Session 3B International Hazards—What's the Risk?

Monday, 7 January 2019: 2:00 PM-4:00 PM
North 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies
Ian Lisk, Met Office, Environmental Hazards, Exeter; Baudouin Raoult, ECMWF, Forecast Department, Reading and Rebecca Hemingway, Met Office, Exeter

We live in a changing world. Our climate is changing, our populations are growing and moving. Data are becoming ever more ubiquitous and available wherever we are in the world. Weather and climate science using some of the biggest supercomputers and environmental datasets on the planet are producing ever more reliable forecasts at higher resolutions and at time scales that range from minutes to decades. How do we turn this truly amazing science, the bewildering quantities of data, and our understanding of how the world is changing into the next generation of environmental hazard risk assessments and risk- or impact-based forecasts and warnings? This session welcomes presentations on how this question is being addressed around the world, and we would like to see lots of different environmental hazards covered at all scales from the local to the global, from the "warning period" short term to the seasonal and multidecadal longer term.

2:00 PM
2:15 PM
Impact-Based Forecasting and Warning: Weather Ready Nations in Central America
Rochelle Campbell, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and S. A. Tokar, D. P. Beardsley, R. Jubach, and C. Barrett
2:30 PM
Impact-Based Forecasting and Assessment in the Caribbean
Shawn A. Boyce, Caribbean Insitute for Meteorology and Hydrology, Saint James, Barbados; and K. A. Caesar, R. A. Jeffries, and B. Spooner
3:00 PM
Flexible Earth System Modelling on Multiple Grids
Willem Deconinck, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. Maciel and M. Diamantakis
3:15 PM
A Flexible Interpolation Package to Support Existing and Future ECMWF Model Developments
Pedro Maciel, ECMWF, Reading, U.K.; and B. Raoult, S. Siemen, T. Quintino, and W. Deconinck
3:30 PM
The Multi-Faceted ECMWF Approach to Forecasting Hazardous Weather
Tim D. Hewson, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and I. Tsonevsky, F. Prates, and E. Gascon
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