14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Program Chairs: Heather Lazrus , NCAR ; Jennifer Henderson , CIRES ; Vanessa M. Vincente , Colorado State University
Reviewer: Julie L. Demuth , NCAR

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 5 January 2019

7:30 AM-8:00 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Saturday)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Registration for Short Courses and Student Conference
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 5 January 2019


18th Annual Student Conference
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Sunday, 6 January 2019

7:00 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


CANCELLED: Scout Event
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:00 AM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Registration (Sunday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:30 AM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Sunday)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Meet President Roger M. Wakimoto and Presidential Forum Speakers
Location: North Ballroom Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Seventh Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: North 124B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:00 AM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Guest Welcome Desk
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:00 PM-3:45 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Speaker Ready Room (Sunday)
Location: North 121A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:00 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Poster Hall (Sunday)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

2:30 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Newcomer's Welcome and Information Exchange
Location: North 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Plenary Session
Presidential Forum: Building Resilience to Extreme Political Weather: Advice for Unpredictable Times
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Forum and Annual Meeting Welcome; the Seventh Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; the 16th Conference on Space Weather; the 17th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 22nd Atmospheric Science Librarians International Conference; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Symposium on Education; the 35th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 23rd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 17th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 10th Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Ninth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the Fifth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Phased Array Radar Symposium; the Special Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation; the Ninth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Ninth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; the 18th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 19th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 32nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 33rd Conference on Hydrology; the Richard Anthes Symposium; the Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection; the Second Conference on Earth Observing SmallSats; the Seventh AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 11th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Fourth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; and the Events )
Moderator: Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics
Presider: Roger Wakimoto, Univ. of California, Los Angeles
Speakers: Dan Kahan, American Institute of Physics; David Goldston, MIT
4:00 PM
Presidential Forum: Building Resilience to Extreme Political Weather: Advice for Unpredictable Times

4:00 PM-6:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Presidential Forum and Annual Meeting Welcome
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Plenary Session
Annual Meeting Welcome
Location: North Ballroom 120CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Forum and Annual Meeting Welcome; the Fourth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the Ninth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the 16th Conference on Space Weather; the 17th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 22nd Atmospheric Science Librarians International Conference; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 28th Symposium on Education; the Ninth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the 21st Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 11th Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Ninth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Seventh AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Second Conference on Earth Observing SmallSats; the Special Symposium on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection; and the Events )
Moderator: Roger Wakimoto, Univ. of California, Los Angeles

6:30 PM-7:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Welcome Reception Honoring Newly Elected Fellows and Featured Award Winners
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


AMS Career Fair
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Student Conference Poster Session
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


CoRioLis Reception
Location: Sheraton Hotel

8:30 PM-10:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Colour of Weather Networking Reception
Location: Sheraton Hotel

9:00 PM-11:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2019


Early Career Professional Reception
Location: Encanto B (Sheraton Hotel )

Monday, 7 January 2019

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Monday)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Quiet Room (Monday)
Location: West 206 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Registration (Monday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Speaker Ready Room (Monday)
Location: North 121A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Guest Welcome Desk
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Federal Agency Budgets for Weather, Water, and Climate: A Guide to Current Proposals and Recent Shifts
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Paul Higgins, AMS Policy Program; Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics
Panelists: Paul Higgins, AMS Policy Program; Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics; Kei Koizumi, AAAS; Michael Clark, Executive Office of the President; Blaise Sheridan, Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies; Robert F. Bonner, Minority Staff, House Committee on Appropriations
8:30 AM
Introductory Remarks
9:00 AM
Discussion

Recording files available
2
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Part I
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation )
Moderator: Heather Lazrus, NCAR
Panelists: Joe Trainor, University of Delaware; Robyn Wilson, The Ohio State University/Associate Professor of Risk Analysis and Decision Science; Melissa Bica, University of Colorado Boulder; Scott Knowles, Drexel University
8:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

9:45 AM
Panel Discussion

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Guest Coffee (Monday)
Location: Camelback A (Sheraton Hotel )

9:00 AM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Poster Hall (Monday)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2019


AM Coffee Break (Monday)
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:00 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Member Services Desk (Monday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 1
Strengthening Economic Growth While Building Resilience to Extremes
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
10:30 AM
1.1
10:45 AM
1.2
Growing Resilience: The Urban Agriculture Potential in Metro Phoenix
Nazli Uludere Aragon, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and M. Stuhlmacher, J. P. Smith, and M. Georgescu
11:15 AM
1.4
Achieving Success in Weather Insurance: A Value Network Analysis Approach
Helen Greatrex, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and N. Naidoo, D. Dinh, R. Diro, and J. Hellin
11:45 AM
Discussion

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Thermal Extremes and Health: Understanding the Biometeorological Pathways from Exposure to Outcomes
Location: North 228AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Kim Knowlton, Natural Resources Defense Council; Jennifer Vanos, Arizona State Univ.; Hunter Jones, NOAA
11:00 AM
Discussion

11:30 AM
J1.4
Pathways to Heat Vulnerability in Phoenix, AZ
Paul M. Chakalian, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and M. K. Wright, L. E. Watkins, L. C. Kurtz, S. L. Harlan, and D. M. Hondula
11:45 AM
J1.5
The Tokyo 2020 Olympic Marathons: Spectator Thermal Comfort and Health in the Face of Extreme Heat
Jennifer Vanos, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and R. D. Brown, A. Middel, M. Yokahari, E. Kosaka, and A. Iida
Recording files available
3
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Part II
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )
Moderator: Jennifer Henderson, CIRES
Panelists: Susan Joslyn, University of Washington; Robert Soden, University of Colorado Boulder; Tamara Marcus, NCAR; Keri Lubell, CDC; Jenniffer M. Santos-Hernandez, University of Puerto Rico
10:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

11:00 AM
Panel Discussion

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Lunch Break (Monday)

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Daily Weather Briefings (Monday)
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


How to Become a Better Presenter
Location: North 231C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 2
The Fourth National Climate Assessment Vol. II: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; and the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )
Chair: John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
2:15 PM
TJ2.2
The Fourth National Climate Assessment: Updating the Science of Climate Change
Donald J. Wuebbles, University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL
2:30 PM
TJ2.3
Reducing Risks of Economic Impacts Throughout Multiple U.S. Sectors and Regions: National Climate Assessment Vol II
Brenda Ekwurzel, Union of Concerned Scientists, Washington, D.C.; and J. Martinich, B. J. DeAngelo, D. Diaz, G. Franco, C. Frisch, J. McFarland, B. O'Neill, A. Light, D. R. Reidmiller, and C. Avery
2:45 PM
TJ2.4
Highlights from the Fourth National Climate Assessment: Human Health
John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD
3:00 PM
TJ2.5
3:45 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 3
The Other Uncertainty: Social, Political, and Cultural Forms of Uncertainty in Weather Contexts. Part III
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise )
Cochairs: Julie Demuth, NCAR; Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario
2:00 PM
TJ3.1
The Influence of Cultural Worldviews and Risk Perceptions on Severe Weather Preparation
Aimee Franklin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Le, M. Brucks, and M. A. Shafer
2:15 PM
TJ3.2
2:45 PM
TJ3.4
Weathering Natural Disasters: Forecasting, Anticipation, and "Out-of-Model Uncertainties" in the Humanitarian Sector
Sara de Wit Jr., Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, Oxford, United Kingdom; and T. Pforr Jr.
3:00 PM
TJ3.5
Uncertainty and Consistency: Key Dimensions in Weather/Hazard Messaging
Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and L. Myers
3:15 PM
TJ3.6
Exploring Uncertainty in Vulnerability and Its Usability in Decision-Making
Olga Wilhelmi, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Romero Lankao and I. Pichardo

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


2019 NWA/AMS Research Operations Nexus (RON) Meetup-Honoring the Legacy of Ronald W. Przybylinski
Location: North Ballroom 120AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Formal Poster Viewing Reception
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Exhibits Opening and Reception
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Ribbon Cutting, Opening Reception, and Corporate Patron Recognition
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2019


Fifth Annual Speed Networking Event for Students and Early Career Professionals
Location: North Ballroom 120AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Tuesday, 8 January 2019

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Tuesday)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Member Services Desk (Tuesday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Quiet Room (Tuesday)
Location: West 206 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Registration (Tuesday)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Speaker Ready Room (Tuesday)
Location: North 121A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 3
Identifying and Assessing the Effects of Forecast and Warning Communication (In)Consistency on Different Recipients: Part I
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Randy A. Peppler, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma; Castle Williams, The University of Georgia; Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, CIMMS
Panelists: Castle Williams, The University of Georgia; Delesha M. Carpenter, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill; Paul K. J. Han, Maine Medical Center Research Institute; Susan Joslyn, University of Washington
8:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

8:45 AM
PD3.1
Identifying and Assessing the Effects of Forecast and Warning Communication (In)Consistency on Different Recipients
Castle Williams, The University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and D. M. Carpenter, P. K. J. Han, and S. Joslyn
9:00 AM
Panel Discussion


Themed Joint Session 5
CANCELLED: National Weather Service Research, Reports, and Insights to Inform Social Sciences
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation )
Cochairs: Gary S. Szatkowski, NWS (Retired); Adam M. Rainear, Univ. of Connecticut

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Guest Coffee (Tuesday)
Location: Hospitality Suite 428 (Sheraton Hotel )

9:00 AM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Sedona Red Rocks Tours

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Exhibit Hall (Tuesday)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Hall (Tuesday)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


AM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet President Roger M. Wakimoto (Tuesday)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 3
Rhetoric and Understanding of Risk in Weather and Climate Contexts
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, CIMMS
10:45 AM
3.2
Rhetoric and Climate Science: Organizational Influence on Public Policy Related to Hurricane Harvey
Joseph E. Trujillo, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Conrad
11:00 AM
3.3
Clouded Judgment: Does Political Partisanship Influence Audience Perceptions of Weather Information?
Jeremy L. Shermak, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX

11:15 AM
3.4
The Rhetorical Storm of Uncertainty in Severe Weather Communication
Zoey Rosen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. L. Demuth
11:30 AM
3.5
Tornado Warning Reception, Comprehension, and Response across County Warning Areas in United States
Joseph T. Ripberger, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. N. Allan, W. W. Wehde, M. Krocak, C. Silva, and H. Jenkins-Smith
11:45 AM
3.6A
Report from Ad Hoc Committee on Naming Winter Storms
Gary S. Szatkowski, NWS (Retired), Hainesport, NJ; and A. M. Rainear

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Communicating with Data Users and the Public: Bridging the Valley of Death
Location: North 231AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 24th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation )
CoChair: Helen Greatrex, IRI
10:30 AM
J6.1
10:45 AM
J6.2
POP Problem: Understanding Public Perception and Confusion
Jacob Ryan Reed, Univ. of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and J. C. Senkbeil
11:00 AM
J6.3
The Use of Temperature and Water Vapor Profiles for Tropical Cyclone Weather Applications: Recent Activities within the NOAA/JPSS Proving Ground Sounding Initiative
Christopher D. Barnet, Science and Technology Corporation, Columbia, MD; and N. Smith, M. J. Folmer, J. P. Dunion, J. Zawislak, A. Layns, and M. D. Goldberg
11:15 AM
J6.4A
Better Together: Integrating Communications in Climate Project Planning
Elisabeth Gawthrop, IRI, Palisades, NY

11:30 AM
J6.5A
Communication from an industry perspective: the case of Accuweather
Jonathan Porter, AccuWeather, Inc, State College, PA

12:00 PM
Beyond Promo: What Your Communications Specialist Can Do for You -- Elisabeth Gawthrop
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 7
Meteorologist and Emergency Management Concerns: Public Health, Critical Incident Stress, and PTSD among Experts in Weather Disasters
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; and the 10th Conference on Environment and Health )
Chair: Rebecca DePodwin, AccuWeather, Inc.
Panelists: Rebecca DePodwin, AccuWeather, Inc.; Stephanie Vitanza, Garden of Hope Counseling; Dakota Smith, Weather Nation; Matt Lanza, Cheniere Energy; Melissa J. Wagner, Univ. of Oklahoma
10:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

10:45 AM
Panel Presentations
Richard Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
11:00 AM
Discussion

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Lunch Break (Tuesday)

Women in Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: North Ballroom 120AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Exceptional Undergraduate Presentations
Location: North 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Daily Weather Briefings (Tuesday)
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 4
Environmental Data and Information Exchange for Resilience
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Annette Hollingshead, Global Science and Technology, Inc.
1:30 PM
4.1
The Role of the Copernicus Climate Change Service in Supporting Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change
Carlo Buontempo, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, UK; and D. Dee, S. Almond, C. Bergeron, A. Brookshaw, F. Vamborg, and J. N. Thépaut
1:45 PM
4.2
The Value of Environmental Data from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information
Michael Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and A. Hollingshead, N. Jones, J. Dissen, A. Rycerz, T. G. Houston, and K. V. Matthews
2:00 PM
4.3
The U.S.–India Partnership for Climate Resilience
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and J. Dissen, K. E. Kunkel, and K. Hayhoe
2:15 PM
Discussion

Recording files available
Session 5
Issues with (In)Consistency in the Warning and Forecast Process: Part II
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Castle Adam Williams, Univ. of Georgia; Gina M Eosco, NOAA
1:30 PM
5.1
Eye-Tracking the Storm: The Effect of Variation in Presentation of Visual Risk Information
Jeannette Sutton, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY; and L. Fischer
2:00 PM
5.3
Red Flag Warnings: When, Why, and How Are They Used?
Tamara Wall, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV; and L. Van Bussum, R. Heffernan, and H. Hockenberry
2:15 PM
Discussion

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


PM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Panel Discussion 4
CANCELLED: Coffee Talk: A Social, Behavioral, and Economic Science Research and Operations Round Table Discussion
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Gina M Eosco, NOAA; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS
Panelists: Gina M Eosco, NOAA; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Gary C. Matlock, NOAA
3:00 PM
Introductory Remarks

3:15 PM
Panel Discussion

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 15
Hurricanes and Health: When Will We Stop “Learning Lessons” and Start Building Smarter?
Location: North 221AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation; the 17th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; and the Tropical Cyclones and Extreme Monsoon Precipitation: Prediction, Impacts, and Communication )
Cochairs: John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Alan Blumberg, Stevens Institute of Technology
3:00 PM
TJ15.1
Understanding Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity to Hurricane Irma–Related Power Failures
Paul M. Chakalian, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; and D. M. Hondula and L. C. Kurtz
3:15 PM
TJ15.2
3:30 PM
TJ15.3
Words Matter!
H. Michael Mogil, How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL; and M. Bolton
3:45 PM
Discussion

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Book Talks @ Authors Corner (Tues)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Tues)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 1
14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research, and Practice Posters
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
529A
Global Patterns of Crop Production Losses Associated with Droughts and Floods from 1984 to 2009
Wonsik Kim, Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences/National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Tsukuba, Japan; and T. Iizumi and M. Nishimori

Handout (4.6 MB)

612
Reducing or Preventing Global Warming with Incentive Structures
James L. Gamble III, PoliticalSheepdog.com, Gibson Island, MD

613
NCA-LDAS: Providing Data Products for Evaluating Hydrologic Trends across the Continental United States during the Satellite Era (1979–Present)
Michael F. Jasinski, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, J. S. Borak, D. Mocko, M. Rodell, C. D. Peters-Lidard, H. Rui, H. Beaudoing, B. Vollmer, K. R. Arsenault, J. Bolten, and N. Tangdamrongsub

