhattan
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Impact of Biomass Burning Aerosols on Marine Stratocumulus during ORACLES—Evidence of the Semidirect Effect?
Jennifer D. Small Griswold, Univ. of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and A. Heikkila
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Understanding Semidirect Effect within the Smoky Marine Boundary Layer over the Remote Southeast Atlantic
Jianhao Zhang, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and P. Zuidema and T. Yamaguchi
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Vertical Distribution and Monthly Variations of Biomass Burning Aerosols as Observed by the Micropulse Lidar during LASIC
Alice Hsu, Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO; and P. Muradyan, Y. Feng, R. L. Coulter, R. Delgadillo, P. Zuidema, C. Ma, A. J. Sedlacek, and V. R. Kotamarthi
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
Tropical Convective Dynamics
Location: North 232AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Cochairs: Ángel F. Adames, Univ. of Michigan; Giuseppe Torri, Univ. of Hawai'i at Mānoa
10:30 AM
2.1
A Stochastic Transition Matrix Approach to Modeling of the Population Dynamics of Clouds
Samson Hagos, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and Z. Feng, R. A. Houze Jr., R. Plant, and A. Protat
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
Controls on Deep-Convective Precipitation and the Dialogue with the Mesoscale
J. David Neelin, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and F. Ahmed, K. A. Schiro, Y. H. Kuo, and C. Martinez-Villalobos
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Organization of Precipitation Clusters in a Simple Stochastic Model
Fiaz Ahmed, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Ertel Potential Vorticity Charging in the Tropical Atmosphere
Hing Ong, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Representation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in Model E2.1: Role of the Mean State and Air–Sea Interaction
Daehyun Kim, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. S. Ahn, A. D. Del Genio, J. Wu, and L. Nazarenko
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Index Intercomparison for MJO Event Termination
Brett Chrisler, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and J. P. Stachnik
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
Understanding the Mechanisms, Predictability and Impacts of Connected Mesoscale Extremes
Location: North 221AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection
Cochairs: James Done, NCAR; Cindy Bruyère, NCAR
10:30 AM
2.1
Analysis of Risk due to Compound Extreme Events in the Coastal Urban Environment
Patrick Harr, Jupiter Technology, San Mateo, CA; and S. R. Sain
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
How the Jet Stream Determines Predictability Downstream of Recurving Tropical Cyclones
Peter M. Finocchio, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Scale-Interactive Processes in the Evolution of Multiepisode Tornado Outbreaks in the Southeastern U.S.
Manda B. Chasteen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. E. Koch
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Historical Depiction and Future Projection of Weakly Forced Yet High-Impact Convective Storms in Central U.S.
Binod Pokharel, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and S. Y. Wang, R. Gillies, and J. D. D. Meyer
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Assessing the Connection between Atmospheric River Events and Exploring their Relation to Extratropical and Tropical Large-Scale Drivers
Meredith A. Fish, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and A. M. Wilson, A. J. Miller, and F. M. Ralph
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Dynamics of and Precursors to California Megafloods, Present and Future
Daniel Swain, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and X. Huang and B. Langenbrunner
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2A
AI Techniques for Decision Support, Part I
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: Edwin Campos, Uptake Technologies
10:30 AM
2A.1
Avoiding AI Autopilot
Paul Roebber, University of Wisconsin−Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2A.2
Application of Machine Learning in NCAR’s Runway Friction and Closure Prediction System (RFCPS)
Ishita Srivastava, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Linden, T. Brummet, G. Wiener, and W. Petzke
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2A.3
Using Deep Learning with Polarimetric Radar Data to Predict Hail Size
Kiel L. Ortega, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore and J. C. Snyder
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2A.4
Applications of Biomimetic Image Processing to Storm Segmentation and Tracking
Patrick A. Campbell, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Ortega and T. M. Smith
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2A.5
An AI-Based System for Objective Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation
Jeffrey Miller, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and M. Maskey, R. Ramachandran, I. Gurung, B. Freitag, D. Bollinger, R. Mestre, D. Silva, A. L. Molthan, C. R. Hain, and D. J. Cecil
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2A.6
How Forecast “Prototypes” Help Optimize Decisions (When Probability Forecasts Can’t)
John K. Williams, The Weather Company, An IBM Business, Andover, MA; and P. Neilley
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2A
Atmospheric Rivers—Part II
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chairs: Walter A. Robinson, North Carolina State Univ.; Bin Guan, JPL
10:30 AM
2A.1
The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky
David A. Lavers, ECMWF, Reading, UK; and M. J. Rodwell, D. S. Richardson, F. M. Ralph, J. D. Doyle, C. A. Reynolds, V. Tallapragada, and F. Pappenberger
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2A.2
Using the CFSv2 for Long-Range Hydrological Forecasting Including Atmospheric Rivers and Impacts
Alexander O. Tardy, Norman, OK

11:00 AM
2A.3
Examination and Modification of the New Atmospheric River Scale to Facilitate Investigation of Past Events as Well as the Forecasting of Impacts due to Future Events
Ivory J. Small, NWS, San Diego, CA; and K. Mattarochia

11:15 AM
2A.4
ARkStorm Retrospective—Making Sense of the Extreme Events of Winter 2017 in California By Comparisons to a Well-Explored Extreme-Storms Scenario
Michael Dettinger, USGS, Carson City, NV; and D. Cox, M. McCarthy, and C. Albano

11:30 AM
2A.5
The Association between Atmospheric Rivers and Extreme Precipitation over the Eastern United States
Emily A. Slinskey, Portland State Univ., Portland, OR; and P. Loikith, D. E. Waliser, and B. Guan
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2A.6
Atmospheric Rivers and Insured Flood Losses in the Western United States
Thomas W. Corringham, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Gershunov, D. R. Cayan, and F. M. Ralph
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2A
Hydrometeorological Extremes II
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; Eleonora Demaria, USDA–ARS; Daniel Rodriguez, Instituto Alberto Luiz Coimbra de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa de Engenharia, Univ. Federal do Rio de Janeiro; John McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems
10:30 AM
2A.1
A Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor (MRMS) Product Suite to Anticipate Hydrologic Threats to the Transportation Sector (Invited Presentation)
Heather D. Reeves, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

2A.2
Development and Implementation of Tools to Monitor and Forecast Post-Wildfire Debris Flows

10:45 AM
2A.2A
Changes in Heavy and Extreme Precipitation in Texas 1900-2015
Rebecca Paulsen Edwards, Southwestern Univ., Georgetown, TX; and J. Jordan
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2A.3
Utilizing Dual-Polarization Instantaneous Precipitation Rate to Predict Flash Flooding
Kirk Apffel, NOAA, Cheektowaga, NY

11:15 AM
2A.4
Insights into Hydrometeorological Factors Constraining Flood Prediction Skill during the May and October 2015 Texas Hill Country Flood Events
Larry J. Hopper Jr., NWS, Phoenix, AZ; and P. Lin, Z. L. Yang, M. Lenz, and J. W. Zeitler
Recorded Presentation

2A.5
Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Forecasts from the HRRR Model

11:30 AM
2A.5A
Hydroclimatic Extremes as Challenges for the Water Management Community:   Lessons From Oroville Dam and Hurricane Harvey
David C Curtis, WEST Consultants., Folsom, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2A.6
How Much Did It Really Rain During Harvey?
John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and S. K. Bokn, B. R. Crow, D. M. Hultstrand, B. D. Kappel, D. B. McRoberts, T. W. Parzybok, A. R. Smith, and K. Ward
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2A
Regional Air Quality -Part II: Satellites and Severe Air Quality Episodes
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Emily V. Fischer, Colorado State Univ.; Stuart A. McKeen, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder and NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Chemical Sciences Division
10:30 AM
2A.1
The TEMPO Green Paper: Applications in Air Quality and Health, Agriculture, Forestry, and Economics
Kelly Chance, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA; and X. Liu, R. Suleiman, G. Gonzalez Abad, P. Zoogman, H. wang, C. R. Nowlan, G. Huang, K. Sun, J. Al-Saadi, J. C. Antuña-Marrero, J. L. Carr, R. B. Chatfield, M. Chin, R. C. Cohen, D. Edwards, J. Fishman, D. E. Flittner, J. Herman, J. A. Geddes, D. J. Jacob, S. J. Janz, J. Joiner, J. Kim, N. A. Krotkov, B. L. Lefer, R. Martin, M. J. Newchurch, G. Pfister, K. E. Pickering, R. B. Pierce, A. Saiz-Lopez, W. R. Simpson, R. Spurr, J. Szykman, O. Torres, and J. Wang
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2A.2
From Aerosol Optical Depth from Space to Near-Surface Particulate Matter
Michael J. Garay, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and O. V. Kalashnikova, F. Xu, D. J. Diner, Y. Liu, H. Chang, M. Franklin, and J. Wang
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2A.3
Characterizing Tropospheric Trace Gas Retrievals from the Cross-track Infrared Sounder
Stuart A. McKeen, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder and NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Frost, N. Smith, C. D. Barnet, R. Ahmadov, B. Pierce, T. B. Ryerson, J. S. Holloway, J. Peischl, I. Pollack, K. McKain, C. Sweeney, B. Daube, R. Commane, S. Wofsy, C. Thompson, and I. Bourgeois
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2A.4
Using Satellite Data to Aid Quantification and Attribution of Background Ozone Changes in the Western US
Jessica L. Neu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and G. Osterman, D. Fu, S. Kulawik, K. Bowman, and T. Walker

11:30 AM
2A.5
Impact of Haboob Dust Storms on Air Quality in Phoenix, AZ
Pierre Herckes, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and D. Napolitano, A. R. Marcotte, J. D. Eagar, and M. Fraser

