11.2 Comparative Evaluation of Merging and Local Bias Correction for Radar-Gauge QPE

Wednesday, 9 January 2019: 3:15 PM
North 232C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Lin Tang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Seo, M. Nabatian, J. Zhang, K. W. Howard, and D. Kitzmiller

Improving the accuracy of quantitative precipitation estimates (QPE) directly enhances capabilities for flash flood forecasting and water prediction. Compared to radar only QPE approaches, radar-gauge merged QPE is able to provide an enhanced estimation in high-temporal resolution with both spatial continuity and local accuracy. We comparatively evaluate two radar-gauge QPE products from the real-time Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) system. The first is generated via conditional bias (CB)-penalized cokriging which merges hourly radar-only QPE and rain gauge data by minimizing the weighted sum of error variance and expectation of the Type-II CB squared. The second is from the local gauge correction (LGC) module in the operational MRMS. The LGC minimizes the interpolation errors of radar-gauge difference through an inverse distance weighting function. Evaluation is carried out for different types of precipitation events over the CONUS. For both methods, the MRMS radar-only QPE product and quality-controlled hourly gauge data are used as inputs. The resulting radar-gauge QPE products are compared against the daily CoCoRaHS gauge data for independent validation.
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