Session 1 Monsoons of the Americas: Variability and Predictability of Extreme Events

Tuesday, 8 January 2019: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
North 232AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Tropical Cyclones and Extreme Monsoon Precipitation: Prediction, Impacts, and Communication
Submitters:
Rodrigo Bombardi, Texas A&M Univ., Geography, College Station, TX; William Boos, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Department of Earth & Planetary Science, Berkeley, CA and Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana−Champaign, Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, IL
Chairs:
William Boos, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Department of Earth & Planetary Science, Berkeley, CA; Rodrigo Bombardi, Texas A&M Univ., Geography, College Station, TX and Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana−Champaign, Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, IL

Both the North and South American monsoon regions receive more than 50% of their total annual precipitation during local summer.  Much of this precipitation is delivered not by steady, continental-scale winds, but by transient disturbances that also produce hydrological extremes, with large impacts on societies and ecosystems. Extreme dry events can affect global food security (agriculture and irrigation), as well as electricity generation and demand (water and energy). Extreme wet events can cause property damage and impact human health through landslides and the proliferation of waterborne diseases. In this session, we invite submissions on all aspects of the variability and predictability of extreme events in the North and South American monsoon regions. We especially welcome papers focusing on interannual and intraseasonal variability in the frequency of hydrological extremes, impacts of water transport and recycling on extreme precipitation events, the role of land surface processes on extreme events, mechanisms of extreme variations in the timing of monsoons, the dynamics of synoptic-scale disturbances, and the prediction of extreme events on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales. The focus of the session includes tropical cyclones that make landfall in the North American monsoon region or that initiate other disturbances affecting rainfall over land (such as Gulf of California moisture surges).

Papers:
8:30 AM
1.1
Multiscale Interactions in Determining the Hydrological Extremes in the American Monsoon Regions
Rong Fu, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Arias and S. Chakraborty
9:00 AM
1.3
South American Monsoon: Variability of Extreme Events and Subseasonal Prediction
Alice M. Grimm, Federal Univ. of Parana, Curitiba, Brazil

9:15 AM
1.4
Convective Events and Water Vapor Transport during the North American Monsoon GPS Hydrometeorological Network Experiment 2017
David K. Adams, Univ. Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and B. R. Lintner and M. I. Gonzalez
9:30 AM
1.5
Summertime Precipitation in the Lake Mead Watershed
Michael Dean Sierks, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and J. F. Kalansky and F. M. Ralph
9:45 AM
1.6
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner