Poster Session 1 Poster Session for Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection

Monday, 7 January 2019: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection
Cochairs:
Thomas Galarneau, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ and Gretchen Mullendore, Univ. of North Dakota, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Grand Forks, ND

Papers:
329
Measuring Vertical Mass Flux in Convection: Lessons Learned from a Convection-Resolving Ensemble
Derek J. Posselt, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and S. C. van den Heever, Z. S. Haddad, G. L. Stephens, L. D. Grant, R. L. Storer, and O. O. Sy

330
Separating Dynamical and Thermodynamical Impacts of Climate Change on Clouds and Precipitation for Daytime Convection over Land
Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. F. Prein

331
Improved Projections through Dynamical Downscaling
Muge Komurcu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel, M. Huber, and R. P. Acosta

332
Ensemble Precipitation Forecasting with Adaptive Parameterization Selection
Tyler J. Wixtrom, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and B. C. Ancell

333
Discussion about the Conditional Symmetric Instability in Operational Application
LINA ZHANG, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

334
Challenges Associated with Predicting High-Impact, Organized Convection in Weakly Forced Flow Regimes
Logan C. Dawson, IMSG and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and A. M. Bentley, T. A. Dorian, and G. S. Manikin

335
Stratocumulus Response to a SST Front in Kuroshio Extension: In Situ Observations and Mechanism
Su-Ping Zhang, Ocean Univ. of China, Qingdao, China; and Y. Wang, L. YI, H. K. Liu, and Q. Wang

336
Object-Oriented Composite Analysis of Warm-Sector Rainfall in North China
Jiaolan Fu, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and F. Zhang

337
Possible Link of Extreme Hourly Precipitation to Urbanization in Coastal South China
Yali Luo, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and M. Wu and F. Chen

338
Assessment of Monthly Rainfall Profile for Umudike, Abia State, Nigeria
Eric Olewuike, National Root Crops Research Institute, Abia State, Nigeria

339
Is There an Increase in the Intensity and Frequency of Extreme Rainfall in Brazil along the Time?
Rayana Palharini, INPE, São José dos Campos, Brazil

Poster 340 has moved. New Paper Number is 3.3A.

341
A Diagnostic Method for Detecting Frontal Boundaries and Structures
Edward Strobach, NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD

342
The Role of Air–Sea Coupling in the Superstorm of 1993
Caitlyn A. Gillespie, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and V. Misra and A. Bhardwaj

343
Diagnostic Analyses and Numerical Modeling of an Explosive Cyclone over the Northwestern Pacific on 11–13 January 2012
Guanlan Wang, National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China; and B. Sun, Y. Sun, P. Li, and G. Fu

344
Ensemble Experiments of Meso-Beta-Scale Vortex that Caused a Sudden Gusty Wind over the Sea
Eigo Tochimoto, The Univ. of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan; and S. Yokota, H. Niino, and W. Yanase

345
Cyclone Families, Atmospheric Rivers, and Hydrometeorological Extremes over the Eastern U.S.
Jason M. Cordeira, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH; and N. D. Metz, M. Fish, C. Hohman, and M. Duncan

347
Is there Scale Invariance in Atmospheric Vortices?
Huaqing Cai, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM

Poster 346 has moved. New Paper Number is 1.2A.

348
Predictability and Dynamics of the Record-Breaking Intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015)
Robert G. Nystrom, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and F. Zhang

349
An Energetic Perspective of Hurricane Patricia (2015) as a Heat Engine through Isentropic Analysis
Robert G. Nystrom, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and F. Zhang, X. Chen, and O. Pauluis

350
Exploring Interbasin Correlations of Tropical Cyclones and Tropical Cyclone Losses
John K Hillier, Loughborough Univ., Loughborough, United Kingdom; and J. Done and H. Steptoe

351
A Climatology of Indirect Tropical Cyclone Interactions in the Atlantic Basin
Kevin C. Prince, Univ. of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans

352
Evaluating Impacts of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using a Hybrid WRF Cyclone Model
Cindy L. Bruyère, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Holland, B. W. Buckley, A. Jaye, and J. Done

353
The Use of Helicity in Parametrization of Planetary Boundary Layer Structure: Case Study on Tropical Cyclone
Leiming Ma, Shanghai Central Meteorological Observatory, Shanghai, China

354
How Does Terrain Impact Upscale Convective Growth of Orogenic Deep Moist Convection?
Jake Mulholland, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. J. Trapp and S. W. Nesbitt

355
Interannual Variations in Mesoscale Convective System Precipitation Patterns
Shawn Cheeks, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ

356
A Mechanism for the Southward Propagation of Mesoscale Convective Systems over the Bay of Bengal
Deepeshkumar Jain, IITM, Pune, India

357
Microphysical and Dynamical Effects of Mixed-Phase Hydrometeors in Simulated Mesoscale Convective Storms Using a Bin Microphysics Model with Explicit Melting
Kevin Kacan, NWS, Wilmington, OH; and Z. J. Lebo

358
Understanding Subtropical MCSs in Argentina Using WRF
Jeremiah Otero Piersante, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and K. L. Rasmussen, G. Romine, D. J. Gagne II, and A. Morales

359
Origin of Near-Surface Vertical Vorticity of Mesovortices in a Quasi-Linear Convective System
Christian H. Boyer, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and J. Dahl