614
Change That Lasts: A Grassroots Approach to Improving Organizational Culture in the National Weather Service
Elyse M. Hagner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Ten Hoeve III, J. N. Wagner, M. Knox, and P. Robertson

615
Multiscale Assessments of Droughts: A Case Study in Xinjiang, China
Junqiang Yao, Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Urumqi, China

616
Exploring and Advancing Customer Engagement at NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Annette Hollingshead, Global Science and Technology, Inc., Asheville, NC; and M. J. Brewer, N. Jones, and J. Dissen

617
Developing a Framework of Multisector Drought Impacts State By State
Mary Noel, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and D. J. Bathke, T. Haigh, K. H. Smith, M. Svoboda, and M. Hayes

619
How Can You Trust What You Don’t Use?: Measuring Patterns of Individual’s Weather Information Source Reliance and Trust
Wesley W. Wehde, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. T. Ripberger, J. N. Allan, C. Silva, and H. Jenkins-Smith

621
Investigating Mobile Home Residents, Tornadic Weather, and Vulnerability: A Review of Survey Data Focused on Social and Physical Resources and Responses to Tornadic Information
Michael Egnoto, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD; and K. D. Ash, S. M. Strader, W. S. Ashley, D. Rouche, C. Edwards, and K. E. Klockow-McClain

623A
Eco-hydrological modeling using field-based and Earth Observations to assess water use efficiency and support agricultural water resources management
Jean-Claude Roger, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and P. Guillevic, I. Becker-Reshef, V. Bandaru, A. Coffin, A. French, J. Hatfield, M. Humber, S. Skakun, B. Franch, M. Hansen, B. Thomas, E. Vermote, C. Justice, R. César Izaurralde, J. Dempewolf, C. Nakalembe, M. Cryder, J. Jeong, C. Di Bella, M. Eugenia Beget, S. Tumbo, B. Meyer, C. Adjorlolo, P. L. Frison, and C. Sanchez

6:00 PM-10:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


University Night Receptions

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2019


Inez Fung Dinner
Location: West 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Wednesday, 9 January 2019

7:25 AM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Quiet Room (Wednesday)
Location: West 206 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Wed)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Member Services Desk (Wed)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Registration (Wed)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Speaker Ready Room (Wed)
Location: North 121A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 6
Warning Communication for Vulnerable Populations
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University
8:30 AM
6.1
Tornado Warnings and the Blind/Low-Vision Community
Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and T. Pechacek
8:45 AM
6.2
9:00 AM
6.3
9:30 AM
6.5
Risk, Information, and Vulnerability for Evolving Tornado Threats
Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Lazrus, J. Henderson, J. Vickery, R. E. Morss, K. D. Ash, D. C. Smith, K. M. Anderson, and L. Palen
9:45 AM
Discussion

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 16
Between the Rock of Applied Needs and the Hard Place of Diminishing Resources: Rethinking Success in Provider–Partner Relationships
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 28th Symposium on Education )
Cochairs: Kathryn Shontz, NOAA/NESDIS/OSAAP; Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania
9:00 AM
TJ16.3
Sustaining Collaborations and Knowledge Sharing: GLISA’s Engagement with Indigenous Tribes in the Great Lakes Region
Omar C. Gates, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and E. Chapman, R. Clark, A. Petersen, and F. J. Marsik
9:15 AM
TJ16.4
9:30 AM
TJ16.5
Communicating Climate Information to Broad, Binational Audiences: A Great Lakes Account
Kimberly Channell, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and W. Baule, J. Andresen, J. L. Jorns, M. Muth, S. Deland, F. Seglenieks, B. M. Lofgren, and J. Weaver

9:45 AM

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Guest Coffee (Wed)
Location: Hospitality Suite 428 (Sheraton Hotel )

9:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Exhibit Hall (Wed)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Hall (Wednesday)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:30 AM-12:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Tree Planting Guest Volunteer Project

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


AM Coffee Break (Wed)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet President Roger M. Wakimoto (Wed)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 7
Exploring Effective Weather Communication
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Olga Wilhelmi, NCAR
10:45 AM
7.2
Surveying the TCM with NWS Partners
Ayesha Wilkinson, NCAS, Howard University, Washington, D.C.; and J. L. Schauer
11:00 AM
7.3
Satellite RGBs for NWS Forecasters with Color Vision Deficiency
Katie C. Vigil, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and E. B. Berndt, K. J. Runk, C. M. Gravelle, and M. J. Foster
11:15 AM
7.4
Communicating Probabilistic Weather Forecasts to Emergency Managers
Nadine Fleischhut, MPI, Berlin, Germany; and M. Goeber, S. M. Herzog, and R. Hertwig
11:45 AM
7.6A
Place Attachment, Climatology, and Tornado Risk Perception in Central Oklahoma
Victoria A. Johnson, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. Peppler and K. E. Klockow-McClain
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 18
Vulnerability and Extreme Events
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the Seventh Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation )
Cochairs: Aaron J. Piña, Aeris LLC; Rebecca Haacker, NCAR
10:30 AM
TJ18.1
Examining Vulnerability to Tornadoes Using Census Tract-Level Demographic Data and Tornado Damage Survey Paths
Charles M. Kuster, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. T. Ripberger
11:15 AM
TJ18.4
Finescale Assessment of Mobile Home Tornado Vulnerability in the Central and Southeast United States
Walker S. Ashley, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and S. M. Strader
11:30 AM
TJ18.5
A Psychological Analysis of Self-Protective Decision-Making during Natural Hazards
Cassandra A. Shivers-Williams, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and A. P. Cole Dixon and T. Adams
11:45 AM
TJ18.6A
Coffee Talk: A Social, Behavioral, and Economic Science Research and Operations Round Table Discussion
Gina M. Eosco, CNSP Support to NOAA/Office of Weather and Air Quality, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Cortinas Jr., J. Sprague, and D. Geppi

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Anthes Luncheon
Location: West 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Lunch Break (Wed)

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Daily Weather Briefings (Wed)
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Robert E. Horton Lecture
Recording files available
Session 8
Earth Observations for Food Security and Agriculture: Down to Earth Support for Improved Decisions, Policy, and Action
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Stephanie Schollaert Uz, GSFC
1:30 PM
8.1
Using and Verifying Hyper Local Model Forecast Data for Operational Agricultural Decision-Making
Jared Oyler, BASF, Bellefonte, PA; and D. Lehning, J. Manobianco, and J. Pietrowicz
1:45 PM
8.2
Climate Impacts on China’s Regional Agricultural Production
You Wu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China

2:00 PM
8.3
Updating Regional Land-Use/Land-Cover Maps for Improved Hydrologic Modeling and Water Resource Management in the Lower Mekong Basin
Joseph Spruce, SSAI, Diamondhead, MS; and J. Bolten, I. Mohammed, R. Srinivasan, and V. Lakshmi

2:15 PM
8.4
Weather/Climate Data Collection for Large-Scale Phenotype Predictability in the Midwest
Francisco Munoz-Arriola, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and G. Lopez-Morfeo, D. Osornio Hernandez, D. Jarquin, L. A. Herrera Leon, and A. Amaranto
Recording files available
Session 9
Linking Physical Sciences, Operational Meteorology, and Social Science to Better Understand Societal Impacts
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Danielle Nagele, Innovim, LLC; Kodi Berry, CIMMS/NSSL
1:30 PM
9.1
When Disciplines Collide: Integrating Social Science at the Center for Earth System Sciences and Remote Sensing Technologies
Valerie Were, NOAA Center for Earth System Sciences and Remote Sensing Technologies, New York, NY
1:45 PM
9.2
Training for Science that Matters: Integrating Social Sciences at the NOAA Center for Coastal and Marine Ecosystems
Phyllis Gray-Ray, NOAA Center for Coastal and Marine Ecosystems (CCME), Tallahassee, FL; and M. R. Smith, R. McLaughlin, H. J. Cho, M. Dovil, and S. E. Pitter
2:00 PM
9.3
2:15 PM
9.4
Demystifying Social and Behavioral Science Research to Application Transitions
Gina M. Eosco, CNSP Support to NOAA/Office of Weather and Air Quality, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Sprague, J. Cortinas Jr., and D. Geppi

