Themed Joint Session 17 How Can AI/Stat Models be Interpreted Physically (Joint with the AMS Committee on Probability and Statistics)

Wednesday, 9 January 2019: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Cochairs:
Philippe Tissot, Texas A&M University−Corpus Christi, Conrad Blucher Institute, Corpus Christi, TX; Amy McGovern, University of Oklahoma, School of Computer Science, Norman, OK and Elizabeth A. Satterfield, NRL, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA

The session will tackle the use of AI and Stat models for physical interpretability of nonlinear systems as well as the interpretation of the models themselves.  Nonlinear environmental systems cannot simply use linear analysis methods to understand their behavior. Can relevant information be obtained from successful AI/ML model development, or are the underlying processes themselves sufficiently complex as to not be decipherable? If the latter, insights from successful nonlinear model development could be misleading. Submissions are sought in the areas of AI and STAT methods used to tackle classification, deep learning, regression, and probabilistic distribution problems.

Papers:
10:30 AM
TJ17.1
Making the Black Box More Transparent: Understanding the Physical Implications of Machine Learning (Core Science Keynote)
Amy McGovern, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Gagne II, R. A. Lagerquist, E. Jergensen, and K. L. Elmore
11:00 AM
TJ17.2
Physics-Informed Generative Learning to Emulate Unresolved Physics in Climate Models
Jinlong Wu, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA; and K. Kashinath, A. Albert, M. Prabhat, and H. Xiao
11:15 AM
TJ17.3
Neural Networks for Postprocessing Ensemble Weather Forecasts
Stephan Rasp, Ludwig-Maximilians-University, Munich, Germany; and S. Lerch
11:30 AM
TJ17.4
Some Conclusions on Applying Statistical Design of Experiments to Numerical Weather Prediction
Jeffrey A. Smith, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range (WSMR), NM; and R. S. Penc, J. W. Raby, and J. L. Cleveland
11:45 AM
TJ17.5
Interpretable AI for Deep Learning−Based Meteorological Applications
Conner Sprague, The Aerospace Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and E. B. Wendoloski and I. Guch
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