Bridging the Weather-to-Climate Prediction Gap: Progress by the NOAA S2S Prediction Task Force

A robust set of research activities to address the weather-climate prediction gap, at the so-called subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) range, has been engaging scientists across the broad meteorological community and many key national and international research programs. Since 2016, the S2S Prediction Task Force has coordinated experts in academia and U.S. agencies, involved in a set of grant-based research projects, as part of a three-year initiative led by the NOAA Research Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program of the Climate Program Office in collaboration with many partners. The initiative’s ultimate goal is to help close the gap in prediction skill and products between the traditional weather and climate timescales.

This presentation will provide an overview of the significant contributions the S2S Prediction Task Force has already made to the overall progress, highlighting the interplay of physical processes that are key for predictions, examining their simulation in numerical models, and pioneering the development of new prediction methodologies.