80A
Statistical Analysis of Warm Season Ice Cloud Properties in Mesoscale Convective Systems over Great Plains
Jingjing Tian, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Dong and B. Xi

361
Sensitivity of MCS Outflow Characteristics to Low-Level Stability and Shear
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher and K. R. Haghi

362
Analysis of Backbuilding of a Simulated MCS in an Environment with a Low-Level Stable Layer
Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

363
Linked Gulf Coast and Florida Convective Storm Challenges during 16–20 May 2016
Lance F. Bosart, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and B. C. Wallace

364
Unmanned Aircraft Systems for Severe Local Storm Research and Forecasting
Adam L. Houston, Univ. of Nebraska−Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and B. Argrow and E. W. Frew

365
Convection-Allowing Ensemble Analysis and Prediction of Tornadic Thunderstorms with Assimilation of GOES-R All-Sky Radiances and WSR-88D Radar Observations
Fuqing Zhang, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and Y. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and M. Minamide

366
Exploring the "Surprise" 24 August 2016 Indiana–Ohio–Ontario Tornado Outbreak with Meso- and Storm-Scale Ensemble Simulations
Daniel T. Dawson II, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and M. E. Baldwin, L. J. Wicker, and K. H. Knopfmeier

367
An Investigation of "Surprise" Tornado Events Associated with Remnant Mesoscale Convective Vortices
Cameron J. Nixon, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX

368
Improving Forecasting of Tornadic Development in Convective Storms
Paul Zechiel, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and S. Chiao

369
Observed Bulk Hook Echo Drop-Size Distribution Evolution in Supercell Tornadogenesis
Kristofer S. Tuftedal, Stony Brook Univ., SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. M. French, D. M. Kingfield, and J. C. Snyder

370
"Volatility of Tornadogenesis" in VORTEX2 Near- and Far-Field Environments
Matthew D. Flournoy, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. Rasmussen and M. C. Coniglio

371
Examination of Recent TORFF Events in and around Houston, Texas
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

372
Tornado Debris Signatures Associated with Hurricane Harvey's Tornadoes in Southeast Texas
Scott Overpeck, NWS, Dickinson, TX

373
The Day of the Downbursts—May 23, 2017 Sealy and Beeville, TX
Jeffry S. Evans, NOAA/NWS/Weather Forecast Office, Dickinson, TX; and L. Wood and T. Johnstone

374
The Radar Signature of Fatal Convective Wind Events in Spring over South China
Haiyan Fei, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

375
Statistical Analysis of Hail-Accumulating Thunderstorm Occurrence along the Colorado Front Range
Michaela Serpas, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO; and K. Friedrich and R. Wallace

376
Nonlinear Response of Hail Precipitation Rate to Environmental Moisture Content: A Real Case Modeling Study of an Episodic Midlatitude Severe Convective Event
Qinghong Zhang, Peking Univ., Beijing, China

377
Analysis of Hailstone Temporal and Spatial Variability over the Central United States
Jong-Hoon Jeong, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. Fan and Y. Zhang

378
Banded Convection Activity Associated with Gravity Waves over Southern China
Yu Du, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and F. Zhang

379
Lifecycle and Impacts of MCS Convectively Generated Low-Frequency Gravity Waves
Rebecca Adams-Selin, NOAA; and R. S. Schumacher

Handout (12.7 MB)

380
Analysis of Convectively Generated Gravity Waves in the 14–15 July 2015 Mesoscale Convective System during PECAN
Faith P. Groff, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher and R. Adams-Selin

381
Shallow Foehn on the Northern Leeside of Tianshan Mountains and Its Influence on the Boundary Layer over Urumqi, China—A Climatological Study
Xia Li Sr., Institute of Desert Meteorology, Urumqi, China; and S. Zhong, L. Luo Sr., X. Xia, X. Yu, J. Jia, Y. Liu, K. Zhao, and Q. Ren

382
Diablo Winds: Extreme Wind Events over Central and Northern California
Clifford F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and B. T. McClung

383
Sundowner Winds of Santa Barbara County
Brian P. Frei, NWS, New Brunswick, NJ; and T. Hall

384
A Mesoscale Simulation of a Mountain Wave Wind Event Associated with the Chimney Tops 2 Fire (2016)
Joseph J. Charney, USDA Forest Service, Lansing, MI; and R. P. Shadbolt and H. Fromm

385
Meteorological Drivers of Rapid Wildfire Growth in Alaska's Boreal Forest

386
Case Study of a Dry Intrusion (Dry Eye) Event on the Pioneer Fire on the Boise National Forest (ID - USA) on August 12, 2016
Fred J. Schoeffler, Sheff LLC, Pine, AZ; and V. L. Meyers

Handout (555.7 kB)

387
Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of the 10–12 December 2013 Lake-Effect Snow Event: Sensitivity to Microphysical Parameterizations
W. Massey Bartolini, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. R. Minder

388
Recent Advances in Our Understanding of Extreme Snowfalls Produced by the Interaction of Lake-Effect Systems with Orography
W. James Steenburgh, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

389
A Tale of Two Potential Snow Squall Situations across Central New York
Michael L. Jurewicz Sr., NOAA/NWS Weather Forecast Office, Johnson City, NY

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