11:45 AM
2A.6
'The Deadly Delhi Air Pollution Episode of November 2017; As Seen by NASA GMAO Models'
Gary Partyka, NASA, Greenbelt, MD

Recording files available
Session 2A
Special Session on GOES Series Satellite System
Location: North 231AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Chair: Ryan Williams, Stellar Solutions, Inc.
10:30 AM
2A.1A
Monitoring Tropical Cyclones from Satellite: Improvements from 1966 to 2018
Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Madison, WI; and M. M. Gunshor, J. M. Daniels, D. T. Lindsey, J. J. Gerth, S. S. Lindstrom, and C. S. Velden
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2A.2AA
GOES-17 Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) Performance Comparison to GOES-16
Paul C. Griffith, Harris, Fort Wayne, IN; and J. Van Naarden and D. Gall

2A.2A
GOES-R Series Products and Future Applications

11:15 AM
2A.3A
Direct Broadcast User Contributions to NOAA's GOES-R Series Satellite Data Operations
James McNitt, NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Clevenstine and G. Martin
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2A.4A
Recent Developments in CSPP Geo Software for Direct Broadcast
Graeme Martin, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI; and L. Gumley, N. Bearson, J. Braun, G. Cureton, A. De Smet, T. Jasmin, S. Mindock, E. Schiffer, and K. Strabala
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2A.5A
The GOES Portfolio: Enabling Continuity of Science Products by Amalgamation
Matthew Seybold, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Satellite and Product Operations, Suitland, MD; and E. Kline, W. M. MacKenzie Jr., K. W. Mozer, and R. Williams

Recording files available
Session 2B
Deep Learning for Environmental Datasets
Location: North 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Cochairs: David John Gagne II, NCAR; Amy McGovern, University of Oklahoma; Ryan A. Lagerquist, CIMMS
10:30 AM
2B.1
Exascale Deep Learning for Climate Science
Mr Prabhat, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and T. Kurth, S. Treichler, J. Romero, M. Mudigonda, A. Mahesh, T. A. O'Brien, M. Fatica, M. Houston, K. Kashinath, M. Matheson, M. Shankar, M. F. Wehner, and W. D. Collins
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2B.2
Real-Time and Climatological Storm Classification through Deep Learning
G. Eli Jergensen, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern, H. Obermeier, and T. Smith
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2B.3
Using Deep Learning to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity from 89-GHz Band Microwave Satellite Imagery
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/University of Wisconsin−Madison, Madison, WI; and C. Velden and J. H. Cossuth

11:30 AM
2B.4
A Deep Learning−Based Correction to Radar Beam Blockage
Katherine Avery, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. S. Veillette, C. J. Mattioli, and H. Iskenderian
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2B.5
Using Deep Learning for Advanced Remote Sensing of Clouds
Alexandria M. Russell, Northrop Grumann Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Mason, B. D. Felton, and R. J. Alliss
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2B
Greenhouse Gases -Part II
Location: North 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Chair: Abhishek Chatterjee, GSFC
10:30 AM
2B.1
Quantifying contributions of land carbon fluxes variability and atmospheric transport variability to atmospheric CO2 variability
Eunjee Lee, USRA/NASA Goddard, Greenbelt, MD; and R. D. Koster, L. Ott, F. W. Zeng, S. Mahanama, T. Oda, B. Poulter, and B. Weir

10:45 AM
2B.2
On what scales can GOSAT flux inversions constrain anomalies in terrestrial ecosystems?
Brendan Byrne, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. B. A. Jones, K. Strong, S. Polavarapu, and A. B. Harper
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2B.3
The OCO-2 Level 4 Flux Product and Associated Uncertainties
Sean Crowell, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2B.4
Estimating Regional Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks through Ensemble-Based Simultaneous State and Parameter Estimation
Hans W. Chen, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, T. Lauvaux, R. B. Alley, and K. J. Davis
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2B.5
CO Flux Inversion with Assimilation of MOPITT and IASI Observations in the Northern America Biomass Burning Plumes
Helene Peiro, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Scrowell
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2B.6
Greenhouse Gas Observations from AIM-North
Ray Nassar, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, Canada; and C. McLinden, C. E. Sioris, J. Mendonca, D. Jones, F. Deng, S. Polavarapu, C. T. McElroy, C. Adams, C. Boisvenue, R. Cooney, G. Drolet, L. Garand, R. Girard, N. Jackson, M. Johnson, F. Kolonjari, R. Martin, C. MacDonald, C. E. Miller, N. O'Neill, Y. J. Rochon, W. R. Simpson, G. Singh, K. Strong, J. Tamminen, A. P. Trishchenko, H. van Mierlo, Z. Vaziri, K. A. Walker, and D. Wunch
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2B
Integrated Metrics and Benchmarking for Next-Generation Hydro/Land-Surface Modeling of the Water Cycle
Location: North 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Sujay Kumar, GSFC; David Gochis, NCAR; Martyn Clark, NCAR; Aubrey Dugger, NCAR
10:30 AM
2B.1
Using Information Flow Networks for Characterizing Process and Model Dynamics (Invited Presentation)
Praveen Kumar, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana−Champaign, Urbana, IL; and P. Jiang and A. Goodwell
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2B.2
Analysis of Systematic and Random Error Components in Soil Moisture Estimates from Land Surface Models and Satellite Retrievals
Mahdi Navari, NASA GSFC/Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center/Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, J. A. Santanello, C. D. Peters-Lidard, and M. Cosh
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2B.3
Comparing Operational NLDAS-2 and Experimental NLDAS-3 Soil Moisture with Observational Soil Moisture Data from In-Situ Networks and SMAP Remote Sensing
Ronnie Abolafia-Rosenzweig, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and B. Livneh, Y. Xia, D. Mocko, P. A. Dirmeyer, S. V. Kumar, C. D. Peters-Lidard, H. Wei, and J. Kain
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2B.4
Evaluating Simulated Groundwater Surface Water Interactions across the Continental US with an Integrated Hydrologic Model (Invited Presentation)
Laura Elizabeth Condon, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. L. Atchley and R. M. Maxwell
Recorded Presentation

2B.5
Using Wavelets to Estimate Timing Errors in the National Water Model

11:30 AM
2B.5A
Systematic Land Model Evaluation in the NLDAS Science Testbed
Shugong Wang, NASA GSFC/SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Mocko, S. V. Kumar, J. Wegiel, and C. D. Peters-Lidard
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2B.6
From Model Performance to Model Behavior through Fingerprinting of Hydrologic Models (Invited Presentation)
Bart Nijssen, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. Bennett and G. S. Nearing
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2B
Polar Climate Variability and Change—Part I
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Zhenxia Long, Bedford Institute of Oceanography
10:30 AM
2B.1
Sudden Recent Antarctic Sea Ice Retreat, Connections to the Tropics, and Upper Ocean Regime Change around Antarctica
Gerald Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Arblaster, C. Chung, M. M. Holland, A. DuVivier, L. Thompson, D. Yang, and C. M. Bitz
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2B.2
Arctic Amplification Is Caused by Sea-Ice Loss under Increasing CO2
Aiguo Dai, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Luo, M. Song, and J. Liu
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2B.3
The Impacts of Springtime Cloud and Radiation Properties on Arctic Sea Ice Changes in CESM
Yiyi Huang, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and D. A. Bailey, M. M. Holland, X. Dong, A. K. DuVivier, J. Kay, L. Landrum, and B. Xi
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2B.4
Variability in the Surface Energy Budget of the Greenland Ice Sheet and Their Relationship to the Climatology of Air Trajectories over 40 Years
Shima Bahramvash Shams, Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA; and V. Walden and L. Cohen

11:30 AM
2B.5
How Declining Sea Ice Concentration Leads to Greater Arctic Warming and Establishes Its Seasonal Pattern
Sergio A. Sejas, USRA, Hampton, VA; and P. Taylor
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2B.6
Rapidly Warming Arctic Sea Ice—Implication for the Arctic Amplification
B. J. Sohn, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. M. Lee

Recording files available
Session 2C
Tropical Climate Variability and Change—Part II
Location: North 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: Kerry H. Cook, The Univ. of Texas at Austin; William Boos, Univ. of California, Berkeley
10:30 AM
2C.1
Delayed Retreat of the Monsoon over the Indochina Peninsula Linked to Surface Warming Trends
Yang Liu, Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and K. H. Cook and E. K. Vizy
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2C.2
Origins of East Asian Summer Monsoon Seasonality
John C. H. Chiang, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and C. H. Wu, W. Kong, and D. S. Battisti

11:00 AM
2C.3
The Influence of CMIP5 Tropical SST Biases on Simulations of Regional Climate
Bradfield Lyon, Univ. of Maine, Orono, Orono, ME; and R. Seager and N. Vigaud
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2C.4
Seasonal Climatology and Dynamical Mechanisms of Rainfall in the Caribbean
Carlos J. Martinez, LDEO/Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and L. Goddard, Y. Kushnir, and M. Ting
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2C.5
Climate Change Effects on the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in High-Resolution Global Simulations Using the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS)
Allison C. Michaelis, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2C.6
Using High-Resolution Global Simulations to Study the Effects of Climate Change on the Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones
Ana P. Torres-Vazquez, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. C. Michaelis and G. M. Lackmann
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Advances in CubeSats and SmallSats to Improve Earth Science, Weather Forecasting, Space Weather Prediction, Hydrology Studies, or Climate Monitoring—Part II
Location: North 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; and the Second Conference on Earth Observing SmallSats )
Cochairs: Robert Bauer, NASA Earth Science Technology Office; Stephen A. Mango, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning and Analysis
10:30 AM
J3.1
MISTiC Winds, a Micro-Satellite Constellation Approach to High Resolution Observations of the Atmosphere Using Infrared Sounding and 3D Winds Measurements-Airborne Demonstration Observations
K. R. Maschhoff, BAE Systems, Nashua, NH; and J. J. Polizotti, H. H. Aumann, and J. Susskind
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
J3.2
Status of Grating Spectrometer IR Sounder Technology Development at NASA JPL
Thomas Pagano, JPL, Pasadena, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
J3.3
Advances in Microwave Limb Sounding—An Update on the Compact AdaptableMicrowave Limb Sounder (CAMLS) Project
Nathaniel Livesey, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and G. Chattopadhyay, A. J. Tang, J. Kooi, R. Stachnik, and R. Jarnot

11:15 AM
J3.4
CubeSat-Based High-Resolution Hyperspectral Imagers for Atmospheric Trace Gas Monitoring
Steven P. Love, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and L. A. Ott, J. P. Theiler, B. R. Foy, C. L. Safi, M. E. Dale, C. G. Peterson, A. A. Guthrie, N. Dallmann, K. G. Boyd, P. Stein, J. A. Wren, M. C. Proicou, and M. Dubey
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
J3.5
Microwave Atmospheric Sounding CubeSats: From MicroMAS-2 to TROPICS and Beyond
William J. Blackwell, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. V. Leslie, S. A. Braun, R. Bennartz, C. S. Velden, T. Greenwald, D. C. Herndon, M. DeMaria, G. Chirokova, R. Atlas, J. P. Dunion, F. D. Marks Jr., R. Rogers, H. Christophersen, B. Annane, and B. A. Dahl
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J3.6
Assimilation of Simulated TROPICS Radiance Observations in a Regional OSSE
Brittany A. Dahl, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies/Univ. of Miami and NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and H. Christophersen, W. J. Blackwell, S. A. Braun, R. Atlas, R. Bennartz, R. F. Rogers, F. D. Marks Jr., and J. P. Dunion
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Lightning Monitoring at Aviation and Range Locations
Location: North 225AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; and the 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )
Cochairs: Jennifer G. Wilson, NASA; Ryan K. Decker, NASA/MSFC
10:30 AM
J3.1
Results of Initial Feasibility Study on Tactical Support Information for Avoiding Aircraft Lightning Strikes
Eiichi Yoshikawa, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Mitaka, Japan; and T. Ushio, T. Nishi, H. Oikawa, A. Senoguchi, and M. Kamogawa

10:45 AM
J3.2
Lightning Safety Guidance for Ramp Operations at Airports
Wiebke Deierling, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Klein, M. Steiner, K. Ikeda, and R. Bass

11:00 AM
J3.3
A Climatology of the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria for the Eastern Range
William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick Air Force Base, FL; and J. D. Rapp
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
J3.4
Evaluating GLM in the Aviation Weather Test Bed and Aviation Weather Center
Brian P. Pettegrew, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Kansas City, MO; and S. Minnick and A. Terborg

11:30 AM
J3.5
Design of a Low-Cost, High-Speed Electric Field Mill for Continuous Electric Field Monitoring
Robert Marshall, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and A. Antunes de Sa, A. Viets, A. Sousa, W. Deierling, and C. Myers
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J3.6
Lightning Prediction at Cape Canaveral AFS, FL, via the Application of Deep Learning to Surface Observations and Field Mill Data
Dominick V. Speranza, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, OH; and A. J. Geyer
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3
Solar Forecasting: Part I
Location: North 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs: Justin Sharp, Sharply Focused LLC; Jeffrey M. Freedman, Univ. at Albany, SUNY
10:30 AM
3.1
Forecasting Variability in Local Area Photovoltaic Power Generation using the Dynamic Mode Decomposition
Jeff Manning, The Univ. of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX
Recorded Presentation

Handout (498.1 kB)

10:45 AM
3.2
The Impact of Early Morning Infrared Satellite-Based Cloud Advection Forecasts on Solar Forecast Error in Hawaii
Steven H. Young, UL, Albany, NY; and D. Kirk-Davidoff
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
3.3
Forecasting Cloud Index with an Advection Model and Data Assimilation
Travis M. Harty, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. Morzfeld, W. F. Holmgren, and A. T. Lorenzo
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
3.4
Comparison of a Regime-Dependent Artificial Neural Network Method to a Regression Tree Method for Short-Range Solar Power Forecasting
Tyler C. McCandless, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Dettling and S. E. Haupt
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
3.5
Evaluation of Intraday Distributed PV Forecasts with Customized Metrics based on Operational Grid Management Decision-Making Scenarios
John Zack, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
3.6
Surface Temperature Anomalies and Solar Irradiance
Alexander Kubiniec, Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
3
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Part II
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )
Moderator: Jennifer Henderson, CIRES
Panelists: Susan Joslyn, University of Washington; Robert Soden, University of Colorado Boulder; Tamara Marcus, NCAR; Keri Lubell, CDC; Jenniffer M. Santos-Hernandez, University of Puerto Rico
10:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

10:45 AM
TJPD3.1
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Panel Discussion II
Heather Lazrus, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Henderson and J. L. Demuth
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
Panel Discussion


Panel Discussion 5
The Early Career Leadership Academy: Beyond Leadership into Mentorship
Location: North 231C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference
Cochairs: Bradford Johnson, Trivector Services, Inc./NOAA/OAR; Rebecca DePodwin, AccuWeather, Inc.; Jared Rennie, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies
Panelists: Ashton Robinson Cook, NOAA/NWS SPC; Alan Sealls, President, National Weather Association, WKRG-TV; Kimberly M. Wood, Mississippi State Univ.; Chris Vagasky, Vaisala, Inc.
Robinson Cook, Sealls, Wood, Vagasky

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 6
Engaging Public Works in Weather Communications and Response
Location: North 222AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation )
Chair: Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS
Moderators: Doug Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS
Panelists: David Fabiano, APWA; Giao Pham, APWA; Pete Weaver, APWA; Tom Bedard, Accuweather; Loni Eazell, Los Angeles County County Public Works; Mark Jackson, NOAA/NWS
10:30 AM
Fabiano, Pham, Weaver, Bedard, Eazell, Jackson
Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS, Glasgow, MT
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM
Real-Time Data Sharing -- Dave Jones
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 3
Impact of Deep Convection, Volcanic Eruptions, and Large Fires on Water Vapor, Aerosols, and Ozone in the Middle Atmosphere
Location: West 212A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Cochairs: Pengfei Yu, CIRES; Melody Avery, NASA
11:00 AM
3.1
Diagnosing Stratospheric Water Vapor Relationships to the Tropical Cold Point Tropopause (Invited Presentation)
William J. Randel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Park
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
3.2
Extreme Events in the 14 Year MLS Lower Stratospheric Water Vapor Record (Invited Presentation)
Michael J. Schwartz, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA

11:30 AM
3.3
Is the Transport by Deep Convective Storms the Major Source of Stratospheric Water Vapor?
Pao K. Wang, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Lunch Break (Monday)

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


CANCELED: NASA’s Earth Science Flight Program - Investments In And Planning For The Next-Generation Earth Observatories: Eric Ianson (NASA HQ)
Location: North 231AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
Organizer: Robert Bauer, NASA Earth Science Technology Office
Facilitator: Stephen A. Mango, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning and Analysis

CANCELLED: NOAA Leadership Town Hall
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
Organizer: Timothy Gallaudet, NOAA

DOE’s Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM): Atmospheric model capabilities and development plans
Location: North 222AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
Organizer: Dorothy M Koch, DOE
Facilitators: Dorothy M Koch, DOE; Gerald Geernaert, DOE
Panelists: David C. Bader, LLNL; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL; Mark A. Taylor, Sandia National Laboratories

Upcoming NCEI Data Users Conference: An Agriculture Example
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
Organizer: Annette Hollingshead, Global Science and Technology, Inc.
Facilitators: Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information; Jenny Dissen, CICS-NC; Najimah Jones, Global Science & Technology, Inc.

12:15 PM-1:45 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Presidential Town Hall with Marcia McNutt: Charting a Course for Evidence-Based Policy in the Face of “Extreme Events”
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Town Hall Meetings; the Events; the 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 23rd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 17th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Ninth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; and the Fifth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate )
Speaker: Marcia McNutt, President, National Academy of Sciences
12:15 PM
Presidential Town Hall with Marcia McNutt: Charting a course for Evidence-Based Policy in the Face of Extreme Events
Marcia McNutt, President, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Daily Weather Briefings (Monday)
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

2:00 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Lecture 1
Tutorial: Effectively Communicating Scientific Data Using Open-Source Tools: The Old (Matplotlib), the New (Cartopy), and the Radical (Seaborn and Bokeh).
Location: North 129B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python
Lecturer: Hannah Aizenman, City College of New York

2:00 PM-2:45 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 3B
Deep Learning for Environmental Datasets, Part II
Location: North 125AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Cochairs: David John Gagne II, NCAR; Amy McGovern, University of Oklahoma
2:00 PM
3B.1
Development and Interpretation of Deep Learning Models for Nowcasting Convective Hazards
Ryan A. Lagerquist, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern, C. R. Homeyer, C. K. Potvin, T. Sandmael, and T. M. Smith
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3B.2
Deep Neural Networks−Based Augmentation of Rainfall Data
Muhammed A. Sit, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and B. C. Seo, W. F. Krajewski, and I. Demir
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3B.3
Extreme Weather Event Prediction Using Bayesian Deep Neural Network
Orhun Aydin, ESRI, Redlands, CA
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


