Session 7 Achieving the Weather Research and Forecast Act of 2017 through Tornado Warning Improvements and Extension

Wednesday, 9 January 2019: 3:00 PM-4:00 PM
North 221AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation
Submitters:
DaNa L. Carlis,  Office of Atmospheric Research, Washington, DC and John Cortinas Jr., OAR, Office of Weather and Air Quality, Silver Spring, MD
Chair:
Mike Hopkins, NOAA/OMAO

The Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Act (WRFIA) of 2017 calls for NOAA in collaboration with the United States weather industry and academia to develop a tornado warning improvement and extension program (TWIEP). Through this program, the goal is to reduce the loss of life and economic losses from tornadoes through the development and extension of accurate, effective, and timely tornado forecasts, predictions, and warnings, including the prediction of tornadoes beyond 1 hour in advance. This sessions seeks to bring together the weather enterprise (federal, private, and academia) to seek innovative solutions that will one day help the enterprise achieve its goals as stated in the WRFIA. We are asking for presenters from both the physical and social sciences to present work to advance the knowledge base of the weather enterprise and bring focus and clarity on current and future improvements in tornado warning science across all sectors.

Papers:
3:00 PM
7.1A
8–10-Day Ensemble Forecast Products: An Assessment of User Needs, Preferences, and Impacts on Decision-Making
Burrell E. Montz, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC; and R. H. Carr, K. Semmens, K. Maxfield, M. J. Bodner, J. A. Nelson Jr., S. A. Ganetis, and W. S. Lamberson
3:15 PM
7.3
Strengths and Limitations of NSSL's Experimental Warn-On-Forecast System for Ensembles in Forecasting Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis
Kelsey C. Britt, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, P. L. Heinselman, and K. H. Knopfmeier
3:30 PM
7.4
Generating Calibrated Tornado Probabilities from NEWS-e Using Climatological Frequencies
Susan Beveridge, Ohio Univ., Bellville, OH; and P. S. Skinner, B. T. Gallo, K. H. Knopfmeier, B. T. Smith, and R. L. Thompson
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner