Session 5 Latest Tools, Data, Model Results, and Techniques for Understanding, Predicting, and Mitigating the Impact of Turbulence in Aviation—Part II

Tuesday, 8 January 2019: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
North 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
Dana M. Mueller, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Forecast Impact and Quality Assessment Section, Boulder, CO and Elizabeth Venteicher, Valparaiso Univ., Department of Meteorology, Valparaiso, IN

Turbulence remains major influences on safety, efficiency, and cost in aviation. Relevant turbulence-related topics for this session include research on the interplay and relative contributions of different processes that generate and damp turbulence, what new observations or improvements in physical parameterizations are necessary to improve NWP models’ predictions of turbulent conditions, limits to the predictability of turbulence, and the responses of UAVs and rotorcraft to turbulence.  This session focuses on research (basic and applied) and development rather than operations.

Papers:
10:30 AM
5.1
A Physical versus a Statistical Forecast Formulation for Clear Air Turbulence
Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Research, Inc., Overland Park, KS
10:45 AM
5.2A
Predicting Aircraft Turbulence with a Deep Learning Model Applied to Geostationary Infrared Imagery
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/University of Wisconsin−Madison, Madison, WI; and S. M. Griffin and J. Gerth

11:15 AM
5.4
What Might a Probabilistic Forecast of Turbulence Look Like?
Matthew S. Wandishin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. M. Mueller and M. A. Petty
11:30 AM
5.5
Numerical Simulation of Turbulence near the Surface When an Accident Occurred at Narita Airport
Junshi Ito, The Univ. of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan; and H. Niino and K. Yoshino
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
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