How to Become a Better Presenter
Location: North 231C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Recording files available
Session 3
History of Practices, Observations, and Field Projects
Location: North 222C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th History Symposium
Chair: Terry Nathan, Univ. of California, Davis
2:00 PM
3.1
TIROS-1 and the History of the First Decade of Weather Satellites
Gerald Dittberner, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. Vonder Haar
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
Tropical Atlantic Field Experiments from FSU (1968) to GATE (1974): The Legacy of Noel LaSeurby
Ed Zipser, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.3
A 35-Year Journey Supporting Geoscience Research Field Projects Worldwide: Perceptions, Lessons Learned, and the Remarkable Future
James A. Moore, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation


Session 3
How To Become a Better Presenter
Location: North 231C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Early Career Professionals Conference
Facilitator: Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania
How To Become a Better Presenter
Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA

Recording files available
Session 3
Monsoon Variability
Location: North 232AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability
Chair: Ángel F. Adames, Univ. of Michigan
2:00 PM
3.1
Air–Sea Interactions during Indian Ocean Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations
Jaynise M. Perez, Univ. of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and H. J. S. Fernando, E. D. Creegan, K. Woods, G. Black, A. V. Rydbeck, W. Hemantha, R. Krishnamurthy, J. E. Stailey, A. Tandon, and E. Shroyer
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
The Formation and Growth of Monsoon Depressions within the South Asian Monsoon
Michael Diaz, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and W. Boos
Recorded Presentation

3.3
Summer Monsoon Onset Progression and Predictability over Different Monsoon Regions

2:30 PM
3.3A
Trends in Tropical Wave Activity from the 1980s to 2016
Ajay Raghavendra, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy and L. Zhou
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (2.8 MB)

Handout (30.6 MB)

2:45 PM
3.4
Prediction of the Mumbai and the Mount Abu Extreme Rainfall Events during the 2017 Monsoon Season by the IITM-MME and the S2S Climate Forecast Models
Saloua Peatier, Université Claude-Bernard Lyon 1, Villeurbane, France; and R. Chattopadhyay
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3
Synoptic–Dynamic and Quantitative Attribution for Extreme Weather and Climate Events
Location: North 221AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection
Cochairs: Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State Univ.; Emily Becker, NOAA
2:00 PM
3.1
A Generalized Spatiotemporal Threshold Selection Method for Identification of Extreme Event Patterns
Vitaly Kholodovsky, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and X. Z. Liang
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
Attributing Extreme Déjà Vu Events: Hurricane Harvey and Louisiana Flood
Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and L. Zhao, J. Yoon, P. J. Klotzbach, and R. Gillies
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.3A
Long-Range Aerosol Transport via Rossby Wave Breaking during Atmospheric River Events on the Western U.S.
Catherine N Liu, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and J. M. Ryoo and S. Chiao

3.3
Dynamics of Extreme Precipitation Events in Northern California during Winter 2016–2017

2:45 PM
3.4
Montecito Debris Flow: A Historical Comparison to Southern California Debris Flows and an Analysis of the Forecast and Warning Challenges
Todd Hall, NOAA/NWS, Oxnard, CA

2:00 PM-3:15 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 2
Reducing Risk and Building Resilience through Collaborative and Interdisciplinary Agroecosystem Networks. Part II
Location: North 224A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 24th Conference on Applied Climatology
Chair: Mark D. Brusberg, USDA
2:00 PM
2.1
Utilizing Collaborative Networks to Advance Drought Science and Preparedness across the Nation
Molly Woloszyn, NOAA, Urbana, IL; and E. Weight, A. M. Sheffield, and B. A. A. Parker
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
2.2
Rain Gauges for Range Monitoring: Codeveloping Tools and Best Practices for Ranch-Scale Drought Detection
Michael Crimmins, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. McClaran, A. Hall, and A. Brischke
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
2.3
Stronger Together: Leveraging Established Network Tools and Resources to Support Climate Change Adaptation
Dawn M. Browning, USDA, Las Cruces, NM; and E. Elias and T. M. Crimmins

2:45 PM
2.4
Building Extension Capacity around Climate: The North Central Climate Collaborative
Hans Schmitz, Purdue Extension, Mount Vernon, IN; and L. M. Edwards, T. Williams, P. Tomlinson, A. S. Mase, K. A. Gehl, and R. L. Power
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 1
Developing and Preparing Weather and Climate Models for Exascale
Location: North 123 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Fifth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate
Cochairs: Marc Cotnoir, CSRA, Inc.; Mark W. Govett, NOAA/ESRL/GSD
2:00 PM
1.1
An Ocean–Atmosphere Simulation for Studying Air–Sea Interactions
Ehud Strobach, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Molod, A. Trayanov, W. M. Putman, C. Hill, J. M. Campin, G. Forget, D. Menemenlis, and P. Heimbach

2:15 PM
1.2
NEPTUNE Development for Next Generation HPC
John Michalakes, UCAR/NRL, Monterey, CA; and A. Reinecke
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
1.3
Extreme-Scale Computing Strategy at ECMWF
Peter Bauer, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
1.4
Compare A-Grid and C-Grid Shallow-Water Model Solver on Icosahedral Grids
Yonggang G. Yu, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Govett and N. Wang

3:00 PM
1.5
Z-Grid Dynamic Cores on Icosahedral Triangular Grids for Exascale Computing
Yuanfu Xie, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
1.6
Performance Comparison of A-Grid and C-Grid Staggering on Icosahedral Grids
Jacques Middlecoff, CIRA, Ft. Collins, CO
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (26.1 kB)

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 1
Role of the Stratosphere in Climate Variability, Change, and Prediction—Part I
Location: North 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere )
Cochairs: Isla R. Simpson, NCAR; Andrea L. Lang, University at Albany, SUNY
2:00 PM
TJ1.1
The Role of the Stratosphere in Global Predictability across Time and Length Scales (Invited Presentation)
Daniela I. V. Domeisen, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
TJ1.2
The Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Final Warmings and Their Surface Impacts
Amy Butler, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and J. P. Sjoberg, A. Charlton-Perez, and D. I. V. Domeisen
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
TJ1.3
Stratospheric and Tropical Impacts on Subseasonal Forecasts Related to Stratospheric Vortex Disruptions
John R. Albers, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
TJ1.4
Attribution of NAO Predictability beyond Two Weeks
Lantao Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and J. Perlwitz, J. H. Richter, and M. Hoerling
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
TJ1.5
Europe’s “Beast from the East” (February 2018): Predictability at Subseasonal Leads
Michael J. Ventrice, The Weather Company/IBM, Andover, MA
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
TJ1.6
Prediction of Northern Hemisphere Regional Surface Temperatures Using Stratospheric Ozone Information
Kane A. Stone, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and S. Solomon, D. E. Kinnison, C. F. Baggett, and E. A. Barnes
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
TJ1.7
Role of Tropical Lower Stratospheric Cooling on Recent Tropical Tropospheric Change
Kunihiko Kodera, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and N. Eguchi, R. Ueyama, Y. Kuroda, B. Funatsu, C. Kobayashi, and C. Claud
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
TJ1.8
Impacts of Stratospheric Ozone Recovery on Southern Ocean Surface Temperature
Feng Li, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and P. A. Newman
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2
Pre-College Education Initiatives
Location: North 229AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 28th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Staci DeSchryver, Education; Peter Dorofy, Institute for Earth Observations
2:00 PM
2.1
When Air Masses Collide: An NGSS Middle School Weather Unit
Jeffrey Thomas, Central Connecticut State Univ., New Britain, CT
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
2.2
Building an NGSS-ESS Community through Engagement with Webinars
Carla McAuliffe, TERC/NESTA, Tempe, AZ; and A. Awad and E. Robeck
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
2.3
Modernizing AMS Project Atmosphere
Chad M. Kauffman, California Univ. of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and W. Abshire, E. W. Mills, and A. E. Stimach
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
2.4
Acquire−Analyze−Apply (A3): A NASA GLOBE Mission Earth Project
John Moore, Institute for Earth Observations, Palmyra, NJ; and P. Dorofy, K. Czajkowski, and M. Jabot
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
2.5
GLOBE Program Student Research Symposia
Richard Wagner, Metropolitan State Univ. of Denver, Denver, CO; and J. Bourgeault
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
2.6
High School Initiative in Remote Sensing of the Earth System Engineering and Sciences (HIRES): Experiential Learning and College Readiness Program for NYC High School Students
Shakila B. Merchant, CREST, New York, NY
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
2.7
Maury Project: 25 Years Supporting Teacher Professional Development in Physical Oceanography
David R. Smith, American Meteorological Society, Washington, D.C.; and W. Abshire, D. E. McManus, C. M. Kauffman, A. E. Stimach, and E. W. Mills
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Research to Action: Use of Weather and Climate Information for Health Early Warning Systems
Location: North 228AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; and the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Cochairs: Hannah Nissan, IRI; Hunter Jones, NOAA
2:00 PM
J2.1
Decision Aid for Airborne Hazards Stems from Urban Atmospheric Research
Gail Vaucher, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and S. Roller

2:15 PM
J2.2
Development of Ahmedabad’s Air Information and Response (AIR) Plan to Protect Public Health
Vijay Limaye, Natural Resources Defense Council, New York, NY; and K. Knowlton, S. Sarkar, P. Ganguly, S. Pingle, P. Dutta, S. LM, A. Tiwari, B. Solanki, C. Shah, G. Raval, K. Kakkad, G. Beig, N. Parkhi, A. Jaiswal, and D. Mavalankar
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
J2.3
Development and Implementation of an Impact-Based Heat Warning and Information Service for Canada: A National and Regional Collaboration
Melissa MacDonald, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dartmouth, Canada; and N. Hasell
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
J2.4
The Heat Health Warning System in Germany: Implementation of City Issues and Communication Aspects
Andreas Matzarakis, DWD, Freiburg, Germany; and S. Muthers