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


PM Coffee Break (Wed)
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Economic Impacts of Extremes
Location: North 228AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 10th Conference on Environment and Health; and the 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Chair: Shubhayu Saha, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
3:00 PM
J7.1
The Health Costs of Wisconsin’s 2012 Heat Wave
Vijay Limaye, Natural Resources Defense Council, New York, NY; and W. Max, J. Constible, and K. Knowlton
3:15 PM
J7.2
Degrees to Dollars: Health Costs Associated with Suboptimal Ambient Temperature Exposure
Yang Liu, Univ. of Minnesota, Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN; and S. Saha, B. Hoppe, and M. Convertino

3:30 PM
J7.3
Assessing Mortality Risk from Forecast Flood Events in a Middle Income Country: The Case of Barbados
James E. Neumann, Industrial Economics, Inc., Cambridge, MA; and J. Willwerth and D. Williamson
Recording files available
Session 10
Extreme Events, Climate Change, and Human Security
Location: North 226AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Walker S. Ashley, Northern Illinois University
3:00 PM
10.2
Climate-Induced Displacement: Where Social and Climate Sciences Intersect
Marjorie McGuirk, CASE Consultants International, Asheville, NC; and E. Shea, M. Prabhu, D. Ratliff, J. Dissen, and E. Gardiner

3:15 PM
10.3
Observations of Windblown Dust Transportation Hazards along I-10 Using a Network of Sensors
Jaylen Fuentes, New Mexico Climate Center/New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM; and D. DuBois, M. De Antonio, V. Etyemezian, G. Nikolich, J. Gutierrez, S. Engle, and O. Nayares
3:30 PM
10.4
Urbanization of Weather Forecast, Air Quality Prediction, and Climate Scenarios for Prague: Way to Support Decision-Making and to Mitigate the Risks
Tomas Halenka, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic; and M. Belda, P. Huszar, J. Karlicky, and T. Novakova
3:45 PM
Panel Discussion

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Book Talks @ Authors Corner (Wed)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Wed)
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


Awards Banquet Reception
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2019


99th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Thursday, 10 January 2019

7:30 AM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


AMS Information Desk (Thurs)
Location: North 100 Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Member Services Desk (Thurs)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Quiet Room (Thursday)
Location: West 206 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Registration (Thurs)
Location: North Lower Level Prefunction (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:30 AM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Speaker Ready Room (Thurs)
Location: North 121A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2019

Recording files available
Session 11
Managing for Uncertainty: A Typology for Drought Decisions
Location: North 226C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 14th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Jennifer Henderson, CIRES
8:30 AM
11.1
Managing for Drought. Part I: Developing a Drought Decision-Making Typology to Identify Key Sources of Uncertainty
Adam K. Wilke, USGS, Fort Collins, CO; and A. E. Cravens, N. Burkardt, and J. R. Friedman

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Meeting with Sustainable Cities Network of Arizona
Location: Estrella (Sheraton Hotel )

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Exhibit Hall (Thurs)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Exhibit Hall Breakfast
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Meet President Roger M. Wakimoto (Thurs)
Location: Hall 5-6 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Lunch Break (Thurs)

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Daily Weather Briefings (Thurs)
Location: North 132ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:00 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Excursion

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


Walter Orr Robert Lecture

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


PM Coffee Break (Thurs)
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2019


99th AMS Annual Meeting Adjourns