Session 12 Achievements and Challenges in Predicting Ceiling and Visibility

Wednesday, 9 January 2019: 3:00 PM-4:00 PM
North 224B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Randall Bass, FAA, Aviation Weather Division, Washington, DC and Melissa A. Petty, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Forecast Impact and Quality Assessment Section, Boulder, CO

Ceiling and visibility continue to confound many different approaches to prediction. Fog in particular has plagued aviation from the industry’s birth. Other obstructions to visibility include dust, smoke, and volcanic ash. This session will focus on the latest efforts (successful and otherwise) at improving predictions of ceiling and visibility over lead times from minutes to seasons.

3:00 PM
Use of SEVIRI Satellite Imagery for Fog Detection, Frequency Analysis, and Nowcast in the Desert of the UAE
Marouane Temimi, Khalifa Univ., Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and M. Weston, M. Almoosawi, J. Zhao, M. Vargas Godoy, V. K. Valappil, A. Aldababseh, and F. Karagulian

3:15 PM
Marine Fog Prediction at the Naval Research Laboratory—Factors Affecting the Model Skill
Sasa Gabersek, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and D. D. Flagg and J. D. Doyle
3:30 PM
Enhancing Ceiling and Visibility Capabilities in the Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) Tool
Stephanie Avey, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and S. Alvidrez, S. A. Lack, A. Cross, R. Bastholm, and J. A. Colavito
3:45 PM
Transitioning Gridded LAMP Ceiling Height and Visibility Guidance to Alaska
Adam D. Schnapp, NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory and KBRwyle, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn and J. E. Ghirardelli
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