3:00 PM
J2.5
Seasonal and Subseasonal Forecast Applications on Climate and Malaria in West Africa
Ibrahima Diouf, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD; and W. M. Thiaw
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.3 MB)

3:15 PM
J2.6
Building Resilience of Health Systems in Pacific Island Least-Developed Countries to Climate Change
Kristie L. Ebi, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Boyer
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
J2.7
Assessing the Role of Meteorological Factors on Human Health in India and its Extended Range Prediction
Raju Mandal, IITM, Pune, India; and A. Sahai, S. Joseph, R. Chattopadhyay, R. Phani, and A. Dey
Recorded Presentation

J2.8
The Relationship between Weather and Pain Severity: Results from Cloudy with a Chance of Pain, A U.K. National Smartphone Study

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 2
The Fourth National Climate Assessment Vol. II: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )
Chair: John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
TJ2.1
An Introduction to the Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II

2:15 PM
TJ2.2
The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Updating the Science of Climate Change
Donald J. Wuebbles, University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
TJ2.3
Reducing Risks of Economic Impacts Throughout Multiple U.S. Sectors and Regions: National Climate Assessment Vol II
Brenda Ekwurzel, Union of Concerned Scientists, Washington, D.C.; and J. Martinich, B. J. DeAngelo, D. Diaz, G. Franco, C. Frisch, J. McFarland, B. O'Neill, A. Light, D. R. Reidmiller, and C. Avery
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
TJ2.4
Highlights from the Fourth National Climate Assessment: Human Health
John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
TJ2.5
Climate Effects on U.S. International Interests
Peter Schultz, ICF, Washington, D.C.
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.7 MB)

3:15 PM
TJ2.6
Highlighting the Outcomes of a Risk-Based Assessment of the Impacts of a Changing Climate across the Regions of the United States
Lesley-Ann L. Dupigny-Giroux, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT
Recorded Presentation

TJ2.7
Reducing Climate Risks through Adaptation Actions

3:45 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
Session 3
2018 Hurricane, Cyclone, and Typhoon Season: Session III
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15IMPACTS: Major Weather Events and Impacts of 2018
Cochairs: Klaus Wolter, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center; Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Thomas Bedard, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions
2:00 PM
3.1
Impact of Hurricane Florence (2018): Extreme Flooding from a Combination of Storm Surge, Heavy Rainfall, and River Outflow
Edoardo Mazza, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. S. Chen
Recorded Presentation

3.2
Hurricane Michael: A Brief Overview and Look at the Societal and Economic Impacts across North Florida and South Georgia

2:30 PM
3.3
An Overview of Utility Company Emergency Preparedness during Two Significant Hurricanes
Robert W. Pasken, Saint Louis Univ., Saint Louis, MO; and R. Woodford, M. Lewis, M. Roark, and A. Margevich
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.4
The Limits of Risk Communication: What Influenced Evacuation and Preparation Behaviors in North Carolina during Florence and Michael?
Jessica C. Whitehead, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. Lopez and S. White
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3.5
A Storm of Information: Twitter Data from Hurricanes Florence and Michael
Adam M. Rainear, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and K. A. Lachlan and C. A. Palombo
Recorded Presentation

3.6
I'm Staying! A Discussion of the Societal Aspects of the Choice to Ride Out Hurricane Michael

3:30 PM
3.7
The Saffir–Simpson Scale: Simple, Straightforward, and Insufficient
Kyra Bryant, Tennessee State Univ., Nashville, TN; and A. Musinguzi and M. Akbar
Recorded Presentation

3.8
Hurricane Michael: Messaging an Unprecedented Event for the Florida Panhandle and Beyond

3.9
The Effectiveness of NWS Personnel Integration into Emergency Operations Centers during Hurricane Michael

Recording files available
Session 3
Aerosol–Cloud Interactions in Shallow Warm Clouds
Location: North 223 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 11th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions
Cochairs: Alison D. Nugent, Univ. of Hawai‘i at Mānoa; Virendra Ghate, Argonne National Laboratory
2:00 PM
3.1
Dispersion Aerosol Indirect Effect from Turbulent Fluctuations: Insight from a Cloud Chamber Experiment
Kamal Kant Chandrakar, Michigan Technological Univ., Houghton, MI; and W. Cantrell, A. B. Kostinski, and R. A. Shaw
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
Toward Satellite Inference of the Decoupling Degree and Cloud-Base Updrafts of Marine Stratocumulus
Youtong Zheng, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD; and D. Rosenfeld and Z. Li
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.3
Drizzle and Turbulence in Open Cellular Marine Stratocumulus Clouds
Virendra Ghate, Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL; and M. P. Cadeddu
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.4
Effect of Boundary Layer Thermodynamic Structures on the Formation of Low-Level Clouds over Ocean and Land
Baike Xi, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Dong, X. Zheng, and P. Wu

3:00 PM
3.5
Height Dependence of Aerosol–Cloud Interactions and Important Implications for Developing Parameterizations
Yangang Liu, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY; and J. Quan, X. Jia, J. Chen, and C. Lu

3:15 PM
3.6
Evidence of Invigoration in Warm Cloud Dynamics due to Precipitation Suppression
Tristan S. L'Ecuyer, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI; and A. R. Douglas
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3.7
Volcanic Aerosol Impacts on Big Island Precipitation
Tianqi Zuo, Univ. of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and A. D. Nugent
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3.8
Opposite Effects of Bimodal CCN Spectra on Stratus and Cumuli
James G. Hudson, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. Noble


Session 3
CANCELED: Improving R2O & O2R in 0-18 Hour Forecast Range: Addressing Forecasters’ Needs—Introduction and Analysis and Nowcast Tools: Part I
Location: North 232C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations
Cochairs: Young-Joon Kim, NWS; Tara Jensen, NCAR and Developmental Testbed Center
2:00 PM
3.1
Turning Field Forecasting Needs into Science-Based Requirements: An Example to Improve Mesoscale Analysis for National Weather Service
Young-Joon Kim, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. A. Tew

3.2
Analysis and Nowcast in a Unified Forescast System for the National Weather Service

3.3
R2O Plans from the Rapid-Refresh (RAP) and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) to the Unified Rapid Refresh Forecast System

3:15 PM
3.4
Multiple Radar/Multiple Sensor (MRMS) System:Next-Generation Optimization and Enhancement Project
Alan Gerard, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. W. Howard, J. Zhang, T. Smith, J. Brogden, and J. J. Gourley

3:30 PM
3.5
A Comparison of Multi- and Single-Core Convection-Allowing Ensembles
Benjamin T. Blake, IMSG and NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. R. Carley, M. E. Pyle, G. S. Romine, E. Rogers, E. Aligo, J. J. Levit, and J. Kain

3:45 PM
3.6
The 3D-Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (3D-RTMA) for Situational Awareness and Nowcast Applications: Testing, Refinement, and Plans for Transition to Operations
Steve Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. Alexander, G. Ge, M. Hu, T. T. Ladwig, C. Hartsough, J. R. Carley, G. Zhao, M. Pondeca, and R. Yang

Recording files available
Session 3
Coupled Forecasting of Extreme Weather and Coastal Flood Events: Part III
Location: North 130 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Arthur J. Miller, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego; Ali Abdolali, UCAR/NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
2:00 PM
3.1
Hindcasting Wind Waves and Storm Surge for Hurricanes Irma and Maria for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands: IOOS Test Bed Model Validation and Inter- and Intracomparisons
Joannes Westerink, Univ. of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and B. Joyce, A. Van der Westhuysen, J. Gonzalez, and D. Yang
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
Efficient Wave−Surge Coupling with SLOSH-Wave for Hispaniola
Dongming Yang, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and A. J. Van der Westhuysen, J. R. Rhome, and C. L. Fritz

2:30 PM
3.3
Operational Implementation of a Coupled Version of SLOSH and Coastal Wave Modeling at the National Hurricane Center: Current Applications and Future Plans
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and C. L. Fritz, E. Gibney, P. J. Manougian, A. J. Van der Westhuysen, N. P. Kurkowski, and D. Yang

2:45 PM
3.4
Optimization of Unstructured Grids for Coastal Ocean Hydrodynamical Models
Keith J. Roberts, Univ. of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and W. Pringle and J. Westerink
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3.5
Modeling Storm Surge with Subgrid Corrections Accounting for Unresolved Topography
Damrongsak Wirasaet, Univ. of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and A. B. Kennedy, D. Bolster, and J. C. Dietrich
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3.6
Prediction of Extreme Weather, Landfalling Hurricane Nate, and Flood Events: The WRF Model Simulations
C. H. (Chester) Huang, Department of Interior, New Orleans, LA
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3.7
Coupling Analysis of Storm Surge and Wind Wave on Coastal Flood in the East China Sea during Typhoon Chan-Hom in 2015
Shuiqing Li, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao, China
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3.8
Latest Development in the NWS’ Extratropical Storm Surge Model and Probabilistic Extratropical Storm Surge Model
Huiqing Liu, NOAA/NWS/Office of Scientific and Technical Information/Meteorological Development Laboratory/DSB, Silver Spring, MD; and K. Kang and A. A. Taylor

Recording files available
Session 3
Data Assimilation—Part II: Ensemble Filtering Methods for Problems with Nonlinear Relations between Observations and State Variables
Location: North 131AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 23rd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Chris Snyder, NCAR
2:00 PM
3.1
Nonlinear, Nongaussian Ensemble Data Assimilation with Rank Regression and a Rank Histogram Filter
Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
Data Assimilation for Clouds and Precipitation Using Non-Linear Ensemble Algorithms
Derek J. Posselt, JPL, Pasadena, CA
Recorded Presentation

3.3
Why Gaussian Approximations to Posteriors are More Appropriate than to Priors

2:30 PM
3.3A
Assimilation of Clear- and All-Sky Himawari-AHI Radiances for Convective-Scale Forecasting
Zhiquan Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Wang and D. Li
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.4
LETKF Perturbations by Ensemble Transform in a Cloud Resolving Model
Kazuo Saito, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The Univ. of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan; and L. Duc, S. Yokota, D. Hotta, and T. Matsunobu

3:00 PM
3.5
Regional Weather Prediction Using the Local Particle Filter
Jonathan Poterjoy, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3.6
A Comparison of Two Variants of Localized Particle Filter
Jie Feng, School of Meteorology, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang and J. Poterjoy

3:30 PM
3.7
Comparison of WRF-DART Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter (EAKF) and Rank Histogram Filter (RHF) in Analyses and Simulations of a Convective Case over the Great Plains Region
Derek Hodges, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu and J. Anderson
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3.8
Adaptive Observation Error Inflation (AOEI) and Adaptive Background Error Inflation (ABEI) for Convection-Permitting Ensemble Assimilation of All-Sky GOES-16 Radiances
Masashi Minamide, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Zhang and F. Zhang
Recorded Presentation


Joint Panel Discussion 3
Emerging Needs, Opportunities, and Careers in Climate Information Services: Academic Education and Training Programs
Location: North 221C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the 28th Symposium on Education )
Moderator: Stephen E. Zebiak, IRI, Columbia Univ.
Panelists: Cynthia Thomson, 1200 Amsterdam Ave; Corey Gabriel, University of California, San Diego; Roberto J. Mera, North Carolina State University; Miriam Bertram, University of Washington; Abraham Henn, North Arizona University
2:00 PM
JPD3.1
Findings from Themed Joint Session Mind the Gap: Preparing Students for Careers in the Private Sector
Lawrence Gloeckler III, Riskpulse, Philadelphia, PA

Recording files available
Session 3
Historical Perspectives on Lidar
Location: West 211A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Ninth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: James R. Campbell, NRL; Natalie Midzak, Millersville Univ.
2:00 PM
3.1
Lidar: A 50-Year Personal Retrospective
John A. Reagan, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.2
The Nature of Cirrus as Revealed by Lidar (Invited Presentation)
Kenneth Sassen, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Recorded Presentation

3.3
From LITE to CALIPSO and Beyond: A Brief History of NASA Langley Research Center Spaceborne Lidar Missions and Measurements

3:30 PM
3.4
Five Decades of Doppler Wind Lidar Measurements from Turbulence to Global Scales (Invited Presentation)
R. Michael Hardesty, CIRES, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3
Innovative Developmental and Operational Applications of NOAA’s Satellite Systems
Location: North 231AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
CoChair: Steven Miller, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.
2:00 PM
3.1
Results from the 2018 Satellite Proving Ground Experiment in the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT)
Michael A. Bowlan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
On the Origin of Rotation Observed in Super Rapid Scan Geostationary Satellite Data over Severe Deep Convection
Jason Apke, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and J. R. Mecikalski and S. D. Miller
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.4A
Observing Hail Swaths Using the GOES-16 Advanced Baseline Imager
Dillon V. Blount, ; and P. N. Schumacher
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.6
JPSS Arctic Initiative—Supporting Sea Ice Analysis and Forecasting
Bonnie Reed, JPSS, Suitland, MD; and A. Layns
Recorded Presentation

3.4
Use of GOES East Products in the Support of Wildfire Decision Support Services

3:00 PM
3.7
Why Operational Meteorologists Need More Satellite Soundings
Nadia Smith, Science and Technology Corporation, Columbia, MD; and C. D. Barnet, E. Berndt, and M. Goldberg
Recorded Presentation

3.5
Examining the Relevancy of NUCAPS Toward Its Ability to Adequately Profile Summertime Saharan Air Layer Outbreaks over the North Tropical Atlantic Basin

3:15 PM
3.8
Generating Sounder Products at Imager Spatial and Temporal Resolution
W. Paul Menzel, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; and E. Weisz, E. Borbas, and B. A. Baum
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3.3
The Use of Visible and IR-Based Probabilistic Overshooting Cloud Top Detection in the Verification of Global Forecasts of Convective Hazards
Laura Melling, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and K. M. Bedka, M. S. Wandishin, and M. A. Petty
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3.5A
Stratospheric Air Intrusions and Rapid Cyclogenesis over the North Pacific
Deirdre E. Dolan, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD; and M. J. Folmer, L. J. Phillips, and J. M. Sienkiewicz
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3
Latest Advances in Research on Icing and Other Winter Weather that Affects Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Operations
Location: North 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory; Daniel Tripp, Univ. of Oklahoma
2:00 PM
3.1
In-Flight Icing Remote Detection by a Scanning Microwave Radiometer
Marian Klein, Boulder Environmental Sciences and Technology, Boulder, CO; and V. Irisov, A. Gasiewski, and E. R. Westwater
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.2
Radar Reflectivity Threshold and NWP Temperatures as a Potential Aircraft Icing Product
Andrew A. Rosenow, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. D. Reeves and B. P. Pettegrew
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.3
Advances in Ceilometer Data Processing—Detecting Atmospheric Icing in the Vertical Profile
Anne Hirsikko, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and K. Hämäläinen, A. Ruuskanen, A. Leskinen, M. Komppula, and E. O'Connor
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.4
Development of New Icing Products for Supercooled Large Drop Conditions
Allyson Rugg, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Tessendorf, D. R. Adriaansen, and J. A. Haggerty
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (659.7 kB)

Handout (26.5 MB)

3:00 PM
3.5
Dual-Polarized Radar Coverage in Terminal Airspaces and Its Effect on Interpretation of Winter Weather Signatures: Current Capabilities and Future Recommendations
Heather D. Reeves, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Waters
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3.6
Investigating the Variability of Winter Precipitation Rates across an Airport Terminal Area
Justin Lentz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. D. Landolt, S. DiVito, and A. Gaydos
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3.7
Towards Improving Winter Weather Hydrometeor-Type Forecasts Using High-Resolution UAS Data
Daniel Tripp, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. R. Martin
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3.8
ICICLE: Winter 2018–19 In-Cloud Icing and Large-Drop Experiment
Stephanie DiVito, FAA, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ; and B. C. Bernstein, J. T. Riley, T. Bond, D. L. Sims, S. D. Landolt, J. A. Haggerty, M. Wolde, and A. Korolev
Recorded Presentation


Session 3
National and International Efforts in Space Weather: Growing Global Preparedness. Part I
Location: North 227A-C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 16th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Richard A. Behnke, Retired
3.1
Space Weather and Heliophysics Science Applications at NASA

3.2
NASA GSFC Heliophysics Science Division and Space Weather

3.3
NSF Support of Space Weather Research

3.4
The NOAA Space Weather Follow-On Program to Ensure Continuity of CME Imagery and Solar Wind Space-Based Observations

Handout (670.9 kB)

3.5
Space Weather Activities in the Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites

3.6
FEMA Space Weather Activities

3:30 PM
Paper 3.7 has been moved to Paper 8.3A.

3.8
Current Mission and Future Plans for the USAF Space Weather Operations Center

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 3
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Part III
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )
Cochairs: Julie Demuth, NCAR; Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario
2:00 PM
TJ3.1
The Influence of Cultural Worldviews and Risk Perceptions on Severe Weather Preparation
Aimee Franklin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Le, M. Brucks, and M. A. Shafer
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
TJ3.2
Understanding the Public's Response to Uncertainty through an Interdisciplinary Analysis
Anas A. Askar, Howard University, Washington, D.C.; and T. Adams
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
TJ3.3
When Uncertainty Is Certain: The Creation and Effects of Amiable Distrust between Emergency Managers and Forecast Information in the Southeastern United States
Rachael N. Cross, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. LaDue, T. Kloss, and S. Ernst
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
TJ3.4
Weathering Natural Disasters: Forecasting, Anticipation, and "Out-of-Model Uncertainties" in the Humanitarian Sector
Sara de Wit Jr., Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, Oxford, United Kingdom; and T. Pforr Jr.
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
TJ3.5
Uncertainty and Consistency: Key Dimensions in Weather/Hazard Messaging
Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and L. Myers
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
TJ3.6
Exploring Uncertainty in Vulnerability and Its Usability in Decision-Making
Olga Wilhelmi, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Romero Lankao and I. Pichardo

3:30 PM
TJ3.7
Communicating Uncertainty in Weather, Climate, and Hydrological Predictions: Recent Progress and a Path Forward (Core Science Keynote)
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3A
AI Techniques for Extreme Weather and Risk Assessment
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: Carlos F. Gaitan, ClimateAI
2:00 PM
3A.1
Application of Artificial Intelligence in Lightning Detection and Nowcasting Using Polarimetric RADAR Data
Yunish Shrestha, University Of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Zhang, R. J. Doviak, and P. W. Chan
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3A.2
Probabilistic Detection of Extreme Weather Using Deep Learning Methods
Ankur Mahesh, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and T. A. O'Brien, W. D. Collins, M. Prabhat, K. Kashinath, and M. Mudigonda
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3A.3
An Updated Machine Learning Ensemble for Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasting
Andrew Edward Mercer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and A. D. Grimes and K. M. Wood
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3A.4
The Application of a Clustering Algorithm to Identify and Measure Tornado Swarms
Jim Tang, Unaffiliated, Walnut Creek, CA
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3A.5
Self-Organizing Maps for Tornadic Near-Storm Environments of the Southeastern United States
Alexandra Anderson-Frey, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and Y. P. Richardson, A. R. Dean, R. L. Thompson, and B. T. Smith
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3A.6
Improved Estimation of Hail Damage Integrating Radar and Ground Truth Data
Stan Biryukov, Understory Weather, Madison, WI; and K. Jero, E. Hewitt, and A. Kubicek
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3A.7
Coupling Convection-Allowing Model Guidance with Machine Learning for Day-Ahead Extreme Precipitation Outlooks
Gregory R. Herman, The Climate Corporation, Seattle, WA; and R. S. Schumacher
Recorded Presentation

3A.8
Short-Range Forecasting System of Extreme Weather Events

Recording files available
Session 3A
Clouds and Climate
Location: North 121BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Cochairs: James F. Booth, City Univ. of New York; Catherine M. Naud, Columbia Univ.
2:00 PM
3A.1
Observed and Modeled Cloud Responses to Interannual Climate Variability
Andrew Geiss, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. T. Marchand
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.3 MB)

2:15 PM
3A.2
Boundary Layer Clouds in the Midlatitudes: Environmental Controls in Post-Cold Frontal Regions
Catherine Naud, Columbia Univ./NASA GISS, New York, NY; and J. F. Booth and F. Lamraoui
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3A.3
Examining the Fidelity of Cloud Optical Properties and Overlap Statistics through Comparisons of Radiative Transfer and Cloud Resolving Models against AIRS Observations
Tianhao Le, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and C. Li, V. Natraj, X. Zhang, A. J. Braverman, and Y. Yung
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3A.4
Exploring Radiative Influence on Extratropical Cyclone Development and Sensitivity
Gregory Tierney, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and D. J. Posselt and J. F. Booth
Recorded Presentation

3A.5
Remote Sensing Climatology of Cirrus Cloud Distribution within the United States

3:15 PM
3A.6
Examining Precipitation and Radiative Impacts of Convection in the Tropical Atlantic
Juliet A. Pilewskie, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI; and T. L'Ecuyer
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3A.7
Nonlinearity in the Climate Response to Greenhouse Gas and Aerosol Forcing
Zhaoyi Shen, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Ming
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3A.8
Band-by-Band Contributions to the Longwave Cloud Radiative Feedbacks
Xianglei Huang, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and X. Chen and Q. Yue
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3A
Hydrometeorological Extremes III
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; Eleonora Demaria, USDA–ARS; Daniel Rodriguez, Instituto Alberto Luiz Coimbra de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa de Engenharia, Univ. Federal do Rio de Janeiro; John McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems
2:00 PM
3A.1
Characteristics of Record Floods from Landfalling Tropical Cyclones over the CONUS
Maofeng Liu, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and L. Yang, J. A. Smith, and G. A. Vecchi

2:15 PM
3A.3
A Classification Index for Precipitation Events in Maricopa County, Arizona
Stephen D. Waters, Flood Control District of Maricopa County, Phoenix, AZ
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3A.2
Synoptic Precursors to Subseasonal to Seasonal Extreme Precipitation Events across the United States
Gregory Jennrich, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. C. Furtado
Recorded Presentation

3A.4
Analyzing Heavy to Extreme Atmospheric River Precipitation Events in the Lee of the Northern Sierra Nevada Using Self-Organizing Maps

2:45 PM
3A.4A
Predictability of U.S. Northern Great Plains Summertime Precipitation Extremes
Andrew Hoell, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and K. Wolter, F. Lehner, J. Perlwitz, and J. K. Eischeid
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3A.5
Analysis of Overlap between Hourly and Daily Precipitation Extremes
Nathan R. Kelly, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3A.6
Mesoscale and Synoptic Analysis of the Southern Great Plains 2015 Flash Pluvial
Sarah J. Wugofski, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. X. Flanagan and J. B. Basara
Recorded Presentation

3A.7
An Overview of the January 9, 2018 Extreme Flash Flood and Debris Flow Event in Montecito, CA

3:30 PM
3A.7A
Incorporation of Climate Change into Design Storms: The Challenges
Geneva M. E. Gray, North Carolina State Univ., Asheville, NC; and K. E. Kunkel and A. P. Ballinger
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3A.8A
Climatology of Water Vapor Fluxes and Precipitation in the Northeastern United States
Natalie Teale, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and D. A. Robinson
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (3.5 MB)

Handout (3.5 MB)

Recording files available
Session 3A
Interagency Coordination within the Federal Weather Enterprise
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies
Cochairs: William J. Schulz Jr., Office of Naval Research; C. Sim James, NOAA
2:00 PM
3A.1
WIGOS Transition — U.S. Challenges and Impacts as the International Community Transitions from Legacy WMO Identifiers to a WIGOS Identifiers for All Surface-Based Observing Platforms
Justin M. Reeves, FNMOC, Monterey, CA; and P. M. Pauley
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.9 MB)

2:15 PM
3A.2
NextGen Executive Weather Panel
John Egentowich, FAA, Washington, DC

2:30 PM
3A.3
National Earth System Prediction Capability: Coordinating Across Time Scales, across Agencies
Jessie C. Carman, OAR, Silver Spring, MD; and D. McCarren and B. Johnson

2:45 PM
3A.4
The Committee for Operational Environmental Satellites (COES): An Effective Avenue for Improved Federal Agency Coordination of Environmental Satellite Issues.
Ajay Mehta, NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. McCarren and M. Bonadonna
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3A.5
Comparing Satellite Architecture Studies Using Standard Taxonomy Approach
Justin Goldstein, NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Projects, Planning and Analysis, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Helms, J. Taylor, and M. Murphy
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3A.6
The National Space Weather Partnership (NSWP): Coordinating U.S. Government, Commercial, and Academic Efforts to Improve National Space Weather Capabilities
Michael F. Bonadonna, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and W. J. Murtagh

3:30 PM
3A.7
Adding Value to NDBC Weather Buoy Observations through Enhanced Data Management Practices
Karen Grissom, NDBC, Stennis Space Center, MS; and D. C. Petraitis, S. DiNapoli, C. Hall, and R. DiLorenzo

3:45 PM
3A.8
Expanding Emergency Communications Resources across NWS Western Region to Support Continuity of Operations and IDSS
Matt Solum, NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and S. Carpenter

Recording files available
Session 3A
Regional Air Quality—Part III: Ozone and Air Quality Modeling
Location: North 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Leiming Zhang, ECCC; Jeffrey L. Collett Jr., Colorado State Univ.
2:00 PM
3A.1
A Framework to Improve Chemical Lateral Boundary Conditions in Support of NOAA’s Air Quality Forecast Capabilities
Zhining Tao, USRA, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Tang, H. Bian, D. Tong, B. Baker, P. Lee, J. T. McQueen, and I. Stajner
Recorded Presentation

3A.2
New Bias-Corrected Ozone Predictions for NOAA's National Air Quality Forecast Capability

2:30 PM
3A.3
Improvement of NOAA NAQFC ozone nighttime over-predictions through offline coupling system of FV3GFS/CMAQ
Jianping Huang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, and IMSG, College Park, MD; and J. McQuen, P. Shafran, L. Pan, H. C. Huang, J. Kain, P. Lee, Y. Tang, I. Stajner, and J. Tirado-Delgado

2:45 PM
3A.4
Ozone Transport in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic
Mojtaba Moghani, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and C. L. Archer
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3A.5
Comparisons of Upper Air Ozone Concentrations at Coastal and Urban Sites and the Impacts of Local Urban Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Chloe A. Gore, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and S. Chiao
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3A.6
Analysis of Regional Meteorology During the Ozone Episodes in the El Paso—Juarez Airshed in the Summer of 2017
Nakul Karle, Univ. of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX; and S. Mahmud, R. M. Fitzgerald, R. K. Sakai, W. R. Stockwell, B. B. Demoz, and V. R. Morris
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3A.7
Evaluation of a Lagrangian Air Quality Model against Various Observations and 3D Air Quality Models
Kai Fan, Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA; and B. K. Lamb, J. Avise, J. D. Fast, J. Vaughan, V. Walden, R. A. Zaveri, and Y. Lee
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3A.8
Long-Term Evaluation of the AIRPACT Air Quality Forecast Skill for the Pacific Northwest
Jordan A. Munson, Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA; and J. Vaughan, B. K. Lamb, and Y. Lee
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3B
Air Pollution in Asia: Sources, Transports, and Impacts on Health and Climate Oral—Part I
Location: North 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Chair: Yuan Wang, California Institute of Technology
Cochairs: Bin Zhao, Univ. of California, Los Angeles; Bryan Duncan, NASA GSFC
2:00 PM
3B.1
Adaptive Emissions Estimation over China with an Ensemble Kalman Filter and Hourly Surface PM2.5 Observations
Zhiquan Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Z. Peng, K. Chu, D. Chen, and J. Ban
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3B.2
Quantifying Asian Power Plant CO2 Emissions from Space
Ray Nassar, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, Canada; and T. G. Hill, C. MacDonald, C. McCracken, C. McLinden, D. Wunch, D. B. A. Jones, and D. Crisp
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3B.3
Particulate Pollution in Southeast Asia: Its Impacts on Air Quality and Regional Climate
Chien Wang, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and H. H. Lee, B. Grandey, and L. K. Yeo
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3B.4
Decadal-Scale Assessment of the Impact of Household Fuel Use on PM2.5 exposure and Public Health in China
Bin Zhao, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Zheng, S. Wang, K. R. Smith, X. Lu, K. Aunan, Y. Gu, Y. Wang, K. N. Liou, and J. Hao
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3B.5
Modeling Particulate Matter and Ozone in the 18 Cities of Sichuan Basin, Southwestern China
Xue Qiao, Sichuan Univ., Chengdu, LA; and H. Guo, P. Wang, Y. Tang, Q. Ying, W. Deng, and H. Zhang
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3B.6
Investigation of Changing Seasonal Cycles of O3 over Japan from 1980 to 2015
Natsumi Kawano, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Nagashima and S. Sugata
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3B.7
Revisiting the Importance of Chemical Data Assimilation to Modeling East Asia Air Quality and Its Impact on Downwind Regions
Min Huang, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and J. H. Crawford, K. Bowman, M. Parrington, and G. Carmichael

