Themed Joint Panel Discussion 2 The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Part I

Monday, 7 January 2019: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation )
Submitters:
Jennifer Henderson, CIRES, Western Water Assessment, Boulder, CO and Julie Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Moderator:
Heather Lazrus, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Panelists:
Joe Trainor, University of Delaware, Associate Professor in the School of Public Policy and Administration and Director of the Disaster Science and Management Program, Newark, DE; Robyn Wilson, The Ohio State University/Associate Professor of Risk Analysis and Decision Science, Columbus, OH; Melissa Bica, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO and Scott Knowles, Drexel University, Department of History, Philadelphia, PA

Uncertainty pervades the prediction and experience of hazardous weather. It emerges in the observations of weather, the development of weather models, the construction and communication of forecasts, the interpretation of forecasts and perceptions of weather risks, and the complex process of responding to and recovering from hazardous weather. The uncertainty associated with meteorological processes and our knowledge of them is commonly considered and studied. Yet, there are myriad profound types of ambiguity that emerge, interact, operate, and propagate throughout the life cycle of hazardous weather events that are far less understood. This panel discussion will highlight experts from the social sciences to examine nonmeteorological types of ambiguity that arise from social, cultural, political, ethical, or other variables and become inferred in understandings of a forecast or warning, embedded in perceptions of risk, calculated into decisions, or imbued by context.

Papers:
8:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

8:45 AM
TJPD2.1
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Panel Discussion I
Heather Lazrus, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Henderson and J. L. Demuth
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
Panel Discussion

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