3B.8
An Intriguing Connection between Crop Production, Residue Fires, and Air Quality over Northern India Inferred from NASA's A-Train Satellites and Ground Observations

4:00 PM
Estimating the Contribution of Local Primary Emissions to Particulate Pollution Using High-Density Station Observations -- Chuanfeng Zhao
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3B
International Hazards—What's the Risk?
Location: North 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies
Cochairs: Ian Lisk, Met Office; Baudouin Raoult, ECMWF; Rebecca Hemingway, Met Office
2:00 PM
3B.1
What Makes Warnings Work: Optimising Information Governance in HIWeather
Brian W. Golding, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3B.2
Impact-Based Forecasting and Warning: Weather Ready Nations in Central America
Rochelle Campbell, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and S. A. Tokar, D. P. Beardsley, R. Jubach, and C. Barrett
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3B.3
Impact-Based Forecasting and Assessment in the Caribbean
Shawn A. Boyce, Caribbean Insitute for Meteorology and Hydrology, Saint James, Barbados; and K. A. Caesar, R. A. Jeffries, and B. Spooner
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3B.4
The UK Met Office Environmental Monitoring and Response Centre (EMARC)—Contributing Towards UK Resilience to Natural Hazards, and Responding to International-Scale Events
Gareth Powell, UKMO, Exeter, United Kingdom
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (161.9 kB)

Handout (2.2 MB)

3:00 PM
3B.5
Flexible Earth System Modelling on Multiple Grids
Willem Deconinck, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. Maciel and M. Diamantakis
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3B.6
A Flexible Interpolation Package to Support Existing and Future ECMWF Model Developments
Pedro Maciel, ECMWF, Reading, U.K.; and B. Raoult, S. Siemen, T. Quintino, and W. Deconinck
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3B.7
The Multi-Faceted ECMWF Approach to Forecasting Hazardous Weather
Tim D. Hewson, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and I. Tsonevsky, F. Prates, and E. Gascon
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3B
Multiprocesses Analysis, Modeling, and Product Application in Arid and Semiarid Regions
Location: North 126BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yaohui Li, Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration; Xing Yuan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
2:00 PM
3B.1
A Simple Dynamic Root Model for Use in Earth System Models—Introducing a Mechanism for Plants to Survive Droughts
Guo-Yue Niu, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and L. Chang
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3B.2
Land–Atmosphere Coupling Metric Applications in Arid and Semiarid Regions (Invited Presentation)
Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA

2:30 PM
3B.3
Current Progress in Modeling Ecohydrological Processes over Drylands (Invited Presentation)
Zong-Liang Yang, Univ. of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and W. Y. Wu, H. Zheng, P. Lin, J. Liang, and L. Zhao
Recorded Presentation

3B.4
Development of the NCEP Unified Land Data Assimilation System (NULDAS)

3:00 PM
3B.5
Studying Groundwater Sustainability Using the Western Land Data Assimilation System
Bailing Li, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Rodell, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. M. Erlingis, and S. V. Kumar
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3B.6
Exploring the Role of Antecedent Land Surface Conditions Associated with 2015 Wildfire Events in the Northwestern United States
Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL; and C. J. Schultz, J. B. Wachter, A. T. White, C. R. Hain, and K. D. White
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3B.7
Study on Characteristics of Abrupt Alternation Events between Drought and Flood in Northern China
Yaohui Li, Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou, China; and Y. Li

3:45 PM
3B.8
Observed and Simulated Channel Network Infiltration Losses in the Semi-Arid Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed, Arizona
Max Mitchell, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. Hazenberg, T. M. Lahmers, S. Burns, C. L. Castro, D. Gochis, D. C. Goodrich, H. V. Gupta, and Y. Korgaonkar
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3B
Polar Climate Variability and Change—Part II
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Sergio A. Sejas, NASA Langley Research Center
2:00 PM
3B.1
Arctic Cloud and Atmospheric Regime Interactions: An Annual Cycle Perspective
Patrick Taylor, NASA LRC, Hampton, VA; and R. C. Boeke

2:15 PM
3B.2
Quantifying the Arctic Local Radiative Feedbacks Based on Observed Short-Term Climate Variations
Rudong Zhang, PNNL, Richland, WA; and H. Wang, Q. Fu, A. G. Pendergrass, and P. J. Rasch

2:30 PM
3B.3
Interannual Oscillations of Arctic Summertime TOA Fluxes
Dong L. Wu, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. N. Lee

2:45 PM
3B.4
Impacts of Tropical and Extratropical Diabatic Heating on Stationary Wave Forcing and Arctic Warming
Mingyu Park, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. Lee
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
3B.5
On the Role of Horizontal Temperature Advection for the Interdecadal Arctic Warming Trend
Joseph P. Clark, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. B. Feldstein and S. Lee
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
3B.6
High-Resolution Future Climate Change Simulation in Alaska Using a Pseudo–Global Warming Scenario
Andrew Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Monaghan, M. Clark, K. Ikeda, L. Xue, and J. R. Arnold
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
3B.7
Exploring Rapid Climate Change in the Arctic with the Arctic System Reanalysis
Aaron B. Wilson, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich and L. S. Bai
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
3B.8
Developing Capabilities for Analysis in the Arctic within the NOAA/NWS Local Climate Analysis Tool
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. E. Churma, M. Coulman, F. Horsfall, and J. C. Meyers

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Advances in CubeSats and SmallSats to Improve Earth Science, Weather Forecasting, Space Weather Prediction, Hydrology Studies, or Climate Monitoring—Part III
Location: North 230 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; and the Second Conference on Earth Observing SmallSats )
Cochairs: Margaret Caulfield; Thomas Pagano, JPL/California Institute of Technology
2:00 PM
J4.1
The Compact TIM (CTIM) Instrument
Dave Harber, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and G. Drake, S. Van Dreser, K. Heuerman, J. Sprunck, C. Straatsma, I. Wanamaker, W. Zheng, G. Kopp, E. Richard, P. Pilewskie, N. Tomlin, M. Stephens, C. Yung, M. White, and J. Lehman
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
J4.2
Maintaining Continuity of the Solar Spectral Irradiance Data Record in the 21st Century: On-Orbit Validation of Future Observational Strategies
Erik Richard, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and D. Harber, G. Drake, O. Coddington, S. Beland, S. Mauceri, and P. Pilewskie

2:30 PM
J4.3
Modeling the 3-D Geomagnetic Field Using Satellite Scalar Field Observations
Morgan E. Schneider, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. Alken and A. Chulliat
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
J4.4
ReCON: Regional Coastal Oceanography with Nanosatellites
Sean McCarthy, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and M. Lewis, J. Jolliff, R. W. Gould, S. Ladner, and A. Lawson
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
J4.5
Vicarious Calibration of Earth Observing Nanosatellite Sensors
Mark Lewis, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and S. McCarthy, R. W. Gould, J. Jolliff, S. Ladner, A. Lawson, and P. Martinolich
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
J4.6
Optimization of Future SmallSats Constellations through OSSE: A Test Case of Assessing the Value of Deploying EON-MW in High- and Low-Inclination Orbits
Yan Zhou, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. A. Boukabara, K. Ide, N. Shahroudi, T. Zhu, R. N. Hoffman, R. Atlas, and F. Iturbide-Sanchez
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
J4.7
Deployable W-Band Antennas for CubeSats, NanoSats, and SmallSats
Tristen Hohman, Boulder Environmental Sciences and Technology, Boulder, CO; and J. Fay, C. Dunlap, and M. Klein
Recorded Presentation

Handout (4.5 MB)

3:45 PM
J4.8
Microwave Radiometer Sensors for Economical Satellite Constellations
Marian Klein, Boulder Environmental Sciences and Technology, Boulder, CO; and C. Dunlap, Z. Wang, T. Hohman, and K. Ramsdale
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 4
Solar Forecasting: Part II
Location: North 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Cochairs: Jeffrey M. Freedman, Univ. at Albany, SUNY; Robert D'Arienzo, IBM
2:00 PM
4.1
Enhancing WRF-Solar to Provide Probabilistic Cloud Optimized Day-Ahead Forecasts
Pedro A. Jimenez, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Sengupta, Y. Xie, J. H. Kim, J. Dudhia, and B. Kosovic
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
4.2
Advancing Solar Irradiance Nowcasts on Long Island: Blending WRF-Solar with Observations
Jared A. Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Dettling, S. E. Haupt, and T. Brummet
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
4.3
Solar Radiation in Different Cloud Regimes Using WRF-Solar Simulations
Xin Zhou, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY; and Y. Liu, W. Lin, S. Endo, and S. Yoo
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
4.4
Sensitivity of Solar Generation Forecast Skill to WRF Parameterization Choices under Central Valley and Coastal Fog Conditions
Daniel Kirk-Davidoff, UL, Albany, NY; and A. Tuohy, K. Craig, and N. Kumar
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
4.5
Improving Forecasts of Shallow Cumulus for Solar Energy Applications Using Single-Column Modeling and the LASSO Cases
Wayne M. Angevine, CIRES, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, J. Kenyon, W. I. Gustafson Jr., S. Endo, K. Suselj, D. D. Turner, G. Feingold, and I. Glenn
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
4.6
Better Solar and Wind Forecasts from 2019−20 HRRR/RAP from Improved Clouds
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, C. R. Alexander, J. Kenyon, T. T. Ladwig, E. P. James, M. Hu, G. Grell, J. M. Brown, and D. D. Turner